Drew Gordon
LA Angels at MINNESOTA -130
We all know the Twins' Kevin Slowey is better than his current 7.94 ERA, and tonight he gets the perfect match up to prove it. After Friday's ugly 8th inning collapse by the Angels, not to mention the injury to Guerrero, one has to wonder about the Halos psyche right now. They've lost 3 of their last 4 (all on the road), and with a bonafide reliever forced to make the start tonight, all signs point to a solid Twins win in this one.
Speaking of bonafide relievers, southpaw Darren Oliver gets the start for the Angels tonight. While he's got the stuff, I'm not sure we can expect anything more than 5 innings out of Oliver tonight (he went 6 innings in the 2006 NLCS, but that was a long time ago). With the Angels bullpen struggling (8.19 ERA on the season), a relatively short start by Oliver could easily spell their doom.
Also, you have to like what we saw from this Twins offense yesterday, 11 runs on 13 hits, including Jason Kubel hitting for the cycle! Minnesota excelled vs lefties last season, ranking 4th in runs scored (252) and batting a solid .275 against them!
Bottom line, look for Slowey, who had an excellent Spring, to get back on track in this contest. Remember guys, Slowey was 7-4 with a solid 3.38 ERA at the Metrodome last season. We're getting solid value (based on the match up) thanks to his early season struggles, but rest-assured, he'll break out in this contest. While on the flip side, if you want to trust your money with Darren Oliver as the Angels starter, be my guest, but I sure as hell won't. Play on the Twinkies!
Take Minnesota behind Slowey over the LA Angels and Oliver in this MLB match up.
2♦ MINNESOTA
Chicago at BOSTON -8'
You really think the oddsmakers haven't factored in the Kevin Garnett injury into this number? You really think Vegas is going to allow Joe Schmo to win big in tonight's Game 1 of this Eastern Conference series by betting the Bulls? Everyone in the world knows Garnett is not playing, and most average bettors are clamoring to jump aboard the Bulls at this "bargain" price... I couldn't disagree more and here's why:
First of all, make no mistake, this is a statement game for the Celtics. With the world basically giving up on them, the defending champs now finally have something to prove, and the Bulls get to be their measuring stick... Not a good spot to be in for a VERY average Eastern Conference team.
Second, this is not a good match up for Chicago, as they got crushed both times they played at TD Banknorth Garden this season, losing by 18 and 16 points respectively in those contests! In fact, the Bulls are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings against Boston!
Also, let's not forget what happened last season, as the Celtics took the Hawks lightly, and ended up having to fight for their playoff lives because of it. The Celtics won't make the same mistake twice, as the Bulls aren't nearly as good as that Hawks team was, and quite frankly, they're just happy to be here.
Bottom line, against a superior foe, the absence of Garnett will be felt, but not against a much lesser foe like Chicago. In this case, Glen Davis will do just fine, as he's got the offensive skills, and enough knowledge of the system to hold down the defensive end against the Bulls. In the end, look for Boston to make a real statement here, blowing the doors off the Bulls in the process Saturday afternoon.
Take Boston over Chicago in Game 1 of this NBA Playoffs match up.
3♦ BOSTON