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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC on FOX 16 Preview
By Brian Edwards

The rematch between T.J. Dillashaw and Renan Barao will finally go down Saturday night in Chicago at UFC on FOX 16. Dillashaw took the bantamweight belt from Barao with a breakout performance 14 months ago at UFC 173, dominating the Brazilian before recording a fifth-round knockout (headkick and punches).

Dillashaw (11-2 MMA, 7-2 UFC) caught Barao with a huge right midway through the opening round and the former champion wasn't the same for the rest of the fight. TJD pulled the shocker as a +550 underdog, claiming Fight of the Night and Performance of the Night bonuses. The victory also garnered 2014 Upset of the Year honors.

Barao (33-2 MMA, 8-1 UFC) was set to rematch Dillashaw at UFC 177, but he had to pull out of the fight when he was hospitalized on the day of the weigh-ins for issues relating to cutting weight. Therefore, TJD successfully defended his strap by beating Joe Soto by fifth-round KO. Soto was scheduled to face Anthony Birchak on the same card, but agreed to fight Dillashaw when offered the opportunity.

This time around, it's Dillashaw who is favored in the -240 range, while Barao was the +200 underdog as of Wednesday. This is the first time Barao has been placed in the underdog role in his entire career. The total is 4.5 rounds ('under' -170, 'over' +150).

Since failing to make weight and pulling out of the UFC 177 rematch, Barao got back into the win column in the co-main event at UFC Fight Night 58. The 28-year-old Brazilian took out Mitch Gagnon by an arm-triangle choke in Round 3.

Prediction: The weigh-ins are so important in this fight. Will Barao have a tough weight cut like he's had so many times before? If he does, then I like TDJ to prevail, but not enough to bet the Team Alpha Male member at a price north of -200. If you feel like Barao looks good at weigh-ins, then I believe you're best suited backing Barao for a +200 payout. Barring a major shift in the odds, this is a fight where you either take Barao or you pass. For now, I'm going to pass.

In the co-main event, second-ranked women's bantamweight contender Miesha Tate (16-5 MMA, 3-2 UFC) will take on fifth-ranked Jessica 'Evil' Eye. As of Wednesday, most books had Tate installed as a -200 favorite, leaving Eye as the +170 underdog. The 'over/under' is 2.5 rounds ('over' -270, 'under' +230).

Tate has won three in a row since losing Ronda Rousey by third-round armbar at UFC 168. 'Cupcake' gave Rousey her toughest test thus far in the Octagon, successfully winning many stand-up exchanges. However, Rousey's superior judo was the difference with a throw leading to the eventual submission not even a minute into the third stanza.

Since then, Tate has three decision wins over Liz Carmouche, Rin Nakai and Sara McMann.

Eye (11-2, 1 no-contest MMA, 1-1, 1 no-contest UFC) made her Octagon debut at UFC 166, beating Sarah Kaufman by split decision. However, after testing positive for marijuana, the result was changed to a no-contest.

Eye went the distance with Alexis Davis at UFC 170, only to come out on the wrong side of a split decision. Then at UFC 180, Eye earned a second-round TKO triumph over Leslie Smith when the doctor called a stop to the bout.

Prediction: I think Tate wins a decision. You can bet for this result in a prop at 5Dimes for a +103 return. I'll go with that for one unit. I'm filing this column on Wednesday, so I'm going ahead and committing to these selections. With that said, I'll throw this out for gamblers to keep in mind. Tate is fighting on the same card as her live-in boyfriend Bryan Caraway, who has been dating Tate for more than seven years. This is the first time both have fought on the same card. I'm not implying that I know how Caraway's result will impact Tate's focus and preparation. Whatever the case, Tate's fight will probably start about 2.5 hours after Caraway's ends. If Caraway takes a beatdown and gets sent to the hospital, might Tate's focus be impacted? We shall see.

Edson Barboza and Paul Felder are set to scrap in a lightweight showdown. As of Wednesday, most spots had Barboza (15-3 MMA, 9-3 UFC) listed as a -140 favorite with a total of 1.5 rounds ('over' -150, 'under' +130).

Felder (10-0 MMA, 2-0 UFC) has cashed tickets as an underdog in both of his first two Octagon appearances. In his debut, Felder defeated Jason Saggo by split decision as a +140 underdog. Then at UFC 182, the South Philadelphia product perfectly executed a spinning back fist to put away Danny Castillo as a +190 'dog.

Barboza is incredible on his feet with some of the best kicks in all of mixed martial arts. Four of his nine UFC wins have come via some sort of kick, including the incredible wheel-kick KO of Terry Etim at UFC 142. Barboza, a 29-year-old Brazilian, owns notable scalps over Castillo, Ross Pearson, Evan Dunham and Bobby Green.

Prediction: Don't get me wrong, I like Felder a lot and his future is bright. This is going to be a fun stand-up battle. but it represents a big step up in class for Felder. Barboza is my favorite play on the board. 5Dimes has Barboza at -135 and I'll take it for five units.

In the opener of the main card on FOX, veteran lightweights Joe Lauzon and Takanori Gomi will collide. Lauzon opened as a -260 favorite on Sunday but as of Wednesday, he was a -350 'chalk.' The total is 1.5 rounds ('over' -140, 'under' +120).

Lauzon (24-10 MMA, 11-7 UFC) is looking to bounce back from a second-round KO loss to Al Iaquinta at UFC 183 in January. 'J-Lau' had won back-to-back fights over Mac Danzig and Michael Chiesa before falling to Iaquinta.

Lauzon, a 31-year-old submission specialist, owns notable career wins over Jeremy Stephens, Melvin Guillard, Jens Pulver and Jamie Varner. He has collected 13 fight-night bonuses in 18 career Octagon appearances. Lauzon's decision loss to Jim Miller was the 2012 Fight of the Year.

