after the red sox lost the first two games against the A's, the series price was red sox +410. but the funny thing about it is the red sox will end up being favored in game 3,4 and game 5 (with pedro).i just think that it's ironic that you can get them +410, but they are favored in the rest of the games of the series....
NO WAY -130 on Pedro. You must remember that the oddsmakers know they are going to have a lot of action on Redsox, seeing everyone's hearts is with them and Pedro pitching, plus the momentum is all with Boston now..You just know the betting public is going to go all with Boston..And the oddsmakers know this. This line might be high, but it will draw even action both ways, if not, maybe still more on Boston..
Boston -155...NO LESS.
Boston -155...NO LESS.
The only reason this line is that high is ONLY because there will be a lot of hearts betting for Boston and Pedro pitching, that's all.. This line should be easily... Bos -122/+112.. Zito is no slouch, and the A's are at home, too..
It's called having a lot of hearts who will be cheering for Bosox, which is why it's so high.. Supply and Demand boys.. Even at this overpriced game, I still think we will see way more Boston action than Oakland action, and only because all of America wants to see Boston in.. NOBODY cares about the small market A's..
It's called having a lot of hearts who will be cheering for Bosox, which is why it's so high.. Supply and Demand boys.. Even at this overpriced game, I still think we will see way more Boston action than Oakland action, and only because all of America wants to see Boston in.. NOBODY cares about the small market A's..
So...
Even if you split the diff on those lines and and make a dime line at -145 to -150 that is an overlay IMO. He threw 130 pitches last time out and to say that he wins that game 60% of the time on the road is silly.
This was like seeing the -125 opener in game one wood/ortiz before it was pushed up another 20c. Then yesterday you have pinny -118 wood/hampton early in the day - currently -106. Some of these lines make no sense to me. No fu(king way Ortiz in only 7c better than Hampton.
That being said -150 on pedro, after 130 pitches, with that pen, on the road, is silly IMO.
Even if you split the diff on those lines and and make a dime line at -145 to -150 that is an overlay IMO. He threw 130 pitches last time out and to say that he wins that game 60% of the time on the road is silly.
This was like seeing the -125 opener in game one wood/ortiz before it was pushed up another 20c. Then yesterday you have pinny -118 wood/hampton early in the day - currently -106. Some of these lines make no sense to me. No fu(king way Ortiz in only 7c better than Hampton.
That being said -150 on pedro, after 130 pitches, with that pen, on the road, is silly IMO.
fine willy thanks.. Willy, the whole world doesn't consist of sharpies. The sharpies will bet the A's if they are smart, as that is where the value right now lies. But there are going to be every 10-300 dollar bettors and their great grandmothers laying the wood on the redsox, you just know it.
I still say.. if this is a regular season game... It's Boston -122/+112...
2 dramatic come from behind victories at home, and the fact that everyone loves the redsox, and pedro is a fan favorite, is the only reason this game is -150's...
I still say that the books will write more on the Redsox than the A's, even at this price, and that's because those 300 dollar bettors on the Redsox will add up..
I still say.. if this is a regular season game... It's Boston -122/+112...
2 dramatic come from behind victories at home, and the fact that everyone loves the redsox, and pedro is a fan favorite, is the only reason this game is -150's...
I still say that the books will write more on the Redsox than the A's, even at this price, and that's because those 300 dollar bettors on the Redsox will add up..
A lot of books don't even chart square small money. Most bettors are profiled as full chart, half chart, quarter chart, and no chart. The guys and their grandmothers you are talking about are what used to be called just throw the ticket in the box bettors. Now of course its done by computer.
wil.
wil.
How about the fact that the public will bet against the A's because they are the biggest chokers around, this is the same story every year the A's look great and it looks like they are on their way and they find a way to lose. I am not saying you should put too much value on the factor, but you probably bettors will feel a bit crazy if yet again the A's are on their way to another blown series and they back them.
