Over 8.5 NYY/MINN
Hitting in lefty-friendly Yankee Stadium against the basically league average Kyle Gibson. Gibson gives up a lot of contact, which won't help him exploit swing and miss tendencies, making this a better spot than usual to deploy Gibson. Trevor Plouffe,Brian Dozier and Miguel Sano stacked can definitely hit a homer or two in friendly park like Yankee Stadium.
Over (?) NYY Team Total
The good news about facing Kyle Gibson is, he's well below league average in terms of striking out opposing batters. NY Stack Jacoby Ellsbury ,Brett Gardner,[URL="http://razzball.com/player/4810/Brian+McCann/"] a fine 1-2stack.
Brian McCann has been .070 OPS points better against right handed pitching during his career.
Mark Teixeirahe's got 25 home runs and a .980 OPS against right handed pitching in 304 plate appearances this season. [/URL]
Over (?) Minn Team Total
Today they'll face what's left of CC Sabathia, a once proud pitcher who hasn't had above league average results since 2012. Throw in a great hitter's park, and you have a huge upside play if you want it.
Mil -148
Today They face Justin Nicolino. The poor guy had a sub 5 K/9 in 2 levels in the minors the last two years before the Marlins saw fit to send him to the slaughter, and has struck out just 4 batters in 16 major league innings.
Over (?) Mil Team Total
What you're banking on in this game that Justin Nicolino doesn't get lucky and actually get a few outs before being run from the game. This one basically comes down to a projected increase in plate appearances (and having higher quality PAs) for all of the Brewers today.
Pitt -183
Grab the Pirates' ace at home against the Diamondbacks. Cole's a strike-out per inning guy with the 13th best xFIP in the major leagues, and he should have a good match-up with the perennially below league average Jeremy Hellickson The D-Backs have struck out at the 9th highest rate against opposing righties this season, but they've also put together the 10th highest wOBA. Worth noting, however, is that they'll be away from their friendly home hitter's environment and in the less friendly PNC Park. Take my chances with Cole.
Over (?) Pitt Team Total
Marte,Walker And Alvarez Stack Vs Hellickson. Hellickson has always struggled with giving up the long ball, and his 1.31 HR/9 figure this year reflects that not much has changed.
LAA -148
Take a look at Heaney. Heaney himself isn't a whole lot to look at. His sub 7 K/9 doesn't scream anything, so I'll need to explain a bit. He's also facing a team that really can't hit. The White Sox are dead last in the majors in wOBA against left handed pitching (an awful .276), and have struck out at the 11th highest rate. Like I said, a guy who gives up this much contact can't be said to be safe, but is Worth a shot.
Over (?) LAA Team Total
I won't waste your time with all the deets, here, but Trout's the world's best player, and while Rodon has shown signs, he's truly not there quite yet. With Giavotella and Calhoun Ahead of him and Pujols Behind s,hould = Runs vs Rodon.
Hitting in lefty-friendly Yankee Stadium against the basically league average Kyle Gibson. Gibson gives up a lot of contact, which won't help him exploit swing and miss tendencies, making this a better spot than usual to deploy Gibson. Trevor Plouffe,Brian Dozier and Miguel Sano stacked can definitely hit a homer or two in friendly park like Yankee Stadium.
Over (?) NYY Team Total
The good news about facing Kyle Gibson is, he's well below league average in terms of striking out opposing batters. NY Stack Jacoby Ellsbury ,Brett Gardner,[URL="http://razzball.com/player/4810/Brian+McCann/"] a fine 1-2stack.
Brian McCann has been .070 OPS points better against right handed pitching during his career.
Mark Teixeirahe's got 25 home runs and a .980 OPS against right handed pitching in 304 plate appearances this season. [/URL]
Over (?) Minn Team Total
Today they'll face what's left of CC Sabathia, a once proud pitcher who hasn't had above league average results since 2012. Throw in a great hitter's park, and you have a huge upside play if you want it.
Mil -148
Today They face Justin Nicolino. The poor guy had a sub 5 K/9 in 2 levels in the minors the last two years before the Marlins saw fit to send him to the slaughter, and has struck out just 4 batters in 16 major league innings.
Over (?) Mil Team Total
What you're banking on in this game that Justin Nicolino doesn't get lucky and actually get a few outs before being run from the game. This one basically comes down to a projected increase in plate appearances (and having higher quality PAs) for all of the Brewers today.
Pitt -183
Grab the Pirates' ace at home against the Diamondbacks. Cole's a strike-out per inning guy with the 13th best xFIP in the major leagues, and he should have a good match-up with the perennially below league average Jeremy Hellickson The D-Backs have struck out at the 9th highest rate against opposing righties this season, but they've also put together the 10th highest wOBA. Worth noting, however, is that they'll be away from their friendly home hitter's environment and in the less friendly PNC Park. Take my chances with Cole.
Over (?) Pitt Team Total
Marte,Walker And Alvarez Stack Vs Hellickson. Hellickson has always struggled with giving up the long ball, and his 1.31 HR/9 figure this year reflects that not much has changed.
LAA -148
Take a look at Heaney. Heaney himself isn't a whole lot to look at. His sub 7 K/9 doesn't scream anything, so I'll need to explain a bit. He's also facing a team that really can't hit. The White Sox are dead last in the majors in wOBA against left handed pitching (an awful .276), and have struck out at the 11th highest rate. Like I said, a guy who gives up this much contact can't be said to be safe, but is Worth a shot.
Over (?) LAA Team Total
I won't waste your time with all the deets, here, but Trout's the world's best player, and while Rodon has shown signs, he's truly not there quite yet. With Giavotella and Calhoun Ahead of him and Pujols Behind s,hould = Runs vs Rodon.