Gomi (35-10 MMA, 4-5 UFC) is the former PRIDE lightweight champion. The 36-year-old is in bounce-back mode following a first-round KO loss to Myles Jury in his home country of Japan last summer.

'The Fireball Kid' is looking to get back to .500 in his 10th career Octagon outing. Gomi hasn't had any shameful defeats with the promotion, as all of his setbacks have come against big-name foes. He has a pair of KO wins in the UFC over Tyson Griffin and Eiji Mitsuoka.

Prediction: Both of these veterans have lots of miles and rounds on their respective resumes. I personally feel like Lauzon has more left in his tank. Gomi has better KO power but Lauzon will be completely comfortable when the fight is on the feet. With that said, Lauzon has a huge advantage on the ground and that's where he'd like to get Gomi. The straight price on Lauzon and his odds to win inside the distance (-170) are both too 'chalky' for me, so let's go with 'under' 1.5 rounds for the +120 payout for one unit. The thinking here is an early submission by Lauzon, but a KO by Gomi would work too. The 'over' has actually been a winner in five of Lauzon's last six outings but before that 'over' spree, four of his previous five fights easily went 'under.' And the lone 'over' won by just 13 seconds.

The prelims will start at 6:00 p.m. Eastern on big FOX. The first four fights will air on UFC Fight Pass starting at 4:15 p.m. Eastern.

Although it isn't considered the headliner of the prelims, I'll have my eyes on another lightweight showdown between a pair of veterans in Jim Miller and Danny 'Last Call' Castillo. Most books have Miller as a -130 favorite with a total of 2.5 rounds ('over' -185, 'under' +165).

I'll go with Miller for two units as long as the price doesn't go north of -130. If you're looking at -140 or -145, I'd still go with Miller but for just one unit. If it gets to -150, leave it alone.

 

[superbeets]

Swiss Super League TODAY 19:00

Grasshoppers

v

Basel

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		5/2	12/5	21/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT GRASSHOPPERS	RECENT FORM
AWHWHDAWALAW​ Most recent​	2 - 4 3 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1	AWHDALADHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Basel have lost just two of their last 16 Swiss league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Basel are firmly established as the top dogs in Swiss football and can maintain their 100 per cent record by beating Grasshoppers in Zurich. The champions eased to a 2-0 success at home to Vaduz in their opening match of the season and can exploit the defensive weaknesses Grasshoppers showed in a 5-3 triumph away to Thun last Sunday.

RECOMMENDATION: Basel
1

 

[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup TODAY 21:00

USA

v

Panama

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		11/20	11/4	11/2	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
HWNWNWADNWNL​ Most recent​	1 - 1 2 - 0 3 - 2 1 - 0	ALHDNDHDND*HD*​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Panama have been drawing at the 90-minute stage in all five matches in this tournament

EXPERT VERDICT: The Gold Cup has been a disappointment for USA, who have looked too ponderous for much of the tournament. They should be too good for Panama in this third-place playoff but may take a while to make the breakthrough, so back them to come good in the second half after a tight opening period. The sides drew 1-1 in the group stage.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-USA
1

 

[superbeets]

CONCACAF Gold Cup Mo 27Jul 00:30

Jamaica

v

Mexico

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		18/5	9/4	17/20	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUES	RECENT FORM
ALADHWNWNWNW​ Most recent​	0 - 1 0 - 0 1 - 0 0 - 3	NDHWADHDHD*AD*​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Jamaica have conceded seven goals in their last 13 games

EXPERT VERDICT: Gold Cup final outsiders Jamaica have been punted after their excellent run to the showpiece, but the Reggae Boyz still look a shade of value to edge out Mexico. The floodgates are unlikely to open as impressive Jamaica can keep it tight, while Mexico are less free-scoring than their tournament goals tally implies.

RECOMMENDATION: Jamaica 1-0
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Phillies @ Cubs
Hamels allowed 14 runs in seven IP in his last two starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Arrieta is 4-0, 1.17 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Philly won six of last seven games overall but lost three of last five games with Chicago; six of last eight games in series stayed under total. Cubs won last four games that followed a loss; three of their last four overall went over.

Nationals @ Pirates
Gonzalez is 3-0, 1.38 in his last four starts; over is 2-1-1 in his last four starts on foreign soil.

Burnett is 2-0, 3.82 in his last five starts, four of which went over.

Washington won seven of last nine games with Pittsburgh; home side won 11 of last 12 series games- last three went over. Nationals lost five of last sevn games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five. Pirates lost five of last eight games.

Dodgers @ Mets
Lee is making MLB debut; he was 7-3, 2.36 in 12 AAA starts.

Harvey is 1-2, 4.74 in his last three starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Dodgers won three of last four games at Citi Field; over is 9-2-1 in last dozen series games. LA won five of last seven games; under is 15-5-1 in their last 21 road games. Mets lost six of last eight games; over is 4-2-1 in last seven.

Braves @ Cardinals
Banuelos is 1-1, 1.72 in his three starts (only 15.2 IP- under 3-0).

Cooney is 0-0, 3.70 in his five starts, four of which went over.

Braves lost four of last five games with St Louis (over 3-2). Braves are 3-8 in last 11 games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11. Cardinals won six of last seven games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Reds @ Rockies
Cueto is 2-1, 2.77 in his last four starts; over is 4-3 in his last seven.

Rusin is 0-1, 5.00 in his last three starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Cincinnati lost five of last six games with Colorado (over 4-1-1); Reds lost seven of last ten games-- over is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Rockies lost four of last six games- over is 3-1-1 in their last five.

