Saturday 7/1/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Seattle at LA Angels


W/L Trends


Seattle
•Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
• Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
• Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.
• Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
• Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games.
• Mariners are 5-1 in Gaviglios last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Mariners are 5-1 in Gaviglios last 6 starts.
• Mariners are 5-1 in Gaviglios last 6 starts on grass.
• Mariners are 4-1 in Gaviglios last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.



LA Angels
•Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 games following a loss.
• Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games.
• Angels are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
• Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
• Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Angels are 4-9 in Nolascos last 13 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Angels are 1-5 in Nolascos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Angels are 1-9 in Nolascos last 10 starts on grass.
• Angels are 1-10 in Nolascos last 11 starts.
• Angels are 0-4 in Nolascos last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Angels are 0-6 in Nolascos last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Angels are 0-4 in Nolascos last 4 home starts.
• Angels are 0-4 in Nolascos last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.


OU Trends


Seattle
•Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1-3 in Mariners last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 games following a win.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Mariners last 9 overall.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Mariners last 9 on grass.
• Over is 20-8-3 in Mariners last 31 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Mariners last 9 during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts on grass.
• Under is 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts overall.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Gaviglios last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.



LA Angels
•Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.
• Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 Saturday games.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 home games.
• Over is 26-9-3 in Angels last 38 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 37-14-1 in Angels last 52 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 overall.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Angels last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
• Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 on grass.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Angels last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Over is 5-1 in Nolascos last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 10-2 in Nolascos last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 Saturday starts.
• Under is 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Under is 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 starts vs. American League West.
• Under is 8-3 in Nolascos last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 18-7-1 in Nolascos last 26 starts overall.
• Under is 5-2 in Nolascos last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Under is 17-7-1 in Nolascos last 25 starts on grass.


Head to Head


•Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.



Umpire Trends - Ted Barrett


•Under is 5-0-1 in Barretts last 6 games behind home plate.
• Over is 4-1 in Barretts last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. Seattle.
• Home team is 10-3 in Barretts last 13 games behind home plate.
• Home team is 38-16 in Barretts last 54 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Road team is 9-4 in Barretts last 13 games behind home plate vs. Seattle.
• Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Barrett behind home plate.
• Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 Saturday games with Barrett behind home plate.
• Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games with Barrett behind home plate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Colorado at Arizona


W/L Trends


Colorado
•Rockies are 11-2 in their last 13 games following a win.
• Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Rockies are 10-4 in their last 14 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
• Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
• Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. National League West.
• Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 overall.
• Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 games on grass.
• Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Rockies are 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Rockies are 4-1 in Chatwoods last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Rockies are 3-7 in Chatwoods last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Rockies are 1-4 in Chatwoods last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.



Arizona
•Diamondbacks are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series.
• Diamondbacks are 16-6 in their last 22 overall.
• Diamondbacks are 16-6 in their last 22 games on grass.
• Diamondbacks are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Diamondbacks are 38-15 in their last 53 home games.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League West.
• Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Diamondbacks are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Diamondbacks are 35-17 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Diamondbacks are 20-42 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Greinkes last 5 home starts.
• Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinkes last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinkes last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Greinkes last 10 starts.
• Diamondbacks are 8-2 in Greinkes last 10 starts on grass.
• Diamondbacks are 2-6 in Greinkes last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.


OU Trends


Colorado
•Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 Saturday games.
• Under is 8-2-2 in Rockies last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
• Under is 10-3-2 in Rockies last 15 road games.
• Over is 5-2-2 in Rockies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Rockies last 7 during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Chatwoods last 4 starts on grass.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Chatwoods last 4 starts overall.
• Under is 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 5-1 in Chatwoods last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Chatwoods last 6 road starts.
• Under is 4-1-3 in Chatwoods last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 18-6-2 in Chatwoods last 26 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 15-5-1 in Chatwoods last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Chatwoods last 5 starts vs. National League West.
• Under is 7-3 in Chatwoods last 10 Saturday starts.



Arizona
•Over is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games following a loss.
• Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 vs. National League West.
• Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 Saturday games.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 13-6-2 in Diamondbacks last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Over is 54-26-4 in Diamondbacks last 84 home games.
• Under is 7-2-1 in Greinkes last 10 starts on grass.
• Under is 7-2-1 in Greinkes last 10 starts overall.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Greinkes last 5 home starts.
• Under is 5-2 in Greinkes last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 5-2 in Greinkes last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.


