Saturday 12/6/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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English Premier Sa 6Dec 12:45
NewcastlevChelsea
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BT16

10/3

8/15

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KEY STAT: Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 22 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Newcastle have had their moments against Chelsea in recent years – winning three of the last five Premier League meetings – but may find themselves overwhelmed on Tyneside. The Magpies’ revival has stalled with one point from two games and they will struggle to contain a Blues side reinforced by the return of Diego Costa.

RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea
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NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take #110 Connecticut (-12) over SMU (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 6)
Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Card highlighted by our World Famous College Basketball Nonconference Game of the Year on Sunday! This along with top plays in football on Saturday and Sunday make this a monster weekend you cannot miss out on! We have faded the Mustangs all season long with our free picks and have had great success in the process. They are just one game away from making history by going 0-12, and we expect them to accomplish this with flying colors. SMU appears to have already hired a new coach, and thus any incentive for the current staff to perform is out the window as they will all be replaced next week. Connecticut is nothing to write home about, but they have a first-year staff that wants to finish out the season on a high note and will accomplish this by double digits. SMU is 3-8 ATS in their 11 games this season. Connecticut is 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a losing road record. UCONN gets revenge on the field.



NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Mike Davis

Take ‘Under’ 45.5 – SMU at Connecticut (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 6)
We are on the prowl for a big-bounce back weekend on the gridiron, and we are going to get it rocking with an 8-Unit winner on Saturday. That game is later in the day, but you can start your Championship Saturday with this free winner. These two teams are really bad on offense. Really bad. SMU is averaging 9.6 PPG, and UConn is averaging 15.1 PPG. Connecticut has a decent defense, and it should easily shut down the inept offense of the Mustangs. The Huskies had great success vs. similarly inept offenses earlier the season as they held South Florida to 17 points and Tulane to 12 points. I look for a similar effort vs. the less powerful offense of the Mustangs. SMU hasn’t been very good on defense, but they will be able to keep UConn in check. The Huskies have really struggled offensively as of late. They only scored 21 points vs. Army. They were then shutout at home versus Cincinnati, and they only scored 10 points at Memphis. These two teams are bad football teams, especially on the offensive side. This game will be boring to watch, but the under should be a solid wager. Take the Under.



NEWSLETTER NHL Hockey Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Under’ 5.5 – Buffalo at Florida (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 6)
The Buffalo Sabres have surprisingly been on a very nice run of late. The worst team in hockey has notched six wins over the last couple of weeks, and the main reason has been defense and goaltending. The Sabres realize that they don’t have the same talent that most other teams do. So they’ve had to adapt and adjust their strategy to a gritty, slowed-down pace to have a chance to win each night. It also has helped that goalie Jhonas Enroth has been amazing in the net over the last couple of weeks. He’s allowed two goals or less in six of his last seven games and has really carried the team at times. On Saturday he gets a Florida Panthers team that has really struggled to put the puck into the back of the net this season. They are averaging just 2.1 goals per game, and it’s seemingly getting worse, not better. The Panthers have a pretty good goaltender of their own in Roberto Luongo, so this one could be a classic goaltenders battle. We like the under in this one.



NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Allen East man

Take #127 Wisconsin (-4) over Ohio State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 6)
No one is more motivated for a big December than I am. And I am going to get it started with one of my best weeks of the season, including a 7-Unit Play Thursday and four NFL 411 picks this weekend. Here is a Saturday winner to squeeze in between those plays. Ohio State is cooked. They were able to survive the loss of their top quarterback. But they won’t hold up now that J.T. Barrett is down. He was a Heisman candidate. Now the Buckeyes have their fate in the hands of a kid that has thrown just 19 passes. One week won’t be enough time to get Cardale Jones ready to face this Badgers defense. And Wisconsin has a Heisman candidate of its own in Melvin Gordon. Ohio State’s rush defense has been terrible against the three best running backs it has faced this year, giving up 7.0 yards per carry and over 500 rushing yards to go with nine touchdowns. Wisconsin has experience and has had a lot of success in this Big Ten championship game. UW coach Gary Anderson has been a bankroll-boosting 23-10 ATS in his last 33 games. Add those things together and it looks like Ohio State’s championship dreams will have to be put on hold for another year. Lay the points.



