Tom Freese
Game: Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers Aug 15 2009 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: Milwaukee is 7-0 OVER their last 7 home games vs. righty starters and they are 8-0 OVER their last 8 games as home favorites. The Brewers are 11-1 OVER their last 12 home games and they are 20-12 OVER vs. losing teams. Houston is 8-3 OVER their last 11 Saturday games and they are 5-0 OVER their last 5 games as road underdogs. The Astros are 9-1-1 OVER in Game 2 of a series and they are 5-0-1 OVER vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. PLAY ON 'OVER' (Burns vs. Moehler)
Game: Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers Aug 15 2009 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: Milwaukee is 7-0 OVER their last 7 home games vs. righty starters and they are 8-0 OVER their last 8 games as home favorites. The Brewers are 11-1 OVER their last 12 home games and they are 20-12 OVER vs. losing teams. Houston is 8-3 OVER their last 11 Saturday games and they are 5-0 OVER their last 5 games as road underdogs. The Astros are 9-1-1 OVER in Game 2 of a series and they are 5-0-1 OVER vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. PLAY ON 'OVER' (Burns vs. Moehler)
John Ryan
Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs Aug 15 2009 1:05PM
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Pirates as the face the Cubs set to start at 1:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 125-102 for just 55% winners. But has made a whopping 64.9 units since 2003 with the average play a dog of +133. Play on all dogs with a money line of +100 or higher after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games facing an opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Cubs are not in a good role for this game noting they are 19-28 (-14.8 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games without a stolen base this season. Pirates are 41-40 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games since 1997. Note too that this angle reflects the success fo playing against favorites over an extended period of time. I always use the analogy to Black Jack and in this case this particular angle would have you playing 81 hands, winning 50% of them and still making 21.2 units in profits. That will never happen at the casino, but it certainly will happen in baseball and by following my research methodologies. Take the Pirates.
Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs Aug 15 2009 1:05PM
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Pirates as the face the Cubs set to start at 1:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 125-102 for just 55% winners. But has made a whopping 64.9 units since 2003 with the average play a dog of +133. Play on all dogs with a money line of +100 or higher after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games facing an opponent after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Cubs are not in a good role for this game noting they are 19-28 (-14.8 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games without a stolen base this season. Pirates are 41-40 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games since 1997. Note too that this angle reflects the success fo playing against favorites over an extended period of time. I always use the analogy to Black Jack and in this case this particular angle would have you playing 81 hands, winning 50% of them and still making 21.2 units in profits. That will never happen at the casino, but it certainly will happen in baseball and by following my research methodologies. Take the Pirates.
Rocketman Sports
LA Dodgers @ Arizona 8:10 PM EST
Play On: LA Dodgers (Kuroda/Davis) Listed
LA Dodgers is now 69-47 overall this year while Arizona comes in with a 53-63 record on the season. LA Dodgers is 27-8 this year when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. LA Dodgers is 13-4 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. LA Dodgers bullpen has a 3.47 ERA overall this year. Kuroda is 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA on the road this year and 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA his last 3 starts. Dodgers have taken 6 out of 9 against Arizona this year. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
LA Dodgers @ Arizona 8:10 PM EST
Play On: LA Dodgers (Kuroda/Davis) Listed
