Saturday 08/29/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Saturday 08/29/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins (+104, 9.5)

It never hurts for a team contending for a playoff spot to have some belief. A little relief doesn’t hurt, either.

The Texas Rangers have had both on their side lately as they make a run for their first playoff berth since 1999. Solid relief pitching helped Texas become the first road team since June to win a series in New York against the Yankees.

“We’re treading into territory we’ve never been in before,” Texas manager Ron Washington told reporters.

The manner in which they did it, with three relievers combining to shut down the best team in baseball, has fueled the Rangers’ confidence as they try to track down the Los Angeles Angels in the AL West and also stay alive for a possible Wild-Card berth.

“This sends a statement that we can play with anyone out there,” said reliever Jason Grilli, who got the win with two-plus shutout innings Thursday.

The Rangers’ surprising team ERA of 4.19, ninth in the majors, is bolstered by the bullpen’s 3.37 ERA mark. This bodes well against a struggling Minnesota lineup that had mustered just 10 runs over its past three games heading into Friday’s action.

Pick: Texas -114


Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers (+118, 9.5)

Windows of opportunity in the AL East don’t come along very often. The Tampa Bay Rays might see theirs closing soon and it’s in their best interest to make the most of it.

Last year’s surprising AL champion has been erratic in 2009, but recent speculation among local media and other baseball executives suggests it’s do-or-die for another run from the Rays.

The low-budget club is looking at the possibility of losing stars Carl Crawford and Carlos Pena to free agency after next year. If the Rays aren’t in contention at the All-Star break next year, there is a widespread belief that the club will trade one or both marquee players.

If that happens, another really long drought could ensue. In order for the Rays to make the most of this season, a strong series against the Detroit Tigers would help.

It’s a tall order, as a visiting club has not won a series in Detroit since June. But the Rays might be able to call on the memory of clinching the AL East title in Detroit last season.

They practically have no choice but to play well against the Tigers in order to stay in contention. Seven of Tampa Bay’s next 10 games are against the Tigers. The other three are against the Boston Red Sox.

If they are to return to last season’s form, the time is now.

Pick: Tampa Bay -128
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies

It’s no secret that Lee has been more than the Phillies could have hoped for when they traded for him to bolster their rotation down the stretch. There’s also no way you can keep him off of this list.

Lee (12-9, 2.62 ERA overall), who has an American League Cy Young award to his credit, might make a strong case for earning the NL’s honor despite a limited body of work. But what he’s shown so far is a masterpiece.

The 31-year-old perennial All-Star is 5-0 with an ERA of 0.68 since joining the Phillies. In his last start, he gave up two runs – both unearned—against the New York Mets. The left-hander has given up just one run in each of his four other starts for Philadelphia.

He also has been a bettor’s friend. With the exception of his last start, in which bettors were charged -250 to fade the Mets, Lee has been available for less than $2 in each of his other starts. That’s a bargain when you consider the return on investment.

Barry Zito, San Francisco Giants

Lost amid the deserved attention that San Francisco’s young aces have garnered, is the fact that Zito has quietly made a nice comeback for the Giants.

Since he arrived in San Francisco, Zito (8-11, 4.09 ERA) was becoming known as the guy with a nine-figure contract and 90-cent curveball. But the 31-year-old lefty has turned things around, going 3-1 with two no-decisions in his past six starts.

His last two starts ended in no-decisions, but Zito gave up no earned runs in each of those outings. A sign of his improving consistency lies in the fact that the three earned runs he gave up to the New York Mets is his worst outing over his past six starts.


Slumping

Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers

The 23-year-old right-hander has taken his share of lumps as the Milwaukee rotation has struggled. Gallardo is just 2-3 in his past five starts. But worse is the fact that he has put the Brewers’ bullpen in a tough spot by failing to give them quality innings.

Gallardo (12-10, 3.51 ERA) has made it past the sixth inning just once in his past five starts, during which he has yielded 16 walks. This included a five-inning outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers in which he was tagged for nine earned runs.

Ryan Dempster, Chicago Cubs

The hard-throwing right-hander appears to have revived his career as a starter in Chicago. Even so, Dempster has struggled at the worst possible time for a club desperately in need of a reliable ace.

Dempster (7-7, 4.07 ERA) is 2-2 with two no-decisions in his past six starts. This includes a two-loss stretch in which he gave up 10 total earned runs against the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres.

Dempster has given up at least four earned runs in three of his past six starts, a testament to his struggles.
 