NEWSLETTER UFC 181 Prediction From Raphael Esparza

Take “Over” 2.5 Rounds (-180) Pennington vs. Evans-Smith (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 6)
This play is from UFC 181 out in Las Vegas on Saturday. It is a play that I have been waiting for all week, just like my 7-Unit NFL Game of the Year on Sunday. I also have a 7-Unit NHL Play Thursday and a 7-Unit Boxing pick on Saturday from the HBO fight, so it is going to be another awesome weekend. I was a little shocked that Ashlee Evans-Smith is a big favorite in this fight (-200) but really shocked that this round prop is so short. Raquel Pennington in my eyes has no power to KO Evans-Smith, and I see this fight going all 3 rounds. Pennington last 2 fights both went the distance, and I see this fight starting off really slow and Pennington will want to take this fight to the ground early. Hurry up and bet this fight prop because I see the betting UFC public also jumping on the OVER because both fighters just don’t have the power to stop a fight early. If you like betting dogs I would also take a shot at Raquel Pennington at +165 or higher because she does have the tools to pull off the upset.
 

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English Premier TODAY 17:30
Man CityvEverton
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10/3

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KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in eight of City’s last 11 games

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester City are beginning to click so it’s hard to see stuttering Everton causing an upset, although the Toffees are not afraid to go toe-to-toe with anyone. That could be their undoing but Everton look value to get on the scoresheet along with their free-flowing but fragile hosts.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Andre Marriner STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
QPRvBurnley
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11/10

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KEY STAT: QPR haven’t won any of their last nine meetings with Burnley

EXPERT VERDICT: Burnley have turned the corner of late with a timely four-match unbeaten run, but home advantage is expected to swing this match in QPR’s favour. The Hoops have been playing well at Loftus Road, scoring 12 goals in their seven home fixtures, and ex-Burnley man Charlie Austin gives them an edge.

RECOMMENDATION: QPR
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REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
LiverpoolvSunderland
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13/2

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KEY STAT: Sunderland have failed to score in four of their six league away matches this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Successive wins should have restored confidence and Liverpool can make it a hat-trick of victories but it may not be pretty. All five of Liverpool’s home wins this season have been by a single goal and with Sunderland struggling for goals a punt on the Reds to win 1-0 is best.

RECOMMENDATION: Liverpool to win 1-0
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REFEREE: Neil Swarbrick STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
StokevArsenal
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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13/5

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KEY STAT: Arsenal have won once in their last eight visits to Stoke

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal never seem to enjoy their trips to the Britannia Stadium and Stoke have the potential to make things horrible once again for the Gunners. Stoke have been a touch unfortunate to lose narrowly to Manchester United and Liverpool and they can gain some compensation here with a point.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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REFEREE: Anthony Taylor STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 15:00
TottenhamvC Palace
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3/5

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KEY STAT: Tottenham have conceded in six of their last seven games

EXPERT VERDICT: It’s just one victory in eight matches for Crystal Palace, while Tottenham haven’t been performing especially well, but they have begun to form a winning habit. Spurs should win but they’re less comfortable at home than they should be and Palace could at least give them a scare. Yannick Bolasie’s goal threat appears to have been underrated.

RECOMMENDATION: Y Bolasie's first goalscorer
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REFEREE: Lee Mason STADIUM:

 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 7:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$8000 - CLAIMING PRICE $12,500


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 UNTOUCHABLE ONE 15/1


# 4 NOBLE'S GRAND SLAM 12/1


# 10 NUCULAR ENEMY 7/2


UNTOUCHABLE ONE will have you running to the cashier's window in here especially at a long price. Bettors at Meadowlands will notice this interesting entrant's pace figures are among the most respectable in the group. Recorded a 80 TrackMaster SR in last race. A duplicate affair here should get the win in this race. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win clip. NOBLE'S GRAND SLAM - Positive feeling - battling well enough to contend in this race. NUCULAR ENEMY - This gelding getting the top prize wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Talk about a dynamic duo, Callahan and Davis have some of the best driver/trainer figures at the track.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 8:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$7500 - CLAIMING $15,000 HENSLEY PICKED 4 OVER 3


