Saturday 07/25/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Saturday 07/25/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.
 
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Weekend MLB cheat sheet

The second half of the MLB season is officially underway and, like the summer months upon us, the pennant races start to heat up.

As is our custom, let’s focus on the top two series in the American and National League slate this weekend.

Remember, all results are within the series and all pitcher records are ‘team starts’ (the team’s record in games in which the pitcher starts) versus this opponent.

National League

St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies

Most recent series result: Phillies 6-1 in their last seven games (2-0 this season)

Most recent series result at the site: Phillies 4-2 in their last six home games

Key day/month stat: Phillies 18-4 on Sundays; Cardinals 4-9 away on Sundays

Best arm in the series: Phillies’ Moyer 2-0, 0.56 ERA career home

Worst arm in the series: Cardinals’ Wellemeyer 0-3, 7.94 ERA career

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers

Most recent series result: Brewers are 8-4 in their last 12 games (2-1 this season)

Most recent series result at the site: Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games at home

Key day/month stat: Brewers 4-0 on Saturdays; Braves 1-7 on Saturdays

Best arm in the series: Braves’ Lowe 4-2, 3.29 career ERA

Worst arm in the series: Braves’ Vazquez 1-3, 7.43 ERA in last four away


American League

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers

Most recent series result: White Sox are 11-6 in their last 17 games (4-4 this season)

Most recent series result at site: Tigers are 5-3 in their last eight home games (1-1 this season)

Key day/month stat: White Sox are 8-1 Saturdays; Tigers 0-4 Saturdays

Best arm in the series: White Sox’ Floyd 10-1, 3.55 career ERA

Worst arm in the series: Tigers’ Jackson 1-4, 5.72 career ERA

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels

Most recent series result: Twins are 3-0 in their last three games (3-0 this season)

Most recent series result at the site: Angels are 11-4 in their last 15 games at home

Key day/month stat: Angels are 17-2 at home on Sundays; Twins 6-14 away on Sundays

Best arm in the series: Twins’ Perkins 2-0, 0.56 career ERA

Worst arm in the series: Angels’ Lackey 1-3, 3.85 career ERA
 
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MLB Top Weekend Power Trends 7/24-7/26

With the trade deadline of July 31st rapidly approaching, baseball will continue to define its contenders and pretenders this weekend. In the National League, only one of the three divisions offers a compelling pennant race, the Central, where four teams are separated by two games in the loss column. In the American League, there is significantly more drama, with all three division races much in play. The Central takes center stage again there though over the next three days, with Chicago visiting Detroit for four games. The teams go into the weekend set tied atop the standings. Read on as we look at the action in both leagues’ Central Divisions, and highlight the Top StatFox Power Trends you’ll want to consider as you fill out your baseball wagering cards.

The N.L. Central Division is as tight as any in recent memory as we get ready to wrap up the month of July. St. Louis paces the standings but will be hard pressed to hang on to that spot as it visits red-hot Philadelphia this weekend. The defending champs have won 15 of their last 17 games to take control of the East. The Cardinals meanwhile are in the midst of a tough stretch that sees them take on not just one, but three hot teams including Houston and Los Angeles. Philadelphia will be looking to extend a 4-game winning streak over St. Louis dating back to last season.

Speaking of the Astros, they are at home taking on the Mets, having reached a season-high 3-games over .500. Houston comes off a key 3-game sweep of the Cardinals. Meanwhile, things aren’t so rosy in New York, as the Mets are just 7-16 in their last 23 games. Perhaps the only good news for the Mets is that they will be going with Johan Santana in Game 1 of this set, and SANTANA is 23-3 (+16.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game.

The other two teams that remain in the thick of the crowded N.L. Central are the Cubs and Brewers. Chicago is back at home this weekend, hosting the fading Reds who are on a prolonged slump of 13-23 since mid-June. Milwaukee is playing nearly as poorly as Cincinnati and is on the verge of falling out of the playoff picture. Thankfully for the Brew Crew, a 7-game homestand, which includes four games vs. Washington, starts on Monday. Before that however, Milwaukee will look to kick start itself against Atlanta this weekend. The Brewers took two of three in Atlanta last month. Keep an eye on the total in that series, as 15 of the last 19 head-to-head meetings have gone under the total.

