I would take San Diego +6 against anyone.
It's going to be an epic weekend. I can't wait to see how it unfolds.
:howdy:Hello Colonel Lingus...
I am not trying to tell you what to do my friend, however, you might want to consider the fact that San Diego posted a shoddy mark of 3-5 straight up on the road this year (3-4-1 ATS) which includes losses in 3 of their 4 road games that took place in the Eastern time zone...
...it should also be mentioned that San Diego has lost 10 of their last 11 outings played in Pittsburgh in straight up fashion and posted a mark of 3-7-1 ATS in those games played in Pittsburgh.
Alot of folks seem to think that San Diego has a good chance at defeating Pittsburgh in this playoff round and are basing that thought process on the very controversial 11-10 game that took place in Pittsburgh earlier this season...
I say controversial because those that wagered on Pittsburgh got a royal screwing at the games end by a bad review call on a Troy Polamalu interception return for a TD which would have given Pittsburgh a 18-10 win and cover...
The game was also controversial in that the referee's penalized
Pittsburgh 13 times in that game while only flagging
San Diego 2 times which is a very inordinate amount...
...the Steelers were flagged a total of 13 times against San Diego yet only once did Pittsburgh have more than 8 penalties in any other game and that was the 10 penalties they committed against the Jags who in turn were flagged 8 times in that same game.
A peek at the stat sheet from that prior Pittsburgh--San Diego game reveals that Pittsburgh had more first downs 24 to 16, had more total yardage 410-213, and won the TOP battle (time of possession) by a staggering 36:31 to 23:29 margin...
...to put things into perspective, mathematically Pittsburgh averages 6.95 points per 100 yards gained and they actually out gained the Bolts by 197 yards, which means that on average Pittsburgh should have beaten San Diego by 13 points in the earlier game above and beyond the amount that they actually did win by which was by 1...thusly Pittsburgh should have won that game by 14 points total.
Pittsburgh spotted San Diego +4.5 points in the earlier meeting and is now laying +6 points to San Diego in this game...
...personally I think the line is wayyyyyyy too low as it really should be Pittsburgh -8 when factoring in the fact that Pittsburgh out played them in the earlier meeting, Pittsburgh has had a week of rest, and also the fact that San Diego is beat up with regard to LT and Gates...but hey thats just my opinion.
Take care and be well my friend
Dirtydog
:wink:
uke1:
