;+)- <<<< Heres why.
1.) Amount of road woes this team has had vs the longevity of supremacy for the home team. This basically translates to turnovers. Seattle gets many of them at home, Saints give it away on the road.
2.) Third down and longs. Both teams are going to have them. Brees is gonna throw it everytime. Easy call on D. Lean on your strength. When Wilson is 3rd and long everyone knows he can run it, and he will. Defense has to either commit a spy which opens up passing lanes or he runs for the first down. Thats the difference folks, right there. Its why Kap, Cam and Wilson are all still here. Seattles strength is New Orleans strength. And New Orleans strength on D (their passing against) can be combated by Wilson's legs. Add in Harvin for Seem Routes/Screen Routes/ Special Teams and Thurmond on the Back end, and Seattle all of a sudden has a few new wrinkles of its own.
3.) When New Orleans wins on the road, they basically have a 50/50 split of running the ball and throwing. To me, this means that New Orleans is going to try to run the ball quite a bit to start. I would bet New Orleans does not do a good job running the ball. Not to mention if I can figure that out, I'm sure SEA already did. Expect to see 7/8 in the box during the start of the game, keying on the run forcing Brees to throw it right off the bat.
Point is, teams need to be running the ball MORE THEN HALF the plays on offense against SEA so they can keep the D on the field keep Wilson off (or else he will keep the D on the field). NewOrl isnt built to run more then half, they just dont matchup well. Period. Sure they can win if SEA fumbles it three times and wilson throws two INTs, but I am suggesting to NOT bet on that.
4.) Seattles weakness are covering the Tight End and their O-line. Saints DLine is average. Not good enough to bully Hawks OL, but the TE is interesting as the Saints have the best TE in all of football. So, what happened last game? Well, Seattle does a good job of "hiding" their weakness. Their typical 3rd down scheme is zone with corners playing man to man technique and one saftey which has holes on deep crossing routes.
The problem is, seattle knows this and counts on either
A.) getting to the QB faster then the route is run
B.) re route TE off intial route.
C.) They manhandle a WR /TE 10 yards down field and it doesnt get called
When it all said and done, I think its more of the same. It will be a game for most of it, but I see Hawks pulling away late.
Seattle -8 small
*Seattle -7 (-135) Bigger.
Teaser:
Seattle/New England
Seattle/Open spot
3-0 in DIV round posted. Other Sat leans: NE-7/ NE-Indy under
1.) Amount of road woes this team has had vs the longevity of supremacy for the home team. This basically translates to turnovers. Seattle gets many of them at home, Saints give it away on the road.
2.) Third down and longs. Both teams are going to have them. Brees is gonna throw it everytime. Easy call on D. Lean on your strength. When Wilson is 3rd and long everyone knows he can run it, and he will. Defense has to either commit a spy which opens up passing lanes or he runs for the first down. Thats the difference folks, right there. Its why Kap, Cam and Wilson are all still here. Seattles strength is New Orleans strength. And New Orleans strength on D (their passing against) can be combated by Wilson's legs. Add in Harvin for Seem Routes/Screen Routes/ Special Teams and Thurmond on the Back end, and Seattle all of a sudden has a few new wrinkles of its own.
3.) When New Orleans wins on the road, they basically have a 50/50 split of running the ball and throwing. To me, this means that New Orleans is going to try to run the ball quite a bit to start. I would bet New Orleans does not do a good job running the ball. Not to mention if I can figure that out, I'm sure SEA already did. Expect to see 7/8 in the box during the start of the game, keying on the run forcing Brees to throw it right off the bat.
Point is, teams need to be running the ball MORE THEN HALF the plays on offense against SEA so they can keep the D on the field keep Wilson off (or else he will keep the D on the field). NewOrl isnt built to run more then half, they just dont matchup well. Period. Sure they can win if SEA fumbles it three times and wilson throws two INTs, but I am suggesting to NOT bet on that.
4.) Seattles weakness are covering the Tight End and their O-line. Saints DLine is average. Not good enough to bully Hawks OL, but the TE is interesting as the Saints have the best TE in all of football. So, what happened last game? Well, Seattle does a good job of "hiding" their weakness. Their typical 3rd down scheme is zone with corners playing man to man technique and one saftey which has holes on deep crossing routes.
The problem is, seattle knows this and counts on either
A.) getting to the QB faster then the route is run
B.) re route TE off intial route.
C.) They manhandle a WR /TE 10 yards down field and it doesnt get called
When it all said and done, I think its more of the same. It will be a game for most of it, but I see Hawks pulling away late.
Seattle -8 small
*Seattle -7 (-135) Bigger.
Teaser:
Seattle/New England
Seattle/Open spot
3-0 in DIV round posted. Other Sat leans: NE-7/ NE-Indy under
$$ CYaaaaa 4-0 in playoffs. NE -7 next up.
