#'s system week 5

[THEGAME9000]

WEEK 5

HOME FAVS OVERALL..........10-13-2 ATS
HOME FAVS OF 1 PT...........2-0 ATS
HOME FAVS OF 4 PTS.........0-2-1 ATS
HOME FAVS OF 6 PTS.........0-2 ATS
HOME FAVS OF 11-16 PTS...0-4-1 ATS

ROAD FAVS OVERALL..........19-12-1 ATS
ROAD FAVS OF 1-2 PTS......6-0 ATS
ROAD FAVS OF 4-6 PTS......0-5 ATS
ROAD FAVS OF 7-8 PTS......5-0 ATS

OVERALL FAVS (HM+RD) COMBINED
1 PT...................6-0 ATS
4 PTS.................0-4-1 ATS
6 PTS.................0-4 ATS
7 PTS.................3-0 ATS
11 PTS...............1-3 ATS

HOME PICKS 1-2 ATS(no specific trends)

ARI 112
ATL 121
BAL 123
BUF 114
CAR 116
CHI 118
CIN 114
CLE 110
DAL 116
DEN 123
DET 114
GB 119
HOU 114
IND 128
JAX 120
KC 120
MIA 117
MIN 120
NE 125
NO 114
NYG 117
NYJ 120
OAK 112
PHI 128
PIT 119
STL 117
SD 116
SF 113
SEA 128
TB 115
TEN 119
WAS 112

GAME.

 

[mickj]

How would it work for a pickem like Ravens/Redskins?

 

[mickj]

Never mind, i remembered the actual spread doesn't matter. Have you had any 11 point road favorites?

 

[ShedClub]

Good Info.

 

[nakolo]

question.....weren't the Raiders -1 or -2 pt road favs last week @ Houston??? They lost that game.... So the "road fav" of 1-2 pts. category should be 6-1-0.

Or did I miss something?

 

[$haggy]

great info,

but excuse the newbie question. What are the numbers at the bottom listed to each teams name?

thanks,.

 

[Liedka]

I'm guessing the list of teams is a power ratings list. Note the highest values are 128 for Phil and Seat....the lowest is 110 for Clev, and Ariz is 112.

power ratings....

 

[mickj]

Game i would explain the system in every post. :biglaugh:It can be confusing if you don't know it.:think:

 

[THEGAME9000]

ok, here we go...

this is a #'s system based on all nfl teams as they relate to the rest of the teams. sorta power ratings, but the strength is in the adjustment chart from week to week.
the actual pointspread is not a factor at all.
last week the raiders were a road fav of 4 points.
oakland 115
houston 111
gauging strictly by the number value for each team given you decide who is favored by how much and if that team is at home or on the road.
check it against the trends provided on the year so far and see if there might be a play.
picks- are if both teams have the same numerical value, and in that case i just gauge how the home team has done.
as the year goes on more trends will become stronger, and some weaker.
it's a "go with" and "against" system.
dambdest thing...but it works.

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

also as far as the road and home favs that are not listed it is because there are either equal #'s of wins and losses, no big pattern or only one or less times it has occurred.


GAME.

 

[ESQAJM]

Game: Just to see if I understand correctly, I should be looking for games this week where the point differential under your system is 1-2 points. Those games have hit 6-0 since the season started.
There are 3 of them this week:
TB
Giants
SF

Two of these teams are dogs where you are getting points (TB Giants) which makes them an even better bet. SF you are only laying a point which is a pick-em game, so that's OK. Am I correct in my reasoning?
ESQAJM

 

[cole]

don't forget Houston

Mn is an away fav by 6 which means road favms between 4-6 are 0-5. Play is Houston . Right Or Wrong

 

[THEGAME9000]

correct and correct.

GAME.

 

[ESQAJM]

Game: Do you have stats or results from the 2003 season? I would be interested in seeing those and comparing them to the 2004 season to date.
ESQAJM

 

[BREADMAN]

thanks GAME as always for posting the list
goodluck this weekend

breadman

 

[THEGAME9000]

ESQ...

i have the outcome for every season in it's entirety for the last 5 or more years.,

if you would like i could send them but it would take a while to do.

GAME.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

Bump

 

[torquas]

very much apprıcıated..

3-0 and 1 teaser won..

follower...

 

[THEGAME9000]

gotta love it...

2-3 ats in the morning
4-1 ats in the afternoon
top plays going 5-1 ats.

GAME.

 

[lionking]

what you like for tonight, im leaning balt, wash D still without lavarr ?? what you think