ReBornNJ Thanksgiving Day Plays

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The biggest mistake people make is how they judge a team the Sunday prior. Eyes deceive them. Redskins prime example. The Packers are awful. Defense in shambles, lots of injuries. You can run and throw on that team all day. Shit,...the browns could post up 20+ on the pack. The eye test???? Yes, take Tennessee for example. Crushed an awful Pack team then lost to the Colts. Peeps were all over the titans. This dallas team is FOCUSED. Their oline will tire out the skins. Waiting to see the final line tomorrow closer to kickoff before I take Dallas. For now it looks like vikings/cowboys/colts
 

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The biggest mistake people make is how they judge a team the Sunday prior. Eyes deceive them. Redskins prime example. The Packers are awful. Defense in shambles, lots of injuries. You can run and throw on that team all day. Shit,...the browns could post up 20+ on the pack. The eye test???? Yes, take Tennessee for example. Crushed an awful Pack team then lost to the Colts. Peeps were all over the titans. This dallas team is FOCUSED. Their oline will tire out the skins. Waiting to see the final line tomorrow closer to kickoff before I take Dallas. For now it looks like vikings/cowboys/colts


Same angle can be used for Dallas. Baltimore played them tight for 3 3/4 quarters of the game yet Dallas won and covered. The public thinks Dallas is bulletproof and Vegas has inflated its line on Dallas games.

Redskins will cover tomorrow.


And the Tennessee Titans. Any half decent capper knows that the Titans can't beat the Colts. That game was easy. I had Colts large
 

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See your point by agree to disagree. For starters week in and week out I've seen majority of prop in Forums go against Dallas. They were not believers. To say Vegas has inflated dallas lines are you sure about that???? Let's took a look:
Week 1: -2.5 vs giants
Week 2: +2.5 vs skins
Week 3: -6.5 vs bears
Week 4: -1 vs 49ers
Week 5: pk vs bengals
Week 6: +6 vs packers
Week 7: -4 vs eagles
Week 8: -7.5 vs browns
Week 9: +2.5 vs steelers
Week 10: -7 vs ravens

Inflation??? Hell no lmfao. Ravens beat jax,buff,pitt (Ben no where near 100%), browns twice!!!! -7 at home was spot on imo. Dont forget Dallas Oline wore them down and was up 14 at one point.
Also the public in forums were all over the Bengals, packers, eagles, browns, Steelers, ravens so to say the public thinks dallas is bulletproof I beg to differ. ALSO skins +7 seems way to easy on the eyes
 

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A small parlay for holiday fun. Changed mind on one squad.
Lions ML
Cowboys -6
Colts +9
$50/$279
 

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I agree receency bias can lead to some value. But both teams are coming off impressive wins. The public loves Dallas (understandably). Whether they win or lose today, they aren't sneaking up on anyone.
 

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