Brewers @ Diamondbacks
Jungmann is 3-0, 1.54 in his last five starts; under is 5-2-1 in all his starts.

de la Rosa is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Road team won eight of last 11 Milwaukee-Arizona games; six of last nine went over total. Brewers won five of last seven games- four of last six went over total. Diamondbacks lost nine of their last 11 games- four of last six stayed under.

Marlins @ Padres
Phelps is 0-3, 4.67 in his last three starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Kennedy is 1-4, 6.26 in his last five starts; his last seven stayed under.

San Diego won five of last seven games with Miami; home side won nine of last 12 series games- under is 5-3 in last eight. Padres won six of last nine games; under is 5-3 in its last eight. Miami won three of its last four games; four of its last five stayed under

American League
Tigers @ Red Sox
Simon is 1-3, 10.80 in his last six starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Wright is 1-3, 5.79 in his five starts, four of which went over.

Detroit won five of last seven games with Boston (over 2-1-1 in last four). Red Sox lost seven of last eight games- four of their last six games went over. Tigers lost eight of their last eleven games.

White Sox @ Indians
Sale is 2-1, 2.37 in his last four starts; under is 6-0-2 in his last eight.

Carrasco is 0-1, 4.24 in his last three starts; his last five went over.

White Sox lost three of last five games with Cleveland; ten of last 11 series games stayed under. Chicago lost six of last nine games; under is 7-3-1 in its last 11 games. Indians are 3-6 in last nine games (over 5-1 in last six).

Orioles @ Rays
Gonzalez is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two road starts; his last five starts went over.

Ramirez is 3-1, 1.15 in his last six starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Baltimore lost last three games with Tampa Bay; seven of last eight in series stayed under total. Orioles lost seven of last nine games. Rays lost three of last five games; under is 7-1-2 in their last ten.

Astros @ Royals
Feldman is 2-3, 5.77 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.

Duffy is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts; his last four went under.

Astros won last seven games with Kansas City; Houston won six of last seven games overall, with four of last six going over total. Royals won four of last seven games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six.

Bronx @ Twins
Sabathia is 1-0, 2.38 in his last two starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten.

Milone is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three home starts; over is 5-3-2 in his last ten.

Bronx won three of last five games with Minnesota; five of last six series games went over total. Twins lost four of last six games; under is 5-2-1 in last eight. Bronx won six of last eight games; five of last seven stayed under. .

Rangers @ Angels
Gallardo is 0-3, 5.28 in his last three starts; six of his last seven went under- Texas scored 11 runs in his last six starts.

Santiago is 3-0, 1.13 in his last five starts; his last three went over.

Angels won six of last eight games with Texas; six of his last nine went over the total. Halos are 20-9 in last 29 home games, 13 of last 15 stayed under the total. Rangers won last three games (over 4-2 in last six).

Blue Jays @ Mariners
Hutchison is 1-1, 7.47 in his last three starts; his last five went over- he was sick Thursday/Friday and was pushed back to today.

Former Blue Jay Happ is 1-4, 5.79 in his last seven starts; four of his last six starts went over the total.

Toronto lost four of last five games with Seattle; Blue Jays won three of last five games- under is 4-2-1 in their last seven. Mariners are 4-5 in their last nine games; six of their last nine stayed under the total.

Interleague
A's @ Giants
Bassitt is 0-2, 2.65 in three starts (under 2-1); Oakland scored seven runs in the three games.

Bumgarner is 2-0, 2.53 in his last two starts; three of his last four went over.

A's won seven of last ten games with the Giants- they lost three of last four games (over 3-1) overall. San Francisco won nine of last ten games (over 9-1).

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Phil-Cubs-- Hamels 9-10; Arrieta 12-7
Wsh-Pitt-- Gonzalez 11-6; Burnett 12-7
LA-NY-- Lee 0-0; Harvey 10-8
Atl-StL-- Miller 9-10; Martinez 14-3
Cin-Colo-- Cueto 10-8; Rusin 2-6
Mil-Az-- Jungmann 6-2; de la Rosa 10-9
Mia-SD-- Phelps 5-10; Kennedy 7-10

Det-Bos-- Simon 10-8; Wright 1-4
Chi-Clev-- Sale 11-7; Carrasco 11-8
Balt-TB-- Gonzalez 10-7; Ramirez 11-3
Hst-KC-- Feldman 5-6; Duffy 8-5
NY-Min-- Sabathia 8-10; Milone 7-5
Tor-Sea-- Hutchison 12-7; Happ 7-11
Tex-LAA-- Gallardo 9-11; Santiago 11-7

A's-SF-- Bassitt 1-2; Bumgarner 11-8

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Phil-Cubs-- Hamels 6-19; Arrieta 4-19
Wsh-Pitt-- Gonzalez 2-17; Burnett 5-18
LA-NY-- Lee 0-0; Harvey 6-18
Atl-StL-- Miller 3-19; Martinez 2-17
Cin-Colo-- Cueto 5-18; Rusin 3-8
Mil-Az-- Jungmann 0-8; de la Rosa 5-19
Mia-SD-- Phelps 5-15; Kennedy 6-17

Det-Bos-- Simon 3-18; Wright 1-5
Chi-Clev-- Sale 6-18; Carrasco 9-19
Balt-TB-- Gonzalez 3-17; Ramirez 3-14
Hst-KC-- Feldman 4-11; Duffy 2-13
NY-Min-- Sabathia 6-18; Milone 2-12
Tor-Sea-- Hutchison 12-7; Happ 7-18
Tex-LAA-- Gallardo 6-20; Santiago 4-18

A's-SF-- Bassitt 0-3; Bumgarner 4-19

Umpires
Phil-Chi-- Six of last eight Cuzzi games stayed under.
Wsh-Pitt-- Last five TBarrett games stayed under.
LA-NY-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Reynolds games.
Atl-StL-- Favorites won five of last six Baker games.
Mil-Az-- Last six Porter games went over the total.
Cin-Col-- Eight of last ten Davidson games went over.
Mia-SD-- Underdogs are 10-3 in last 13 Hallion games; seven of his last eight games went over the total.

