Saturday 4/26/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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English Premier TODAY 12:45
SouthamptonvEverton
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT119/10

13/5

6/4

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SOUTHAMPTONRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Southampton have won just two of their 16 games against top-half opponents

EXPERT VERDICT: Everton have won eight of their last nine Premier League games and are maintaining their focus in the chase for a place in the Champions League. Southampton have had an impressive season but have not done well against the best teams and the Toffees will represent a tough test.

RECOMMENDATION: Everton
2


REFEREE: Michael Oliver STADIUM: St Mary's Stadium

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
SwanseavAston Villa
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
7/10

11/4

5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SWANSEARECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Aston Villa have scored first in only ten of 34 league games this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Aston Villa have been shocking in recent weeks with just one point out of a possible 15 and are so lightweight minus the injured Christian Benteke. That said, Swansea’s win at Newcastle was only their second in ten matches and these are two poor sides who can inch their way towards safety with a point apiece.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Mark Clattenburg STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
StokevTottenham
2477.png
2590.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
11/5

12/5

11/8

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT STOKERECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Tottenham have scored 11 goals in their last three Premier League matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Tottenham’s end to the season has not been that disastrous but they face a difficult task getting something from Stoke. The Potters have lost just one of their last seven matches and with Tim Sherwood struggling to find a solid central-defensive partnership, it is an obvious area for Mark Hughes's side to exploit.

RECOMMENDATION: Stoke
1


REFEREE: Andre Marriner STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
West BromvWest Ham
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
10/11
11/4
3
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WEST BROMRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: West Brom have kept two clean sheets in their last 24 Premier League matches

EXPERT VERDICT: West Brom are still in the thick of the relegation battle, but this looks a game they can win to give Pepe Mel's side some breathing space. The Baggies have plenty of pace up front which can trouble the Hammers, who have lost six of their last eight matches.

RECOMMENDATION: West Brom
1


REFEREE: Mike Dean STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
FulhamvHull
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
13/10

12/5

12/5

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FULHAMRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Just five of Fulham's 35 Premier League games have featured fewer than two goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Fulham are fighting for their lives but five of their last six defeats have come against teams in the top seven so there is grounds for optimism. However, while Hull have one eye on the FA Cup final, they are capable of scoring goals so it would be no surprise if the Tigers had enough to earn a share of the spoils.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Lee Mason STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 17:30
Man UtdvNorwich
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS11/3

4

8

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MAN UTDRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Norwich have picked up eight away points, the fewest in the Premier League

EXPERT VERDICT: Part one of Norwich’s thankless run-in ended with defeat by Liverpool and they should expect another reverse – a fifth in a row – at Old Trafford. However, Manchester United were awful at Everton and not even the change of manager is certain to see a huge change. Norwich are going to have to go down swinging so expect them to at least find the net.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1


REFEREE: Lee Probert STADIUM:

 
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Yonkers: Saturday 4/26 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 127 - 372 / $674.60 BEST BETS: 21 - 30 / $72.90

Best Bet: EASY AGAIN (10th)

Spot Play: COWBOY TERRIOR (3rd)

Race 1

(4) WHOGOESFIRST never got involved last week from post eight; tonight the veteran is in a much better spot. (3) DELCO ROCKNROLL is back at his preferred venue and the Fraley trainee should be involved here. (1) TRACK MASTER D drops, gets serious post relief but he's been off almost a month.


Race 2

(4) CONNERY BLUE CHIP hasn't made a serious impact since the Garcia-Herrera claim but he does fit with this type and could take this with a favorable trip. (1) SPINARAMA returns locally, draws best and gets a more accomplished driver in the bike. (5) OLDE TIME HOCKEY was empty last week; he's capable of being more involved from this spot.

Race 3

(5) COWBOY TERRIER showed a new dimension last week by kicking home nicely from off the pace; he merits a serious look tonight, especially from these connections. (1) N J LAW is up in class again but he's been sharp in his last two. (6) DOCTOR BUTCH hasn't raced badly since returning as a four-year-old but he's seemed to have lacked the knockout punch.

