Saturday at the Park
By Kevin Rogers
As we wrap up the final weekend of Interleague Play (until October), several solid afternoon matchups highlight the card. The Braves battle the Red Sox in Atlanta, while the Windy City battle continues from the South Side, as the Chicago showdown leads off this edition of Tip Sheet.
Cubs at White Sox - 4:05 PM EST
The Cubbies have found new ways to win and lose games over the last week. First, Lou Piniella's team rallied late in three straight victories over the White Sox and Indians at home, before picking up a conventional start-to-finish win over Cleveland last Sunday. Heading to the Motor City could not keep Chicago's momentum going, as the Cubs dropped all three games by a combined four runs to the Tigers.
The White Sox, meanwhile, have picked up their offense, against the Dodgers no less. The Pale Hose scored 16 runs in the final two games versus Los Angeles, both victories. Despite the recent outburst, the White Sox have gone 'under' the total in 20 of 24 games this season at home against right-handed starters, facing Ryan Dempster Saturday afternoon.
The Cubs are a sad 1-8 in Dempster's nine road starts, but even more tragic, is Dempster's run support numbers away from Wrigley Field. The Cubs are averaging 2.67 runs/game in the nine away starts made by Dempster, while the North Siders have been outscored by over two runs a contest in this nine-game span. Dempster has delivered four straight quality starts, but the Cubs have provided just five runs in those contests.
On the flip-side, White Sox ace Mark Buehrle is a solid 7-2 this season, owning an ERA of 3.17. The Sox have finished 'under' the total in six of Buehrle's eight home outings, and ten of his 14 starts overall. Buehrle has been one of the best pitchers in Interleague play, as the Sox are 18-6 in the lefty's last 24 starts against the National League.
The Cubs have won nine of the past 14 meetings with the White Sox, as the two teams split the two earlier matchups at Wrigley Field last week.
Las Vegas Sports Consultants has the White Sox listed as $1.25 favorites with the total set at 8.5.
Red Sox at Braves - 4:05 PM EST
After seeing fireballer Josh Beckett on Friday night, the Braves will see a huge change Saturday afternoon, as knuckleballer Tim Wakefield takes the hill for the Red Sox. Boston has claimed four of its five Interleague series this season, after downing Washington two of three times earlier this week. Atlanta, on the flip side, has lost three of its four series against the American League, including dropping two of three at Fenway Park last weekend.
Wakefield's numbers in Interleague have been superb, with the Sox winning 14 of the veteran's last 18 starts against the Senior Circuit. Wakefield has won nine of his 12 starts this season, despite an ERA of 4.47 and WHIP of 1.41. It does help that the powerful Red Sox lineup provides Wakefield with nearly seven runs a contest in his 14 outings. Wakefield has also thrived during the day, winning all four of his decisions under the sun this season (Boston is 5-0 in Wakefield's day starts).
Javier Vazquez, meanwhile, has been dealt some bad cards in his first season with the Braves. The veteran right-hander picked up his first win in his last six starts against the Cubs on Monday, pitching 6.2 innings of scoreless baseball in a 2-0 victory. The Braves have tallied only 10 runs in Vazquez's last six trips to the mound, despite Vazquez delivering four quality starts in that span.
The Braves are a $1.35 home favorites, with the total listed at 8.5, according to LVSC.
Angels at Diamondbacks - 4:10 PM EST
It's taken Mike Scioscia's team until nearly July to reach the top of the AL West standings, as the Angels battle the disappointing Diamondbacks. The Rangers have been leading the division for the duration of the season, but the Halos have slowly returned to healthy form, as John Lackey takes the mound this afternoon.
Lackey missed the first seven weeks of the season with shoulder problems, but the Angels right-hander has failed to regain his ace form that he is accustomed to. Lackey has delivered three quality starts in seven trips to the mound this season (including the two-pitch effort in his season debut against the Rangers). Lackey has gone deep into games recently, pitching into the seventh inning or later in six of his last seven starts. Interleague play has been kind to Lackey, as the Halos have won 18 of Lackey's 25 career starts against the NL. The 'under' has also been consistent in Lackey's IL outings, hitting in 17 of 22 games.
Doug Davis may have the best ERA numbers for an eight-loss pitcher in baseball. The veteran southpaw owns an ERA of 3.34, despite a 3-8 record, and 4-11 team record in Davis' 15 starts. Davis has won just one of six home starts, while the D-Backs have scored three runs or less in five of his eight trips to the hill at Chase Field.
The Angels have won nine of their last eleven on the road against left-handed starting pitchers, but have faced right-handed starters in seven of their last eight games heading into Saturday's action.
Lackey and the Angels are road 'chalk' for the second straight game against the D-Backs, at $1.25. LVSC lists the total at 9, as the temperatures are expected to reach the 100's in Phoenix on Saturday.
Looking ahead to Saturday night's action:
Marlins righty Chris Volstad has been money on the road in his short career. Volstad, despite losing to the Red Sox in his last road start, has won nine of his 13 career away outings as the Fish take on the Rays at Tropicana Field. The 'under' has also been reliable in Volstad's road ventures, cashing in nine times.
The Subway Series continues from Citi Field, as A.J. Burnett tries to beat the Mets for the second time in two weeks after tossing seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 victory. Problem is for Burnett, the Yankees can't win when the righty pitches on the road, dropping four of his last five starts away from the Bronx. Six of Burnett's last nine starts have finished 'under' the total, while the Yanks have surprisingly scored three runs or less six times in this stretch.
As the countdown continues for the return of Manny Ramirez to the Dodgers lineup, L.A. will have a nice test Saturday night, facing Mariners ace Felix Hernandez. King Felix has been lights out recently, as the M's have won five of his last six starts. Hernandez has allowed five earned runs in this span, while pitching into the seventh or later in each outing. Seattle is 7-2 in its last nine Interleague games heading into Friday's action, boosting the M's over .500 on the season.
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