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RedElephants

RedElephants

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College Baskets 34-23, +17.2 units

Looking for a strong day today. Wed and Thurs were below average on Overs so I was definitely looking for an 11 Over. Not very many fit the bill but one is strong. I just played WKY over MSTU because they like to run and their Defense is 121. Not only did they run but they Won. Now they are at UAB who averages 80 points per game and has has Home games Total 143 points or more in every game but 1 since December 1st. If Western Kentucky can shoot as well as last game this one goes Over easy. WKY built a 14 pt lead, slowed the pace and beat UAB in game 1 stopping a 14 game win streak as well so look for some revenge here. UAB is going to push this pace and WKY will have to try and keep up.

WKY over 146 for 3 units.
 
RedElephants

RedElephants

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My Notes on XFINITY

Kyle Busch is the King of this Series but surprisingly his best finish in Atlanta is 2nd. He's matched up with Harvick and Keselowski, and I rate both even as Busch seems to have a faster car than H but H has won here, and a slight lean over K.

Defintiely lean H over K in that Match-up

Kyle Larson and Erik Jones both have fast cars and race here well. Both lost hope last week very early via wrecks. Another even match up

Paul Menard's best finish is 6th in 7 races here and his average finish is 11th. E Jones has the faster car so he has the edge here but the odds are too high

Suarez and Dillion is a great match up

Dillion over Sadler should be a Winner but the odds show it -170

Atlanta is definitely not a Gaughan track 18.3 Average Finish......something tells me Wallace Jr does much better in year 2. Play Darrell Wallace Jr +110

Kyle Larson over Paul Menard -155 is definitely a strong choice for a Larson play and as I type this it bumps to -180

No opinion on Sadler/Allgaier but I don't think Allgaier should be -155 based on practice and history


Official Plays
Larson -180 over Menard for 1 Unit
Darrell Wallace Jr over Brendan Gaughan +11- for 2 units
 
RedElephants

RedElephants

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RedElephants said:
College Baskets 34-23, +17.2 units

Looking for a strong day today. Wed and Thurs were below average on Overs so I was definitely looking for an 11 Over. Not very many fit the bill but one is strong. I just played WKY over MSTU because they like to run and their Defense is 121. Not only did they run but they Won. Now they are at UAB who averages 80 points per game and has has Home games Total 143 points or more in every game but 1 since December 1st. If Western Kentucky can shoot as well as last game this one goes Over easy. WKY built a 14 pt lead, slowed the pace and beat UAB in game 1 stopping a 14 game win streak as well so look for some revenge here. UAB is going to push this pace and WKY will have to try and keep up.

WKY over 146 for 3 units.
Click to expand...

F-U-C

I hate playing from behind......
 
RedElephants

RedElephants

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Wallace Jr in for a pit and the 13 car calling it a day turns into him FUCK!!!! I had a lap lead now its a toss up depending on the damage.
 
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