1st of all, I've got no ego and really no reasons to track and to get others to follow my posts. I'm at a time in my life where there will be weeks that I cannot post alot of data and some I cannot; and to take all of the extra time to monitor wins and losses and units, its something that I cannot do this year. It's basically been a breakeven season to this point.
I'm headed to the Alabama-Florida game this weekend and won't be around, so here is what I've played to this point and why......play, follow, or fade, but this season will be shorter for me with less plays moving forward. But I do feel strongly about these plays: These are all for equal units:
-Already played Team Total Under 24 points South Florida, and I know most places now are 23; Statistics truly kick in around Week 5 for me, but with UCONN playing both Boise and BYU, I think those are some pretty solid indicators, and UCONN Total Defense is ranked 51 and Rushing Defense 23. South Florida looks like Tarzan and plays like Jane. They are 121 in Total Offense, and last year, in 12 games they only scored more than 23 points once, and that was 26. This year does not look much better.
-Have an open Teaser that the 1st leg is done, Auburn -2.5 and it is paired with Virginia Tech -1.5- You obviously can't play this but you can play them on a 6T with another favorite of yours or straight up. One thing that I've posted for years now when these two teams get together is that Bud Foster is the best at stopping Georgia Tech's option attack. And to boot VT is probably going to be in an ill mood. The better team has to stay in the hunt, and something tells me that after giving up 19, 21, and 38 to Wofford, Tulane, and Georgia Southern, the weak link is Georgia Tech Defense. Score at GT last year was 17-10. This a double digit win is likely.
Under 52- Alabama/Florida- Did you know that in 12 games last year, which includes a strong SEC Schedule, plus Florida State, Miami, and Toledo, that only one game went over 52 points for Florida?. That was Missouri and 53 points were scored. This year the Florida Defense is once again the strong point. Muschamp knows Saban, Saban knows Muschamp.....and Florida's Offense is not a strength. If Muschamp knows what is good for him, he will try to grind this game out with Matt Jones and not put Driskel in a position to get killed or make mistakes. Quick scoring strikes are won't be the way for Florida to beat Alabama. The gameplan will be to shorten the game, and on the flip side Florida may not be able to stop these quick outs to Amari Cooper, but they do have the ability to keep them from becoming a 40 yard score. I think Bama pulls away late and aids in shortening the game by not getting fancy.
Over 65.5 Oklahoma- Last year was a 2nd game, 16-7 yawner. Holgerson was still putting pieces together on his Offense in Game 2; by the end of the season although they were still losing, they were finally scoring. Their Total Offense last year was 62. With Maryland and Alabama already under the belt, they are #13 in Total Offense. This Offense is clicking early this season, and being at home should have some confidence. Likewise, I think the Oklahoma Offense is better this season as well, and they proved in the bowl game against Alabama that they can adapt and play no huddle Offense well if they have to.....Oklahoma's Defense appears to be the same, West Virgina Offense much better. Oklahoma Offense better, West Virginia Defense is probably a tick better, but not nearly as much depth. Both teams play fast here, with OU hoping that WVU wears down.
Taking a week off from NASCAR to clear the cobwebs.
gl
I'm headed to the Alabama-Florida game this weekend and won't be around, so here is what I've played to this point and why......play, follow, or fade, but this season will be shorter for me with less plays moving forward. But I do feel strongly about these plays: These are all for equal units:
-Already played Team Total Under 24 points South Florida, and I know most places now are 23; Statistics truly kick in around Week 5 for me, but with UCONN playing both Boise and BYU, I think those are some pretty solid indicators, and UCONN Total Defense is ranked 51 and Rushing Defense 23. South Florida looks like Tarzan and plays like Jane. They are 121 in Total Offense, and last year, in 12 games they only scored more than 23 points once, and that was 26. This year does not look much better.
-Have an open Teaser that the 1st leg is done, Auburn -2.5 and it is paired with Virginia Tech -1.5- You obviously can't play this but you can play them on a 6T with another favorite of yours or straight up. One thing that I've posted for years now when these two teams get together is that Bud Foster is the best at stopping Georgia Tech's option attack. And to boot VT is probably going to be in an ill mood. The better team has to stay in the hunt, and something tells me that after giving up 19, 21, and 38 to Wofford, Tulane, and Georgia Southern, the weak link is Georgia Tech Defense. Score at GT last year was 17-10. This a double digit win is likely.
Under 52- Alabama/Florida- Did you know that in 12 games last year, which includes a strong SEC Schedule, plus Florida State, Miami, and Toledo, that only one game went over 52 points for Florida?. That was Missouri and 53 points were scored. This year the Florida Defense is once again the strong point. Muschamp knows Saban, Saban knows Muschamp.....and Florida's Offense is not a strength. If Muschamp knows what is good for him, he will try to grind this game out with Matt Jones and not put Driskel in a position to get killed or make mistakes. Quick scoring strikes are won't be the way for Florida to beat Alabama. The gameplan will be to shorten the game, and on the flip side Florida may not be able to stop these quick outs to Amari Cooper, but they do have the ability to keep them from becoming a 40 yard score. I think Bama pulls away late and aids in shortening the game by not getting fancy.
Over 65.5 Oklahoma- Last year was a 2nd game, 16-7 yawner. Holgerson was still putting pieces together on his Offense in Game 2; by the end of the season although they were still losing, they were finally scoring. Their Total Offense last year was 62. With Maryland and Alabama already under the belt, they are #13 in Total Offense. This Offense is clicking early this season, and being at home should have some confidence. Likewise, I think the Oklahoma Offense is better this season as well, and they proved in the bowl game against Alabama that they can adapt and play no huddle Offense well if they have to.....Oklahoma's Defense appears to be the same, West Virgina Offense much better. Oklahoma Offense better, West Virginia Defense is probably a tick better, but not nearly as much depth. Both teams play fast here, with OU hoping that WVU wears down.
Taking a week off from NASCAR to clear the cobwebs.
gl
