Drew Gordon
Oklahoma City +7 at MILWAUKEE
Solid Bonus Play winner with the Marlins over the Mets 5-4 Friday! We switch gears to the Hardwood with this FREE winner Saturday night...
Sorry, but there's no way in hell a team playing as badly as the Bucks should be favored by this many over ANYONE. Milwaukee has all but put up a white flag, losers of 9 of their last 10 games (2-8 ATS over that span), and playing like a team that just doesn't care anymore. They mustered one nice home win over the Celtics in Mid-March, but since then, have lost 5 straight at home, including an ugly outright home loss to sorry-ass Memphis last Saturday!
While the Thunder also have nothing to play for, at the very least, they're still playing competitive basketball, beating the Bobcats outright 84-81 yesterday as 3'-point home pups! True, they're playing in the tail end of a back-to-back, but that hasn't been a problem for this young Thunder team, going 11-5 ATS with no rest this season! Also, its no secret this Thunder team has been a solid bet on the road, going 23-14 ATS away on the season! And as a final note on trends, the Thunder are an outstanding 13-4 ATS in their last 17 meetings with the Bucks!
From a match up standpoint, Durant/Green and Villanueva/Jefferson all but cancel each other out, but its Krstic and Westrbook who give the edge to the Thunder. Bell, Sessions, and Gadzuric wouldn't start on 90% of NBA teams, and it'll show tonight, as the younger, hungrier Thunder throughly outplay them. Of course, its late in the season and with nothing to play for, you expect this game to feature little defense, which benefits the Bucks. However, in the end, even if the Bucks do win, covering the bloated number is another story entirely!
Take Oklahoma City plus the points over Milwaukee in this NBA match up.
2? OKLAHOMA CITY
Seattle (-110) at OAKLAND
Did you see King Felix in his season opener?! Despite twisting his ankle in the 1st, he still locked down the Twins over 8 innings, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits, striking out 6 in the process! More of the same today, as Hernandez has been downright nasty against the Athletics recently, going 6-2 with a 2.17 ERA in 8 outings over the last 2 seasons! The fact they hit just .217 off of him over that span cannot be good news for A's-backers!
Opposing Hernandez is the A's rookie Josh Outman, who's been just about average since joining their staff, going 1-2 with a 4.56 ERA in six appearances last season. The southpaw is hardly overpowering, and I'm just not convinced by a guy who was a virtual "no-name" this Spring. He's going to take his lumps this season, and it all starts today against a Mariners offense that took future star Brett Anderson behind the woodshed yesterday.
Finally, we know from last season that the M's are pretty fond of hitting lefties, ranking 12th in runs socred off of them, and batting a solid .279 against them (good for 5th in the Majors)! In the end, the last time they faced Outman, they collected 8 hits off of him, scored 4 runs, and got the win... More of the same today, as King Felix holds down his end of the bargain, while the M's offense takes care of the rest.
Take Seattle behind Hernandez over Oakland and Outman in this MLB match up.
3? SEATTLE