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Week 17 Preview: Portland Steel at Tampa Bay Storm
July 23 2016 5:00 PM ET.


TAMPA BAY – The Tampa Bay Storm (1-13, 0-7) hosts the Portland Steel (2-12, 0-7) this Saturday, July 23. Fans will be able to catch all of the action as Darek Sharp and Ian Beckles make the call for 1250 AM WHNZ. The game can also be streamed on the Lightning Power Play through the iHeartRadio app. The game will be broadcast on CBS Sports Network. Kickoff is set for 5:00 p.m. ET.

This is the fourth meeting between Tampa Bay and the Portland franchise, and second meeting in Tampa. Portland leads the overall series 2-1, with the Steel taking the first meeting of 2016 by a score of 68-35. Portland has outscored the Storm by a total of 46 points over the course of the three game series.

This week’s matchup will be pivotal for the Storm. The team showed signs of life versus the Philadelphia Soul this past weekend, limiting a team that averages 61.1 points per game to 56. While 5.1 points may not seem like a lot, it’s the way the Storm approached the game defensively that made the difference. The team forced Philadelphia into several turnovers, including a forced fumble and an interception.

Poised to keep the momentum going, the team will set its sights on the Steel. This will be easier said than done as the Storm will be playing its third game in 13 days, a tough go for any team.

The Storm looked good offensively this past weekend. Quarterback Adam Kennedy stepped in under center when starting quarterback Jason Boltus went down with injury. Kennedy completed 17-of-26 passes for 241 yards and five touchdowns. His top target was none other than 13-year veteran, and All-Arena candidate, T.T. Toliver. Toliver led all receivers with 12 catches for 152 yards and three touchdowns. The future AFL Hall of Famer leads the team with 105 catches for 1,456 yards and 21 touchdowns.

Defensively, the Storm will look to get back on track and limit the mistakes that have plagued them over the past few weeks. One could see the defense starting to come together with Cortez Stubbs leading the way in the backfield. Last week also saw Plant H.S. product James Harrell reel in his third interception of the season. He is tied with Stubbs for the team lead and currently has 16 career interceptions placing him in fourth place all-time in Storm franchise history.

Portland enters the game after earning its second win of the season over the Jacksonville Sharks. The Steel defense put forth a tremendous defensive effort, stopping the Sharks’ high-powered offense several times, including a key goal line stand to seal the win. The Storm will need to play perfectly on offense in order to score on what has become one of the top defenses in the League.

While the team only has one win, the Storm could be turning the corner at the perfect time. With a win over the Arizona Rattlers, and a near win over the Soul, Tampa Bay has shown it can play with the best teams in the League. With a “Jekyll and Hyde” personality, it’s just a matter of which team will show up on Saturday night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 17 Preview: Los Angeles Kiss at Jacksonville Sharks
July 23 2016 7:00 PM ET.

SHARKS RETURN HOME FOR REVENGE AGAINST KISS

JACKSONVILLE - The Jacksonville Sharks will return home for the final two games of the regular season, beginning with a matchup against against the Los Angeles KISS on Saturday, July 23. The game is set for 7:00 p.m. at Sea Best Field.

Saturday’s game will be the second and final contest between Jacksonville (5-9) and Los Angeles (7-7) in the regular season. Jacksonville last saw the KISS back in Week 1, where a series of mistakes turned what was a tie game at halftime into a 64-39 loss at Anaheim’s Honda Center. In addition to trying to even the season series, the Sharks take the field looking to snap a four-game losing streak.

While the Sharks missed an opportunity to remain in contention to host a first-round playoff game, the team has a chance to build momentum heading into the postseason. The Sharks have also ventured into uncharted waters with the release of Les Moss, the only head coach the team had ever known since Jacksonville’s inaugural 2010 season.

In each of the last two weeks, the Sharks have come up two points short, failing to send each game to overtime with a two-point conversion. Against the Portland Steel last Saturday night, the Sharks nearly erased a two-score fourth-quarter deficit after holding Portland to a field goal in the final minute and scoring on a short touchdown run by Derrick Ross with one minute left. But the Steel kept Tiger Jones out of the end zone on the ensuing two-point try, sealing the Sharks’ fate in a 55-53 defeat.

In the loss, Tommy Grady played turnover-free football, completing 25 of his 35 passes for 293 yards and four scores. But despite those efficient numbers, he was under duress for the majority of the game, as Portland’s defense sacked him twice and brought him to the ground on several other occasions. Jacksonville’s offensive line will be looking for consistent pass protection this week.

The Sharks offense scored on all but one possession in the contest against Portland. Derrick Ross and Dexter Jackson notched two rushing touchdowns apiece, while Grady was able to distribute the ball evenly between Joe Hills, Tiger Jones and Reggie Gray. Each of those receivers snagged at least seven passes and totaled 70 or more yards.

One key for the Sharks this week is the ability to generate stops on defense. Jacksonville left Portland with no sacks or turnovers and allowed the Steel to score on every possession. Though the Sharks were able to force a fumble in the fourth quarter, Portland’s Jared Perry fell on the ball in the end zone for a Steel touchdown. Against a Los Angeles team that has served up 18 interceptions this season, the Sharks will be on the lookout for a game- changing play.

KISS quarter Nathan Stanley is set to lead his team into Jacksonville after firing eight passing touchdowns and running for another score last week. While Stanley missed time with a mid-season injury after going down in Week 8, he has lead the KISS to a win in each of his starts since returning to action. Stanley is the team’s second-leading rusher as well, so the Sharks will look to break their three-week streak without a sack while also neutralizing Stanley’s scrambling ability by forcing him to stand in the pocket under pressure.

On the other side, Los Angeles leads the league in scoring defense (46.7 points per game). The KISS’ defensive performance is the result of an impressive team effort, as no player has more than five interceptions or 3.5 sacks to this point in the year. The Sharks will see a few familiar faces on the other side, as Terrance Smith (19.0 tackles, one interception) and Derrick Summers (3.5 sacks) return to their former home turf.