In the American League, the big series pits Chicago and Detroit from the Motor City. The Sox have climbed back into a first place tie with the Tigers and are riding the momentum of Mark Buehrle’s perfect game on Thursday afternoon. A day-night doubleheader will start this crucial set. Detroit hopes to get back to the pace that saw it win 26 of its first 38 home games. Chicago has climbed back into the race by winning 22 of its last 33 games. In this head-to-head series, Chicago owns the edge, going 27-17 over the last three seasons, including 12-8 in Detroit.

Now, here’s a look at those Top StatFox Power Trends you’ll want to make note of as you handicap the weekend’s games.

CINCINNATI at CHICAGO CUBS


CINCINNATI is 23-17 (+9.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. The average score was CINCINNATI 4.3, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

SAN DIEGO at WASHINGTON


WASHINGTON is 15-36 (-19.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 4.0, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)

ST LOUIS at PHILADELPHIA


PHILADELPHIA is 24-10 (+15.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.5, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)

NY METS at HOUSTON


NY METS are 19-31 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was NY METS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)

ATLANTA at MILWAUKEE


MILWAUKEE is 30-9 (+18.9 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.0, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 1*)

SAN FRANCISCO at COLORADO


COLORADO is 28-10 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in July home games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 7.0, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 1*)

PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA


PITTSBURGH is 13-42 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.6, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)

FLORIDA at LA DODGERS


FLORIDA is 18-10 (+10.0 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. The average score was FLORIDA 4.7, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 1*)

OAKLAND at NY YANKEES


OAKLAND is 17-35 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was OAKLAND 4.3, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)

TAMPA BAY at TORONTO


MADDON is 11-39 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in July road games as the manager of TAMPA BAY. The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.4, OPPONENT 6.2 - (Rating = 3*)

CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT


DETROIT is 12-26 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DETROIT 4.5, OPPONENT 5.6 - (Rating = 1*)

BALTIMORE at BOSTON


BALTIMORE is 43-90 (-33.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. The average score was BALTIMORE 4.6, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)

TEXAS at KANSAS CITY


KANSAS CITY is 12-24 (-12.8 Units) against the money line vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season. The average score was KANSAS CITY 2.9, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*)

MINNESOTA at LA ANGELS


MINNESOTA is 27-47 (-22.7 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 3.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)

CLEVELAND at SEATTLE


CLEVELAND is 19-32 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 4.8, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)
 
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CFL WRITE-UP

Week 4 CFL games

Saturday, July 25

Edmonton (1-2) @ Saskatchewan (2-1)-- Roughriders have QB issues, as evidenced by Graham Harrell signing- they have only 325 passing yards in last two games. Eskimos gave up 750 passing yards and 90 points in getting waxed last two weeks- in three '09 games, they've been outscored 70-28 in second half. First time Saskatchewan has been favored in 2009.
 
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Trend Report

Saturday, July 25

4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
 
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Saturday system comp GC-

On Saturday the Bonus Play is on the St.Louis Cardinals.Game 953 at 4:05 eastern as we shoot for 4 straight.The Cards were finally able to secure the bat they needed with the addition of M.Holiday.This move paid immediate dividends last night with an 8-1 thrashing in Philly.Holliday imediately contributed with a 4 hit night.Today the Philles qualify in a negative system that plays against home favorites off a blowout loss of 5+ runs if they scored 2 or less runs and had 10 or more left on base and todays opponent scored 5+ runs.These home favs have lost over 70% of the time.Loking at the numbers in this range the Cards are a better investment as a road dog than Philly is as a home favorite.Philly has been playing some subpar teams on their long winning surge through the month of July.The Cards are a good team and will play Philly tough.Those looking to drop the Hammer on Saturday can check out my card which features a side play with an 11-0 pitching dominator stat and a 15-0 super angle,Plus a big dog play with a 100% subset system.For the Bonus Play though take the Cardinals bol GC-
 