Race 4

(2) NEPTUNE takes a needed drop in class and gets post relief as well; lots to like. (4) ONE THROUGH TEN went evenly last week after saving ground; Brennan drives tonight and he may be forwardly placed. (3) BUBBIE BOY didn't really fire last out but at least Sears is driving again.

Race 5

(1) GLASS PRINCE went an insane trip to score last week and he gets a free ride at this level; repeats. (7) VERSADO may be gunning out and if he finds an early spot he'll be trouble. (4) MONEY TWITCH A should be able to garner a share versus these.

Race 6

(8) ITRUSTYOU raced well in the Levy; one would expect Gingras to be aggressive enough early to overcome the eight-hole handicap. (1) HESTON BLUE CHIP makes his third start back from vacation and lands inside; no more excuses...this one should be ready to roll. (5) GOBAN has good early speed if Bartlett elects to use it.

Race 7

(4) LAWGIVER HANOVER gets some post relief and returns to a catch-driver; worth a look in this wide-open event. (2) REAL NICE is clearly feeling good again after a prolonged rough stretch; big threat to take his third straight. (7) STATESMAN N is back up the ladder after cruising in two straight versus lesser.

Race 8

(6) FASHION MYSTERY dropped down last week and faltered on the front end; this is a wide-open consolation affair tonight and she's proven to be capable of rallying off a trip. (2) RAMALAMA draws best and merits respect based on that angle. (7) SHELLISCAPE is probably best here but she may be done in by the eight hole.

Race 9 - Matchmaker Final

(4) YAGONNAKISSMEORNOT has been nothing short of phenomenal since the Rene Allard purchase. Mare is coming into this race in career form and Dube has good tactical options starting from this inside post. (3) SOMWHEROVRARAINBOW has loads of ability but has proven to be a bit bumpy early; two back my top choice rolled right over her. (2) ANNDROVETTE hasn't been at her best but she's capable of stepping up with a top effort.

Race 10

Not only are (1) EASY AGAIN and (1A) CLEAR VISION the two best horses in the race, but they both draw well and are coupled in the wagering; $2.10 for a win and place price may be value here. (3) MALAK USWAAD N could save ground and arrive with a late rally. (4) ROCK ON MOE has sucked along in every leg of the series and has picked up some checks; it's not impossible to hit the bottom of the ticket.

Race 11 - Levy Final

(2) FOILED AGAIN lands back inside for the Levy final off last week's no-chance tour of the track. Veteran has come back sharper than ever this season and he'll be very tough if he's not harassed too much early. (6) DANCIN YANKEE has been razor-sharp and he may have been my top choice if not for the poor post. I do expect Pierce to look for an early seat and have him in striking position at some point in the mile. (1) P H SUPERCAM was a $15,000 claimer this time last year and now he's a legitimate contender in the Levy final. Last week he was off the gate in :26 4/5 and home in :26 4/5 to upset. Obvious threat from this inside post.

Race 12

(6) DALLENBACH HANOVER faltered late after a two-move effort last week. There's no reason why he shouldn't head to the front again. (1) COLE HEAT is up in class again but he's been stellar in his last few. (4) PANONGHAELA is a good fit with these.
 
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Woodbine Harness: Saturday 4/26 Analysis
By Greg Gangle
DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: NATIONAL DEBT (3rd)

Spot Play: NOBLE FLIGHT (4th)

Race 1

(7) ADVERSARY SEELSTER is fresh off a win, comes out of Moreau's barn and celebrated a new lifetime best last start. (3) SUNNY BEACH DAY went his biggest mile of his career last week and will look for a repeat. He never looked so good in his effort last week. (6) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO has been racing at his best, comes out of Auciello's barn and may offer a fair price.

Race 2

(2) ROCKYS FIRST has the speed, back class and faces an easier bunch this week. (9) INTENSE AMERICA was the favourite last week and failed to win. She's worth a look again at the same level. (6) QUIT SMOKING NOW draws well, drops in class and went a speedy mile in his latest.

