Saturday 10/31/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[dmoney221]

anyone have fezziks blowout GOM? ty

 

[Holla1974]

ill kill someone for fezziks gom

 

[rob7168]

I think it would be cheaper if you just bought it holla.....lol

 

[Cbass1533]

If your a member at pregame then you should have gotten an nba promo 25 dollar. It says nba but you can use it for anything

 

[Behrens]

Any Senor Capper's selections?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE COKIN

WASHINGTON ST +11.5

The best number on this Saturday’s PAC-12 duel between the Cardinal and the Cougars is no longer available, but even at the current line, I see this as a spot where the home dog has a chance at the upset and certainly rates a look getting some substantial points.

Mike Leach has got Wazzu playing some good football right now. Washington State has won three straight games and QB Luke Falk is putting up some ridiculous numbers for the Cougars. When Leach has a signal caller that gets his system and has the tools to implement the strategy without turning the ball over, it’s look out time. Just ask the defensive coordinators for Oregon, Oregon State and Arizona. Washington State not only handled all three opponents, they did so in spectacular offensive fashion.

Obviously, the task for Leach and Falk gets much tougher on Saturday. Stanford is rolling into Pullman on a 6-0 run since the upset loss at Northwestern. And the Cardinal seem to bet improving. I thought this Stanford team had playoff potential prior to the season, and while they’re going to have to win out to have any chance of getting to the college football Final Four, they’re definitely in the picture as a possibility.

Stanford doesn’t have any discernible weaknesses. QB Kevin Hogan was having a few accuracy issues early, but he’s now all the way up to a nearly 67% completion rate, and he’s doing a great job engineering the Cardinal attack. Christian McCaffrey is a legit candidate to make it to the Downtown Athletic Club as a Heisman finalist. The Stanford defense is staunch, and they’ve been outstanding defending opposing passing games.

Nevertheless, while trying to get the best of Stanford is a daunting task right now, I like Washington State to compete here. They aren’t getting any real attention nationally, but the Cougars have edged into my top 50 on the power rankings and their only league loss was absorbed when California staged a remarkable late rally to steal a victory from Wazzu. The opening week Cougars loss to Portland State is now a distant memory and I’m becoming convinced this is a pretty solid football team.

This looms as a typical WSU shootout, with big plays galore on both sides. While the money line is enticing to be sure, I’m not convinced the home team has enough on defense to get the outright upset. But the Cougars look a bit undervalued still, even with the line having dropped some from the opening number. I’ll side with Washington State plus the points to produce a spread winner on Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAJUN SPORTS

UCLA -21

The Colorado Buffalos travel to the City of Angels for a Pac 12 battle against the hometown Bruins of UCLA on Saturday afternoon. We know the Buffalos are 0-7 against the spread playing away from home coming off a straight up win on the road. We want to play ON College Football teams coming off a game in which they were installed as favorites and are again favored this week have posted a record of 15-3 against the spread for 83.3 percent winners. We want to play AGAINST a road underdog of one to three touchdowns with less than two weeks rest seeking revenge for a two plus Overtime straight up loss in their last matchup. These road underdogs are 0-10 against the spread in this situation. The Buffalos have struggled following up a road win with another road contest going 0-7 ATS in this situation. Our TPR Index projects a point advantage of 28.8 points. The combination of all these makes this an easy call on the Bruins.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Otto Sports

Oregon St +23

Prior to last week's game against USC, Utah's defense had looked as good as any in the PAC-12. The Utes held the high powered offenses of Oregon, Arizona State, and California to less that 21 ppg. And even though they allowed 42 to the Trojans, keep in mind Utah coughed up the football four times and allowed a pick six. For the game, USC averaged a modest 5.14 yards per play. Back at home, I expect Utah to revert back to it's staunch defensive ways.

Oregon State is a bad football team that last week missed out on a rare opportunity for a win in a 17-13 home loss to Colorado. The Beavers held the Buffs to 4.82 ypp but prior to that had allowed over 7 ypp in three straight games. I'm not sure Gary Andersen is the long term solution in Corvallis. It almost feels like OSU hired him because he had many of the same attributes as former head coach Mike Riley.

