Saturday 11/17/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

[bmd1803]

Chris Jordan
My free College Football winner for Saturday is on Wisconsin over Purdue, as I love the road underdog to get the money.
Wisconsin rolls in to this one in unfamiliar territory, having been eliminated from the West Division title chase, so one has to wonder how the Badgers respond at this point in the season.
The good thing to know heading into this contest, however, is the last time Wisconsin lost a Big Ten Conference football game at Purdue was 1997. That's seven straight win at Ross-Ade Stadium. Plus, the Badgers have won 12 straight in this series.
Now you're telling me I get to take points in this one?
Purdue's 90th-ranked defense will struggle to stop Wisconsin tailback Jonathan Taylor, who has run for at least 1,500 yards in his freshman and sophomore seasons, then 1,977 a year ago and 1,548 so far this season. The Boilermakers allow 144.8 yards per game - 46th in the nation - and I wouldn't be surprised to see Taylor run for that much on his own.
The Boilermakers' 122nd-ranked passing defense that allows 281.8 yards per game opens the door for Wisconsin's offense to flourish. The Badgers don't have the strongest passing game, but they can be effective in key spot once the sixth-best rushing game takes over.
Wisconsin has the 14th-best red zone offense in the land, while it has the 34th-best defense overall. And when the Badgers stifle Purdue, they'll put their offensive counterparts in great scoring positions throughout the game.
The Badgers have the 25th-best scoring defense that allows 21.0 points per game, so look for them to salvage their season by winning their final road game to prepare for their home finale next week against Minnesota in the battle for the Axe.
5* WISCONSIN

 

[bmd1803]

Tommy Brunson
Comp play release for Saturday on Georgia minus the redwood tree over Massachusetts.
The fact UGa is laying over 40 points assure UMass of being in this game for a spell, but in reality, the final score could very well be 58-7 in favor of the host Bulldogs.
The 'Dawgs are in a "holding pattern" until they face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game, as they have a date with Georgia Tech up next. Again, no worries laying this wood, as Georgia has won and cover 3 in a row now since their lone loss at LSU, and Kirby Smart has Georgia at 17-8 overall their last 25 versus the number.
Expect to see a little more of highly-touted quarterback Justin Fields in this game, and expect Fields to use this opportunity to showcase his goods.
As for UMass, the Minutemen simply do not have the talent or the depth to mount any kind of a threat either straight up or against the spread. This will be a nice paycheck for the University, but that's about it as the UMass season will conclude today. Massachusetts stands at just 4-8 against the spread their last dozen games played.
I am sure a lot of folks will line up for a play on Massachusetts, as they may be of the opinion that Georgia will be working past UMass as they get ready for Georgia Tech's triple-option next week, but I am not one of them!
Just a matter of time before this big number gets covered, as Georgia will not allow more than a touchdown at home today to Massachusetts.
58-7 final here.
2* GEORGIA

 

[bmd1803]

Gus Augustine
They have just one straight up blemish on their season schedule, and they have just one against the spread blemish on their season schedule so far. Those numbers won't take a hit today when Utah State at 9-1 straight up, and at 8-1-1 against the spread will once rack up a big number and allow a small number as they win and cover in Fort Collins against the Colorado State Rams.
After a little life shown in the middle of their season - 2 straight wins and covers - the Rams are closing with a whimper, losers of 3 in a row both straight up and against the spread.
Utah State lost this meeting last year in Logan, 24-17, but that was last year, and this year Matt Wells' team is just destroying teams, their last 3 wins this year by 42, 41 and 42 points! You talk about "the love", Aggies sophomore quarterback Jordan Love has amassed nearly 2,700 yards through the air with 24 TD passes and only 4 interceptions. Since the Rams just allowed over 500 yards of offense in their loss to Nevada last week, I do not think Colorado State will be able to stop this game from turning into a landslide. Lest you think Utah State will "ease up" trying to cover this impost, consider that they have covered in 10 of their last 12 when facing teams with a losing record.
The Aggies have a big game to close the regular season next week on the blue carpet in Boise, but that will not stop them from taking this one by 5 touchdowns.
Comp play on Utah State.
5* UTAH STATE

 

[bmd1803]