Det-Bos-- Five of last seven Everitt games stayed under.
Tor-Sea-- Underdogs won last three Joyce games.
Balt-TB-- Six of last seven Emmel games stayed under.
NY-Minn-- Over is 8-3-2 in last thirteen Nelson games.
Chi-Clev-- Six of last eight Muchlinski games stayed under.
Hst-KC-- Six of last seven HGibson games went over.
Tex-LA-- Last six Vanover games stayed under the total.

A's-SF-- Underdogs won seven of last nine West games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

UFC on Fox 16 Betting Breakdown: Renan Barao looks to avenge title loss to T.J. Dillashaw
By MMAODDSBREAKER

The main event of UFC on FOX 16 is a five-round title fight rematch between UFC bantamweight champion TJ Dillashaw and challenger Renan Barao.

T.J. Dillashaw comes from a wrestling background and not surprisingly his ground game is fantastic training with other stud fighters at Team Alpha Male, but in recent years his training with Duane Ludwig has led to him becoming one of the best strikers in the bantamweight division.

He has incredible movement and footwork and throws an incredible volume of strikes. He also has knockout power and proved it with his fifth-round head kick finish of Barao when the pair first met at UFC 173.

Dillashaw is a fantastic fighter, but one thing going against him is he is coming off of an 11-month layoff. We’ll see how the rematch goes this weekend, but if it’s anything like the first fight, then it should be a good night for Dillashaw.


Renan Barao is a fantastic, well-rounded mixed martial artist. On the feet he is a varied striker with knockout power, he has slick submissions on the ground, and he has solid wrestling as well.

Up until the Dillashaw fight he was looking like the top pound-for-pound fighter in the world but he got exposed in that fight and not many people are as high on him anymore.

He’s had a lot of problems with weight cutting and with injuries in recent years and after the beatdown Dillashaw put on him, he didn’t look as good in his next fight against Gagnon. I still think Barao is a great fighter, but after seeing what happened when he fought Dillashaw the first time, it makes sense he is the underdog in the rematch.


The first time these two fought I was all over Barao, and we all saw what happened there. This time I’m picking on Dillashaw to win this fight, because after seeing him dismantle Barao over the course of 25 minutes in the first fight it’s impossible not to pick Dillashaw in the rematch.

The question is whether or not this is a fight to bet. I’ve been on the fence all week. I do feel like Dillashaw is going to win, but -220 is a lot of juice as I believe this rematch will be closer than the first fight.

I just want to see how Barao looks on the scale first, because if he looks like a ghost again I’ll probably eat the juice and bet on Dillashaw, but I just want to gain as much information as I can before I make the bet.

Having said that, I’m definitely picking Dillashaw here, and I think he can win by T/KO again.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Game of the Day: Blue Bombers at Eskimos

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Edmonton Eskimos (-5.5, 51)

The Edmonton Eskimos look to win their third consecutive game when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Saturday. The Eskimos bounced back from a disappointing Week 1 loss by making short work of Ottawa in a home-and-home set as they outscored the previously unbeaten Redblacks 69-29.

Edmonton hopes to continue its recent dominance of the Blue Bombers after winning seven straight meetings at Commonwealth Stadium, including the last three games by an average margin of 27 points. Winnipeg looks to rebound from a heartbreaking 26-25 loss to the Calgary Stampeders in Week 4. The Blue Bombers blew a 16-point lead and squandered multiple chances to secure a win over the defending Grey Cup champions and face another stiff test as they try to notch a victory in Edmonton for the first time in more than nine years. Winnipeg has lost four straight games to the Eskimos overall and hasn't emerged victorious on the road in the series since a 25-22 triumph on July 20, 2006.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Eskies at 5.5-point faves. The total opened at 52 but is down to 51.

INJURY REPORT: Blue Bombers - DT Bryant Turner, Jr. (Questionable, hand). Eskimos - DT Gregory Alexandre (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Wallace Miles (Questionable, undisclosed), DE Elie Ngoyi (Questionable, undisclosed).

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Drew Willy finished 22-of-27 for 289 yards and two touchdowns but threw an interception on the final drive against the Stampeders. "We've just got to be better overall in all three phases," Willy told reporters. "Nothing is going to break this team apart and we've got a lot of guys with their heads held high." Defensive end Greg Peach is out for the next seven days with a lower-body injury and will be replaced by Thaddeus Gibson while defensive tackle Bryant Turner will miss another game with a thumb problem.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Rookie running back Shakir Bell was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after rushing for 144 yards on his CFL debut and defensive end Marcus Howard also made the three-man honours list after recording two sacks. "Shakir did a great job," Edmonton coach Chris Jones told reporters. "You knew he was due for a breakout game." Matt Nichols struggled against the Redblacks as he finished 18-of-33 for 242 yards and three interceptions but was bailed out by Bell, who rushed for the most yards in a single game by any running back this season.

TRENDS:

* Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Edmonton.
* Eskimos are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 21-7 in Blue Bombers last 28 Saturday games.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-seven percent are backing the Eskimos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
By David Schwab

The underdogs continued to payoff this season in the CFL with a 3-1 record against the spread in Week 4. This included two straight-up wins by the dogs and both Edmonton and British Columbia pulled-off the sweep in the backend of a home-and-home series.