Race 3

(7) NATIONAL DEBT is undefeated in his career and is the horse to beat. (8) ACCOUNT ROLLOVER has a terrific record this season, comes from the McIntosh barn and is a top threat in here. (5) ROGER MACH EM went a big trip last week en route to victory at high odds. He draws better this week and is a good option for the triactor.

Race 4

(5) NOBLE FLIGHT has won two of three starts this season, moves up in class, but draws well and certainly has the speed. (1) TURBO DONATO comes from team Baillargeon, gets the rail and continues to race well since the addition of lasix. (2) RAMZAM draws inside, has been racing at his best this season and is certainly capable of the class jump.

Race 5

(8) NICKLE BAG has gone some big trips lately and has been racing at his best. He gets class relief in here and likely will offer a low price. (4) DAPPER DUDE posted two solid qualifiers, draws inside and comes out of the McIntosh camp. (2) ALEXIE MATTOSIE draws inside, drops in class and has the back class.

Race 6

(5) REAL ROCKER remains at the same level and has won two of his last three. (4) GENESEE is always a top threat at his level and has been the picture of consistency this season. (8) JACS SPADE will have to overcome the outside, won at this level last week and has a solid record this season.

Race 7

(7) WEST SIDE STORY has a terrific record in his career and put forth a convincing win in his latest. (3) HLDONTHTTOYURDRMS likely will be the favourite and due for an off-the-pace trip. He has the speed and draws well. (4) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE raced very well last start, draws inside and comes out of the Wallace barn.

Race 8

(9) CHARMED LIFE was spectacular in her season debut last week. She can only improve off that effort and was a wrapped-up winner. (1) INTIMIDATE gets the rail, won seven of nine last year and is a past Breeders Crown champion. (5) SLIP INTO GLIDE won at this level in his latest, but faces a tougher bunch. He's versatile and a logical choice for the traictor.

Race 9

(5) LIGHTS GO OUT has won three of her last four and remains at the same level. (9) WILDCAT HANNA was an easy winner in her latest and moves up in class. The addition of lasix has appeared to help. (2) MISS POPPYCOCK draws inside, comes out of Brethour's barn and has been much better in her last two.

Race 10

(4) THINKING OUT LOUD raced very well last week in his season debut. He closed well to finish third and can only be better this week. (3) MACHAL JORDAN has been racing at his best this season, draws inside and went a big trip last week. (6) MODERN LEGEND got the monkey off his back last week with a speedy win. He's capable again in here as he jumps in class.

Race 11

(3) DONAU gets post relief and drops in class to where he won at two back. (4) LUCKY TERROR drops in class, gets post relief and may offer a fair price. (6) WORLD AWAY finished third last week at a higher level. He draws well in here and has back class in his favour.
 
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Meadowlands: Saturday 4/26 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 117 - 435 / $691.00 BEST BETS: 17 - 35 / $64.20

Best Bet: SCALPED (9th)

Spot Play: LET’S FOAL AROUND (5th)

Race 1

(1) DOUBLE YOUR BET appears to be coming into his 2014 debut off a pair of dull qualifiers, but he did show marked improvement from his first to second effort and was facing some strong competition. Don’t cross a line through this guy too quickly. (3) SWEET ROCK finds himself in a much softer spot this week. I’d be surprised if he didn’t race very well. (6) TWIN B SPEEDO seems ready to roll off his recent qualifier.

Race 2

(5) ROCKIN AMADEUS put in a solid effort to begin his 2014 campaign and should be even better in start number two. (1) SWEET TALKIN SATIN was used up in a brutal 1:20 4/5 three-quarters. The trip and pace tonight should be softer. (2) VALENTINO steps up off a win but can go with these when feeling good.

Race 3

(7) ALWAYS B MIKI was super off the bench and likely has a major conditioning edge on his main rivals tonight. (2) STRATOS HANOVER lasted in a strong 1:51 4/5 mile at Philly last time. He should make some noise in here. (1A) PARNU HANOVER & (1) FRANKANDJOANNE form a solid entry from trainer Tom Cancelliere. Either horse could step up. (6) ALLSTAR PARTNER is a talented sophomore was figures to need a race.

