RedElephants Monday Night

[RedElephants]

Still trying to decide if I will have a play or not but I can guarantee I will not be on the Giants. A few stats...


Colts only NFL team with 6 covers this season

Colts: #1 offense
Colts: #1 passing offense
Colts: #2 points scored Colts: Best yardage differential in NFL

Off a loss: Colts 14-1 ATS next game

Against losing teams, 14-3 against the spread


At home: Giants only 2 of 15 winning seasons ATS

Last 21 times Giants a home underdog, won game only 4 times

-The one thing that strikes me about last weeks loss, is that Indianapolis only had 20 minutes of Time of Possession. Richardson was out with injury, but when healthy despite not being able to carry the load by himself, when he had Bradshaw play, together they have had over 100 yards in 5 of 7 games. Thus, I believe that Indy had a lesson on what happens when you don't try to control the clock regardless of how good your Offense is......New Orleans is learning that as well. And if I am the Giants, I'm trying to control the clock as well. This game is not a sure thing on Over in my opinion.

Tough game.....may or may not have a play....gl.

 

[JBS39]

Good points.

 

[Addicted2quack]

I always like your insight red. Seems like you and I think a lot alike when it comes to these NFL games. I'm gonna roll out a small parlay on Indy and the over. Nothing crazy but I definitely think this game goes over the total for sure. BOL man

 

[theDonger]

Best stuff I've read all night.

 

[r.a.]

Best stuff I've read all night.

Seconded!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Yes $ir! Love reading those stats.......

 

[bwhitey14]

Best stuff I've read all night.

agreed

 

[fly73]

thanks red,, like the info as well,,, bol

 

[3pointdog]

And yet still only. -3......hmmmmm. I might have liked Indy had they come -4.5 to -6 but -3......?? I think I have to go with the home team here tonight. GL to all

 

[memphis]

w-thumbs!^

 

[bukis1]

3 and 3 1/2 is right where line should be after Indy got destroyed last week no way it should be more

 

[theDonger]

Red,

Just looking at the Giants schedule and I ask myself "who have the Giants played?"

Seems like they're able to beat the average teams, but the second they come up significantly short against playoff teams. Public perception is that Indy just got smoked by the Steelers and really, I can see how Indy was caught off-guard by a surging Steeler team-- I consider that a failure of the coaching staff and would expect them not to take this Giant team lightly. I like the under if Indy can get their ground game going, but I think Luck is going to have all day to throw on this weak Giant secondary..

 

[RedElephants]

Red,

Just looking at the Giants schedule and I ask myself "who have the Giants played?"

Seems like they're able to beat the average teams, but the second they come up significantly short against playoff teams. Public perception is that Indy just got smoked by the Steelers and really, I can see how Indy was caught off-guard by a surging Steeler team-- I consider that a failure of the coaching staff and would expect them not to take this Giant team lightly. I like the under if Indy can get their ground game going, but I think Luck is going to have all day to throw on this weak Giant secondary..

I agree....very strange however that the line sits at 3 with all of the indicators.....public doesn't always lose. Indy got smacked in the mouth last week....they should be ready. I just don't think the Giants are very good. Struggling on the Total too.....think I'm riding the sidelines tonight. We've got Football every day for about 30 days....

 

[RedElephants]

Wow...Indy and Under.....both were leans for me or nothing at all. Both look good. I bet the Giants come out playing better 2nd half though. Good luck to everyone....

 

[Addicted2quack]

I took Indy and the over to in a two selection parlay to win 115$ ... Looks like that miiiiiiight happen... Need 4 more points