Montreal actually got things started last Thursday with a 17-13 victory over Hamilton as a 2 ½-point home underdog. In the first of two Friday games, the Eskimos completed their sweep of Ottawa with a 23-12 victory as a three-point road favorite. Later that day, BC made it two in a row over Saskatchewan with a 27-24 win as a 3 ½-point underdog on the road. Week 4 capped things off with Calgary squeaking by Winnipeg 26-25 as an eight-point favorite at home this past Saturday.

Saturday, July 25

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ½
Total: 51 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have averaged 26.5 points through their first four games this season after averaging just 16.1 points over their last seven games in 2014. Part of the turnaround can be attributed to the play of quarterback Drew Willy, who is ranked fifth in the CFL in passing yards with 913. He has completed 77 percent of his 87 attempts.

Edmonton built up its scoring stats this season at the expense of Ottawa after losing to Toronto 26-11 as a 7 ½-point road favorite in its season opener. Matt Nichols continues to fill in at quarterback for the injured Mike Reilly and in last week’s win he passed for 242 yards and a score, but he was also picked-off three times. Eskimos’ running back Shakir Bell piled-up 144 yards rushing in that game.

Betting Trends

Edmonton has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS and it is 6-1 both ways in the last seven games between the two. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 13 games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Running Aces

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 7:28 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$5500 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $3000 IN LAST 4 STARTS AE: CLAIMING $7500 W/ALLOWANCES RUNNING ACES NO. 1 & 3 UNCOUPLED MUTUEL ENTRY


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 ASHES N DUST 8/1


# 5 DA TERROR 12/1


# 6 I'M SO BLUE 4/1


ASHES N DUST should be supported as our best wagering option in this outing and just look at the nice morning line. Cannot put a finger on it, but think about this gelding for a wager. Maier has been hot as a pistol this last month, winning at a respectable 21 percent. DA TERROR - Has one of the best win percentages in the group of horses and may be able to add to those numbers in this race. Excellent in the money statistic for Anfinson and this contender. A very nice probability to get the win. I'M SO BLUE - If performance in the most recent competition is representative, this fine animal will have a very competitive shot this time. High last race speed rating. Might be there at a nice price tag. Most likely one to keep in your exotics.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Scioto Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 6:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 61 - Purse:$40000 - OHIO SIRES STAKES 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES J.SUTTON LISTED 3-4 A.MERRIMAN LISTED 6-8


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 GORGEOUS ROAD 7/2


# 5 MISS ME YET 3/1


# 1 FEELIN LILLY 4/1


GORGEOUS ROAD is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the knowledge group. Has competitive speed ratings and most definitely has to be thought of for a wager in this contest. Seems to have a respectable class advantage based on the standardbreds she has raced against. Could best this field of starters, just look at the TrackMaster speed fig - 62 - from her most recent race. MISS ME YET - Definitely the class of the grouping with an average rating of 67. A nice selection. With a really strong 61 TrackMaster speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. FEELIN LILLY - This horse recorded a competitive TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. Looks to be racing sharply to come right back. This horse will be greatly helped with Wrenn steering. 26 percent winners the past month.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hazel Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 92

FOR MICHIGAN BRED COLTS AND GELDINGS THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 RUNNIN FUN 7/2


# 3 KIKI'S WAR 5/2


# 2 COURT'S RULING 3/1


RUNNIN FUN is the top bet in this race. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 93 - of his last effort. He has respectable class ratings, averaging 79, and has to be given consideration in this race. KIKI'S WAR - Will almost certainly come out very strong - I have liked the way this colt has moved swiftly to the lead recently. Ought to be used in the exotic wagers. COURT'S RULING - This colt obviously likes the distance, going 3 / 5 in his races lately. Jackson has him trained admirably to break quickly out of the gate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Northlands Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9700 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 UNQUIET 9/5


# 8 PAKAL 4/1


# 3 MISIKITEW 15/1


UNQUIET looks to be a respectable contender. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Greenwood running at this distance are the strongest in this field. With Walcott on top him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this competition. With a solid 82 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. PAKAL - With a sound 74 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Earned a respectable Equibase Speed Figure last time out. MISIKITEW - Will probably go to the lead and should never look back. Posted a strong speed figure last time out.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Valuline at Ruidoso Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Ruidoso Downs, Race 8 (Saturday July 25, 2015)

UNFETTERED


RUI-8 4.55f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" STK 3YUP $20,000
P# ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

4 UNFETTERED 8/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon
5 MALIBU COLONY 8/1 18% 9/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Sacramento - Race #10 - Post: 5:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 GREY MOON RUNNER (ML=5/2)
#2 TOP ODDS (ML=5/2)


GREY MOON RUNNER - Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should help. This gelding is in fine physical condition, having run a nice race on July 3rd, finishing third. TOP ODDS - This gelding finished well ahead of the third horse on August 28th. Those horses tend to run well next time out. This gelding is tops in earnings per race entered. Give the once over to this animal in the post parade.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SHINING HOPE (ML=9/5),

SHINING HOPE - Placed much too far in the rear on March 1st for me to wager on at the probable odds in today's sprint event. The extended layoff will probably be too much to overcome for this less than sharp equine. I usually bet against a grass horse trying the dirt for the first time.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 GREY MOON RUNNER on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #5 - Post: 8:28pm - Allowance - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,200 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 PINK MAGIC (ML=5/1)
#8 UNLIKELY SCENARIO (ML=5/1)