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MLB Weekend Cheat Sheet

The final weekend in August finds the MLB pennant races heating up. And with it comes the opportunity to cash in on some solid handicapping situations.

Take a look into the top four series on tap this weekend. Remember, all results are within the series and all pitcher records are ‘team starts’ (the team’s record in games in which the pitcher starts) versus this opponent.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

Most Recent Series Result: Braves 6-2 last eight games (8-4 this season)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Braves 6-2 last eight games away (4-2 this season)

Key Day/Month Stat: Braves 7-0 away Fridays

Best Arm in the Series: Phillies’ Martinez 5-1, 2.42 ERA home career starts

Worst Arm in the Series: Phillies’ Blanton 1-2, 4.50 ERA last three starts

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

Most Recent Series Result: Rockies 5-1 last six games (7-5 this season)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Rockies 6-3 last nine games away (1-2 this season)

Key Day/Month Stat: Rockies 11-2 on Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Rockies’ Marquis 7-2, 2.16 ERA career starts

Worst Arm in the Series: Giants’ Lincecum 3-6, 6.00 ERA career starts


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers

Most Recent Series Result: Rays 6-3 last nine games

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Tigers 10-4 last 14 games home

Key Day/Month Stat: Rays 14-2 Saturdays

Best Arm in the Series: Tigers’ Verlander 4-0, 4.50 ERA career starts

Worst Arm in the Series: Rays’ Garza 1-4, 5.28 ERA career starts

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

Most Recent Series Result: Twins 6-4 last 10 games (4-3 this season)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Twins 8-3 last 11 games home

Key Day/Month Stat: Twins 16-4 home Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Twins’ Baker 3-0, 5.11 ERA career starts

Worst Arm in the Series: Rangers’ Millwood 1-5, 4.31 ERA away career starts
 
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NFL - What Bettors Need to Know

Saturday, August 29

Indianapolis Colts at Detroit Lions (+3, 40)

The Colts (4-16 in last 20 preseason games) are expected to go with their starters until early in the third quarter Saturday. It appears that Curtis Painter will be the backup at QB. Veteran backup Jim Sorgi has returned to practice but will likely be held out until next week.

Among the other key players who aren't expected to play against the Lions are OL Ryan Lilja, DB Kelvin Hayden, DB Bob Sanders and K Adam Vinatieri.

While the starting QB spot is still open in Detroit, Daunte Culpepper (83.0 QB rating) will open the game under center against the Colts. Matthew Stafford (43.4 QB rating) will also play with first-team personnel. Each QB will play a quarter and a half.

On the injury front, RB Kevin Smith and both starting cornerbacks are questionable to play against the Colts.

New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (+2.5, 41)

The Saints are expected to play their starters until early in the third quarter against the Raiders.

New Orleans is a little banged up in the backfield. Pierre Thomas could be out until the start of the regular season while Reggie Bush is questionable to play Saturday.

Oakland head coach Tom Cable has indicated that his starters will play the first half and, possibly, into the third quarter against the Saints. With only one series under his belt this preseason, veteran QB Jeff Garcia is set to play most of the second half Saturday.

On defense, the Raiders are still looking to finalize starting spots at linebacker and cornerback as the regular season approaches.

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, 36)

Buffalo's no-huddle offense will be without Terrell Owens (toe) for the third straight game Saturday. The new offense will try to get their running game (2.9 yards per carry in preseason) on track against the Steelers.

Dick Jauron is expected to play his starters through the first half against Pittsburgh. Rookie DL Aaron Maybin is set to make his Bills debut in the contest.

After missing last week's game, Ben Roethlisberger is back in the fold for Pittsburgh. Head coach Mike Tomlin has said that his starters will play at least the first half against Buffalo.

Roethlisberger could be missing a couple of weapons in his return to action. Running back Willie Parker and WR Santonio Holmes are questionable for the game.

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-1, 37.5)

Tennessee will play their starters through at least the first half Saturday.

The Titans will keep a close eye on their wide receivers against the Browns after Nate Washington's hamstring injury this week. He could miss the start of the regular season.

The Browns will mirror Detroit's gameplan in regards to their quarterbacks this week. Derek Anderson and Brady Quinn will get equal playing time with the first-team offense against Tennessee but head coach Eric Mangini hasn't decided on a starter for Saturday's matchup.

San Diego Chargers at Atlanta Falcons (-2.5, 42)

San Diego head coach Norv Turner has said that his starter could play up to three quarters Saturday. However, a couple of big offensive guns could be out of the lineup.