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Trend Report

1:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
Chi Cubs are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games at home

1:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY YANKEES
Oakland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Oakland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

1:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTO
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
Toronto is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games

4:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

4:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Philadelphia is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

4:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SEATTLE
Cleveland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Seattle is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

4:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LA ANGELS
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games

7:00 PM
NY METS vs. HOUSTON
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. WASHINGTON
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Diego is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. KANSAS CITY
Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Kansas City
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

10:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. LA DODGERS
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (-157, 9.5)

This might sound like a less-than bold prediction, but there is no way Jonathan Sanchez picks up his second career no-hitter Saturday. Not against a team that punishes left-handers like the Rockies.

Colorado is the seventh-best team in majors at hitting southpaws. The Rockies are batting .263 BA against lefties this season and have smacked 55 doubles and 32 home runs off of them.

And Sanchez wants no part of Colorado. In 36 1-3 career innings against the Rockies, Sanchez has been rocked for a staggering 33 runs. However, he has yet to face them this season.

"I just have to keep fighting ,” Sanchez told the Associated Press. “Keep working, that's all."

But the numbers don’t lie – and look for history to repeat itself.

Pick: Rockies -157


Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners (-165, 8)

The key to this matchup is simple: Cleveland can’t hit Seattle pitching.

The Indians are a pathetic 29-for-132 (.219 BA) in four games against the Mariners this season, as they have scored an average of just 2.5 runs and struck out an average of seven times per game en route to dropping three of the meetings.

And those games were in Ohio.

In Washington, the Mariners are one of the best home pitching teams in baseball. The pitching staff is allowing a home ERA of just 3.29 and has yielded a major league-low 146 earned runs in their on park this year. Opponents also are batting just .236 BA at Safeco Field this season.

The Indians are one of the better hitting teams in the game. Just don’t expect them to show it this weekend.

Pick: Seattle -165
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Tommy Hanson (Atlanta Braves)

Think of the 22 year old’s recent, 10-day stint down in the Single-A Carolina League like taking a high performance car into the shop: a powerful engine sometimes needs a tuneup.

After racking up a record of 4-0 in his first six games, Hanson (5-0, 3.00 ERA) struggled in a 7-6 loss to Colorado, prompting a procedural move to demote him and help the team adjust its roster and add another reliever. During the time in the minors he faced no batters, but worked off the mound with pitching coach Roger McDowell at Turner Field.

And the move has helped Hanson get his mojo back. In his most recent start, an 11-3 win over San Francisco, he allowed just three runs on five hits over seven innings and struck out 11 batters.

"I think this is the best my arm's felt," Hanson told the Associated Press. "I felt like I was running out of gas but I wanted to battle through. I always want to stay in the game."

Edwin Jackson (Detroit Tigers)

The right-hander appears to finally be reaching his potential. The 25 year old entered the season with opponents batting better than .271 BA against him in more than 100 games. But as he's improved his command, his numbers have gotten dramatically better. Opponents are batting a miniscule .212 BA against him this year and Jackson is third in the AL with a 1.08 WHIP (walks + hits over innings pitched).

Jackson has yielded three or fewer earned runs in every start since May 5, including just six total in 20.1 innings this month. In his most recent outing, a 2-1 loss to the Yankees, Jackson went seven innings, allowing only a pair of solo home runs.

"Strikeouts will come, but you want quick outs all the time," Jackson told the Associated Press. "You have to pitch to contact."


Slumping

J.D. Martin (Washington Nationals)

The best news Martin had to take away from his first career start last week, was that there's plenty of room for improvement.

The 26 year old was hammered in his major league debut, yielding five runs on eight hits over just four innings. On the plus side, he did record his first major league strikeout. But only one.

The light-hitting Padres aren’t as talented as his first opponent – the Mets – but let’s just try to see if Martin can make it past the fourth.