The Sharks must put it all together for 60 minutes this week to get back in the win column and get a rhythm going. Saturday’s kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
By David Schwab

Last week’s schedule in the CFL featured four head-to-head division matchups and the road team made it a clean sweep both straight-up and against the spread. Ottawa got things started with a 30-20 victory as a one-point road favorite against Toronto on Wednesday night. Thursday’s lone showdown between Edmonton and Winnipeg ended with the Eskimos grinding out a hard fought 20-16 victory as 3 ½-point favorites on the road.

On Friday night, Hamilton returned to form with a 31-7 pasting of Montreal as a one-point road favorite and British Columbia closed out Week 4 with a 40-27 romp over Saskatchewan on Saturday after closing as a slight 1 ½-point underdog. Here is a look at this week’s games.

Saturday, July 23

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (2-1 SU, 0-2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4
Total: 56

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats will be looking to stay perfect on the road this season both SU and ATS. In two road wins this season, they have outscored both Toronto and Montreal by a combined 46 points while posting a total of 73 points on the scoreboard. In two stunning losses at home as favorites, they managed to score a combined 27 points. Jeremiah Masoli continues to run the offense with quarterback Zach Collaros still on the mend and he is ranked fourth in the league in total passing yards with 1,141.

Edmonton has had little trouble putting points on the board this season with Mike Reilly under center with an average of 32 points over its first three games. The problem in the Eskimos’ 2-1 start has been a defense that has given up an average of 32.3 points to its opponents. Edmonton has failed to cover ATS in five of their last seven home games and it has gone 1-4 ATS in its last five games in Week 5.

Betting Trends

The road team is 4-2 SU in the last six meetings and it has covered ATS in all six games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of those six matchups.

Monday, July 25

Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -3 ½
Total: 47

Game Overview

Alouettes have only managed to score a grand total of 42 points in their first three games. They turned to Rakeem Cato at quarterback in last week’s loss to Hamilton for Kevin Glenn, but he was rather ineffective with just 203 yards passing on 18 completions. Glenn is still listed as questionable for next Monday’s game with an eye injury. Montreal has been averaging 80 yards a game on the ground.

Toronto is now 0-2 (SU and ATS) at its new digs at BMO Field with a total of 20 points scored in each of the two losses. Defensively, the Argonauts allowed a total of 72 points in those two games. Overall, this offense is averaging 23.8 points over its first four games, but it is only generating 309.8 total yards including just 52.5 yards a game on the ground. Ricky Ray has thrown for 1000 yards and six touchdowns so far.

Betting Trends

This East Division clash has been dominated by the road team the past several seasons with a SU 9-1 run in the last 10 meetings. Montreal has covered ATS in four of the last six games and the total has stayed UNDER in all six contests.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

A trio of CFL betting trends having been cashing at a crazy good rate
By ANDREW CALEY

We know the Canadian Football League isn't the best football out there, but what is better than cashing bets?

That's exactly what you would be doing if you have been following the hot CFL trends four weeks in the season up north. Specifically, road underdogs, road teams and the Under.

Heading into Week 5 all three have been cashing at an insanely good rate, with road pups leading the way, going 10-1 against the spread (8-2-1 straight up), good for a success rate of an unfathomable 90.9 percent.

Meanwhile, road teams are almost as good going 14-2 ATS (12-3-1 SU), cashing 87.5 percent of the time, and Unders are no slouch either, racking up a 10-5 (66.7 percent) record through four weeks,.

“Dogs are barking, that's for sure. Maybe Ottawa is the best team in the league but are not being respected as such,” renowned CFL oddsmaker Randall “The Handle” says of this underdog betting trend. “They are 11-3-1 SU over past 15 games yet they have been favored only three times in that span and never by more than three points.”

The changes in Week 5 as the RedBlacks visit the Saskatchewan Roughriders currently pegged as 5.5-point road favorites. The Riders are 0-2 ATS/SU at home this season.

“With all other teams, there appears to be parity. And now the injury bug is biting which only complicates things even more,” The Handle said.

The rest of the week is shaping up that way, but road teams seem to be in a decent spot once again.

Calgary (2-1 ATS/SU) listed as 5-point road chalk at Winnipeg (0-2 ATS/SU at home), Hamilton (2-0 ATS/SU on the road) is 4.5-point pups at Edmonton (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS at home) and Montreal (1-0 ATS/SU on the road) sitting at +6 for their Monday night matchup with Toronto (0-2 ATS/SU at home).

Oddsmakers like Randall “The Handle” won’t be making any knee-jerk reactions to these trends, despite how hot they are.

“We'll keep an eye on things but trends do not typically influence pointspreads,” he said. “Things usually even out over time but in a league that has only 81 games on its full schedule, there are no guarantees that there will be balance off a relatively small sample.”

“As for totals, they will be close to 50/50 by year end as they are more reliable.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's CFL betting preview and odds: Tiger-Cats at Eskimos

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Edmonton Eskimos (-5, 55)

The Edmonton Eskimos look to move into first place in the West Division when they host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats on Saturday. The Eskimos have won back-to-back games, including a 20-16 road victory over the Winnipeg in Week 4, and can join the idle BC Lions at the top of the division standings by avenging a 49-20 loss to the Tiger-Cats at Commonwealth Stadium last season.

Edmonton is 6-1 at home since the loss to Hamilton on Aug. 21, 2015 and hopes to notch its seventh win in its last 10 games against East Division opponents. The Tiger-Cats notched an impressive 31-7 win against the Montreal Alouettes to pull within three points of the East Division-leading Ottawa Redblacks. Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli struggled to get the offence moving but will get the starting nod once more as Zach Collaros, who returned to practice last week after tearing his ACL against Edmonton on Sept. 19, 2015, is "extremely unlikely" to play, according to Hamilton head coach Kent Austin. The Tiger-Cats boast the CFL's best passing defence and hope to put the clamps on Edmonton quarterback Mike Reilly, who has thrown for over 300 yards in each of his last six regular-season games.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Eskimos opened as 4-point home favorites and bettors quickly pushed that number to -4.5, where it remained for most of the week. The line moved even further in Edmonton's favor recently moving to Eskimos -5.

