San Diego Chargers vs Houston Texans 11/7/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the San Diego Chargers winning 57% of simulations, and the Houston Texans 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Diego Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 56% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Houston Texans wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Philip Rivers is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (41% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Arian Foster is averaging 96 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HOU -1 --- Over/Under line is 50

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