I had a late meeting yesterday and wish I had the time to post. I had a statistical winner in the Over 54. Posted a few notes as to why across the street, maybe someone saw them. Looks like of few of you had it, but there were some strong statistical reasons to play the OVER. Going for another one which has Strong written all over it, hopefully I can get two in a row.
Virginia Tech has the 80th ranked Total Offense; 77th in Rushing and 59th in Passing. Surprisingly they have only faced three Top 50 Defenses to get those numbers: Pittsburgh which is 4th, Ohio State 15th and East Carolina 46th. They lost 2 of the 3 games and the most Total Points in any Virginia Tech game this season is 56. Miami Defense is 22nd in the Nation and 10 in Pass Defense which is what VT has been strong at to this point.
Miami has the 54th rated Offense and it is a balanced attack. Miami has only faced 2s Top 50 Defenses in Louisville, where they were completely dominated, and Nebraska, where the floodgates opened for both teams points wise. Virginia Tech is ranked 20th in Total Defense and is balanced against stopping Pass and Run, Top 25 in both. Miami lost both of those games.
The other key factor to this play is that Virginia Tech has maintained a Top 20 Defense despite having played 5 Top 50 Offenses in Ohio St, East Carolina, Georgia Tech, Western Michigan, and North Carolina. Likewise Miami has the 22nd rated Defense despite playing 4 Top 50 Offenses in Arkansas State, Nebraska, Georgia Tech, and Cincinnati, with Duke narrowly missing the list at 59th.
Virgina Tech is 80th in Total Offense despite only playing 2 Top 50 Defenses, Miami is 54th on Total Offense despite only playing 1 Defense in the Top 50 as you can see above. In other words. VT will only be the 2nd Top 50 Defense Miami has faced, and will be only VT's 3rd. Miami has put up 40+ in 3 games this season, and much of that has to be due with taking every advantage of turnovers, great field position, etc.
I think points are really going to be tough to come by in a game that means much with their respective records. Evenly match with strong disadvantages that favor Defense.
Under 49.5 for 2.5 risking 2.75 units.
Virginia Tech has the 80th ranked Total Offense; 77th in Rushing and 59th in Passing. Surprisingly they have only faced three Top 50 Defenses to get those numbers: Pittsburgh which is 4th, Ohio State 15th and East Carolina 46th. They lost 2 of the 3 games and the most Total Points in any Virginia Tech game this season is 56. Miami Defense is 22nd in the Nation and 10 in Pass Defense which is what VT has been strong at to this point.
Miami has the 54th rated Offense and it is a balanced attack. Miami has only faced 2s Top 50 Defenses in Louisville, where they were completely dominated, and Nebraska, where the floodgates opened for both teams points wise. Virginia Tech is ranked 20th in Total Defense and is balanced against stopping Pass and Run, Top 25 in both. Miami lost both of those games.
The other key factor to this play is that Virginia Tech has maintained a Top 20 Defense despite having played 5 Top 50 Offenses in Ohio St, East Carolina, Georgia Tech, Western Michigan, and North Carolina. Likewise Miami has the 22nd rated Defense despite playing 4 Top 50 Offenses in Arkansas State, Nebraska, Georgia Tech, and Cincinnati, with Duke narrowly missing the list at 59th.
Virgina Tech is 80th in Total Offense despite only playing 2 Top 50 Defenses, Miami is 54th on Total Offense despite only playing 1 Defense in the Top 50 as you can see above. In other words. VT will only be the 2nd Top 50 Defense Miami has faced, and will be only VT's 3rd. Miami has put up 40+ in 3 games this season, and much of that has to be due with taking every advantage of turnovers, great field position, etc.
I think points are really going to be tough to come by in a game that means much with their respective records. Evenly match with strong disadvantages that favor Defense.
Under 49.5 for 2.5 risking 2.75 units.