Turner is hesitant to expose RB LaDainian Tomlinson (12 carries, 28 yards in preseason) and TE Antonio Gates to the turf field surface at the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta's Mike Smith will also have his starters on the field into the third quarter Saturday. After missing last week's game, backup QB Chris Redman will return to action this week for the Falcons.

On defense, recent first-round choice Jamaal Anderson is trying to retain his starting spot on the defensive line heading into the regular season.

Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, 39)

The Seahawks are expected to have their first-team units on the field through at least the first half against Kansas City. The game could mark the Seattle debut of the NFL's 11th all-time leading rusher, Edgerrin James.

The offensive line is a concern after last week's injury to starting center Chris Spencer (out 4-6 weeks) and the uncertain status of Walter Jones for the regular season.

Kansas City will go with their first-team offense until at least the first series of the third quarter. While QB Matt Cassel (92.9 QB rating in preseason) made some progress last week, RB Larry Johnson (2.8 yards per carry) is trying to bust loose in exhibition action.

On defense, the Chiefs are still looking for their starting nose tackle in their 3-4 defensive formation.

New York Jets at New York Giants (-3, 36)

With a tropical storm (70 percent chance of rain) heading to the Meadowlands on Saturday, Mark Sanchez could have something else to deal with besides the elite defensive line of the Giants. On a short week, Jets head coach Rex Ryan is unlikely to send Sanchez and his other starters out beyond the first half.

The Giants had hoped to use the traditional dress rehearsal for the regular season to further develop their inexperienced wideouts but the weather may alter those plans.

The defense will be without key veterans Antonio Pierce and Aaron Ross Saturday.

Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers (-3, 34.5)

With their third game in 10 days, Baltimore (second in NFL in total offense and defense in preseason) hasn't been able to install a complete gameplan for this week's matchup.

Special teams will be a focal point Saturday, with starting spots at kicker and kick returner still up for grabs.

Without any road games until the second week of the regular season, the Panthers can unpack for awhile. Head coach John Fox has indicated that his starters are likely to play at least through the first half.

Offensive standouts Steve Smith, DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are banged up for Carolina. Smith and Williams are in better condition to play than Stewart Saturday.

San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys (-7, 38)

Shaun Hill has indicated that he is ready to go on Saturday despite suffering a back strain in practice this week.

San Francisco is expected to play their starters into the third quarter against Dallas. Veteran Damon Huard would likely start at QB, if Hill is unable to go.

The Cowboys should have their starters on the field through at least the first half. Wide receiver Roy Williams is out of action after suffering a shoulder injury in practice this week.
 
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Robbie Gainous

NFL | Aug 29
San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys San Francisco 49ers
+7-115 at 5DIMES > 18h.
Tonight’s matchup in Dallas should take you down memory lane to some epic battles between these two clubs. San Francisco holds a slight edge in the series with a 16-15-1 overall record. These two have met in the playoffs seven times with Dallas holding a 5-2 record in the postseason which includes four meetings in the NFC Championship Game. It’s doubtful this game will be anything like those great games of the past but it still takes you back. In tonight’s contest the 49ers defense should get a shot in the arm with the return of their leading tackler LB Patrick Willis who suffered an ankle sprain on the opening day of training camp and has been sidelined for most of camp. The Cowboys are coming off a big win over the Titans in their first home game in their new stadium but that win came after losing to Oakland by a score of 31 to 10 on the road. The 49ers are coming in off two home wins and we know these road teams are a solid 35-21-1 ATS when they hit the road for the first time during the preseason. San Fran is also active in two more systems that tell us to Play On any road team off 2 home SU wins in their last 2 games, 24-11 ATS. Play On any road team with 2 or more SU wins versus an opponent with exactly 1 SU win, 42-17 ATS. Dallas on the other hand is in a negative situation that tells us to Play Against favorites who are coming in off a SU win of 20 or more points, 62-30 ATS since 2007. If our Play Against Favorite is favored by 2 or more points the record improves to 43-14 ATS since 2007. The current line is Dallas -7 and if that holds we know to Play Against home favorites of 7 or more points off a SU/ATS win now facing a non-winless team after scoring 17 or more points in their last game because playing against these favorites has produced a record of 14-0 ATS since 2007.


With significant technical support for the visitor we will back the 49ers here as they keep this one close and take the Cowboys right down to the wire.