But as easy as it is the rail on Oregon State, we need to talk about this pointspread. OSU was catching +14 vs. Stanford, +8 at Arizona, and +7.5 at Washington State. They failed to cover all three of those games but a massive adjustment has been made as they are as high as +24 at Utah. Note that the Beavers would have covered +24 at Michigan, vs. Stanford, and at Washington State. And while Utah had that look of “elite” heading into last week's game at USC, on the season they are outgaining their opponents by only +0.27 ypp in part because they just don't have explosiveness or tempo of a lot of other teams in the PAC-12. Yeah, we're holding our nose, but the value lies with the ugly road underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SLEEPYJ

New Mexico St. +4.5

We don't need big marquee games to cash in a ticket..This is one of those games for sure..A boring contest at best, but some decent line value and for good reason..Key in this game is the departure of Idaho WR Dezmon Epps...I have watched Idaho a few times and have seen the Vandals offense operate...Epps is one of two players they have to make plays..Well he has been suspended for some tyoe of domestic dispute with his girlfriend...Sad to see, because he was really good..41% of the offensive production was in Epps hands..With Epps out now the offense will sputter..The QB/WR connection was almost predictable..Every play went to Epps or RB Penny...Now Penny is good, but he can't do it alone..The Vandals #2 WR has a total of 21 catches on the year..That's not going to cut it here..Now i know that New Mex St is a brutal 0-7 on the year..One would think this team will try at home to get rid of the goose egg..If they have a chance at a win, it's this game right here..Idaho has a very poor defense and they rank 107th...New Mex has a very poor defense as well..They rank 124th...So we have two bad defenses in this game...Vandals have to be let down here and the playbook has shrunk for sure with Epps off the field...Idaho will have to run the ball to gather some type of rythym...Problem for Idaho is New Mexico St lacks in the pass defense..The run defense for the Aggies is ranked 81st..Not all that great either, but the strong spot on that side of the ball...The Aggies haven't won a game since week 2 of last year..It's been a good long time since they won a game..They also have revenge from last year when they went to Idaho and lost by 12....Long trip here for the Vandals, and without the best player on the team that will hurt..Aggies will be gunning for a win here today off a blowout loss..Give me the +4.5..I think the Aggies have a real shot to win this game straight up

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andrew Lange

Texas/Iowa State Under 53

All four of Texas' Big XII games have gone under the total, and three of the four weren't even close as the market has had a tough time adjusting. The Longhorns have run the ball more than any team in league play (51 times per game) and attempted the fewest passes (18.3 times per game). There's no reason to think they'll change that mentality off of back-to-back wins and facing a team in Iowa State the has difficulty stopping the run.

A lot of change for Iowa State heading into this game as offensive coordinator Mark Mangino was let go and sophomore quarterback Joel Lanning will get the start. Lanning took over for senior Sam Richardson in last week's loss to Baylor. His stats look good (12-of-17, 144 yards, 3 TDs) though the Cyclones were trailing 35-0 midway through the second quarter. The change is clearly a last ditch effort to turn things around for head coach Paul Rhoads who is obviously on the hot seat. Given the short turnaround, I'm not expecting it to have an immediate positive impact. And don't be fooled by ISU's respectable offensive numbers (464 ypg vs. Big XII) as three of their four games were played with huge deficits and the other against woeful Kansas. Defensively, ISU is pretty bad though after playing the up-tempo offenses of Texas Tech, TCU, and Baylor, they get somewhat of a reprieve with Texas coming to town.

The market has really made an adjustment with Texas' totals as last week's game against Kansas State was blasted under and the early money this week has showed the same. This game opened a somewhat generous 57 but has since moved four points. That doesn't leave us with much value but under is still the prefered play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FREDDY WILLS

California +6

I have done extremely well on complimentary plays in the PAC 12. Last week we gave you USC and I look to come back and fade the Trojans after they beat a top 5 team at home. Major hang over spot for USC, and the oddsmakers have been so wrong about this team all year. I mentioned in this week's college football betting podcast (search college football betting in itunes), how whacky this PAC 12 conference has been from a betting perspective.