Meannwhile the total has dropped a point and a half since opening. The number opened at 56.5 and almot immediately moved to 56, then to 55.5 and finally to 55, where the number hasn't moved for a few days.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (2-2, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Brandon Banks returned a a punt 86 yards for his ninth career kick-return touchdown against the Alouettes to move into fifth place on the league's all-time list. Defensive end Adrian Tracy was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after recording a career-high 11 tackles, two sacks and two forced fumbles in the win over Montreal. "I was joking with the guys that I have to step up to the plate," Tracy told reporters. "Any time you have a game like that it gets the monkey off your back."

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-1, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U): Reilly continues to pick apart opposing defences as he passed for 465 yards and two touchdowns in the win against the Blue Bombers. Offensive lineman Matt O'Donnell (leg), linebacker J.C. Sherritt (undisclosed) and defensive back Pat Watkins (undisclosed) suffered injuries against Winnipeg and sat out practice on Tuesday, but they are expected to suit up against Hamilton. "They are on the mend right now and will be fine for this week," Edmonton head coach Jason Maas told reporters. "Everyone is a little beat up this time of year."

TRENDS:

* Tiger-Cats are 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a winning record.
* Eskimos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at home.
* Over is 4-1 in Tiger-Cats last five road games.
* Over is 6-1 in Eskimos last seven home games.
* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Edmonton.

CONSENSUS: The public is taking the home team and the points in this matchup with 62 percent of wagers on the Eskimos. As for the total, bettors are on the under with 55 percent of wagers on it.

EXTRA POINTS:

* The Eskimos have split the last six meetings with the Tiger-Cats.
* Hamilton has turned the ball over a league-worst 11 times.
* Reilly has thrown for over 400 yards three times in his career.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Week 5 CFL games

Hamilton (2-2) @ Edmonton (2-1)-- TiCats/Eskimos split their last eight series games, going 2-2 in each stadium. Three of last four series games stayed under. Road team won all four Hamilton games, with TiCats winning 42-20/31-7 in their two road games- only one of their four games was decided by less than 22 points. Two of Edmonton's three games (both home games) went to OT; Eskimos split those two games, then won road opener 20-16 at Winnipeg last week.

Montreal (1-2) @ Toronto (2-2)-- Road team won 10 of last 11 games in strange series; Alouettes won last seven games in Toronto, with last loss here in 2010. Underdogs are 7-3 SU in last seven series tilts. Under is 12-2 in last 14 series games. Montreal lost 28-13/31-7 at home last two weeks; they won only road game 22-14 at Winnipeg-- all three of their games stayed under total. Argonauts lost 42-20/30-20 in their two home games. Visitor won all four of their games this year. Home teams are 2-13-1 against spread in CFL this year-- how long can this trend continue?


Hamilton TigerCats
Edmonton Eskimos 5, 55

Montreal Alouettes
Toronto Argonauts 6, 44.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

Opening day at Saratoga is in the books, and I was getting fidgety after my top picks went 0 for 3 to start the day, but things settled down and my top pick won four of the last seven races on the card, the winners paying $2.70, $7.70, $10.80 and $6.40.

The second day of the meeting features the $500,000 Diana, the first Grade 1 race of the 40-day meeting, drawing a competitive field of 10 including four that will be saddled by trainer Chad Brown.

There is some good action on tap at Del Mar on Saturday as well, and California Chrome returns as the 4-5 morning line favorite in the $200,000 San Diego Handicap (G2).

The 2014 Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes winner will be making his first start since winning the Dubai World Cup (G1) on March 26.

The race drew seven but Hard Aces and Soi Phet will scratch, reducing the field to five, not much of a betting race.

However, California Chrome will have to take on Dortmund, the Bob Baffert trainee who will be making his first start since last November where he won the Native Diver (G3) over the Del Mar main track, his eighth win in 10 career starts.

Both are using the race as a prep for the Pacific Classic (G1) next month at Del Mar.

As you can see below I am giving Dortmund the slight edge as he figures to get the jump on the Derby champ, and will likely offer a bit more betting value.

We have racing at Saratoga six days a week, with Tuesday our only off day.


Here is today’s opener from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 1 Clm $25,000N2L (1:00 ET)
#7 Afleet Martini 7-2
#3 Money Changer 5-2
#1 Zamjara 8-5
#6 Roman Revival 5-1

Analysis: Afleet Martini was bumped coming out of the gate, pressed the early pace, took over the lead and held on to break his maiden for a $40,000 tag last out in his fifth career start. Two back for a $16,000 tag he ran a good second behind Brolic, who came back to beat $16,000 non-winners of two and $25,000 non-winners of three in his next two starts. This is not a real tough spot for his first go against winners.

Money Changer acted up and broke through the gate prep race, tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out against $55,000 starter allowance foes last out. He comes back here with blinkers added for his third start off the bench and dropping into a softer spot here tagged for $25,000 and facing non-winners of two. He ran well her least summer in a tough nose loss against $50,000 non-winners of two. He is a logical threat here while the morning line favorite Zamjora could not take full advantage of a speed friendly racing strip last out in a third place finish.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 1,3,6,7
TRI: 3,7 / 1,3,6,7 / 1,3,5,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 10 The Diana G1 (6:18 ET)
#4 Wekeela 7-2
#2 Miss Temple City 3-1
#1 Sandiva 12-1
#6 Dacita 5-1

Analysis: Wekeela is one of four in here sent out by the Chad Brown barn. The filly has made two starts since landing in the U.S., a runner up in the Jenny Wiley (G1) behind champion Tepin off a six-month layoff and then a good second as the beaten chalk in the Gamely (G1) last out when shipped to Santa Anita. The filly was Group 1 placed overseas and looks primed for a top effort here in her third start off the bench. Castellano sticks and the filly is getting six pounds from our second choice.