Head to Head


•Rockies are 4-0 in Chatwoods last 4 road starts vs. Diamondbacks.
• Rockies are 6-2 in Chatwoods last 8 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
• Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings.
• Over is 5-2 in Chatwoods last 7 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
• Over is 21-10-4 in the last 35 meetings in Arizona.



Umpire Trends - Mike Estabrook


•Road team is 5-0 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. Colorado.
• Over is 6-1-2 in Estabrooks last 9 games behind home plate vs. Colorado.
• Road team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Estabrooks last 6 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Under is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate.
• Road team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate.
• Road team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
• Over is 5-2 in Estabrooks last 7 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - LA Dodgers at San Diego


W/L Trends


LA Dodgers
•Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
• Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games.
• Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• Dodgers are 18-4 in their last 22 during game 2 of a series.
• Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 games following a win.
• Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 overall.
• Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 games on grass.
• Dodgers are 37-15 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Dodgers are 38-17 in their last 55 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Dodgers are 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Dodgers are 1-4 in Hills last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
• Dodgers are 1-5 in Hills last 6 starts vs. National League West.



San Diego
•Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
• Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
• Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Padres are 3-8 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games.
• Padres are 3-10 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Padres are 2-12 in their last 14 vs. National League West.
• Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


OU Trends


LA Dodgers
•Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
• Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Over is 14-4 in Dodgers last 18 games following a win.
• Over is 20-6-1 in Dodgers last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 11-4 in Dodgers last 15 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 8-3 in Dodgers last 11 Saturday games.
• Over is 15-6 in Dodgers last 21 overall.
• Over is 15-6 in Dodgers last 21 on grass.
• Over is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 25-12 in Dodgers last 37 during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 3-0-1 in Hills last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
• Under is 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
• Under is 7-1 in Hills last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Hills last 8 starts vs. National League West.
• Under is 5-1-1 in Hills last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
• Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts on grass.
• Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts overall.



San Diego
•Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 Saturday games.
• Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League West.
• Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 games following a loss.
• Over is 15-4-2 in Padres last 21 during game 2 of a series.
• Over is 9-3 in Padres last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
• Over is 6-2 in Padres last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Over is 8-3 in Padres last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.


Head to Head


•Over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.
• Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Dodgers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.
• Dodgers are 50-22 in the last 72 meetings.



Umpire Trends - Jim Wolf


•Under is 1-0-3 in Wolfs last 4 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
• Home team is 6-1 in Wolfs last 7 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
• Over is 9-2 in Wolfs last 11 Saturday games behind home plate.
• Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Wolf behind home plate.
• Over is 19-8-2 in Wolfs last 29 games behind home plate.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's six-pack

Happy Canada Day to all our friends north of the border……

— Steph Curry re-signs with Golden State for five years, $201M. Staggering.

— Paul George was traded to Oklahoma City Friday nite, for Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis. Western Conference keeps getting stronger. Thunder drop from 80-1 to 40-1 to win the ’18 NBA title.

— Tony Snell re-signs with the Bucks; four years, $46M.

— Minnesota traded Ricky Rubio to Utah for a 2018 #1 draft pick.

— Astros are 54-27; in 2013, they were 51-111.

— Over/under on the number of hot dogs eaten by the winner of the Nathan’s Hot Dot Eating contest on Tuesday is 68.5. Yes, people wager on this stuff.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Saturday's picks, betting odds and analysis

Double-Play Picks

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (+136, 9.5)

* Game 2 of doubleheader

It’s a battle of American League Central rivals which are headed in opposite directions when the Indians visit the Tigers in Game 2 of a doubleheader. The Indians have climbed to the top of the division, while the Tigers seem to be racing towards their inevitable fire sale later this month.

Cleveland has won 11 of their last 16 ball games thanks in large part to a pitching staff that is starting to round into form after a slow start. The Indians have allowed 3.2 runs per game over that 16 game stretch.

Cleveland sends Carlos Carrasco to the mound for Game 2 of the doubleheader and while he is coming off of his worst start of the year, he has been the Tribe’s most consistent starter this season, especially on the road.

Carrasco is 6-1 is with a 2.54 ERA and a 0.987 WHIP in eight starts away from home this season. The veteran right-hander has also performed well against the Tigers over the past two seasons. In his last six starts against Detroit Carrasco is 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA and a 0.923 WHIP.