LA Dodgers is now 69-47 overall this year while Arizona comes in with a 53-63 record on the season. LA Dodgers is 27-8 this year when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. LA Dodgers is 13-4 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. LA Dodgers bullpen has a 3.47 ERA overall this year. Kuroda is 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA on the road this year and 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA his last 3 starts. Dodgers have taken 6 out of 9 against Arizona this year. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
MLB SHORT SHEET
Saturday, 8/15/2009
National League
PITTSBURGH at CHICAGO CUBS, 1:05 PM ET
DUKE: PIT 3-21 Away after allowing 10+ runs
GORZELANNY: CUBS 11-0 at home after scoring 8+ runs
PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA, 4:10 PM ET
HAMELS: PHI 36-19 in road games
KAWAKAMI: ATL: 5-13 off division loss as home favorite
LA DODGERS at ARIZONA, 8:10 PM ET
KURODA: LAD 12-3 off BB losses
DAVIS: ARI 20-32 off a win
COLORADO at FLORIDA, 6:10 PM ET
COOK: COL 25-17 Away vs. righties
VANDENHURK: FLA 23-9 Over off BB wins
HOUSTON at MILWAUKEE, 7:05 PM ET
MOEHLER: 22-9 Under in night games
BURNS: MIL 201-144 Under when total is 10+
WASHINGTON at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
MARTIN: WAS 22-8 Under after scoring 2 runs or less
CUETO: CIN 2-14 after allowing 3 runs or less BB games
(TC) SAN FRANCISCO at NY METS, 4:10 PM ET
CAIN: 8-1 TSR off team loss
SANTANA: 23-10 Under in day games
SAN DIEGO at ST LOUIS, 7:15 PM ET
STAUFFER: SD 7-0 Under revenging road loss by 6+ runs
PINEIRO: StL 30-15 Under as home favorite
American League
CHI WHITE SOX at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
FLOYD: CWS 60-39 Under on grass
GONZALEZ: OAK 86-59 Under at home vs. righties
CLEVELAND at MINNESOTA, 4:10 PM ET
HUFF: CLE 22-8 off division loss by 8+ runs
SWARZAK: MIN 16-25 in day games
KANSAS CITY at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET
HOCHEVAR: KC 10-25 off one run loss
JACKSON: DET 30-13 as home favorite
LA ANGELS at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
LACKEY: LAA 17-6 Over if total is 10+
MATUSZ: BAL 14-38 after scoring 8+ runs
TORONTO at TAMPA BAY, 7:05 PM ET
TALLET: TOR 16-27 vs. division
KAZMIR: 14-1 TSR on Saturday
BOSTON at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
PENNY: BOS 11-18 vs. AL West
HOLLAND: TEX 19-4 Under at home when the total is 8.5 to 10
NY YANKEES at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
MITRE: NYY 4-1 vs. Seattle
FRENCH: SEA 6-21 after scoring 2 runs or less BB Games
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
Saturday, 8/15/2009
National League
PITTSBURGH at CHICAGO CUBS, 1:05 PM ET
DUKE: PIT 3-21 Away after allowing 10+ runs
GORZELANNY: CUBS 11-0 at home after scoring 8+ runs
PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA, 4:10 PM ET
HAMELS: PHI 36-19 in road games
KAWAKAMI: ATL: 5-13 off division loss as home favorite
LA DODGERS at ARIZONA, 8:10 PM ET
KURODA: LAD 12-3 off BB losses
DAVIS: ARI 20-32 off a win
COLORADO at FLORIDA, 6:10 PM ET
COOK: COL 25-17 Away vs. righties
VANDENHURK: FLA 23-9 Over off BB wins
HOUSTON at MILWAUKEE, 7:05 PM ET
MOEHLER: 22-9 Under in night games
BURNS: MIL 201-144 Under when total is 10+
WASHINGTON at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
MARTIN: WAS 22-8 Under after scoring 2 runs or less
CUETO: CIN 2-14 after allowing 3 runs or less BB games
(TC) SAN FRANCISCO at NY METS, 4:10 PM ET
CAIN: 8-1 TSR off team loss
SANTANA: 23-10 Under in day games
SAN DIEGO at ST LOUIS, 7:15 PM ET
STAUFFER: SD 7-0 Under revenging road loss by 6+ runs
PINEIRO: StL 30-15 Under as home favorite
American League
CHI WHITE SOX at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
FLOYD: CWS 60-39 Under on grass
GONZALEZ: OAK 86-59 Under at home vs. righties
CLEVELAND at MINNESOTA, 4:10 PM ET
HUFF: CLE 22-8 off division loss by 8+ runs
SWARZAK: MIN 16-25 in day games
KANSAS CITY at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET
HOCHEVAR: KC 10-25 off one run loss
JACKSON: DET 30-13 as home favorite
LA ANGELS at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
LACKEY: LAA 17-6 Over if total is 10+
MATUSZ: BAL 14-38 after scoring 8+ runs
TORONTO at TAMPA BAY, 7:05 PM ET
TALLET: TOR 16-27 vs. division
KAZMIR: 14-1 TSR on Saturday
BOSTON at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
PENNY: BOS 11-18 vs. AL West
HOLLAND: TEX 19-4 Under at home when the total is 8.5 to 10
NY YANKEES at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
MITRE: NYY 4-1 vs. Seattle
FRENCH: SEA 6-21 after scoring 2 runs or less BB Games
** (TC) Denotes Time Change
I will get Drew Gordon, he has a big dog play for tonight. I feel that it's Boston. If anyone wants to split with me on other plays my paypal is at_cisneros@yahoo.com. Just trying to reduce the amount of cost.