Miss Temple City won the Makers 46 Mile (G1) against the boys two back at Keeneland and then shipped to Royal Ascot here she was fourth in the Duke of Cambridge Stakes (G2) over soft ground and having to tote 131 pounds. Her last trip at nine furlongs came in the QEII Cup (G1) at Keeneland last fall and she was beaten a tough head. She reunites with Van Dyke and she will be real tough if she back to her effort two back.

Sandiva made a mild late bid to finish third last out in the Honey Fox (G2 at Gulfstream Park going a mile over good ground. The winner Celestine returned to win the Just a Game (G1) in her next start on June 11. The extra ground here should suit as she returns off a break for the Pletcher barn that is 21% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. Her best puts her in the mix and her 12-1 morning line looks fair enough.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 1,2,4,6
TRI: 2,4 / 1,2,4,6 / 1,2,4,5,6

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Del Mar:

DMR Race 9 The San Diego Handicap G2 (6:10 PT)
#2 Dortmund 2-1
#6 California Chrome 4-5
#7 Win the Space 8-1
#5 Follow Me Crew 20-1

Analysis: Dortmund may have the tactical edge here with the scratches of hard Aces and Soi Phet. The Baffert trainee is 8 for 10 in his career and makes his first start since winning the native Diver (G3) in his first start over the main track here last November. he has put in a couple of sharp works for his return for a barn that is 25% winners first off the claim. He owns solid early and mid pace numbers and is going to get the jump over California Chrome.

California Chrome makes his first start since a very impressive score in the Dubai World Cup. His last work drew rave reviews, five furlongs over the main track here in 59 1/5 breezing. Sherman is 15% winners (with a +ROI) with runners coming back off a 61-180-day layoff. This race is serving as a prep for the Pacific Classic (G1) for both of these guys, and while it is tough to find any knocks on this five-year-old his price is going to be puny in this spot.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 2 / 6,7
TRI: no play

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R2: #6 One of a Kind 8-1
R4: #5 Black Doblin 20-1
R4: #9 Greyjoy 8-1
R5: #6 Tapit Wicked 10-1
R6: #2 Pretty Boy Flash 8-1
R7: #5 Hothersal 15-1
R8: #5 Gio’s Calling 8-1
R10: #1 Sandiva 12-1
R11: #11 Amen Kitten 12-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 7:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 92 - Purse:$18000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000 - $30,000 POST POSITIONS BY PRICE MOHEGAN SUN POCONO DRIVER`S CHOICES: SIMON ALLARD #1 OVER #6 GEORGE NAPOLITANO #3 OVER #8


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 PANPERO FIRPO 6/1



# 9 HIGHVIEW CONALL N 3/1



# 4 KISS OF TERROR 15/1



Feel pretty confident putting some green stuff down on PANPERO FIRPO. This horse getting the trip to the winner's circle wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Can't forget this standardbred, especially in exotics. Pace figures put him in the mix this time. This standardbred could get the win here beginning from the Pocono Downs 2 hole. HIGHVIEW CONALL N - Had one of the strongest speed ratings of the field in his last race. Must use in your plays. This trainer, and the driver Berry, go together like gin and tonic. Their results together are outstanding. KISS OF TERROR - Could surprise us at a favorable price. Don't leave out.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 7:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$15000 - NEW YORK SIRE STAKES - 3-YEAR-OLD COLTS & GELDINGS - EXCELSIOR SERIES - DIVISION A DECLARATION FEE $310 SARATOGA HERES THE SCOOP - FIRST TIME LASIX


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 ENDEAVOR 3/1



# 1 HERE'S THE SCOOP 2/1



# 2 FRESH CUT 5/1



ENDEAVOR looks very nice to best this group. Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 81 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. HERE'S THE SCOOP - The 1 hole is on fire here at Saratoga Harness. More wins than is normal. This contender may wake up with a medication change (with first time Lasix) today. FRESH CUT - Harness players love to play the driver of this colt - tremendous win stat recently. Can't miss this nice horse, especially in exotics. Pace ratings put him in the mix for this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 59

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 BUMPTYBUMPBUMP 9/5


# 1 NAME IT AFTER ME 8/5


# 2 ICE ATTACK 5/1


I think BUMPTYBUMPBUMP is a very strong choice. Is a very strong contender based on figures recorded lately under today's conditions. Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Nance have shown strong results as of late. NAME IT AFTER ME - Could wake up with Lasix change (on Lasix) today. Will almost certainly compete admirably in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group. ICE ATTACK - Earning some nice paychecks in dirt sprint races. Has a solid shot for this event if you like back class.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Northlands Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 3.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 51

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 SWANKY LASS 8/5


# 4 BEARDINI 7/2


# 2 JOHN'S QUEST 8/1


SWANKY LASS looks to be a very good contender. Decent gains have been scored by gamblers following this sire's offspring in their first attempts. With Walcott controlling the reins on her, this filly should be able to break out sharply in this competition. Has to be carefully examined given one of the top sires around. JOHN'S QUEST - Has been running quite well lately and will almost certainly be up on the front end early on. Kingston has shown excellent profits (+58 ROI ) at this distance/surface.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 KANDI WITH A K (ML=3/1)
#7 FOOLED BY MAGIC (ML=2/1)
#4 ITS UP IN THE AIR (ML=4/1)


KANDI WITH A K - This mare usually does her best running late. Look for her far back early in the race and finishing well on the tiring speed horses. This mare is in exceptional condition right now. Ran second last out and comes back quickly. You have to really like that last race fig, 72, which is the best most recent race speed rating of this field. FOOLED BY MAGIC - When this jockey and trainer work together you have to take a look. Pennington and Brown have been fantastic together. This horse is number one in earnings per start. She looks solid in today's event. ITS UP IN THE AIR - Good win pct this rider and handler duo have been putting together. This racer ran outside the top 3 at Parx Racing last time out on the mud. She should improve right here on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MAKE MO MONEY (ML=5/1), #6 BARBACUTIE (ML=8/1), #1A KISSES FOR ROMEO (ML=8/1),