Race 4

(5) ALEX BULLVILLE has been getting relaxing trips from off the pace but tonight finds himself in a spot where flashing early speed would be wise. He has won at this level in the recent past. (2) JINS DRAGON has been closing well from outside posts and finds himself with a better starting slot tonight. (4) PEMBROKE DEWEY was Campbell’s choice and certainly looks like an exotics player. (8) UP UP AND OUT drops down in class. Marohn was given a choice in this race and elected for this drive.

Race 5

(5) LETS FOAL AROUND has been in tougher spots recently. New driver Corey Callahan can make it happen with this gelding tonight. (4) BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT was a solid second in his recent qualifier and should be tight for this race. (3) SPECIAL JACKPOT tries the big track. Notice that both his wins last year came on larger ovals.

Race 6

(5) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH continued to show improvement with a win in the elimination round of this C-1 mini-series. I expect this 4-year-old will keep picking up his game. (1) FRESH N FAST might not be my top pick on ability, but from post 3 (and with an entrymate in post 4), he should be in line for a perfect trip behind cover in a race that should be hotly contested. (2) CAM B ZIPPER is another that goes as part of a capable one-two entry. He was an impressive winner last week.

Race 7

(10) BUCKEYE IN CHARGE gets a monster driver change to John Campbell. Usually these big driver changes are trap plays, but this is a legitimate horse at the C-2 level regardless of driver. (1) MATTADOR D is another one of these former Irvine horses that have woken up with the switch to trainer Richard Johnson. (6) YOU BET YOUR GLASS is a clear contender, but keeps getting nailed in deep stretch. (3) BOLDER finally draws well and adds Callahan, too.

Race 8

(5) BETTOR DESIGN went a long mile last week and hung in there nicely. (4) SING FOR ME GEORGE followed the former around the track while out every step of the mile; good mile. (8) BLATANTLY BEST is more than capable of winning this race, but he tends to be at the mercy of his trip.

Race 9

(4) SCALPED raced evenly versus better in his first start since October. He should be ready to roll against this dull group, especially with Callahan in the bike. (2) NOBLES GRAND SLAM closed well last time. I’d expect Morrill to be aggressive tonight. (6) MARINER SEELSTER would seem to be in a decent spot if he brings his ‘A’ game.

Race 10

(3) P H POWERPLAY draws a bit better this week and that should allow him be handled more aggressively; Miller’s choice. (2) SOMEPLACE SPECIAL rallied well last time. (9) DULL ROAR flashed good speed and held well in his first start of the year. (1) THE POKESTER will be a player with a smooth trip.

Race 11

(6) ALLSTAR LEGEND should have a tactical advantage once again this week and figures to be tough to catch. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER is probably the best horse in the race at this point, but it will be hard for him to win if Zeron elects to use the usual closing tactics. (7) GOLDEN RECEIVER has been himself lately; wakes up?

Race 12

(6) PRINCE SHARKA has high speed off the gate and faces a field full of question marks. If he gets away soft or sits a good trip, he can win. (3) STORMIN RUSTLER drops to the level of his last win. (5) SEEK THE DRAGON is capable of stepping up with a good mile.

Race 13

(8) MINDSET is one of those horses that only steps up when the competition gets weaker. I wouldn’t say this is a very easy spot, but he can win here. (5) QUIK MAGIC has been racing reasonably well each week. (2) SEE AND SKI qualified in good order and might be ready to right the ship. (1) WILLYMUCHA is off a good effort.
 
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Saturday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Aqueduct (2nd) Katmanstu, 4-1
(6th) Away Game, 5-1

