Jack Jones
Dec 01 '18, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Clemson vs Pittsburgh
Play on: Pittsburgh +28 -110 at Bovada
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Pittsburgh +28
The Clemson Tigers don’t need style points this week. They simply need to win and get out of town and get into the four-team playoff. They won’t be looking to impress anyone Saturday when they take on the Pitt Panthers. Simply a victory would get them into the four-team playoff. That’s why they shouldn’t be laying four touchdowns here.
These Clemson lines are really starting to get out of hand. They failed to cover last week as 25.5-point favorites against South Carolina, and they also failed to cover the week before as 29.5-point favorites over Duke. Heck, South Carolina put up 35 points and 600 total yards on them last week. Pitt can hang within 28 points.
I think the betting public wants nothing to do with Pitt after its 3-24 loss to Miami last week. But that was a clear look-ahead spot for the Panthers as they had already clinched the ACC Coastal Division title and really had nothing to play for. They were simply saving up for Clemson.
More important is how Pitt played in previous weeks when they were motivated leading up to that Miami game. The Panthers went 5-1 SU and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their previous six games. Their only loss was a 14-19 loss at Notre Dame as 21-point dogs. That’s a 12-0 Notre Dame team that has clinched a spot in the four-team playoff. They also pulled outright upsets over Syracuse, Duke and Virginia, while also beating VA Tech by 30 and Wake Forest by 21 as favorites.
Remember a few years ago when Pitt was in a similar situation against Clemson. The Panthers actually upset the Tigers 43-42 as 21.5-point underdogs. Now, I’m not saying they’re going to pull the upset again, but they don’t have to for us to cash a winning ticket. They just need to stay within four touchdowns, which they are clearly capable of.
Plays against any team (Clemson) - after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game against an opponent that gained 3.25 or fewer yards per play in their previous game are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Dabo Swinney is 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points as the coach of Clemson. The Panthers are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a loss. Bet Pittsburgh Saturday.
Dec 01 '18, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Clemson vs Pittsburgh
Play on: Pittsburgh +28 -110 at Bovada
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Pittsburgh +28
The Clemson Tigers don’t need style points this week. They simply need to win and get out of town and get into the four-team playoff. They won’t be looking to impress anyone Saturday when they take on the Pitt Panthers. Simply a victory would get them into the four-team playoff. That’s why they shouldn’t be laying four touchdowns here.
These Clemson lines are really starting to get out of hand. They failed to cover last week as 25.5-point favorites against South Carolina, and they also failed to cover the week before as 29.5-point favorites over Duke. Heck, South Carolina put up 35 points and 600 total yards on them last week. Pitt can hang within 28 points.
I think the betting public wants nothing to do with Pitt after its 3-24 loss to Miami last week. But that was a clear look-ahead spot for the Panthers as they had already clinched the ACC Coastal Division title and really had nothing to play for. They were simply saving up for Clemson.
More important is how Pitt played in previous weeks when they were motivated leading up to that Miami game. The Panthers went 5-1 SU and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their previous six games. Their only loss was a 14-19 loss at Notre Dame as 21-point dogs. That’s a 12-0 Notre Dame team that has clinched a spot in the four-team playoff. They also pulled outright upsets over Syracuse, Duke and Virginia, while also beating VA Tech by 30 and Wake Forest by 21 as favorites.
Remember a few years ago when Pitt was in a similar situation against Clemson. The Panthers actually upset the Tigers 43-42 as 21.5-point underdogs. Now, I’m not saying they’re going to pull the upset again, but they don’t have to for us to cash a winning ticket. They just need to stay within four touchdowns, which they are clearly capable of.
Plays against any team (Clemson) - after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game against an opponent that gained 3.25 or fewer yards per play in their previous game are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Dabo Swinney is 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points as the coach of Clemson. The Panthers are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a loss. Bet Pittsburgh Saturday.