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 IN MINT CONDITION 4/1


# 4 MAJOR STONE 9/2


# 6 ALWAYS N THE MONEY 3/1

Hard not to think about IN MINT CONDITION as the top selection for this race. Been running with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class advantage. (Average Rating 88). In recent times Micallef has been blazing hot, which may give the edge to this gelding here. Amazing win percentage combined with recent nice performances. We think he can handle this group. MAJOR STONE - The knowledge group can't help but like this fine animal because the internal pace stats fit well here at Pompano Park. Hensley will be looking to end up in the winner's circle this time, has been hot as a pistol of late. Win figure the last 30 days is a sparkling 27. ALWAYS N THE MONEY - He has been competing strongly and the speed ratings are among the finest in the field. Has to be given a look based on the good speed figure achieved in the most recent competition.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hawthorne

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $8800 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 NIKALUK 5/2


# 5 TERICE 4/1


# 4 GENEVA LAKE 5/1


NIKALUK looks decent to best this field. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field lately. Has run admirably when travelling a dirt route race. This mare must be given consideration just off the earnings per start in dirt route events alone. TERICE - Should be given a shot here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this field in her last outing. GENEVA LAKE - Has to be given consideration - I like the figs from the last outing. She ought to be carefully examined given the formidable speed figures.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 86

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 LENDERS WAY 4/1


# 4 R CLEVER CAT 7/2


# 7 WILD KAY 5/2


I think LENDERS WAY is a competitive choice. She has to be considered given the formidable speed figures. Garnered a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. R CLEVER CAT - Posted a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this mare a solid shot. WILD KAY - Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been respectable - 81 avg - of late. Farro has her trained quite well to break sharply out of the starting gate.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 4:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 KEEP THE CASH (ML=12/1)
#3 MUGGSY (ML=5/2)
#6 OUT DRINKIN' (ML=15/1)
#9 THREE MEN ON (ML=8/1)


KEEP THE CASH - When Lumpkins and Sullivan combine forces on equines the return on investment has been fantastic at +210. This gelding won at this distance on Jul 27th and was at a higher class than today. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. MUGGSY - When this rider and trainer join forces you have to take a look. Colon and McMahon have been great together. This gelding won at this distance on July 20th and was at a higher class than today. OUT DRINKIN' - Entered last at Thistledown in a race with a class figure of 84. Dropping drastically in class figure in today's event puts him in a solid position in this event. THREE MEN ON - This horse didn't run well on a track listed as good in his last race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour. You should ignore that effort.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DIRT DIVER (ML=3/1), #8 CALL THE GUY (ML=7/2), #4 AT THE SAGAMORE (ML=6/1),

DIRT DIVER - Hard to put any money on this gelding on the top end. Likes to finish in the money though. CALL THE GUY - Looked good on October 18th, finishing first, but no morning blow outs since is a bit troublesome. AT THE SAGAMORE - No picnic to play any animal in a short distance race at 6/1 when he hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple months.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - KEEP THE CASH - Consider this. Finished sixth on a sloppy track last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 25, possibly 30 percent improvement in class ability.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 KEEP THE CASH is going to be the play if we are getting 9/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #7 - Post: 9:09pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 91

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 YARDBIRD MISFITS (ML=8/1)
#8 OCEAN FRONT (ML=4/1)


YARDBIRD MISFITS - You'll be generating profits left and right by turning your bankroll onto this jockey/conditioner combination. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. OCEAN FRONT - Really have to believe this horse is going to be on the money at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BEL AIR BULLET (ML=5/2), #6 CLEVER FOX (ML=3/1), #1 HYPOTHETICAL (ML=4/1),

BEL AIR BULLET - This gelding finished off the board on October 3rd and wasn't even close last time around the track either. CLEVER FOX - The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this horse as a vulnerable competitor. HYPOTHETICAL - Hasn't been close at all recently.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 YARDBIRD MISFITS on the nose if you can get odds of 8/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 - AQUEDUCT - 3:43 PM EASTERN POST


The Garland of Roses Stakes

6.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#6 WILLET
#2 JOYA REAL
#7 EXPRESSION
#4 WINNING IMAGE

Well folks ... The Garland of Roses is named for the Hobeau Farm color-bearer who won the 1974 Parlo Turf Handicap and 1975 Black Helen Handicap at the ages of 5 and 6, respectively. Here in the 21st renewal of this stakes test, #6 WILLET has won 5 of 11 starts in her career to date sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and is the overall speed leader in this stakes field, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five "adventures" overall, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back. Jockey Angel Arroyo has been in her irons on 3 previous occasions. winning twice, and is back this afternoon here at "The Big-A" for his 4th ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #2 JOYA REAL, a 6-1 shot, has won half of her 8 career starts to date in dirt sprints, is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in each of her last five outings, winning three times of this recent streak of racing consistency.
 