GAME FORECAST: 2* San Francisco 49ers 17 Dallas Cowboys 20
 
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Carlo Campanella

NFL | Aug 29
Indianapolis Colts vs. Detroit Lions Indianapolis Colts
-3+100 at 5DIMES > 11h.
The Colts lost their Preseason opener at home, 3-13, against Minnesota as starting QB Manning didn't see much playing time and back-up QB Sorgi was injured a few days before the game. Last week, Indianapolis rebounded with a solid 23-15 victory against a tough Eagles squad as QB Manning completed 10 of 14 passes for 2 Touchdowns and new back-up QB Curtis Painter looked much more comfortable while going 11 of 19 for a 116 yards. With only 4 games on the exhibition schedule, week # 3 will be the most action that QB Manning will see and he should shred the Detroit Lions defense, which allowed a Cleveland Browns squad that hadn't scored a TD in their previous games to put up 27 points on the scoreboard last Saturday! In fact, the Lions went 0-16 last season and their defense hasn't improved much as Atlanta scored 26 points during the first week of Preseason. Lay the points with the road Favored Colts as we find them at 6-1 ATS when playing their 3rd game of Preseason.

7* Play On Indianapolis
 
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Vernon Croy

NFL | Aug 29
New Orleans Saints vs. Oakland Raiders Oakland Raiders
+2½+105 at 5DIMES > 14h.
1* Take the Oakland Raiders ATS, Oakland is one of the toughest places in the NFL to play and even though this is just a preseason game you better believe the Raiders want to get the win more than the Saints at home Saturday. Javon Walker is expected to play against the Saints and his knee is 100% after having off-season knee surgery in a foreign country. The Raiders have looked good this preseason although these games are meaningless their defense has played solid. I look for the Raiders offense to have a big game at home against the Saints defense that was ranked 23rd in the league last season. This will not be a walk in the park for the Saints offense against a Raiders defense that was ranked 10th in the league last season against the pass especially when playing in a hostile enviroment. The Raiders defense allowed just 10 points at home against the Cowboys and they also held the 49ers to just 3 points on the road until the 4th quarter this preseason. Grab the points with the Oakland Raiders as my NFL Bonus Play for Saturday.
 

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Kelso Sturgeon has a 50 unit preseason GOY today if anyone sees it can you post ?
 

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axiumsports.com

August 29th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,708.49

Pick #16- Australia A-League Soccer
16)Bet 160.52 to win 152.88 on Brisbane Roar/Central Coast Mariners UNDER 2.5 -105

Pick #17- Germany- Bundesliga 3 Soccer
17a)Bet 36.91 to win 35.84 on Erzgebirge Aue/FC Heidenheim OVER 2.5 -103

17b)Bet 337.09 to win 327.27 on Erzgebirge Aue/FC Heidenheim OVER 2.5 -103

Pick #18- MLB-
18aa)Bet 37.37 to win 34.93 on Tampa Bay/Detroit OVER 9.5 -107
18ab)Bet 77.51 to win 72.44 on Tampa Bay/Detroit OVER 9.5 -107

18ba)Bet 37.09 to win 34.66 on Tampa Bay/Detroit OVER 9.5 -107
18bb)Bet 707.89 to win 661.58 on Tampa Bay/Detroit OVER 9.5 -107
 

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Ats 20 unit lock

ATS FOOTBALL LOCK CLUB 20 Unit LOCK of YEAR
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 bgColor=#616161><TBODY><TR><TD>Preseason Locks of the Year
A History of Excellence


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
2008: Detroit (-3) over Cleveland 26-6 WON!
2007: Indianapolis (-6') over Detroit 37-10 WON!
2006: Indianapolis (-3) overNew Orleans 27-14 WON!

ATS Football Lock of the Year games were a Perfect 6-0 in 2008 and 27-2-1 the last 5 years.

I just copied and pasted that above that was sent to me in an email. I do not like ATS Lock Club, I don't think they are not good cappers and they bullshit their record numbers and well, buying the whole season is not worth it.

BUT,WITH THAT Being Said, I did win ALOT of money last year by playing their 20 Unit Football Locks of the year. And I actually bet 20 Times what my bet for Unit was.

The truth is: I hope someone picks up this play or has been posting ATS Football Lock here. If not then I will be happy to get together with a few folks and pay a shre for the pick, i think it's only like $100.
If I bet what I did last year then I would be betting $1,000.