Meanwhile, the Tigers will counter with Jordan Zimmermann, who has been consistently inconsistent this season. Zimmermann is 5-5 with a 5.53 ERA and a 1.494 WHIP this season.

He has just two quality start in his first nine outings, and then strung together five quality starts together in a row. But in his last outing, he got shelled by the Padres and the MLB’s worst offense.

Carrasco and the Indians are too good and provide too much value in this spot.

Pick: Indians -146

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (-155, 8.5)

The Rockies finally ended their eight-game skid by taking the opening game of their three-game set in Arizona 6-3 against the Diamondbacks, but it will be to string together consecutive wins as the go up against D-backs ace Zack Greinke in Game 2 Saturday night.

The Rockies are one of the better road teams in baseball, going 26-19 away from Coors Field this season, but Greinke and the Diamondbacks have been even better playing at home.

Even with the loss last night, Arizona is a very impressive 30-13 at home this season, thanks in large part to an offense that just loves to mash the ball at Chase Field.
Arizona leads the majors in runs scored at home this season by a wide margin, platting 261 runs in 43 games at Chase Field. That equates to 6.1 runs per game. The next closest team is the Los Angeles Dodgers at 5.6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also first in hits at home, and third in average and OPS.

As mentioned above, it gets even tougher on the Rockies tonight because they have to go up against Greinke, who has also loved playing at Chase Field. Greinke is 7-0 with a 2.68 ERA and a .947 WHIP, while racking up 74 strikeouts in nine starts at home this season.

Greinke faces a Rockies lineup that has stalled a bit recently. Even with the six runs last night, they are averaging just 3.2 runs per game in their last nine games and expect Greinke to keep the Rockies struggles going.

Pick: Diamondbacks -155

Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 77-69-7


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Chris Sale, Boston Red Sox (10-3, 2.77 ERA)

The Boston Red Sox gave up a kings ransom to acquire Chris Sale from the Chicago White Sox and so far Sale has been worth every penny. 10-3 (12-4 TW-TL), 2.77 ERA, .91 WHIP and as the calendar turns to July 1st, he’s only getting better.

Boston have won six of his last seven outings and he’s thrown eight quality starts in his last nine outings. Over his last three starts he sporting a 1.99 ERA, .71 WHIP, .193 opponents batting average, and has 29 strikeouts to four walks. Sale and the Red Sox are -159 road chalk against the Blue Jays on Canada Day.

Slumping: Zack Wheeler, New York Mets (3-5, 5.29 ERA)

It was destined to happen, maybe it was just his turn but we have another slumping New York Mets pitcher. Welcome Zach Wheeler your the next struggling Mets pitcher and you are absolutely worthy.

In his last two starts, both loses, Wheeler has an ERA of 36.82, a WHIP of 4.6364, only five strikeouts to go along with 3 walks, and he has allowed five home runs. All of this magic in 3.2 innings of work. Wheeler and the Mets are -170 home chalk against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Saturday's Top Trends

* Rangers are 0-6 in the last six meetings in Chicago. Rangers -120 @ White Sox.
* Royals are 7-0 in their last seven opening games of a double-header. Royals -140 vs. Twins.
* Over is 8-1-1 in Matt Moore's last 10 road starts. Giants @ Pirates, O/U: 9.5.
* Angels are 1-10 in Ricky Nolasco's last 11 starts. Angels -115 vs. Mariners.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

Wet weather will have an impact on a couple of games across Major League Baseball. There are thunderstorms forecasted and 85 percent chance of rain at first pitch at Camden Yards where the Orioles host the Rays and a possibility of thunderstorms moving into the area of Citi Field where the Phillies are in town to play the Mets.

There are three games on todays slate with double digit hitter’s winds in the forecast:

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (Total: 10.5) - 12-14 mile per hour wind blowing out to left field
San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates (Total: 9.5) - 11-13 mile per hour wind blowing to left field
Atlanta Braves at Oakland Athletics (Total: 9) - 11-14 mile per hour wind blowing out to left-center field.

Ump Of The Day

Marty Foster: Foster is working behind the plate tonight in Houston as the Astros host the New York Yankees and that generally means home cooking will be rewarded. The home team has gotten the win in eight of the 12 games (66.7 percent)Foster has called balls and strikes in 2017 and more recently in six of the last seven games.

If that isn’t enough to make Yankees fans/backers cringe, the Pinstripes have lost 10 of their last 11 games with Foster behind the dish. The Astros are -132 home favorites today.