Week 1 – Not hard to screw up the lines this early in the season, but we had Stanford as a 10 point favorite lose on the road against Northwestern. Not many would predict that today.

Week 3- We had USC as a -9.5 favorite at home against Stanford, and USC goes down 41-31 in what was a pretty shocking loss at the time.

Week 4 – There were two games where the line was really off and we had some surprising results. UCLA covered the spread as a 1 point favorite at Arizona by 25 points, and USC who lost huge the week before (20 points of margin ATS), beat Arizona State and covered the spread by 22 points of margin. Oregon was a 10 point favorite against Utah and lost 62-20, an incredible 52 point margin of victory ATS.

Week 5 – Of course that set things up for Arizona State the next week with an inflated line as they were 12.5 point under dogs at UCLA, but get the road victory by 15 points, and 27.5 margin ATS.

Week 6 – The win for USC at Arizona State looks a little better now, and their loss against Stanford not as bad. They are 17 point home favorites against Washington, and lose outright, an incredible 22 point margin of victory ATS for Washington.

Week 7 – Stanford a 6.5 point favorite against UCLA, and both predicted to face off in the PAC 12 Championship which may still happen here. UCLA loses by 21 and I don’t think it was even that close. This set things up well for week 8 for UCLA.

California is coming off 2 tough tough road games against Utah, and then at UCLA and now they are back at home. They have a couple of extra days of preparation for this game which I really like, and they play an in state rival. USC, I don't think they will be completely concentrated on this game after defeating a top 5 team, and in doing so they didn't look that great. I felt like we were a bit lucky last week with USC as they forced Utah's QB Travis Wilson into 4 interceptions which was definitely not typical of this year's Utah team. Call has been turning the ball over a lot lately, but I think they are able to bounce back behind the support of their home crowd.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL

Washington State

One of the things I love to do is play on high-flying College Football offenses, and especially when I can get them as a home underdog. Certainly, Mike Leach’s Cougars fit the bill this weekend against Stanford. Washington State is catching double-digits, even though it has won three straight games, and covered four in a row. The Cougars put up 45 last week in an upset win at Arizona, and scored 52 two weeks ago, at home, vs. Oregon St. And home underdogs, off back to back wins, in which they scored 90 or more points combined, are 64-29, 69% ATS since 1983. Even better: home dogs of +4 or more points, off back to back wins, including an upset win the previous week as a road dog of +4 or more points, are 70% ATS since 1985.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Veno

Clemson/NC State Over 51

At 7-0 and No. 3 in the country, Clemson is now positioned to make the four-team playoff but these next two weeks are critical. The Tigers have to focus on this Saturday and be careful not to look ahead toward next week’s triple revenge home game against Florida State. Past history shows us that Clemson has been here before and not been able to seal the deal so laying doubles on the road in this spot is obviously something that seasoned bettors might not want any part of. NC State meanwhile is targeting this game as a redemption-type contest after being steamrolled 41-0 by Clemson last year which unfortunately for the Wolfpack was the most lopsided loss in this series. Dave Doeren’s team came out of their bye week firing on all cylinders in a 35-17 win and cover over Wake Forest. In 2011 Clemson came here to Carter-Finley Stadium 9-1, ranked No. 7 in the nation, and laying -6.5 points. NC State won that game straight up 37-13.

Clemson’s offense was hit by some tough injuries early this season losing star WR Mike Williams indefinitely in their opener and then starting C Ryan Norton. The Tigers held their own while trying to overcome those key losses and now they are playing their best offensive football of the season. Two weeks ago against the very stingy Boston College defense, Clemson passed for 420 yards and last week against Miami they ran for 416. Dual threat sophomore QB Deshaun Watson triggers the diverse offense which is peaking right now. Their defense has also overcome the loss of eight starters from last season’s team and allowed only one of their seven opponents this season (Notre Dame) to reach 300 total yards. Their pass rush ability (19 sacks this season) presents a serious challenge for NC State which has allowed 18 sacks despite have a very mobile QB in Jacoby Brissett.