Ray Chadwick
Comp play for Saturday on Syracuse plus the points against Notre Dame in this afternoon affair from Yankee Stadium.
You talk about a big game, who could have foreseen how big this Orange-Irish battle would have been before the year started?!!?
Dino Babers has his team playing the best football in years, and they would like nothing better than to knock the undefeated Fighting Irish from the playoff perch they currently reside on. Babers has a proven track record when listed as the underdog, as Syracuse is 9-2 against the spread their last 11 when getting points, so Notre Dame best beware!
Syracuse is fresh off their 4th straight win, and their 3rd straight cover after shredding Louisville 54-23 at the Carrier Dome. Now they make the short trip down to the Bronx to face a Notre Dame team that is currently on a 1-2-1 spread dip over the last 4 wins, as the oddsmakers have made it tough to be a Notre Dame back down the stretch. Not only that, but when favored by more than 7-points, Brian Kelly's team is just 1-6-1 against the spread.
Last week, starting QB Ian Book sat out of Notre Dame's 42-13 win over Florida State with bruised ribs, and former starter Brandon Wimbush engineered that blowout, but remember Syracuse also beat the Seminoles 30-7 earlier this year. Book is expect to be back for today's tilt, and while Our Lady may be able to keep their unbeaten season afloat, but this one could very well come down to a game winning field goal.
I am taking Syracuse plus the points at the Big Ballpark in the Bronx.
4* SYRACUSE

 

[bmd1803]

Dave Price
Nov 17 '18, 12:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Nebraska
Play on: Nebraska +2½ -109 at GTBets
Dave’s Saturday Bonus Play:
1* on Nebraska +2.5
The Key: It has been a tale of two seasons for the Nebraska Cornhuskers. They were expected to struggle early in Scott Frost’s first season, and they did. But they have rebounded nicely here of late by going 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They covered the spread in road losses to Wisconsin, Northwestern and Ohio State, the latter two of which they had a great chance to win outright, losing in OT to Northwestern and only by 5 at Ohio State. And they beat Minnesota 53-28 at home and Illinois 54-35 at home. Their offense has been unstoppable behind Adrian Martinez. I’m not sure how Michigan State can keep up. The Spartans have been held to 24 or fewer points in each of their last 6 games. They are coming off a huge 6-26 loss to Ohio State, and won’t be nearly as hungry to face Nebraska this week. The Spartans are scoring just 19.3 PPG in conference play. The Huskers are 8-1 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Huskers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State. Take Nebraska.

 

[bmd1803]

Red Dog Sports
Nov 17 '18, 12:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest
Play on: Pittsburgh -6½ -114 at pinnacle
Pitt -6.5
Wake Forest is off a road win at NC State last week, in a huge upset. However, the Demon Deacons have been allowing plenty of points all year as injuries and lack of depth have hurt them. Pittsburgh is well coached and has a nice ground game.
I think we see Pitt win by 12.

 

[bmd1803]

Alex Smart
Nov 17 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs Colorado State
Play on: Utah State -27 -109 at GTBets
Utah State is a merciless offensive juggernaut averaging 51 ppg in offensive production this season while allowing an average of 22.7 ppg. They are being asked to lay almost 4 TDS in this MWC road game vs the Colorado State Rams, but because of their lack of respect for opposing teams and their refusal to take their proverbial foot off the gas, Im betting they are a viable wager here to cover vs a side that allows an average of more than 38 ppg.
HC Wells last 6 games as a 21.5 to 31 point favorite have seen his team average 53.5 ppg while allowing just 18.2 ppg, with the point differential coming in at 35.3 ppg for a perfect 6-0 ATS record.
CFB Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UTAH ST) - good rushing team - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 32-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Utah State to cover

 

[bmd1803]

Doug Upstone
Nov 17 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Florida International vs Charlotte
Play on: Florida International -5½ -111 at BMaker
On Saturday, Play On a road team like FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL, allowing 330-390 YPG, against a good defensive team (280 to 330 YPG allowed) after 7+ games, after outgaining foe by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. In the past nine years, teams like FIU are 24-3 ATS, 88.9 percent.

 

[bmd1803]

Sean Murphy
Nov 17 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs Colorado State
Play on: OVER 68 -109
Saturday NCAAF Bonus Play. My selection is on the 'over' between Utah State and Colorado State at 2 pm et on Saturday.
Utah State finally broke into the top 25 rankings this week, on the strength of an offense that has been firing on all cylinders this season, well beneath the national radar. The Aggies have a good opportunity to go off again on Saturday afternoon as they take on a listless Colorado State defense that has been getting lit up repeatedly this season. The Rams have given up at least 43 points on five different occasions this season, starting with a stunning 43-34 home loss against Hawaii way back on August 25th. Things obviously haven't gotten much better as they just suffered a 49-10 loss at Nevada last week. Utah State's offense has been the team's engine. The defense has been 'good enough' but certainly not great. This is a unit that has given up 38 points against Michigan State, 32 points against Air Force, 28 points against UNLV and most recently, 24 points against lowly San Jose State. In other words, I do believe we'll see Colorado State put some points on the board on Senior Day. We're dealing with a high total in a game that should get out of hand in a hurry, but I don't expect Utah State to take the air out of the ball in this one. The lofty total is warranted. Take the over (10*).