MAKE MO MONEY - Last performed on July 5th at Parx Racing, finishing fourth. Not likely to perk up off of that performance in today's race. Don't feel this horse will do much running in today's event. That last speed rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class figure. BARBACUTIE - Didn't do much last time out. Probably won't make an impact in today's event. You believe this horse is going to win just because she's always close. Just doesn't win regularly. Should be difficult for this racer to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the possibly overvalued equines list. KISSES FOR ROMEO - Difficult to invest in any mount to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the chance. You figure that this equine is going to be victorious just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first often. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this animal as a possibly overvalued contestant.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #2 KANDI WITH A K to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Del Mar - Race #5 - Post: 4:03pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $68,000 Class Rating: 112

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 PERFECTLY MAJESTIC (ML=8/1)
#7 BATTI MAN (ARG) (ML=10/1)
#11 SKELTON PASS (ML=10/1)


PERFECTLY MAJESTIC - This gelding is almost always in the money. BATTI MAN (ARG) - This pony coming off a solid effort in the last month is a serious competitor in my book. Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this one has the highest speed figure for the dist-surf. The recent speed rating of 112 is the top last race speed rating in the bunch. SKELTON PASS - This fine animal should be thundering down the homestretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 CALCULATOR (ML=3/1), #4 ITSINTHEPOST (FR) (ML=4/1), #1 METABOSS (ML=5/1),

CALCULATOR - Equibase speed figures tell a story of dropping condition. ITSINTHEPOST (FR) - You always figure that this horse has a shot to win, but he fails frequently. METABOSS - Didn't come through as the favorite back to back. Probably won't gain a win today either. I'm always uncertain about a vulnerable equine that has added front wraps in the last contest.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #8 PERFECTLY MAJESTIC to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
8 with [7,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[7,8,11] with [7,8,11] with [2,3,7,8,11] with [2,3,7,8,11] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #3 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 2:02 PM EASTERN POST


The Sanford Stakes

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#5 BITUMEN
#2 RANDOM WALK
#1 ZARTERA
#4 BRONSON

The only loss in the great Man o' War's career occurred in the 1919 Sanford, when he was defeated by a horse named Upset. Off to a bad start, Man o' War made up all but half a length. In later years, Willie Knapp, the rider of the winner, said, "I've always been kind of sorry I beat him. He was too much of a horse for that." The race is named for the Sanford family. In Saratoga's early days, the Sanford horses, many of whom were named after members of the Mohawk tribe, were often walked to the racetrack from the family's Hurricana Farm in Amsterdam. Prior to 1927 the race was run as the Sanford Memorial Stakes. Here in the 102nd running of this graded stakes test, #5 BITUMEN is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field, has nice early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking." He's out of the Mineshaft lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 44% of more than 6,000 combined lifetime starts. The morning line favorite is #2 RANDOM WALK who also comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" in his respective "first asking." Jockey Jose Ortiz was in his irons for that win, 49 days ago at Belmont Park, and Ortiz is back this afternoon here at "The Spa" for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Saturday 7/23 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 6,7/1,4,5/3,8,9/6,7,8/1,2 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 6,7,8/1,2/5,7,8/5,6,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 8/5,6/3,4,6,7/1,4,7 = $24

MEET STATS: 228 - 668 / $1197.00 BEST BETS: 38 - 62 / $120.70

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 61 / $76.60

Best Bet: BETTING LJNE (8th)

Spot Play: WAR N MUNN (6th)


Race 1

(6) ALL B OVER is worth a try here off the claim in a suspect field. He should get an aggressive steer. (7) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE faced much better at Georgian on Tuesday night when unplaced and he rates highly here if he goes. (1) GIRL DRAMA has a much better chance in here than last time when Warawee Proton ripped off a quick mile for the class. (3) BLUSH AND CRUSH will share here if she stays flat, but notice the breaks in two of her last three starts,

Race 2

(1) AMERICAN VIRGIN roared home to beat easier last week and he could be up to this step into the top class. He should get a decent pace to chase here and he should be a square price. (5) NICKLE BAG continues to race tough but rarely gets an easy trip. He's is hard to leave out but could get out-tripped here again. (4) STATE TREASURER faces easier looking for his first win of the season and can't be discounted, but, what price would you take? (6) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN also faces easier and should stick around for a share here.

Race 3

(8) ROYAL CHARM stayed in during a critical point of the race last week then was required to fly home late and still just missed in a great effort. She can win this but it's hard to gauge intent at this point of the stakes season. (9) MANOFMANYIMAGES also is in great form, but is in the same boat as the choice from the intent standpoint. I think you need to go deeper than these two on Pick 5 tickets, especially considering their posts. (3) MASS BALANCE faces easier here and is another to toss onto multi-race bets. (4) THE LAND SHARK is a speed threat but he was easily handled by Manofmanyimages last time out.

Race 4

(7) BRING ME DIAMONDS tried it first up and failed vs. last year's two-year-old champ last time. She has a much better chance here. (8) SHOW TIME HILL faced some good ones in several races down south and she should find this company to her liking. (6) MANIANA has hit her best stride in her last two starts and she should get a good trip on or near the lead here; using. (4) HAWAIIAN DRUMMOND ships in off a sharp win and goes for Moreau here. She faces much tougher but can take a share.

Race 5

(1) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP stands a decent chance of making the front early and controlling things here with the drop in class. (2) DUC DORLEANS is another that should get a far more aggressive steer here with the class drop; using. (4) MOONWRITER has consistently been hitting the board in the past month and he should do the same here off a following trip. (7) THUNDER STEELER figures vs. these but he may not get the easiest trip from out there.

Race 6

(7) WAR N MUNN was first up last time vs. some salty older rivals which should serve as a perfect tightener for this sires stakes and he should be a square price here. (5) NVESTMENT BLUE CHIP and (8) VORACITY both escape Magnum J here and should be used in the Pick 4. They rate highly in this field. (2) GERRIES SPORT finished ahead of the choice last time off an easier trip. He isn't impossible here but I think he finishes on the edges.