MLB WRITE-UP
Saturday, august 15
Hot Pitchers
--
-- Floyd has a 2.89 RA in his last four starts.
-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.57 in his last six starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Former Pirate Gorzelanny has 7.27 RA in two starts for the Cubs. Duke is 1-3, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Huff has an 8.02 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Jackson has a 4.70 RA in his last four starts. Hochevar is 0-2, 7.50 in his last three outings.
-- Matusz has an 8.22 RA in his first two big starts.
-- Penny is 0-2, 7.94 in his last three starts.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Colorado won 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Phillies won their last four games, outscoring foes 26-12.
-- Padres won 11 of their last 17 games. Cardinals won six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona is 12-6 in its last 18 home games.
-- Angels won 10 of their last 14 road games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Tigers won nine of their last 12 home games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games. Texas is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.
-- A's won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 22-6 since All-Star break.
Cold Teams
-- Mets lost eight of their last twelve games. Giants are 5-11 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Reds lost 11 of their last 16 games. Washington lost three of its last four games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games. Pirates lost 20 of their last 24 road games.
-- Brewers are 7-11 in their last 18 home games. Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 games.
-- Dodgers are 7-12 in their last 19 games.
-- Orioles lost 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Rays lost their last five games, outscored 40-16. Toronto is 7-16 in its last 23 road games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Twins lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
Totals
-- Under is 5-2-2 in Pirates' last nine away games.
-- 12 of last 17 Washington road games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 11 Florida games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-4 in last 11 games played at Citi Field.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in Phillies' last twelve road games.
-- 10 of Brewers' last 11 home games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-2-1 in Cardinals' last sixteen home games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Arizona home games.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in Angels' last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 16-7-3 in Royals' last 26 road games.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-5 in Boston's last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Cleveland road games.
-- Nine of last eleven Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Bronx games stayed under the total.
Saturday, august 15
Hot Pitchers
--
-- Floyd has a 2.89 RA in his last four starts.
-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.57 in his last six starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Former Pirate Gorzelanny has 7.27 RA in two starts for the Cubs. Duke is 1-3, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- Huff has an 8.02 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Jackson has a 4.70 RA in his last four starts. Hochevar is 0-2, 7.50 in his last three outings.
-- Matusz has an 8.22 RA in his first two big starts.
-- Penny is 0-2, 7.94 in his last three starts.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Colorado won 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Phillies won their last four games, outscoring foes 26-12.
-- Padres won 11 of their last 17 games. Cardinals won six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona is 12-6 in its last 18 home games.
-- Angels won 10 of their last 14 road games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Tigers won nine of their last 12 home games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games. Texas is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.
-- A's won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 22-6 since All-Star break.
Cold Teams
-- Mets lost eight of their last twelve games. Giants are 5-11 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Reds lost 11 of their last 16 games. Washington lost three of its last four games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games. Pirates lost 20 of their last 24 road games.
-- Brewers are 7-11 in their last 18 home games. Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 games.
-- Dodgers are 7-12 in their last 19 games.
-- Orioles lost 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Rays lost their last five games, outscored 40-16. Toronto is 7-16 in its last 23 road games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last ten road games.
-- Twins lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
Totals
-- Under is 5-2-2 in Pirates' last nine away games.
-- 12 of last 17 Washington road games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 11 Florida games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-4 in last 11 games played at Citi Field.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in Phillies' last twelve road games.
-- 10 of Brewers' last 11 home games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-2-1 in Cardinals' last sixteen home games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Arizona home games.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in Angels' last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 16-7-3 in Royals' last 26 road games.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-5 in Boston's last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Cleveland road games.
-- Nine of last eleven Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Bronx games stayed under the total.