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At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

The rains are on the way at Aqueduct on Saturday afternoon which likely will leave the racetrack sloppy and we could see some scratches, but it also opening day at Gulfstream Park and the weather look great, as does the 10-race card.

There are 142 horses entered in the 10 races at Gulfstream Park, which features the Claiming Crown with eight stakes and $1 million up for grabs.

The best blue-collar horse around the U.S. will converge at the Hallandale track, with over 100 horses entered over the eight stakes restricted to horse that have run for a claiming tag.

The richest race on the card is the $200,000 Jewel, which is restricted to three-year-olds and upward which have started for a claiming tag of $35,000 or less since January 1, 2013.

A full field of 14 was entered to go nine furlongs on the main track led by Dawly, who is the 3-1 morning line favorite. The six-year-old gelding was third in the Mountaineer Mile in his last outing, which was his first for trainer David Braddy, who claimed him for $80,000 out of a race Oct. 11 at Belmont Park.

A wide-open race is the $110,000 Claiming Crown Rapid Transit, which is today’s featured betting race with my selections and analysis below.

The feature at Aqueduct is the $100,000 Garland of Roses, which drew a field of nine fillies and mares that will go six furlongs on the inner track.

I am going with the speedy Bridgehampton, who exits the Gallant Bloom Handicap (G2) where she chased the early pace and tired to finish sixth. She has a win on the inner track and is bred to like a wet track.


Here is today’s opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:20 ET)
6 Bonnet Plume 5-1
4 Kayleigh's Road 4-1
1 Midnight Citra 3-5
3 Matty's Wondergirl 8-1

Analysis: Bonnet Plume stretches out to two turns for the first time while adding lasix here for the Albertrani barn. The filly made a mild late run last out to check in fourth at a mile after running fourth in her debut going six furlongs. She is bred to go long and to like a wet track. She is by Bernardini out of a stakes placed Coronado's Quest mare that has dropped three winners, top earner stakes winner Boys at Toscanova ($688,960).

Kayleigh's Road was fourth in the mud in her debut for the Hennig barn that usually does not have them fully cranked first out. She also has along winded pedigree, by Bellamy Road out of a Thunder Gulch mare. She figures to move forward off her debut and will offer more value than Midnight Citra, who looks like the one to beat but has more of a sprint oriented pedigree.

Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 1,4,6
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 The Garland of Roses (3:47 ET)
1 Bridgehampton / 1a Jonata 7-2
6 Willet 5-2
7 Expression 10-1
4 Winning Image 3-1

Analysis: Bridgehampton pressed a sharp early pace and faded to finish sixth last out in the Gallant Bob Handicap (G2) last out at Philly that is always a really tough race. The runner up La Verdad came back to win the state bred Iroquois, fourth place finisher Merry Meadow won the Sky Beauty at Gulfstream Park West, and fifth place finisher Classic Point took the restricted Punkin Pie and then won the Go for Wand Handicap (G3) in his next two starts. The filly won the My Juliet three back and ran a good second in the Victory Ride (G3) last year in her first start against winners. She is bred top and bottom to handle a wet track, by Bernardini out of a Forestry mare. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and is a danger to take these gate to wire if able to shake loose early.

Willet comes back quick after she failed to fire her best in a seventh place finish in the Go for wand. She ran fourth in that race last year and came back a week later and won the state bred Touch of Love on the main track here which was muddy that day, so she can handle the quick turn around. The cut back to six furlongs will suit and she has done some of her best running on wet tracks, winning three of five trips over wet tracks with a second. She reunites with Arroyo who was aboard for her win in the Touch of Love last year.

Expression made a good late run to finish in the runner up spot last out against Alw-2 optional claimers, beaten just a neck for the top spot facing Alw-2 foes in her second start off the layoff. She has won five of her nine starts on the inner track in her career. Her best in stakes company in a second and a third and she is 0 for 5 on wet tracks, but is looks as if she should be a decent price here and she looks primed for a top effort here in her third start off the bench.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,6 / 1,4,6,7
TRI: 1,6 / 1,4,6,7 / 1,2,4,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

GP Race 8 The Claiming Crown Rapid Transit (3:58 ET)
1 Palatine Hill 8-1
4 Goodtimehadbyall 9-2
7 Stallwalkin' Dude 5-2
11 Grande Shores 7-2

Analysis: Palatine Hill pressed the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out catching a sloppy track here facing optional claimers. The gelding had won four of his five previous starts, the lone loss a third in the two turn Skip Trial here. The gelding runs well over the main track and seven furlongs is probably his best distance. He is in good hands with the sharp Walder barn that we always seem to have luck backing. The 8-1 morning line looks fair enough in this wide-open race.