Race 7

(5) MAPLELEA is in sharp form and draws the middle of the gate here which should make a huge difference for her; top call. (6) LIGHTS GO OUT will appreciate the class drop here and she should get put into play earlier here. (7) MARLEE B is another to consider on the class drop. She should be blasting off the gate here. (9) A PLUS can close from far back for a smaller share here.

Race 8

(8) BETTING LINE is tough to go against in this company but he is sure to be a prohibitive favorite again. (7) SINTRA gave the choice a decent battle on July 2nd and he is likely to complete another chalky exacta here. (6) MAGNUM J unleashed a furious wide rally to get up last week and looks next best here. (3) ARSENIC should get a decent trip near the front and hang around late for a slice.

Race 9

(5) POISONOUS steps up off a lifetime-best score but he could be up to beating these if provided with a similarly aggressive drive here. (6) CONTINUAL HANOVER left then took a shuffle last time in a race where many were bunched up at the wire. He figures here vs. mostly easier. (3) RAFA also faces easier here and should be prominent early. (8) ASAP HANOVER is a good one to toss on the bottom of tris and supers despite him having missed some time.

Race 10

(4) JENKINS CREEK was out a long way last week before he made the front and he paid the price late in the mile. He should trip better here and is a big threat. (3) VEGAS ROCKS has come to life the past few weeks and Zeron could get him out much closer to the pace this time; using. (7) VELOCITY DRIVEN's late kick could play much better in this field; using. (6) DRACHAN HANOVER steps up off his first win of the year and the 2nd-place finisher came back to win here on Tuesday. He could better this placing.

Race 11

(1) DREAMFAIR MESA would be very tough to beat here if he reproduced his effort from two races back. It's not easy to predict, so I'll give him a slight nod over (4) PIRANHA, who should get a much better trip this time. (7) DERECHO was beaten by a pretty good one last time and he should be prominent on or near the front here. (3) BLAYDE HANOVER should be closing late for a good piece of this. (5) BROOKDALE SONNY can leave, take a tuck then stick around for a share.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Saturday 7/23 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 97 - 262 / $541.90 (+$17.90) BEST BETS: 14 - 22 / $36.40 (-7.60)

Best Bet: ART HISTORY (7th)

Spot Play: JANN AND DEAN (5th)


Race 1

(8) BUCKETLIST HANOVER found his best stride in start number four this year. It is certainly possible that this Hambletonian eligible is ready to perk up as he approaches the Big Dance. (4) CATCH ALL kept his act together with hobbles added and is certainly eligible to improve. (2) TECH TITAN might be winless in 14 career starts, but he has shown races that are good enough to win this event. (3) PRINCE DE VIE finally makes it to the races in July of his 3-year-old season. He has a long way to go in order to live up to his $400,000 yearling price tag.

Race 2

(3) DIAL OR NODIAL drops to the basement condition tonight. His last effort was improved and I have to think his class will take over against this group. (9) WINDSONG GORGEOUS hasn’t raced since December, but his qualifiers were decent and he has a history of good performances here. (7) FIRSTCLASSALLTHWAY makes just his second start in three months; more now?

Race 3

(5) CELEBRITY EXPRESS never got into the race last week as the fractions were fast early and he dug himself a deep hole. That said, he was able to stay trotting the entire mile with hobbles added and could take a step forward off that flat line. (7) ALDEBARAN EAGLE is a 4-year-old facing younger foes. He has high speed in his arsenal if ready to fire off the long layoff. (6) SOUTHERN CROSS comes off a sharp win.

Race 4

(3) MANATTACK has some good-looking lines under his belt up at Vernon and Callahan chose here over some other good options. (1) ODDS ON DELRAY scored at first asking for top trainer Tony Alagna; one to beat. (6) HYPOTHETICAL finished up his last qualifier full of pace while in hand, but Zeron elected for #1 instead; mixed feelings.

Race 5

(4) JANN AND DEAN sprinted home behind a fast one in American Passport in a qualifier last weekend. He also posted a win here a few weeks back in 1:51 2/5. (3) SPICEBOMB comes off a win but isn’t overly reliable. (8) BRUCE’S MAGIC gained some confidence at Pocono and tries his luck at The Big M again.

Race 6

(3) CLEAR VISION made a late return to the races this year but seems to be finding his form in recent starts. Don’t be surprised if he guts out a win. (6) DEALT A WINNER lost all chance in the Haughton with an early miscue. I’m not willing to give up on him just yet. (7) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND should bring a decent effort despite the class rise.

Race 7

(3) ART HISTORY battled on the lead and could not sustain a rather quick pace last time. He drops down this week and has no excuses. (2) BETTOR ROCK ON N comes off a decent effort and gets post relief tonight. (6) EL BLOOMBITO attacked the top one on the rim last time and understandably weakened. He has a shot here with a better trip.

Race 8

(2) LINDYTHEFOURTEENTH only won his most recent baby race by a neck but looked good doing it. He has a decided post edge on some of the other contenders in here and deserves the narrow call. (7) MACHIAVELLI got caught in a fast mile at Pocono most recently. This race should be slower. (9) VERY SPECIAL AGENT rallied nicely in his debut at Saratoga and seems to have ability.

Race 9

(2) INTHEBLINKOFANEYE has displayed hints of turning the corner as he drops in class. Tonight he reaches the NW5500 level and should feel right at home. (4) GRATIAS DEO is another getting a class break. This guy doesn’t need his trip to win. (1) YACHT KING moves into a good barn and is certainly eligible to wake up.

Race 10

(3) MOONLIGHT RANSOM went some fast fractions on the lead last time and paid the price. This field came up very soft and he should dominate. (1) VICE CONSUL N could be a factor if he minds his manners, but honestly, it is hard to love any of these horses, even the top pick. (5) MONTANA PABLO A comes off a decent mile and picks up a driver with confidence to spare.

Race 11

(8) SHE’S WATCHING was spectacular winning her career debut while basically in hand late. Sister to He’s Watching looks like a good one. (2) TORI HANOVER is a half-sister to millionaires American Jewel and Luck Be Withyou. Like her stablemate above, she appears to have ability. (9) MISS JONES put in a good effort versus the top pick last out.

