Alright, here it goes, I'm going for 7 winners in a row so if you want to fade that is understandable from a mathematical perspective. Tonight, I like Louisivlle -6.5 (-120) VIP.com. I have cashed twice on Syracuse in the Big East Tournament, once against Seton Hall and last night against West Virginia. They definitely provided some great memories this tournament, but I'm siding with Louisville tonight. The Cardinals are too powerful and I bought the 1/2 point due to the Cardinals free-throw shooting difficulties. Earlier this year Louisville went into the Carrier Dome and came away with a ten point victory. Some might argue revenge for Syracuse, but I think Louisville is the superior team because of the massive balance and depth on their team. Syracuse comes in OFF BB SU Dog Wins and is still a Dog today. In fact, the line even went up slightly even after last night. Against the Big East elite (all ranked in the Top 10) (Nova, Ville, UCONN, Pitt) the Cuse is a soft 1-5 SU and thats including their overtime win against UCONN a few days ago. In those four losses, the average loss was by a whopping 12 points per game which is almost twice the spread of today. Syracuse has been somewhat of a bully this year by blowing out the Big East bottom feeders, but falling short against the big guys (obviously not counting the UCONN game). Take Pitino.
Take Louisville -6.5 (-120)