Atlantic City (1st) Conspirer, 8-1
(5th) Precious Paula, 3-1

Calder (3rd) Desirable Lady, 4-1
(6th) Tetth of the Tiger, 6-1

Charles Town (4th) Phone Jazz, 3-1
(8th) Just Because, 9-2

Churchill Downs (5th) Backdoc, 3-1
(7th) Joyful Moments, 5-1

Evangeline Downs (3rd) Fatal Strike, 7-2
(5th) Be a Cherokee, 3-1

Golden Gate Fields (4th) Oh My Goodness, 4-1
(9th) Wildcat Candy, 9-2

Gulfstream Park (3rd) Purecraziluck, 3-1
(7th) All Tied Up, 3-1

Hawthorne (2nd) Friendly's Rap, 4-1
(9th) Luv Bandit, 4-1

Lone Star Park (5th) Swamp Last Chance, 3-1
(8th) Bourbon Courage, 3-1

Mountaineer (3rd) Dancing Leaf, 7-2
(9th) Art of Deception, 5-1

Penn National (2nd) Megadancer, 7-2
(6th) Yougotthatgoinforu, 4-1

Pimlico (5th) Step Aside Boys, 7-2
(6th) Game Effort, 3-1

Prairie Meadows (7th) Denali Thunder, 5-1
(8th) Silk Purse, 7-2

Santa Anita (5th) Dunmore East, 3-1
(6th) Starry Skies, 7-2

Tampa Bay Downs (6th) Nightfury, 6-1
(9th) Beantown Skipper, 3-1

Thistledown (5th) Fire Chief, 5-1
(8th) Crowd Favorite, 9-2

Turf Paradise (7th) Tacna, 5-1
(8th) Cavour, 3-1

Woodbine (9th) Marilyn Bordeaux, 6-1
(10th) Royal Fighter, 3-1
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Trial - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD QUARTER HORSE FOALS OF 2012 WHICH HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE OLD SOUTH FUTURITY. $300 DUE AT TIME OF ENTRY TO TRIALS. LATE PAYMENT: $2,000 TO ENTER THE TRIALS PRIOR TO TIME OF ENTRIES CLOSING. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. (ALL FINAL PAYMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATIONS MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE HORSEMEN'S BOOKKEEPER PRIOR TO 10:30


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 WILD TYCOON 8/1

# 1 FIRST CORONA RUNNER 7/2

# 7 PAMBAZZO 4/1

I've got to go with WILD TYCOON particularly if the morning line of 8/1 holds. Sire is so important in juvenile races and this one's babies have fared admirably while winning at a 24 percent clip. Don't overlook this animal as the handler has produced very good profits with 1st time starters. Sire's babies have run solidly recently. FIRST CORONA RUNNER - Maybe a little very risky in this juvenile race, but there are respectable historic results for gamblers on this bloodline. This trainer has produced entrants that have consistently produced very strong board hit percentages in their first contest. Must be carefully examined as Weeks has been among the most favorable trainers with two-year olds. PAMBAZZO - Has strong sire gains and may be worth the very dangerous nature of a two-year old race. Has some interesting angles which make this entrant a wager.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:59pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 47

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 COUSIN IDA (ML=7/2)
#3 COASTAL CUTIE (ML=5/1)


COUSIN IDA - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the initial time on April 1st. Should be in touch with the animal even better this time. This filly should be at the peak of fitness, this far into her form cycle. COASTAL CUTIE - Quite frequently, I play a maiden that finished second easily ahead of the show horse in her last race. This horse coming off a solid race in the last month is a strong challenger in my opinion. This filly ********** a nice speed fig of 38 in her last race. That rating should be high enough to win today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BREAKING MOONLIGHT (ML=3/1), #4 SMOOTH WILLOW (ML=4/1), #2 AVA'S SAPHIRE (ML=8/1),

BREAKING MOONLIGHT - Just can't bet on this steed. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on Nov 9th. One should normally not bet on a mount in the next start after finishing off the board following a extended time off. SMOOTH WILLOW - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed rating in the last race in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on April 4th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. AVA'S SAPHIRE - The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this horse as a vulnerable contender.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - COUSIN IDA - I enjoy betting on big class droppers like this one. Much easier bunch this time.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #8 COUSIN IDA to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9600 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 26 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 ALWAYS IN TROUBLE 9/2

# 4 SARATOGAATSEVENTY 15/1

# 8 SNEAKY SWEET 7/2

I think about ALWAYS IN TROUBLE here. This racer could stun this lot at a solid price. SARATOGAATSEVENTY - She has been running well and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group. She should have a strong outing versus this easier field. SNEAKY SWEET - Rini has her trained admirably to break sharply out of the gate. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Rini have shown strong results lately.
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #7 - SANTA ANITA PARK - 4:11 PM PACIFIC POST
The Spring Fever Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE

