San Diego Chargers vs New York Jets 12/23/2012

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Expect a close game with the San Diego Chargers winning 52% of simulations, and the New York Jets 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Diego Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The New York Jets wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jackie Battle is averaging 45 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Shonn Greene is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 75%.
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