Race 12

(7) AMPED UP was awful in the slop last time and really hasn’t done much since the claim. Maybe a dry track and the switch to Gingras will help. (4) UNIX HANOVER arrives for a solid trainer while facing an abysmal field. (2) CLARK KENT moves into a new barn and could awaken.

Race 13

(6) NORTHERN PRIZE displayed a hint of life last week despite finishing last a week ago. Now in his fourth start of the year and with the slightly better post, I can see him ready to fire at a price. (8) DABUNKA has won two straight and should keep his form for the new barn. (4) STORMIN RUSTLER puts in a steady effort each week and should get a piece. (1) BO’S SO HOT has early speed and an inside post to use it.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Saturday 7/23 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF

MEET STATS: 244 - 713 / $1294.20 BEST BETS: 35 - 60 / $121.30

Best Bet: SANTA FE BEACHBOY (10th)

Spot Play: KEYSTONE VELOCITY (8th)


Race 1

(1) FREESPIN N was boxed on the rail and never really had clearance last out facing better; from this spot Holland should be able to work out a perfect trip with the Bamond trainee. (6) THE ROCK was rock-solid with that uncovered win last out and he's been great since moving to the Harris barn. (2) REMEMBER ME VK was aggressively handled upon arrival from Delaware and gave way after setting a hot pace. He needs to show more late.

Race 2

(1) E Z NOAH closed with plenty in his last local effort and he's capable of dominating these, assuming he minds his manners. (6) NASSAU COUNTY drops out of claimers, where he had been pacing steadily. (7) SOHO JACKMAN A couldn't reach last out but his three prior efforts versus lesser were super; consider at a price.

Race 3

(5) SAFE HARBOR is up in class off a sharp front-end score and the veteran has been better this season since switching to the Ruiz barn; his early speed can make him a player in this tough-to-figure event. (3) CHEVALS CLIVESDALE is one of two Down-Under shippers in here and this one closed nicely in his qualifier. (7) NATIONAL DEBT has been better recently but must overcome the outside post. (1) TWIN B SPEEDO drops and draws best; logical.

Race 4

(6) GHOST PINE was out early flushing live cover last week and ended up with a good trip to be second best; Holland opts off tonight but Sears hops on and he may be the best price of the contenders. (3) HILLBILLY HANOVER has been racing very well recently without a victory to show for it. (4) CITY HALL is a very live threat with a good trip.

Race 5

(1) MAXI BON has faltered on the front end in two of his last three, but that was against better. Allard trainee can get well against this group. (4) PANSFORMATIVE had no excuse last week but if you stick with him the price will be better tonight. (6) FIRST CLASS HORSE had a tough trip when last seen locally but he has been good out of town.

Race 6

Ake Svanstedt trotter (7) RESOLVE is clearly best here despite the missed time and outside post assignment, and there are some legit contenders in here. Milllionaire still deserves top billing. (6) SHAKE IT CERRY ended up in a good spot last week and kicked home nicely. Takter trainee looks like she's regaining her form. (5) UNDERCOVER STRIKE faltered last out at Pocono but practically all of his local starts have been awesome.

Race 7

(8) TAKE IT BACK TERRY it stuck with the worst draw but it's really tough to pass on him at this level. I can't imagine Brennan sitting last with the classy Burke trainee. (1) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A closed well last week, now moves all the way inside. (5) ROGER MACH EM makes his second start off the Banca claim and really had no chance coming uncovered into last week's rated pace.

Race 8

(3) KEYSTONE VELOCITY isn't the soundest horse out there as evidenced by his 7 starts over the past two years but when right he's really fast and he looked good winning last out with Lasix added. (5) DREAM OUT LOUD N is a fringe player at this Open level but he seems capable of landing a share from this spot. (6) SAPPHIRE CITY is in stellar form and cannot be ignored.

Race 9

(4) LETTUCEROCKTHEM A gets Sears back in the bike tonight and just missed versus better two back. (6) BLOOD BROTHER was aggressively handled last week and came up just shy; threat. (1) MCINTOSH N is usually ignored at the windows and he keeps outracing his odds for Vallee.

Race 10

(1) SANTA FE BEACHBOY tried to take a good Open field down the road last week and faltered late, still pacing in 1:50 4/5. Sears drives tonight and they should prove tough to catch. (5) LIMELIGHT BEACH has been overmatched recently versus stakes foes; Burke trainee is back where he belongs. (4) NATIONAL SEELSTER is a speedy type but he'll have to show more late.

Race 11

(1) MELADY'S MONET bounced back with a much better effort last week and this should be a perfect spot for the classy trotter to regain his confidence. (2) RED HOT HERBIE had no excuse off a perfect trip last week; Allard trainee should sit another live trip here. (6) MONROE COUNTY faces tougher but she's been much sharper in his last two.

Race 12

(2) IDEALBEACH HANOVER blew away similar two back from a comparable spot and he was Dube's choice over a Takter trainee. (1) WINDS OF CHANGE returns locally in a very good spot and will likely be the favorite. (4) COWBOY TERRIOR came from off the pace last week and closed stoutly to just miss; include.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington (1st) Rocksie Lucie, 7-2
(9th) Two Gun Jak, 8-1