It’s tough to gauge the true strength of this Wolfpack offense because of the schedule they’ve played which has only seen them face two legitimate defenses. In those games versus Louisville and Virginia Tech, they posted season lows in total yards gaining just 228 and 270 respectively. The loss of leading rusher Shadrach Thornton (dismissed from team) the week prior likely contributed to that pair of dismal performances. Defensively, NC State has not had to contend with a QB anywhere near the talent of Watson and last year they were shredded by him and the Clemson offense for 493 total yards. Up until this point, the Wolfpack defense has been superb allowing only 251.1 ypg and 16.1 ppg so it will be interesting to see how they perform here.

There are some questions remaining about each of these teams and this game figures to give us clearer pictures of both. Despite their undefeated record and NC State’s poor strength of schedule thus far, my power rating still suggest Clemson should be just a -6.5 point favorite. This pointspread cover could be decided in the turnover category since there are such contrasts between these teams. Clemson has turned it over 13 times in their seven games while NC State has committed only 4. However, the Tigers have generated more than twice as many takeaways than the Wolfpack (14-6). Just not real comfortable with either of these teams in this contest but I’m more impressed with Clemson’s results than NC State’s. With their offense rolling and the Wolfpack expected to play with emotion and motivation, I’ll take a small stance with the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TEDDY COVERS

Florida -3

Make no mistake about it – this game is likely to decide the SEC East; a huge contest with significant postseason implications. And that means it’s time to bet against Mark Richt once again; a longtime head coach with a consistently poor track record in games of this magnitude.

Florida was an 11.5 point underdog in the World Largest Cocktail Party last year, and they fell behind 7-0 early. Over the next three quarters, the Gators outscored the Bulldogs 38-6 before a last second meaningless Georgia touchdown made the final score look closer than the game actually was. And they did it despite QB Treon Harris getting his first career road start, completing only three passes for 27 yards for the entire game. Florida simply lined up and smashed Georgia at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football.

And there’s ample reason to believe that the Gators will be able to execute a similar philosophy this year. Georgia has struggled at the point of attack in both previous ‘step-up’ games this year, blasted by Alabama and falling apart after a big early lead against Tennessee; notching only 27 first downs in the two games combined. Some of their struggles were Grayson Lambert related, a QB that couldn’t win the starting job at Virginia, who’s hot start for Georgia has declined precipitously in recent games. Lambert is NOT a QB to trust against quality defenses, and the Bulldogs running game since Nick Chubb got hurt is simply not as explosive with Sony Michel getting the lion’s share of carries.

Florida, like Georgia, is rested and ready off their bye week, ready to wipe the bad taste from the tough LSU loss out of their collective mouths. But there were numerous positive signs in that tough road game, most notably the ability of Harris to find open receivers downfield. We expect teams with first year coaches, like Jim McElwain to improve as the season progresses, particularly off a bye week, with extra time to ensure that the team is picking up all the nuances of the new schemes. Florida already had the superior defense led by shutdown corner Vernon Hargreaves, and I’m expecting a strong showing from Harris and the offense against a vulnerable Bulldogs stop unit this week.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Oskeim Sports

Washington State +11

Washington State delivered an outright underdog winner for us last week as Mike Leach's squad invaded Tucson as 7-point underdogs and left with a 45-42 victory. Despite their recent success, including road wins over Oregon (45-38) and the aforementioned Arizona, the Cougars remains grossly undervalued by the betting market. Washington State is 3-0 SU and ATS (averaging +127.0 yards per game) in its last three games, and we will once again invest on an underrated stock that is a profitable 8-3 ATS as a conference home underdog of eight or more points.

Coach Leach deserves a lot of credit for keeping Washington State focused after losing its season-opener to Portland State as 31-point home favorites. Washington State possesses a very goof offense that is averaging 36.4 points and 506 total yards per game at 6.2 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.7 yards per play to a mediocre offensive squad. The Cougars' attack has been even more efficient over the last three weeks where they are averaging 47.3 points and 597 total yards per game at 6.6 yards per play and 12.6 yards per point. I also like the fact that Washington State is averaging 42.5 points and 549 total yards per game in conference play this season.