Goodtimehadbyall stumbled coming out of the gate and did not have any punch in the stretch in a fifth place finish last out at Belmont Park going long over a racing strip that was kinder to horse in the inner paths. The gelding beat $50,000 claimers two back at Monmouth Park and his career top speed fig was earned winning this race last year in a sharp effort. The cut back in distance will suit and he is much better than he showed last out.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,7,11
TRI: 1,4 / 1,4,7,11 / 1,4,7,10,11

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #3 Matty’s Wondergirl 8-1
R3: #4 Political Farce 8-1
R5: #2 Forged 12-1
R5: #5 Ausable River 15-1
R6: #8 Man of Mystery 12-1
R7: #5 Spinning for Home 8-1
R8: #7 Expression 10-1

Good luck today!
 
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Balmoral: Saturday 12/6 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 10 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (53 - 102 / $205.20): ALWYSBREAKINHEARTS (6th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY NORMAN (8th)


Race 1

(7) PERCHED ON TOP filly has a good burst of speed and just needs a good setup for a big chance late. (5) ODDS ON TOPAZ well bred filly needed her last start and should be better second start off the layoff. (4) VICTORIA IVY owns only one win on the year but has been close against a similar bunch.

Race 2

(5) DIXIE'S BOY went a big effort first over last out just missing. (7) FIRST FROST gelding has a ton of upside and looks to be getting better with every start. (8) RED PINE was right there with the top two choices last out from the toughest post.

Race 3

(5) SONNY DEAN two-year old sneaks into the conditions one last time; short price. (6) BLACKJACK RIVNDEL finds a field full of question marks besides the top choice. (2) TOUCH THE SKY three-year-old colt makes his second career start and has room to improve.

Race 4

(1a) ARTACHE HANOVER beat a better field last out showing a big late kick. The pacer should offer value even coming off the win. (3) BEST MAN HANOVER has been going some big miles but will need a better effort than his most recent start. (2) TIME TO ROLL will need much more than his last few; command a price.

Race 5

(6) HELLO MY DREAM takes a significant drop in competition and just needs a smooth trip to have her nose on the wire. (2) WINGS mare drops back down in class and is sharp. (4) WHISTLE PIG mare is capable against this group and does her best racing from off the pace.

Race 6

(1) ALWYSBREAKINHEARTS gelding has been really good at this level; fires early. (1a) WASHINGTON HANOVER was competitive against much tougher earlier in the year. (5) REVOLUTIONARY doesn't look the best on paper but can jump up with a big effort any week.

Race 7

(5) JUSTICE JET gelding needs a good drive from a provisional pilot but owns a big brush when timed right. (1) CELEBRITY HERCULES has just been racing evenly but will look to bounce back from the rail. (8) TIME OUTA JAIL gets a good driver change and seems to be improving despite the break last out.

Race 8

(2) FOX VALLEY NORMAN has been facing much tougher and should be close with a good effort. (3) HEAVENLY BEACHES was too far back trying to close into a soft middle half. The pacer has a good late kick and just needs honest fractions up front. (6) ALEQUASH HOTSPUR drew off at this level last out but has yet to show any consistency; use caution.

Race 9

In a tough race to handicap (9) FASHION DELIGHT holds a class edge on most of the field and raced gamely last out. (4) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix. (7) EXTRAVAGANT ART needs an ideal trip to hit the top spot but is capable of hitting the ticket at a price underneath.

Race 10

(3) ACCOUNT ROLLOVER well bred gelding raced super first start off over a month off. The pacer could have more to offer and should offer a fair price. (4) SCOTTY MACH N just missed last out against a similar bunch; threat. (5) PREEMPTIVE BID has had some tough racing luck in recent starts but could threaten at a price.

Race 11

In a field with few contenders (4) DP ANGEL will offer a better price and has beaten the favorite recently. (3) ALWAYS ABOUT KATEY mare is the horse to beat but has lacked her usual pop turning for home; use caution. (2) PARTY HANGOVER mare parlayed a perfect trip last start and should be in line for another ground saving trip; threat.