Oh yeah:the truth. I think ATS are a bunch of used cars salesman but the one thing thnat they are good at is getting these 20 Unit Locks right.
The record above is accurate and true. They went 6-0 last year in FOOTBALL LOCKS. And they are 27-2-1 in the past 5 years. THAT IS UNBELIEVABLE!!

Someone let me know if someone else is in the Lock Club and could post this play today, and if not then anyone please feel free to PM, or leave message with me so if a few want to throw in then it will hardly cost anything

Hope to hear some feedback from someone soon.
Sincerely,
4WhatItsWorth

(sorry if posted wrong and/or clutter
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Saturday, August 29

Hot Pitchers
-- Gallardo is 2-2, 3.00 in his last four starts.
-- Lee is 5-0, 1.35 in five starts for the Phillies.
-- Haeger is 1-1, 1.93 in two starts for the Dodgers.
-- Marquis is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts. Zito has a 2.44 RA in his last eight starts.

-- Feldman is 4-0, 3.41 in his last five starts.
-- Snell is 2-0, 1.54 in his last couple starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Garland has a 6.56 RA in his last four starts. Norris is 1-2, 12.34 in his last three starts.
-- Parnell is 1-3, 8.82 in four starts for the Mets. Dempster has 6.93 RA in his last four starts at Wrigley.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 8.82 in his last three starts. LeBlanc is 0-1, 14.55 in his two starts for the Padres.
-- Hart is 1-2, 6.05 in four starts for the Pirates.
-- Lowe is 0-1, 13.50 in his last two starts.
-- Maloney is 0-2, 6.11 in three starts this season.
-- Boggs is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts. Stammen has an 8.00 RA in his last six starts.

-- Contreras is 1-4, 8.63 in his last seven starts. Mitre has 7.31 RA in his six starts this season.
-- Robertson was 1-1, 1.89 in five starts in AAA; he has career record of 50-66, 4.96 in 163 career big league starts, none this year. Price is 0-4 in his seven road starts, with an 8.91 RA.
-- Sowers is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts.
-- Tillman is 1-2, 4.84 in six starts this season.
-- Buchholz is 1-2, 6.18 in his last five starts. Romero is 1-1, 6.23 in his last four starts.
-- Pavano is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three starts. Mazzaro has an 8.84 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Meche has an 8.71 RA in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Padres are 8-5 in their last 13 road games.
-- Reds won their last five games, scoring 28 runs.
-- Phillies won nine of their last twelve games. Braves won seven of last ten road games.
-- Pirates won seven of their last ten games.
-- Cardinals won 15 of their last 19 games.
-- Giants won three of their last four games.

-- Bronx won 11 of its last 16 games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last twelve games. Detroit is 13-5 in its last 18 home games.
-- Twins won eight of their last ten games. Rangers won four of five.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Indians won 13 of their last 20 road games.
-- Angels won their last nine Saturday games.
-- Mariners won five of their last six home games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost 18 of their last 26 games. Cubs are 1-6 in game after their last seven wins.
-- Marlins lost six of their last nine games.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games. Arizona lost nine of its last twelve games.
-- Nationals lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Dodgers are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Rockies lost last three games, scoring total of three runs.

-- White Sox lost 16 of their last 23 road games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last six road games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Oakland lost seven of its last ten games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Arizona games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-2 in Mets' last nine games.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Florida home games.
-- Over is 13-2 in last fifteen games at Miller Park.
-- Over is 9-4 in Atlanta's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 13-5-3 in last 21 Cincinnati home games.
-- Under is 8-0-1 in Cardinals' last nine games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in Colorado's last eleven games.

-- Eight of last ten White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Camden Yards.
-- Over is 13-3 in last six teen games at Fenway Park.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Oakland road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals' last seven games.

Umpires
-- Hst-Az-- Home side won five of last six Meals games.
-- NY-Cubs-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Hoye games.
-- SD-Fla-- Five of last six Wendelstedt games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Eight of last ten Randazzo games went over the total.
-- Atl-Phil-- Three of last four Marsh games stayed under the total.
-- LA-Cin-- Four of last five Diaz games went over the total.
-- Wsh-StL-- Underdog is 9-5 in last fourteen O'Nora games.
-- Col-SF-- Five of last six Bell games stayed under the total.

