rivercitybirdie's 2014 picks

[rivercitybirdie]

hey, my first picks of the year. hadn't had time/energy first two weeks, although i think my leans were 50% first week and 50%+ second week.

historically, i've done really well the first few weeks and then fallen into a 50% (or a bit worse) funk the rest of the way.. want to really try to crack beyond the first few weeks this year. probably alot more work as my offseason work on scouring phil steele lists to pick early season teams is pretty straight-forward.

here are my week 3 picks

nevada +15.5
no illinois -10
nms +11
lt +5
miami-ohio +31
kent state +32
wyoming +44
kansas +15.5
ky +18
ill +13.5
georgia state +11.5
army +28
CMU +7.5

UNDER: bowling green.

LEANS: WF +14 @ USU (USU taking huge step back, but hate tailing WF), rice +32 @ TAM (have to look into rice this year. generally a great UDOG team but have to see how the O has been this year).....

 

[rivercitybirdie]

rice offense looks ok but defense is worst in america statistically. so i'll PASS on that game.....

lock in the WF +14 as a play...

adding ark state +16

is baylor at buffalo this weekend? don't see it on pinnacle.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

7-8 ATS (thought i was much worse, but forgot a couple of my picks)..... 0-1 o/u

not sure if it's just my losing week, but i thought there were alot of funny scores yesterday.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

wow, i misgraded a game... Gstate covered.... so i was 8-7 ATS......... what do you know? felt like a horrible day yesterday but eked out a small ATS win....

 

[rivercitybirdie]

Doing doing this in a rush. Will use closing lines...

ATS....troy fiu gt rice...

Leaned heavily EMich but can 't play them...sortof like that guy's "never back Kansas" rule

 

[rivercitybirdie]

Adding army, virg, gestate, Missouri, miss st...

 

[rivercitybirdie]

so just consolidate

troy L (started out well LOL)
fiu
gt W
rice L
army
Virginia
geogia state
Missouri
miss st

1-2 so far.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

so just consolidate

troy L (started out well LOL)
fiu L
gt W
rice L
army L
VirginiaW
geogia state W
Missouri L
miss st W

doing ipad so editing not so great

4-5 for the week... think my leans werenet losses too.

4-5 for the week

 

[rivercitybirdie]

didn't post last week. didn't really have picks but perusal of lines/scores makes me think i'd have been slightly on wrong side of 50%. seems like i've had more huge misses this season than others.

anyway back at it.....

nd pick
cal +3.5
nill -24
rice -6
gt +2
sdsu pick
so miss +16.5
florida +1
akron -21
m-ohio -4
ole miss +6
lsu +8

didn' t play:
ohio +24.5 (only seem this line one place on my favourite odds site... is it the correct spread?....... oops +3 it seems. ok, line only off by 21+ points)

lean:

marshall -17

 

[rivercitybirdie]

didn't post last week. didn't really have picks but perusal of lines/scores makes me think i'd have been slightly on wrong side of 50%. seems like i've had more huge misses this season than others.anyway back at it.....nd pick Wcal +3.5nill -24 Lrice -6gt +2sdsu pickso miss +16.5 wflorida +1 wakron -21wm-ohio -4 lole miss +6 wlsu +8 didn' t playhio +24.5 (only seem this line one place on my favourite odds site... is it the correct spread?....... oops +3 it seems. ok, line only off by 21+ points)lean:marshall -17

5-2 ...gotta check sdsu final.

 

[rivercitybirdie]

sdsu = L ..so 5-3 . current slate not doing well

 

[rivercitybirdie]

looks like 8-4 ATS....