"My cutter was spinning a little bit," Martin told the Washington Times. "But besides that, besides my balls being up a little bit, I felt OK.”

Gio Gonzalez (Oakland Athletics)

Things can’t get a whole lot worse for the left-hander.

The 23 year old was pitching so poorly that when he was demoted to the bullpen, yielding a run in only one inning was enough to get him put back in the rotation. But he should have stayed with the relievers.

Gonzalez (1-2, 9.33) was tagged for 11 earned runs on 11 hits in just 2 2-3 innings against the Twins. During that debacle, he also gave up four home runs and walked four.
 
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Steve Merril

MLB | Jul 25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
-126 at JAMAICA > 6h.

Chicago looks for their third straight win as they take the field on Saturday afternoon. They'll have to beat Johnny Cueto who is 8-6 with a 3.67 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 12.34 ERA in his last three starts, giving up 16 runs and 24 hits in just 11.7 innings pitched. Cueto is 2-3 with a 3.66 ERA all-time against the Cubs. One of his two wins came earlier this season when the Cubs were banged up, but they are finally getting healthy and Chicago hits .299 all time against Cueto with Ryan Theriot (7-16), Derrek Lee (6-15), Geovany Soto (5-14), Alfonso Soriano (4-12) and Reed Johnson (2-5) doing the best. Chicago is 28-18 at home and 27-19 in daytime games this season.

Kevin Hart who will make his third start of the season for Chicago and he is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA as a starter, giving up just 3 runs in 10 innings of work. Hart is coming off a win over the Nationals in which he gave up two runs and five hits in five innings. He'll now be facing a struggling Cincinnati lineup that is averaging just 3.5 runs per game in their last six and 3.9 runs per game during the daytime this season. Cincinnati has lost four straight and eight of their last 10 games overall.
 
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Robbie Gainous

MLB | Jul 25
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Chicago White Sox
+139 at JAMAICA > 9h.
The White Sox were swept in a double-header on Friday versus this Tigers team but we look for them to rebound here and get the win. Chicago will send Gavin Floyd to the bump with his 8-6 record and ERA of 4.40 on the season including 4-4 on the road with an ERA of 6.03. Over his last three outings he is 2-1 with an ERA of 5.85. In his last outing he defeated Tampa Bay at home by a score of 4 to 3 pitching for 7 innings giving up 3 earned runs on 3 hits and 7 strikeouts. Floyd has dominated the Tigers over his career with a 5-0 record and an ERA of 3.55 while the Sox are 10-1 when he takes the mound versus Detroit. His last start versus the Tigers was back on June 11th and he faced today’s starter Edwin Jackson and got a 4 to 3 win pitching 8 innings giving up 1 earned run on 5 hits and 5 strikeouts. Jackson threw for 5 innings giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 3 strikeouts in the loss. We expect another dominating performance from Gavin Floyd on Saturday as they White Sox rebound from a tough day on Friday and get back in this series with a win.

Graded Selection: 2* Chicago White Sox 5 Detroit Tigers 3
 
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Craig Trapp

MLB | Jul 25
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees
-1½-130 at BETUS > 6h.

NYY -1.5 (-133): Get down early as this play goes at 1pm EST today. The NYY go for 9th win in a row today verse a very outmatched OAK squad. Oak just traded away the best hitter on team Holiday to STL. Not good news for a team that already struggled to score runs. NYY will send Petite to the mound and he will try and repeat his last game where he went 7 innings only allowing 1 run. Petite has dominated OAK recently and for his career. Recently he has a 1.57 ERA in winning his last three starts against Oakland, including a 5-3 victory April 21 as he gave up two runs over seven innings. The veteran left-hander improved to 11-5 with a 3.24 ERA in 20 career outings versus Oakland, and 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 10 home starts. On the other side OAK sends Gonzalez to the plate coming off a pitiful start. He allowed 11 runs in 2 innings to MIN on Tuesday!! Gonzalez might hurt his neck today as he gives up a ton of HR's for his career and with this ballpark and lineup he faces today that spells trouble. NYY win in a easy blowout!! SCORE NYY 10 - OAK 1
 