Race 12

(1) SVAYA KNOWS never had much of a chance last out being hampered by a dull outer flow. The pacer will be used very aggressively from the rail. (4) ACES AGAIN is in the same boat as the top choice and will be firing late. (7) FORTUNE DOR pacer makes his third start back off a long layoff and is sitting on a good effort soon.

Race 13

(2) FOX VALLEY REBEL takes a big drop in for a tag and was loaded with pace a few starts ago. (9) BARBOSA has some ability and has really improved in for a new trainer. (10) ITS A BIG SECRET needs to find a way into the race but is one of the better late closers in the field.
 
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Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/6 analysis
By Greg Gangle

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: CHARMED LIFE (10th)

Spot Play: VANCE BAYAMA (5th)


Race 1

(7) SING FOR ME GEORGE has been knocking on the door as of late, has a solid overall record this season and is due for a winning effort. (6) IN COMMANDO gets class relief and should be more of a threat in here. (2) ADKINS HANOVER draws inside, comes from the Moreau barn and has hit the board in each of his last three.

Race 2

(6) HER NAME IS LOLA has finished second in each of her last two starts and generally offers a high price. She's worth a look if the price holds up. (1) FORK draws the rail and has hit the board in two of his last three. (3) BURNIN MONEY was a winner impressively in his latest, draws well and moves up in class.

Race 3

(7) CALGARY SEELSTER has been terrific as of late and can't be overlooked at this lower level. (3) KG DRAGONATOR draws inside and has posted back-to-back wins since entering the Macdonnell barn. (1) CHAMPAGNE PHIL draws inside and has hit the board in four of his last five starts. He's a player from the rail in here.

Race 4

(4) PAID IN CASH has won two straight, draws well and is capable of the class jump. (2) J HIGH has won two of her last three at this level and draws inside. (7) CHAMPAGNE SHOWER was a winner last week at this level and comes from the Moreau barn.

Race 5

(8) VANCE BAYAMA is a big player at this level with a better post and his quick gate-speed. (1) THE OPTOMIST draws the rail, comes from the Goodwin barn and comes out of the Autumn Series. (4) AMERICAN ISLAND has hit the board in three of his last four starts, has terrific gate-speed and is a good option for the triactor.

Race 6

(5) REGAL SON has won three of his last four, draws in the middle of the gate and comes from the Lindsey barn. (7) NIRVANA SEELSTER can't be counted out with his overall record this season, versatility and solid closing speed. (8) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL tends to be inconsistent, but has hit the board in two of his last three starts and has been closing off his miles very well. He has some upside coming from the Moreau barn.

Race 7

(3) REGAL BABE is a new recruit into the Lindsey barn and is a good option if the price holds up. (4) SURPRISE HANOVER draws well and was a game second last week in this class. (2) VIP BAYAMA drops out of the Autumn Series following a fourth place finish. He's versatile and shows 1:52 speed.

Race 8

(4) J CS JAKE is fresh off a win at this level and Cirasuola's barn has been terrific on this circuit as of late. (9) BODY BALANCE has been a main threat at this level for many weeks and is an obvious choice for the exactor. (3) DONTCHEATONMENOW draws inside and has posted back-to-back wins, including the Autumn Final last week.

Race 9

(5) DONAU drops in class, comes from the Auciello barn and continues to pace in the 1:50-1:51 range. (1) MONTE CRISTO drops in class as well and has hit the board in three of his last four. (7) SUNNY BEACH DAY has been a different horse since arriving in the Moreau barn two starts back. He can't be overlooked for the triactor.

Race 10

(4) CHARMED LIFE has a patented late kick and a short field will only increase her chances. (7) DAYLON MAGICIAN is a logical contender in this dash with his recent efforts and back class. (2) RIVETING ROSIE is fresh off a fifth place finish in the Breeders Crown and returns home into this class.

Race 11

(1) ROCK ME AMASTREOS draws the rail, has a good closing kick and back class to offer for this bottom group. (6) WHY DONT YOU STAY doesn't have the best record this season, but I admire the way he paced home last week closing from tenth to third. (7) F TWENTY TWO has been a main threat at his level for many weeks. He may offer a price this week and is a good option from a high percentage barn.
 

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