PINK MAGIC - I like to see when a horse has a recent work at the same trip or farther of a race. Ramgeet comes to race again after getting to know the gelding in the last contest. I like this horse. Should be familiar with this class level since he ran against the same type last out at Charles Town. A strong handicapping angle is 1st time Lasix. Cline gives it to this one for this contest. UNLIKELY SCENARIO - Gelding has shown some speed. This shorter distance should be better for him. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this thoroughbred is up against an easier group than last time around the track at Mountaineer. The ROI when Lagunes and Sipp get together is fantastic. Ran a less than stellar race at Mountaineer last out. Racing on a fast track puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list. 28-61-65 are last three Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CORINTHIANO (ML=1/1), #1A MR BUSINESS (ML=1/1), #7 O. T. CAT (ML=6/1),

CORINTHIANO - There's early speed, early speed, and more speed in this event. Doesn't look too promising for this horse. MR BUSINESS - June 30th is the last time we've seen this colt around. Have to be a little bit leery. O. T. CAT - 6/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance affair lately. If today's event shapes up right, all the front runners will force a fierce pace duel early. Too bad this equine is one of those front runners.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 PINK MAGIC to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:14 PM EASTERN POST


The Sanford Stakes

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#8 COCKED AND LOADED
#7 PAYNES PRAIRIE
#11 UNCLE VINNY
#4 MAGNA LIGHT

Well folks ... the only loss in the great Man o' War's career occurred in the 1919 Sanford, when he was defeated by a horse named Upset. Off to a bad start, Man o' War made up all but half a length. In later years, Willie Knapp, the rider of the winner, said, "I've always been kind of sorry I beat him. He was too much of a horse for that." The race is named for the Sanford family. In Saratoga's early days, the Sanford horses, many of whom were named after members of the Mohawk tribe, were often walked to the racetrack from the family's Hurricana Farm in Amsterdam. Prior to 1927 the race was run as the Sanford Memorial Stakes. Here in the 101st running of this graded stakes test, #8 COCKED AND LOADED is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, drops in class (-2), and is undefeated in a two race career, winning both in "POWER RUN FASHION." #7 PAYNES PRAIRIE is 5-1 in the morning line, and has hit the board in each of his three career starts, with two of those "board hit efforts," including a maiden-breaking win in his last start, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Saturday 7/25 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 9 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (30 - 48 / $108.80): CALLHIMAFOOL (2nd)

Spot Play: DAN D DUNE (5th)


Race 1

(4) FOX VALLEY ARAMON came up empty last week after a nice effort the week prior. The pacer will offer value getting sent out for capable connections and just needs to bounce back. (5) MY MAN RED has the ability but has been outkicked in every start on the season; threat. (7) FOX VALLEY DENALI showed good improvement last out kicking home nicely.

Race 2

(6) CALLHIMAFOOL gelding went a monster effort parked to the half before easily holding on for the victory last week. (7) DELIGHT FASHION can definitely pace a big mile with a good setup. (1) SIR ARTHER D well bred colt is inconsistent from week to week but just missed out of the ten hole at this level a few back.

Race 3

(6) HUDSON JESSE is the horse to beat in an inconsistent field. If the 4-year-old races like she's capable of she will be very tough to beat. (8) TIME OUTA JAIL has played the bridesmaid role in three straight burning cash every time; command a price. (7) EASTER TEKA has been very sharp winning his last two, however the trotting mare could be slightly over her head.

Race 4

(2) LIKEAFIREBALLSHOT filly has been racing very green but has the potential to pick up a big payday if she moves forward in her third career start. (4) CHAR N MARG dug in gamely last out for the victory and will look to make it three of four lifetime. (5) LK'S NANCY LEE freshman pacer could be the sleeper in the race at a price. The 2-year-old was shot pacing up a storm late in the mile last out just missing.

Race 5

(1) DAN D DUNE circled the field last out even having to move wide around dull cover. The pacer gets the best post and just needs a good setup to score. (2) WONDROUS SPORT paced the fastest elimination last out unchallenged. The 2-year-old gelding will be firing with a purpose early; threat. (4) GOINDUNESIDE might have the upside in the field getting sent out for a proven trainer.

Race 6

(6) FOX VALLEY QATAR has been solid all season long minus one hiccup. The freshman champ has the tactical advantage if he can mind his manners early. (8) CAPTAIN GREEDY has been the best of the bunch so far at three. The trotter gets a tough starting post and will have to blast early. (7) SOUTHERN SPECIAL is likely the only horse with an outside shot to upset the top two choices having turned it around in his last three.

Race 7

(6) LEX will look to make it six for ten on the season. The 3-year old gets a great post and will try and go coast to coast. (1) FOX VALLEY CHARM filly was tremendous gutting out a win first over last week in the elimination. If the pacer gets a good trip up close she can cash a big check. (2) SPORTSMUFFLER looked like the filly pacer just wanted to make the final last week. The sophomore pacer will be all systems go for the final.

Race 8

(6) DINKY DUNE went a big effort last week after coming up flat the start prior. The 3-year-old has tactical gate speed and looks to be one of few horses that can leave as fast as they can come home. (4) EARNDAWG can stamp himself the early favorite for the division with a convincing win. The gelding was the 2-year-old champ last year and will be driven very aggressively. (5) LUCPARK put in a career effort last week and could be peaking at the right time.

Race 9

(8) IN OVER MY HEAD nine-year-old stallion needs a fast track as he hasn't fared well on sloppy tracks this year. The former Windy City Pace champion is always capable with a good setup; fires late. (4) ICE SCRAPER takes a significant drop in class and will be blazing away off the gate. (6) FORT SILKY might not be what he once was but is capable. The pacer has raced better from off the pace despite going wire to wire last start.

Race 10

(10) SUMMER SHANDY doesn't look the best on paper but if the top driver gets him in the race he could score at a big price. (5) BELL VALLEY TIGER pacer has shown big bursts of speed and just needs to time his move right for a piece. (3) KOSTAS WINE is capable of jumping up with a big mile for a trainer that had some nice racing efforts last week.