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Jim Feist

(957) ATLANTA BRAVES
(958) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Take "(957) ATLANTA BRAVES"

The Braves are delight to be back in the pennant race, after a 6-2 homestand out of the break. Said Atlanta's Chipper Jones, "We played an awesome homestand. We beat some good pitchers." They can do it again here, as Milwaukee Yovani Gallardo is decent (8-7), but walking too many batters and is in a slump. He is 0-2 his last three starts with a 6.75 ERA, walking 13 in 16 innings. Braves righty Tommy Hanson (5-0) has been huge, with a 3.00 ERA. Play the Braves.
 
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Saturday, July 25

WNBA All-Star Game

The 2009 WNBA All-Star Game will be played on July 25, 2009 at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, home of the Connecticut Sun. The game is the 9th annual WNBA All-Star Game. This is the second time Connecticut has hosted the basketball showcase, after previously hosting the 2005 game.

Scheduled for 3:30pm ET
Television - ABC-TV

Previous WNBA All-Star games
July 14, 1999 West 79, East 61
July 17, 2000 West 73, East 61
July 16, 2001 West 80, East 72
July 15, 2002 West 81, East 76
July 12, 2003 West 84, East 75
Aug. 5, 2004 USA 74, WNBA 58 (TEAM USA vs WNBA STARS - Olympic Send-off Event)
July. 9, 2005 West 122, East 99
July 12, 2006 East 98, West 82
July 15, 2007 East 103, West 99
2008 (No all-star game scheduled due to the 2008 Summer Olympics)
July 25, 2009 TBD
 
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Red Dog Sports

Tampa Bay at Toronto 1pm

Over 9

Price has an ERA of 7.42 in his last 3 while Tallet's ERA is 8.40 in that same span. There have been 4 overs and 2 unders in the last 3 games started. These two have played their share of unders as they have 28 unders and 11 overs in their last 39 meetings but I like the chances of an over on Saturday afternoon.
 
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Nelly

Los Angeles Angels - over Minnesota Twins

Matt Palmer does not own dominating numbers but he simply wins games as he has produced a 7-1 record this season with all wins coming as a starter. In home games Palmer is 4-1 with a respectable 4.14 ERA and although he does not produce a lot of strikeouts he has kept the Angels in most games. With the way the Angels have been hitting lately, there is a lot of leeway for the starting pitchers. The Los Angeles bullpen has been a problem area much of the season but in the last ten games the unit has posted a respectable 3.68 ERA. In Minnesota the bullpen has gone south since the all star break including a 5.79 ERA in the last ten games and multiple-runs allowed in three of the past four games. This is a tough road trip for Minnesota and the Twins are struggling to stay afloat as the offense is slipping as well. Minnesota is batting .268 in the last ten games but the Twins have lost four of the last five, including playing three extra-innings games, so this team could be a bit worn out playing the ninth straight road game. In the last ten games the Angels are batting .327 against right-handed pitching and Los Angeles has scored 83 runs in a recent 10-1 stretch. Nick Blackburn has been the Twins best pitcher this season but he allowed 13 hits and seven runs in his first start after the all star break. In road games Minnesota is just 3-8 when Blackburn starts with his ERA climbing to 4.18 and his WHIP up to 1.41. The Angels are too hot to ignore right now and even though Palmer has not had dominant stuff he should be capable of a solid effort while the Angel offense carries the way.
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: Atlanta Braves w/Hanson vs Gallardo

Note: The Braves and Brewers battle in Game Two of this weekend series when Tommy Hanson matches serves with Yovanni Gallardo in Milwaukee. Gallardo enters tonight game in terrible form with losses in each of his last four team starts, including three straight home losses. With Gallardo owning a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts, look for Hanson to improve to 7-2 in his team starts this season here tonight.
 

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