 

[bmd1803]

Pro Computer Gambler
Nov 17 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs Colorado State
Play on: Utah State -26 -109

 

[bmd1803]

Hunter Price
Nov 17 '18, 2:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Appalachian State
Play on: Georgia State +28½ -110

 

[bmd1803]

Jesse Schule
Nov 17 '18, 2:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Syracuse vs Notre Dame
Play on: Syracuse +9 -108 at pinnacle
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Syracuse Orange. The Notre Dame Irish have been cruising through a rather average schedule, and they are currently ranked #3 overall with their sights set on the College Football Playoffs. Standing in their way are the #13 ranked Syracuse Orange, who have lost two games by an average margin of 5.5 points. Their loss to Clemson by a score of 27-23 is more impressive than most of Notre Dame's wins. This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. I'll take the points with Syracuse. Take CUSE. GL,

 

[bmd1803]

Bobby Conn
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Boston College vs Florida State
Play on: Florida State +1 +102

 

[bmd1803]

Mike Williams
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois +14½ -105

 

[bmd1803]

John Martin
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois +16 -108 at pinnacle
1 Unit Bonus Play on Illinois +16
The Iowa Hawkeyes have lost three in a row coming in. They were all winnable games as they lost all three by 6 or fewer points. But the fact of the matter is they choked when they had a golden opportunity to win the wide open Big Ten West Division. Now they will have a hard time finding any reason to be motivated to face Illinois this week. And yet they’re still laying 16 points to the Fighting Illini. Illinois has played three of their last four on the road, but in their lone home games during this stretch they slaughtered Minnesota 55-31 as 9.5-point underdogs. Iowa gave up 184 rushing yards to Northwestern last week, a team not known for running the football. And now they have to face a Fighting Illini rushing attack that is producing 263 yards per game and 6.3 per carry, including 313.8 yards per game in their last four Big Ten games coming in. This is also Senior Day for the Fighting Illini, so I can’t help but think they’ll want this game more. Give me Illinois.

 

[bmd1803]

Totals Guru
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Texas Tech vs Kansas State
Play on: OVER 56½ -110

 

[bmd1803]

Dustin Hawkins
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Oklahoma State
Play on: Oklahoma State +5½ -109

 

[bmd1803]

Freddy Wills
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | USC vs UCLA
Play on: UCLA +3 -110 at sportsbook
UCLA +3 1.1% Bonus Play
If there was ever a coaching mismatch it is in this game with Chip Kelly over Clay Helton. Helton may already be out as the head coach of USC, especially if he loses this game, and next week as USC will miss a bowl game. I think Helton is out and he knows it. He’s 7-16 ATS on the road as the head man here, and facing their rival who are heading in a completely opposite direction. The other thing I noticed about this matchup is the fact that UCLA has faced a far tougher schedule.

 

[bmd1803]

Joseph D'Amico
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Boston College vs Florida State
Play on: Boston College -1½ -105 at betonline
Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Boston College.
Game 399.
12:30 pm pst.
Even if QB, Anthony Brown is sidelined here, this line should be closer to a TD. Adequate backup, EJ Perry can still exploit the 110th ranked pass defense of Florida State. BC can crutch on RB, AJ Dillon (936 YR, 8 TD's), while the Eagle's defense overmatches one of the worst offensive units in college football. Boston College is 16-3 ATS the last 19 regular season games, 6-1 ATS the last seven games vs. teams with a losing record, 12-3-1 ATS the last 26 conference games, and 19-7 ATS the last 26 road games. Take the Eagles. Thank you.

 

[bmd1803]

Ross Benjamin
Nov 17 '18, 3:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Wisconsin vs Purdue
Play on: Wisconsin +4 -105 at 5Dimes
Wisconsin @ Purdue 3:30 PM ET
Game# 325-326
Play On: Wisconsin +4.0
Wisconsin is coming off last Saturday’s 22-10 loss at Penn State. Since 2005, Wisconsin is 34-1 following a loss when playing after Game 6 of their season and when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .500 or worse. That also includes 16-0 straight up in their last 16 games when cast into that specific role.
Purdue is coming off an embarrassing 41-10 loss at Minnesota and they did so as an 11.0-point favorite. That defeat dropper the Boilermakers record to 5-5.
Any conference away underdog of 1.5 to 7.0-points (Wisconsin) that’s coming off a conference game, versus an opponent (Purdue) coming off a conference straight up loss as a favorite of 10.0 to 21.0-points, and they (Purdue) possess a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those away underdogs going 16-0 ATS since 1989. Take Wisconsin plus the points.