Belterra Park (2nd) Runaway Speedy, 4-1
(7th) Duchess Whitney, 7-2


Canterbury (4th) Dog Soldier, 4-1
(9th) Desert Summer, 4-1


Charles Town (1st) Runnin'toluvya, 3-1
(2nd) Herecomescaddie, 4-1


Del Mar (5th) Batti Man, 10-1
(10th) Shazara, 4-1


Delaware Park (1st) Father Dennis, 6-1
(7th) My Judith Marie, 7-2


Ellis Park (2nd) Temperature Rising, 5-1
(7th) Honey Bunny, 4-1


Emerald Downs (4th) Cash N Dash, 7-2
(5th) Royal Stormer, 3-1


Evangeline Downs (4th) Cajun Maid, 3-1
(9th) Miss Jennie, 5-1


Finger Lakes (5th) Nail It, 5-1
(8th) No Downside, 5-1


Gulfstream Park (3rd) Breezy Song, 8-1
(10th) Brave Rooster, 3-1


Indiana Grand (1st) Bohemian Soul, 3-1
(3rd) Comedy Zone, 4-1


Laurel (5th) Major Anthem, 6-1
(8th) Hooligan, 9-2


Louisiana Downs (3rd) Hometown Gossip, 9-2
(7th) Purely Blessed, 7-2


Monmouth Park (3rd) Celebrity Warrior, 6-1
(10th) Flashy Zee, 7-2


Mountaineer (3rd) Alpha Warrior, 7-2
(4th) Bullcreekroad, 9-2


Parx Racing (2nd) L X Sunrise, 9-2
(10th) Atomic Orange Vet, 4-1


Penn National (2nd) Flexible Mandate, 7-2
(8th) Sister Janice, 9-2


Prairie Meadows (1st) Timeless Truth, 4-1
(7th) Sand Script, 3-1


Sacramento (6th) Siduri, 3-1
(8th) Harlington's Rose, 5-1


Saratoga (6th) Conquest Reformo, 4-1
(8th) Hockey School, 8-1


Thistledown (1st) Red All Over, 7-2
(6th) Runs With Bulls, 7-2


Woodbine (1st) Flattery, 7-2
(10th) Crumlin Queen, 8-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

July Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence

Fireworks and the MLB All-Star game go hand-in-hand during the month of July. It also denotes the start of the 2nd half of the MLB campaign. And as we’ve come to learn the key to each and every team’s fortune lies on the pitching staff.

Can they sustain or will they unravel like Jose Canseco going back on a fly ball? Stay tuned. What we do know is that certain pitchers love hurling this time of the season while others tend to get lit up like a roman candle on the 4thof July.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team-starts over the course of the last three seasons during the month of July.

On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in July, winning 33% percent or less of their team-start efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each July over the last three years.

And for your convenience alongside each record we break down each pitcher’s greatest success or greatest failure rate either home (H) or away (A) within his good or bad month.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s July list.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

*Chen, Wei-Yin - 9-4 (5-1 H)

The Miami left-hander has not been terribly effective with an ERA hovering around 5. If Chen can develop more command, he's shown again this year he's tough when in challenging situations, allowing .186 batting average and .271 on-base percentage with runners in scoring position.

Garza, Matt - 9-3 (5-1 H)

Since coming back from spring training injury on June 14th, the Milwaukee right-hander has been a mix of good and bad, but come through when it counted. Opposing hitters are batting over .300 against Garza, but he's held those runners in check and induced a heavy dose of ground balls that have led to outs. If he continues, this Brewers starter might be effective.

Greinke, Zack - 11-4 (6-2 H)

Though Arizona is falling short of preseason expectations, the Diamondbacks ace is not and, other than Clayton Kershaw, has arguably been as effective as any pitcher since the end of April with batters hitting around .200 against him. Once again his array of pitches are finding the right spots and fastball is cooking!

Kazmir, Scott - 10-5 (6-2 H)

When Kazmir misses on location for fastball, the other team's lineup begins to look for off-speed stuff, which has caused his inconsistency this season. When he's working the corners on the knees early in the count, this sets up secondary pitches. In the past he's done so in July, let's see what he comes up with this time.

*Kershaw, Clayton - 12-3 (8-0 A)

When either Kershaw loses or has a less than stellar performance, which is infrequent, it is home page news on most sports websites. With opponents batting just .185 against him, baseball's best pitcher has close to as many home runs surrendered (6) as walks (9) to start the month over 121 innings. It’s no wonder his name is whispered in the same company as Sandy Koufax.

Kluber, Corey - 13-4 (9-2 H)

Since winning the Cy Young award in 2014, Kluber has not been able to match that magical season, but is part of a very good Cleveland rotation. Looking ahead, if the Indians righty can do a better job than permitting .281 batting averages with runners in scoring position, all his numbers will drop and his victories will go up. Note: Kluber’s numbers above also reflect his career team mark during July.

*Liriano, Francisco - 12-2 (7-0 H)

After several fine seasons with Pittsburgh, Liriano has not been effective in 2016. Walks and home runs have done him in and in order to reflect past results of July, he's going to have to stop leaving pitches in the heart of the plate.

Peralta, Wily - 8-4 (5-1 H)

Peralta has been thoroughly ineffective all season (6.68 ERA) and was sent to minors after June 11th start. His return this month or this season depends on his Triple-A results. Note: Peralta’s numbers above also reflect his career team mark during July.

Price, David - 11-5 (7-1 A)

To date, the Boston lefty could be described as a mild disappointment, with an ERA north of 4.5 most of the season. No longer owning an upper 90's heater, Price does not blow away as many hitters as before and the fastball lacks some of the previous movement of the past. The slider has not had the usual bite from start to start. Red Sox need this ace to be one.

Ross, Tyson - 10-4 (4-1 H)

Ross has not pitched since he hit the DL with right shoulder inflammation after first start in April. San Diego Union reports a return even this month appears optimistic.
Note: Ross’ numbers above also reflect his career team mark during July.

Santana, Ervin - 11-4 (8-1 H)

Like his teammates, Santana is not having a good year, as opposing hitters are clocking him for nearly .300 average, compared to .256 over his 11-year career. Little reason to believe this month will match the past even if he improves with this Twins club.

*Volquez, Edinson - 10-5 (6-1 A)

Never a frontline hurler, Volquez numbers this campaign have matched the Royals, being very ordinary to date. The Dominican Republic native has done the job against right-handed batters, who have been knocking him around for nearly .300 average.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Wood, Alex - 4-8 (0-6 A)

Wood – the only pitcher to appear on the July Bad Month list this season - was initially expected to be shut down for four weeks after landing on the 15-day disabled list at the end of May with a posterior impingement in his throwing elbow. Currently, the timetable is for mid-July return, but the oft-injured pitcher can hardly be counted on as record shows. Note: Wood’’s numbers above reflect his career team mark during July.