#1 MARKS MINE
#7 WARREN'S VENEDA
#2 COULD BE TROUBLE
#8 TOP KISSER

#1 MARKS MINE is the overall speed leader in this stakes field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has nice early speed abilities to compliment. She's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five "adventures," including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Frank Alvarado, and Trainer Steven Specth send her to the post ... they've "whacked the tote board" with 54% of more than 125 entries saddled as a team to date. #7 WARREN'S VENEDA is the pace profile leader in this stakes field, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WIN" in her 2nd and 3rd races back.
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #5 - AQUEDUCT - 3:16 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $12,500.00 CLAIMING $25,000.00 PURSE

#4 STAR OF SARAVA
#5 SOVEREIGN DEFAULT
#1 HOPPY DO
#7 COLOSSAL GIFT

#4 STAR OF SARAVA is the pace profile leader in this claiming field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt, and has posted a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" in his last four outings. #5 SOVEREIGN DEFAULT is the overall speed leader in this field, has a nice pace profile, and has hit the board in five straight, with four of those efforts, including a win in his last start, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." Jockey Taylor Rice, and Trainer Linda Rice send him to the post this afternoon ... they've hit the board with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Lone Star - Race #8 - Post: 9:51pm - Stakes - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $200,000 Class Rating: 116 Texas Mile S. (Grade 3)

Rating: Golden Dollar

#5 TAPTOWNE (ML=5/2)
#3 GRAND CONTENDER (ML=4/1)
#6 BOURBON COURAGE (ML=3/1)
#1 STACHYS (ML=8/1)
#4 FOREST MOUSE (ML=5/1)


TAPTOWNE - I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always on the board. This horse has shown the ability to win on different tracks. Making the move from Oaklawn for today's event, I have to believe he's ready to run. GRAND CONTENDER - Changes tracks from last out at Delta Downs to here. Multiple wins on different tracks tell me this one likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. BOURBON COURAGE - The last figure of 115 is the top last race speed figure in the bunch. This horse is almost always in the money. I like this horse. Has the top (EPS) earnings per start in here today. Look at this pattern of improvement. 104/107/115 are the last 3 speed ratings. STACHYS - The jock/trainer duo of Quinonez and Biehler has a strong ROI together. Three consecutive improved speed figures (103-107-110) make this horse a solid contender. FOREST MOUSE - This horse is almost always in the money. Based on drills, I look for this horse to run a big race. Eikleberry and his horse make quite a pair. Together they've been winning at a clip of 67 percent.

Vulnerable Contenders: No Vulnerable Contenders in this race,





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Just say 'no' to the win bets this race

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,5] with [3,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $24
 
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NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 26


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (57 - 28) at ATLANTA (40 - 45) - 4/26/2014, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
ATLANTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 10-9 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-10 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (63 - 21) at DALLAS (50 - 34) - 4/26/2014, 4:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 46-38 ATS (+4.2 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 139-105 ATS (+23.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 214-168 ATS (+29.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 148-114 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 121-92 ATS (+19.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-85 ATS (+29.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-5 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (56 - 28) at CHARLOTTE (43 - 41) - 4/26/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a division game this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 63-99 ATS (-45.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 13-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (60 - 25) at MEMPHIS (52 - 33) - 4/26/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 96-80 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 106-74 ATS (+24.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 57-42 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 95-80 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 119-80 ATS (+31.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 13-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 10-9 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, April 26


Indiana at Atlanta, 2:00 ET
Indiana: 21-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more
Atlanta: 4-12 ATS when leading in a playoff series

San Antonio at Dallas, 4:35 ET
San Antonio: 14-1 ATS off a home loss
Dallas: DALLAS is 4-12 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists

Miami at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Miami: 11-20 ATS in road games in the first round of the playoffs
Charlotte: 8-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

Oklahoma City at Memphis, 9:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 1-5 ATS in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of last 6 ATS
Memphis: 21-12 ATS off an upset win as an underdog
 

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