The Cougars should be able to move the ball against a good Stanford stop unit that is allowing 5.2 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yards per play. However, the Cardinal are yielding nearly 400 yards per game at 5.4 yards per play on the road and 373 yards per game at 5.9 yards per play versus Pac-12 foes this season. Overall, Washington State and Stanford match up evenly from the line of scrimmage when the Cougars have the ball.

The area in which Washington State does not get enough credit is on the defensive side of the ball where new defensive coordinator Alex Grinch has done a tremendous job. Specifically, Washington State is yielding 6.0 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 6.3 yards per play. The Cougars also boast a very good secondary that has been 0.4 yards per pass play better than average (7.3 yards per play to a group of quarterbacks who would combine to average 7.7 yards per pass attempt).

The Cougars will be tested by a potent Stanford attack that is averaging 6.7 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yards per play. The Cardinal can beat you both on the ground (0.8 yards per rush play better than average) and through the air (3.1 yards per pass play better than average). The silver lining for Washington State investors is the fact that the Cougars play their best defense at home where they are limiting opponents to 23.0 points per game at 5.2 yards per play. Regardless, Stanford's offense possesses a significant advantage from the line of scrimmage and should be able to move the ball at a good clip Saturday night.

With Stanford standing at 4-7 ATS as a road favorite, grab the generous points with the Cougars as Oskeim Sports' 3% college football Bonus Play.

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 12:45

Chelsea

v

Liverpool

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		21/20	13/5	14/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT CHELSEA	RECENT FORM
ALHLHWADALAD*​ Most recent​	1 - 1 1 - 0 2 - 1 1 - 1	HDADADHDHDHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Chelsea have kept just two clean sheets in their last 13 Premier League games

EXPERT VERDICT: Jurgen Klopp steered Liverpool to a 0-0 draw at Tottenham on his last visit to London and his side can take a point at Stamford Bridge. Klopp has inherited a team with many faults but Liverpool showed improvement against Southampton and can unsettle Chelsea,who are unrecognisable from the squad who coasted to the title last term.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Mark Clattenburg STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Championship TODAY 12:30

Birmingham

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Wolves

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		13/8	23/10	19/10	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BIRMINGHAM	RECENT FORM
HLAWAWHWAWAL​ Most recent​	2 - 1 2 - 3 0 - 0 1 - 1	ADAWHWALHLHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Wolves have conceded seven goals in their past three games

EXPERT VERDICT: Back Birmingham to make it four straight defeats for Wolves in this west Midlands derby at St Andrew’s. The Blues had won four on the spin before Saturday’s loss at Hull and they claimed the spoils in last April’s renewal of this clash, winning 2-1.

RECOMMENDATION: Birmingham
1


REFEREE: Simon Hooper STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 15:00

Newcastle

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Stoke

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		13/10	12/5	12/5	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT NEWCASTLE	RECENT FORM
HLHLHDALHWAL​ Most recent​	1 - 1 5 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 0	AWHWAWAWHLHD*​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Stoke have won their last three away games, all 1-0

EXPERT VERDICT: Seven of Stoke’s ten league games this season have produced under 2.5 goals and Mark Hughes will be even more inclined to stay tight after their shock home loss to Watford. While the Potters have been inconsistent this season, Newcastle have been plain awful and this could be a flat affair.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
2


REFEREE: Roger East STADIUM:

 

[superbeets]

Premier League TODAY 15:00

Swansea

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Arsenal

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		4	3	3/4	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SWANSEA	RECENT FORM
HDALALHDHLAW​ Most recent​	2 - 1 1 - 2 0 - 2 2 - 2	HLHWAWHWHWAL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Arsenal have won only two of their last seven league matches against Swansea

EXPERT VERDICT: Swansea’s win at Aston Villa lifted the gloom around the Liberty Stadium and they’ll not fear the Gunners, who they beat away last May. Arsenal have seven wins in nine league games since the opening weekend, but the Swans did the double over them last season and know how to trouble Arsene Wenger's side.

RECOMMENDATION: Swansea
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REFEREE: Kevin Friend STADIUM: