San Antonio picks for Saturday night (YTD:1-0)

quantumleap · Dec 4, 2004

San Antonio -4.5 over Milwaukee
The Spurs go on the road to Milwaukee after playing the night before at home against Detroit. San Antonio got up big in the 3rd quarter until they let Detroit sneak back to finish within 3.

I love scenarios like this. This causes a good team like San Antonio to play better throughout the next game and cover this measly spread. Milwaukee has lost 8 out of their last 9 games, only beating a partial Detroit squad.

Both teams average about 97 ppg, however the Bucks give up an average of 99 ppg while the Spurs give up an average of only 85 ppg. The league's best team got a scare against Detroit that will cause them to make sure they cover the spread.

eric331 · Dec 4, 2004

you've been on a hot streak

Dear Quantumleap,<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com

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Especially with the Suns, you've been making the right calls, for an unbelievable record of 13-2. :103631605

My wallet and I thank you. <o

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I'm rookie to betting on NBA games, and I think you've been one of the best, if not the best in NBA forums. I really would like to know how you've been making your picks.. Do you watch all the Suns games? When you make your picks, are there certain patterns you look out for? :icon_conf

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Keep up the great work. :103631605

I'm sure I'm not the only one benefiting from your picks on this forum, but I'd like to be one of the first to congratulate and thank you for your efforts.<o

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PS Quantum leap was a great show. :digit: :howdy: <o

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quantumleap · Dec 4, 2004

Thanks for the kind words Eric. I'm glad you have cashed.

To answer your questions:

I try to watch every Suns game. I believe that is the best way to gauge a team as to how they will do in the 2nd half.

I also like to give my reasons in my posts. That serves to reinforce my memory on what I have noticed in past performances and also helps other people to make future picks. If you go toward the top of this page you can see the Search link. Click on Search and then Advanced Search. You will be able to type in the keywords "Suns 2nd half totals" as I like to title my picks similarly for easy searching. When you find my posts you can see the reasoning I give behind each pick.

One of the things I look for is the tempo of the game. With the Suns it is usually quick with Steve Nash as guard and he does not let up until late in the game. That has lead to a lot of the 2nd-half totals going over. However, on 2 occasions (NO and Minn.) the other team has been able to control the tempo and slow things down and the second half in these 2 games has gone under.

Another thing I like to look at is the average number of points scored in the 2nd half by each team so far this year. I get this information at www.sportsrumble.com. I can then know how the 2nd-half line compares to that. I just use that as a guideline mind you.

One thing that I hadn't notice before that Zapster brought up is how many fouls the refs are calling. A foul is an "over's" best friend. It stops the clock and gives the shooting team a chance to put points on the board. As Zapster said last night, the refs weren't calling many fouls which allows time to run off the clock. Teams change from half to half but the refs usually keep it consistent.

I hope this helps.

sportsbet · Dec 4, 2004

Spurs up 20 in the 4th!

Go Q Go!

sb

quantumleap · Dec 4, 2004

I was thinking about taking the -1.5 spread for SA in the 2nd half but I thought that Milw. would backdoor since this is the 2nd game in as many nights for the Spurs. I still think Milwaukee will outscore the Spurs from this point on with the score being 86-64.