#'s system week 9

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Home Favs Overall........................24-27-3 Ats
Home Favs Of 1 Pt.........................6-1 Ats
Home Favs Of 4 Pts.......................0-2-1 Ats
Home Favs Of 6-7 Pts....................1-10-1 Ats
Home Favs Of 9 Pts.......................3-1 Ats
Home Favs Of 11-14 Pts.................1-5-1 Ats

Road Favs Overall.........................29-27-1
Road Favs Of 1 Pt..........................6-2 Ats
Road Favs Of 3-4 Pts.....................2-12 Ats
Road Favs Of 6-8 Pts.....................9-1 Ats

Favs Overall(home+road)combined
1 Pt.................................12-3 Ats
4 Pts...............................1-8-1 Ats
8 Pts...............................5-1 Ats
13-14 Pts.........................0-4 Ats

Home Team Picks..............1-4 Ats

Week 9
Ari 112
Atl 118
Bal 123
Buf 117
Car 115
Chi 116
Cin 114
Cle 114
Dal 113
Den 120
Det 114
Gby 120
Hou 118
Ind 126
Jax 117
Kc 124
Mia 116
Min 119
Ne 123
Nor 114
Nyg 120
Nyj 123
Oak 107
Phi 128
Pit 122
Stl 117
Sd 121
Sf 113
Sea 122
Tby 117
Ten 119
Was 112

Game.
 
Joined
Oct 21, 2004
Messages
25
Tokens
where do you get them numbers at

for instance why last week was arizonia 112 now this week 115. I think you got a great system here but where do you get the numbers for the team. thanks for everything
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
bp17,

last week arizona was 115...this week they're 112, this was the adjustment that was made due to the beating they took from buffalo 38-14.
depending on the outcome of the game each team is adjusted for the next week using an adjustment chart.
teams winning and losing are adjusted accordingly.
this chart i won't show,(took me too long to create it), trial and error.
the #'s for each team was derived based on the nfl as a whole, no team better or worse than thier last game.
nothing came from any book other than my own, and has nothing to do with "power ratings".
look at this system as a board game.
it would be more accurate.

GAME.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
246
Tokens
TheGame9000...what do u do with these number

new here..do u match the teams who are playing and find the difference
if the difference is favourable compared to the actual line do u play it
please explain..thanks
 

New member
Joined
Dec 20, 2003
Messages
9,069
Tokens
RR:

I copied this from a previous thread:

thanks, general.

ok, the system applied to 12 of the 14 games this week, so far it went 8-3 ats with it riding baltimore tonight.
i've been doing it for three years on here now.
it's very simple.
example...
oakland at houston
oakland 115
houston 111
this makes oakland a road favorite of 4 points, before this week road favs of 4-6 points were 0-3 ats.
system play..take houston
houston 30-17 final.

I still don't quite understand when to play a game though. Doe we take a play when the recored ats is cruddy?

GAME.
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
Messages
20,706
Tokens
I Love Seeing This....it Keep Me In Check......the Line Are Getting Tighter....and This Will Help All Of Us......thanks
 

New member
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
246
Tokens
Ace can you please explain when and how to use this system and waht are your thoughts about it

thanks.
 

EX BOOKIE
Joined
Oct 20, 2003
Messages
20,706
Tokens
redrocket said:
Ace can you please explain when and how to use this system and waht are your thoughts about it

thanks.
he does it the same as me......let say nyj 123 vs buff 117....he saying that nyj line sure be -7 a value of +4.....
my is at -8 a value of +5

we just put more wt on diff things....games9000 have been doing this for a long time.....
 

New member
Joined
Oct 11, 2004
Messages
2,418
Tokens
So if I'm doing this correct the plays would be.

NYJ
Phily
Cincy
Carolina
Arizona
KC
Chi
NO
NE
Balt
Min

with the strongest ones being
NYJ 9-1 ATS
Phily 9-1 ATS
KC 9-1 ATS
NE 9-1 ATS
Min (against Indy 1-10-1 ATS)

Is that correct
 

New member
Joined
Oct 31, 2004
Messages
246
Tokens
I think i goy it now
is the above post correct, should i play based on the 9-1 records as per the above poster
thanks for this again and bol to all
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
EZ$ got it down.

just be careful on the minn play, they failed to cover 12 of the last 13 games before gb.

GAME.
 

somewhere far beyond
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
181
Tokens
Game, thanks for the numbers again...

i always follow them..

last week u made me good $$..

hope 2 continue..wish to know on which day it will break down..or never???
should we..

with road fav 6- 8
with home fav 1
and against road fav 3-4

what about the values! thats what WE have to count in..

so ur best plays are according to system???

T.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 19, 2004
Messages
92
Tokens
question for Ace and THEGAME

for Ace....doesn't this go against your big NYG play today? with the numbers favoring the bears...0-2 ats and 1-8-1 ats?

for GAME......what's the system current ATS record in NFL.....

and thanks for posting,...looks like good stuff

final thought....looks like the bulk of the card would put me squarely on a bunch of favorites (jets,phil,caro,kc,ne,,balt) and right there with joe public on all but maybe philly??? something about that spells recipe for disaster!

final final thought....it also puts me on cincy(6-1 ats),zona,(miami1-8-1 and 0-2ats) chi,(nyg 0-2 and 1-8-1 ats),and N.O.(sd 1-10 ats) cincy and zona sounds reasonable,....but hate to buck ACE's NYG and (smaller) SD calls........
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
btfm...

i'm not suggesting you blindly bet on every play it gives, that would be foolish, you must temper it with your own info(such as the minn info).
it is what it is, and the ats outcomes of these selection situations are accurate for the year.
pick and choose what you might like,this is just a system that gives another perspective on games you might be playing.

gl

GAME.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 19, 2004
Messages
92
Tokens
Got it Game...thanks

Thanks for the response,...looks interesting, I'll be looking forward to tracking it.
thanks for posting it every week.....
BTF:think:
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
this might be the week of change exposed for road favorites, after most road favs being dominant, the last plays of road favs have went..

rd favs of 1 pt..............0-2 ats
rd favs of 2 pts............0-1 ats
rd favs of 3 pts............0-4 ats
rd favs of 4 pts............0-2 ats
rd favs of 5 pts............0-1 ats
rd favs of 6 pts............0-2 ats(ne pending)
rd favs of 7 pts............0-1 ats(kc pending)
rd favs of 9 pts............0-1 ats(sea pending)
rd favs of 10 pts..........0-1-1 ats

update on final decision later.....

GAME.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
5 early plays...

arizona
ny jets
cincinnatti
philadelphia
kansas city

2-3 ats

3 afternoon plays

chicago
new orleans
new england

2-1 ats

4-4 ats on the day with 2 late plays to go..
baltimore
minnesota

next week i will give the cover chart in great detail so the 2nd half runs can be more clearly obvious.

GAME.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,832
Messages
13,573,835
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com