RXForum I really need your help....

[Defying]

So When I don't understand a line, I assume Vegas knows something I don't and ill step back.

Today I was doing my normal handicapping and saw Nets +9 and I fired away a max bet. At the time 51% of the bets were on the Nets which wasn't surprising to me.

The line has creep-ed up to 10.5. Now I'm worried. I don't know what I'm missing. I honestly fired away this morning because I saw the line moving down as much as a point. Instead, it moved 1.5 points the otherway on something I already viewed as a bad line.

Golden State backers, how is it possible that laying 10.5 points is the right bet?
Objective bettors, what am I missing thinking that this line should be 8?

I'm thinking about buying a portion back.

 

[Broham]

My system gives me GS -9...........I didn't like it 9 and I sure as hell don't like it at 10.5

I'm just laying off

 

[Defying]

Yeah, that's my problem, I don't see how people could be excited about laying 9 much less 10.5

72% of the bets are on GS right now though

 

[r.a.]

Golden St. leading the league in turnovers and one of their best frontline players is out ... David Lee. Unless, Lee is back tonight this is a real confounding line @ 10 1/2

 

[fly73]

I lean golden st,,, just my .02

 

[Typhoon]

according to sports options the steam boys hit GS at -9 @ 11:47
don't know if that is east or pacific time

 

[CarolinaKid]

you have plus money on state now at 10.5

 

[HarryCaray]

Similar thing 2 nights ago when GS was -8' vs SA.

SA won SU.

Vegas has a lot of love for GS, or GSW gets a lot of backers, or something.

They're a good squad but without Lee this line is absurd.

 

[Defying]

Golden St. leading the league in turnovers and one of their best frontline players is out ... David Lee. Unless, Lee is back tonight this is a real confounding line @ 10 1/2

my thoughts exactly.

David Lee Better than Barnes Bogut Green

 

[r.a.]

according to sports options the steam boys hit GS at -9 @ 11:47
don't know if that is east or pacific time

Last night they steamed the total in the Massachusetts game from 61 to 65 .... they would have needed six quarters for that total to go over.

 

[CarolinaKid]

the number now is not a true number imo where it will be around 10 pm eastern, that number will be a much better number on the side

 

[phorever]

+10.5 seems like the play all day to me...

 

[Defying]

My Official Plays

$500 Nets +9(10.5 is obviously better)
$200 Under 109.5 -105 Warriors
$200 Under 210 Game

 

[Broham]

Where do y'all see that Lee is out?

 

[Defying]

Where do y'all see that Lee is out?

out indefinitely according to sportsoptions
everyone should be using it

 

[Defying]

My Official Plays

$500 Nets +9(10.5 is obviously better)
$200 Under 109.5 -105 Warriors
$200 Under 210 Game

A sweat by another SWWEEEPP!

 

[boss415]

Dirty finish. Dramond green got horse collard no foul. Nice hit. I really thought the warriors were gonna pull ot out

 

[Defying]

Dirty finish. Dramond green got horse collard no foul. Nice hit. I really thought the warriors were gonna pull ot out

absolutely a gift.
that was a foul

 

[ElTaino]

You worry too much

1) vegas only lays a # they believe will give them equal action. a line is NOT a representation on who they think will win. They really only care to collect the juice (see miss st v alabama)
2) a line only moves when the money moves. Basically line movement is just the opinion of other idiots. Do you trust them?
3) see your doctor about impending ulcers

nice sweep today!

 

[boss415]

Game could have gone either way but that was so obvious even grant hill said it on the air. Totally could have been a cover if it had been called. Nice hit for you and the nba gods will give me one soon. Bol the rest of the season. I like what you have been doing in the football