-- CWS-NY-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Kellogg games.
-- TB-Det-- Four of last five Bucknor games went over the total.
-- Clev-Blt-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Davidson games.
-- Tor-Bos-- Seven of last ten Culbreth games went over the total.
-- Tex-Min-- Underdog is 7-4 in last eleven Joyce games.
-- A's-LA-- Six of last seven Gibson games went over the total.
-- KC-Sea-- Under is 9-6-1 in last sixteen Darling games.
 
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. NY YANKEES
Chi White Sox are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 18-6 SU in their last 24 games
NY Yankees are 17-4 SU in their last 21 games at home

4:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. CINCINNATI
LA Dodgers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
LA Dodgers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:10 PM
NY METS vs. CHI CUBS
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
NY Mets are 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

4:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

6:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. FLORIDA
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Pittsburgh
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. MINNESOTA
Texas is 3-8-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

7:15 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. ARIZONA
Houston is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 8-3-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
Arizona is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

9:05 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado

9:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Angels are 14-7 SU in their last 21 games at home

10:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
Kansas City is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Kansas City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
 
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Jim Feist

(919) TAMPA BAY RAYS
(920) DETROIT TIGERS
Take "(920) DETROIT TIGERS"

Detroit is dominant at home, starting 40-20, yet they are a home dog to a Tampa Bay team not so hot on the road. Nate Robertson gets brought up and a good start will keep him in the rotation. The Rays go with young David Price, who is erratic at 6-6 with an ERA close to 5. He walks a lot of batters, something you can't do in this park. A good spot for the first place home dog. Play the Tigers.
 
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Dave Cokin

(269) BALTIMORE RAVENS
(270) CAROLINA PANTHERS
Take "(270) CAROLINA PANTHERS"

Several advantages for the Panthers as they host the Ravens. Baltimore is on the short week having played on Monday, and prep time in pre-season can be crucial. In fact, Carolina has had two extra days to get ready for this contest. It's the home opener for the Panthers, and John Fox is hoping for a sharper effort from his team, as they've been dull so far. Part of that was by design, as Fox has run a "soft" camp this summer to try and minimize wear and tear. But I would think he'll want to get something positive accomplished tonight, so I'll go with the Panthers minus the points.
 
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Rocketman Sports

San Francisco 49ers +7.0 (-110)
Sat Aug 29 '09 8:00p

San Francisco @ Dallas 8:00 PM EST
Play On: San Francisco +7

San Francisco comes into this contest with a 2-0 record in the preseason while Dallas is now 1-1 this preseason. San Francisco is 3-0 ATS against conference opponents last 3 years in preseason action. Dallas is 12-33 ATS since 1992 in all games when the total is between 35 1/2 and 42 points in the preseason. I like this Mike Singletary as a coach. The 49ers finished 5-2 last year under Singletary in regular season play and I think they will continue to improve under his leadership. One super system says to Play Against any home favorite of 7 or more points off a SU and ATS win vs an opponent that has won at least one game in the preseason. This system is 18-4 ATS since 1983!! Dallas is 1-9 ATS at home vs an opponent off back to back SU wins. We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 
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Jeff Alexander

MLB | Aug 29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox
-168 at 5DIMES > 10h.
Free Pick for August 29, 2009
1 Unit on Boston Red Sox -168
Bottom Line: Romero is struggling (5.74 ERA, 1.787 WHIP L3 starts) and he is 0-3 against the money line lifetime when starting against Boston with an ERA of 10.50 and a WHIP of 2.667. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Boston and 0-5 in Romero's last 5 starts vs. the American League East. I'll back the Red Sox at home.
 
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Dave Price

MLB | Aug 29
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Total
8 un+102 at 5DIMES > 9h.
Bonus Play for 8/29/09
1 Unit on Braves/Phillies UNDER 8
I expect a duel from Lowe and Lee to keep this one under. Lee has a ridiculous 0.37 ERA over his last 3 starts and Lowe is 5-2 lifetime against the Phillies with an ERA of 2.62. Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing on Saturday this season and 25-9 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is also 5-0 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Bet the Under.
 
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Jimmy Boyd

MLB | Aug 29
Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
-130 at 5DIMES > 11h.
Bonus Play
1 Unit on Arizona D-backs -130
Arizona crushed Houston 14-7 Friday and I look for the D-backs to prevail again Saturday. The D-backs will be very confident against Norris, who gave up 6 earned in 1 inning against them just 6 days ago. In fact, the Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Garland has been up and down this season but he's capable of pitching very well. He actually opposed Norris in a Houston last week. The Astros are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-7 in their last 8 Saturday games. I'll take the Snakes at home at a pretty good price.
 

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