Race 11

(5) PART TIME paced some big miles as a 3-year-old last year against tougher. The Indiana bred 4-year-old should offer value in an evenly matched race. (8) TEA PARTY PATRIOT was huge last out kicking home off dull cover. The mile sticks out on paper and was even more impressive if you watched the race. (1) SILVER DEVIL pacer is very dangerous dropping down with the best post; threat.

Race 12

(4) WINGS has not seen this level of competition in quite some time and was much better with a catch driver last week; big chance. (6) KIMBERLY R mare made up a lot of late ground last week and might have needed the start. (8) FOUR HOUR NAP went a big mile from a tough spot last week and at one time was competitive at the top level.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 7/25 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,6/1,2,3,10/2,5,7/2,4,5 = $72


LATE PICK 4: 1,4,5,6,9/6,9/2,3,6/2,5,7 = $60

MEET STATS: 189 - 615 / $1074.80 BEST BETS: 24 - 55 / $83.80

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 55 / $57.30

Best Bet: SHAMBALLA (3rd)

Spot Play: THE WAYFARING MAN (1st)


Race 1

(2) THE WAYFARING MAN had no shot trying to close from 10th last week but looked very good on the end of his previous mile when closing quickly on the far outside. He faces easier here and is likely to be put into the race much earlier; top call in the opener. (7) MACHS BOY was a sharp first-over winner in his Mohawk debut. He has really turned things around this season; respect. (1) THE BATTLE BEGINS was too far back on a track unkind to closers last Saturday and could sneak into the tri here at a price.

Race 2

(4) AVENTURE ships in and moves into the potent Adams barn. The July 17th qualifier signals readiness. (5) EXEMPLAR dropped in class last week and set all the pace until very late when he was picked off by another class-dropper. That was his best effort in a while and perhaps he can string a couple of good ones together. (1) PAPER BACKED LINDY parlayed a following trip into victory by reaching up to beat the one above right on the wire. He projects to get a similar trip here and is dangerous.

Race 3

(5) SHAMBALLA has taken to making his move in the middle of his races recently, which considering his razor-sharp condition and his closing power makes him virtually uncatchable once he makes front. He should win his third straight here but will likely be odds-on. (2) SPINFINITI has been sharper the past two and has upset potential if he can find a way to trip out. (1) ELLIS PARK has come to life with more aggressive handling the past two starts and can get a piece of this despite the rise in class.

Race 4

(6) MEA LILLEY MARK got stuck behind terrible cover last week in a rapid mile for the class and couldn't close. Missing a check there allows her to drop even further in class and she looks tough in here. (2) SHADYS M THREE finished ahead of the choice in that dash but had a much better trip on the inside the entire way. She can threaten here but often depends on the pace collapsing to get it done. (3) LOTSA MATZAH has faced the same sharp winner twice in a row now escapes her and gets post relief for her third start off a layoff. She would be no surprise.

Race 5

(10) BUCKEROO closed in :52 1/5 last week and still couldn't get close. He is razor-sharp but will need to beat a few of these off the gate to have a chance at the win. (1) IDEAL JET was outside just spinning his wheels like the rest of the field chasing a very fast winner last week. He has a much better chance here. (2) THREE OF CLUBS has yet to win this season but is dangerous here on the class drop.

Race 6

(5) SPORTSMANSHIP was one of few that passed several horses last Saturday and that prep should set him up nicely for this OSS Gold dash; top call. (7) WINDSONG LEO also had a useful tightener last week and should return to better form here making his third start back from a break due to a vet scratch. (2) DRACHAN HANOVER was first up pushing an accelerating pace in the second 1/2 last week and tired as a result. Look no further than two races back to see what he's capable of with a better trip.

Race 7

(2) SPORTS LIGHTNING was at the mercy of the track condition last week and could only close moderately as a result. He stands a better chance to show what he can do here. (5) HIS BOY ELROY suffered a similar fate in the same race and starting from the middle of the gate should see him placed closer early; using. (4) SPORTING THE LOOK beat similar two back then wasn't that far back when facing elders. Keep him on early pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(1) PHYSICALLYINCLINED got a breather in the first 1/2 last week which made him uncatchable late. Slight nod starting from the inside in a race you may want to go deep in on your late pick 4 tickets. (6) P L IDAHO can be erratic at times but has been very good the past two weeks. He will likely try to bottom out the field here in the third 1/4. (4) MR CARROTS drops out of the Summertime series where he faced a very tough winner. He figures here.

Race 9

(9) BURNIN MONEY takes a big drop in class here and should be able to take this group but needs to be careful not to get too far back early from this post. (6) JUSTALITTLEFASTER has raced well twice in a row after going through a long winless streak. He looks like one of the better ones in here. (7) BLUSH AND CRUSH is one of several that will compete for minor shares here.

Race 10

(6) PUSH BACK raced well last week, closing late for third on a track where few were gaining ground in the 2nd half. He is likely to leave hard here from an improved post; top call. (3) STOMPIN TOM CREEK finished just ahead of the choice in the same mile in a sharp effort and is a contender here. (2) PRINCE CLYDE dropped and popped in a big way Monday night and now moves back up off that confidence builder; using.

Race 11

(2) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY, despite pacing a sub-:27 final 1/4 could not hold off a very sharp winner last week. He looks tough in here and could quite conceivably sit a perfect two-hole trip. (7) NIRVANA SEELSTER set a new life's mark last week, helped by the speed-favoring nature of the surface. Still, he is too sharp to ignore. (5) DUC DORLEANS was on great cover last week but the two he was trying to chase down weren't stopping late. He knows where the wire returns to a 7-day cycle here.

Race 12

(9) KENDAL GUSTAV has been racing decently out of town in the top class and gets a lukewarm call in a head-scratcher of a finale. (6) BESTOFTHEBUNCH has also been racing well out of town and likely gets sent hard early here. He could stick around for a big share at a price. (3) SUNNY BEACH DAY drops in class after having no shot to close last week. He's good for a share but rarely wins under any circumstances. (4) YUCATAN raced better last time and is another in with a shot. (1) BEACHSIDE BUNGALOW has won three of his last four in claimers out of town but will need to find more speed here to compete for the win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 7/25 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 87 - 306 / $444.10 BEST BETS: 12 - 23 / $44.30

Best Bet: ART HISTORY (8th)

Spot Play: EIGHT TEN EOM (5th)


Race 1

(2) GRACEFUL VISION was visually impressive wining her most recent baby race and looks like a standout off that performance. (10) JK FANNIE made a costly early break in the NJSS final. I think there is talent here, but would have liked a better post. (7) ALBANY GIRL lost to the top choice by a country mile last time, but was stuck behind foes and did finish up nicely with no shot.

Race 2

(1) ACELO HANOVER has won two of three starts since the claim by Michael Russo and stands out on paper. (2) MAGNUS DEO moves back into the Tara Hynes barn, where he was a good second two starts back. (6) STORMIN RUSTLER & (7) TRIPLE MAJOR are both capable horses that step up from time to time.

Race 3

(6) ELIN raced very well two starts back but made a break last time. He should be able to get the early jump on (10) DETROIT RAPPER, who is clearly best on paper but didn’t have the cleanest gate and is now stuck outside. (4) WAITING ON A WOMAN has early speed and hails from a high percentage barn.

Race 4

(2) RACING HILL finished up willingly in his most recent qualifier and doesn’t exactly face a loaded field in his debut. (4) ROCK POWER & (7) MR D’S DRAGON both exit Sire Stakes races and might find this NW 1 class more to their liking. (8) SPICEBOMB is going to figure it all out eventually and reward his backers.

Race 5

(8) EIGHT TEN EOM perked up in a hurry on the barn change to Mark Silva. This is a blank field and he should take charge. (3) ASTREOS FLASH went too fast on the engine and paid the price most recently. Perhaps the three weeks off will prove beneficial. (6) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE is hard to strongly endorse, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he raced well.

Race 6

(10) OK GORGEOUS gets some needed class relief and has the early zip necessary to fly off the gate and gain position from post 10. (2) WHITTAKER is perfect in two start for trainer Michael Russo and looks like the one to beat on paper. (4) FREDDY DAY HANOVER has done reasonably well here over the years and should be tight having just raced on Tuesday. (3) UF FAST FEELIN won in his last start at this level.

Race 7

(7) THE SHOW RETURNS put in an even effort in last week’s Mistletoe Shalee and now finds herself in a slightly easier spot where she can gun to the front and take them down the road. (3) STACIA HANOVER is a bit of a mystery. It is hard to explain her poor performance in the Shalee, but I respect her chances of rebounding with a big effort. (10) WICKED LITTLE MINX raced huge in the James Lynch final at Pocono and qualified sharply last Saturday. The post makes it difficult, but don’t be surprised if she pulls off the upset.

Race 8

(3) ART HISTORY jumps off the page for me in this spot. He has had some trouble adjusting to life against older conditioned foes, but even his losing efforts have been solid. This week he gets major class relief and a cozy inside post to start from. I’ll be very surprised if he doesn’t put in a top effort. (5) THINKING OUT LOUD has his big moments and some of them have come right here at the Meadowlands. If there is one horse I fear, it is him. (4) MY NAME IS SAM has displayed the ability to go a big mile at times, but the top pair seem better.

Race 9

(3) WITCH DALI seems to be taking a slight bump up in class, but in reality this field is loaded with Non-winners of $10,000 types who happen to be over that condition cap. Tony Alagna trainee can certainly wake up in this spot. (5) SAY ITALL BB gets away from a salty group in the Golden Girls and reunites with Bongiorno, who drove her to victory two starts back. (4) BEACH GRANNY is a consistent performer that could get aggressive from this post.

Race 10

(3) THAT’S MY OPINION keeps burning my money every week and returning in weaker spots to lure me back for another trip through the wringer. Not only does he drop in class this week, but he also adds Lasix. Sign me up again! (5) SMART ROKKER is the other clear class dropper in the field and he is also moving inside from post 10 to post 5 tonight. One of these guys should win. (4) ROCKNROLL REALITY gets a good post to work with this week and could improve.

Race 11

(4) DEALT A WINNER may have been second or third in the Meadowlands Pace if he could pace a straight line in the stretch. Gelded son of Cam’s Card Shark finds a spot where he can gun to the front and sit a nice trip. (1) PIERCE HANOVER was brutalized in the Hempt and got an easy ride in the Pace elims, costing him a spot in the final. He has some ability. (5) ARTSPEAK continues to be a mystery in recent weeks. The ability is there. (7) SPLIT THE HOUSE has won six of eight lifetime starts and has talent.

Race 12

(9) DAVID’S DREAM comes off a good effort at this level a week ago and seems best of a suspect group. (3) UP UP AND OUT moves inside this time around and should be headed to the front. (2) STEADY PULSE should show some speed and could very well be live for a high percentage barn.

Race 13

(5) CROCADILE CANYON has been racing well for some time and should be able to maintain his form for new connections. (1) SMELLTHECOLORNINE ships in sharp and has early speed in a field lacking an abundance of that quality. (3) BREAK DANCER had no shot of closing into a slow pace last Friday. (4) TIREMAN is coming off a win.