Reasonable Sports Picks

[Friend_of_the_People]

Minnesota lost by 10, they were as close as 6 in the 4th but Dwyane Wade was on point. He turned back the clock in the 4th with one of his patented split the double team and finish by throwing down a dunk. He hit a shot whenever the Heat started to slip. Wade and Bosh have been great so far this year.

Chicago was tired...Heinrich went 0-7 finishing with 0 points. The team just looked sluggish. I forgot Evan Turner can fill in as a ball handler with Rondo and Marcus Smart out. This one was not as close as the final score may indicate...not by a long shot.

2 star selections 1-1

1 star selections 5-6

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3 Laker +3.5

1 Phoenix +1

1 Mavs -7(-120)

Analysis to come

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Trailblazers -8.5 (-117)

Coming off a back to back...Portland is a disappointing 3-3. Portland's home crowd is one of the best. They are tough the only team to have every starter play 82 regular season games last year, I don't think fatigue will be much of an issue. Bench players usually play better at home, Portland's bench is decent. Denver has been bad, they got back into the game against the Cavs primarily with tough 3 point shots. I haven't liked what I've seen from Denver.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

2 Pelicans +6

1 Spurs +2.5

more to come

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Hits: Phoenix +1, Blazers -8.5, Lakers +3.5

Misses: Mavs -7

4 star selections 1-0

3 star selections 2-1

2 star selections 1-1

1 star selections 7-7

For tomorrow's games I've already taken

2 Pelican +6

1 Spurs +2.5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Detroit +9.5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

2 star selections 1-2

1 star selections 8-8

Today's picks:
1 Blazers/Hornets under 193.5

2 Memphis -9 (-117)

2 Spurs/Warriors under 199
Klay said he will play so expect him to play and then decide if you still like the under.

Making one more bet either 3 or 4 stars, not sure yet waiting for the line to drop to make a decision...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Tonight I have:

4 Dallas -6(-117)

This has been a hard fought series with the Kings showing they have what it takes to be competitive and beat the Mavs. If you had taken Sacramento +6 in every Mav-King matchup last season you would have been 4-0.

This pick isn't because I don't believe in the King, the Kings have earned their wins and been impressive while doing it. Demarcus Cousins has been phenomenal this year but with Tyson Chandler at center I think coach Carlisle will find a way to contain Cousins and not let him be the one to beat the Mavs. The Mavs are coming off a home loss where they were handily beat by Miami. Dallas needs to protect their home court. Dirk was extremely frustrated at his teammates during the Mavs-Heat game, I think he will get the best out of his teammates tonight. Collison has been slightly overachieving and he used to play for Carlisle so I expect Carlisle to know his weaknesses better than anyone. We haven't seen much out of Ben McLemore. Rudy Gay is very dangerous but I expect Dallas to be too much for the Kings.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

1 Bucks -2

This line opened at Buck -3.5 and I think it should have been -4. This is a value play. I like the Bucks with Kidd as their new head coach, he's boosting the confidence of the players. The Greek Freak has steadily gotten better, Jabari Parker looks like he's beginning to become more comfortable out there. Larry Sanders should bring some toughness. They have better depth than OKC. I just think this is a bargain.

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3 Suns -5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Yesterday I went 2-3 but hit with 4 star selection Mavs -6

4 star selections 2-0

3 star selections 2-1

2 star selections 1-4

1 star selections 9-9


2 Pistons/Wizard under 192

1 Knicks -5.5 (-117)

more coming...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

accident

All bets for 11/12

1 Knicks/Magic under 192.5

2 OKC/Boston over 196

OKC has been terrible on scoring on the road but I think some of that is the opponents they are playing @Portland 5th allowed, @Brooklyn 13th allowed, @Toronto 8th allowed, Memphis 1st allowed, Bucks 3rd allowed. OKC had trouble in their second game of the season, against a sub-par Clipper defense ranked 22nd overall, OKC scored 90. This Boston team might be just what the doctor ordered 27th overall in points allowed with an offense 2nd in points scored at 106.3 per game. Rondo is back tonight.

1 OKC +6

2 Pistons/Wizard under 192

The Pistons have been a mess on offense. Wizard allowing 96 per game scoring 97.6 per game. Pistons scoring 91.9 per game and allowing 96.7 per game. I like this number I think its a good value bet.

1 Knicks -5.5(-117)

3 Suns -5

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Hits: 3 Suns -5, 2 OKC/Boston over 196, 1 OKC+6

Misses: 2 Piston/Wiz under 192, 1 Knicks -5.5, 1 Knicks/Magic under 192.5

4 star selections 2-0

3 star selections 3-1

2 star selections 2-5

1 star selections 10-11

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

2 Dallas -13

1 Toronto -2(-117)

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

I also have my football picks at http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1004200&p=10816835#post10816835

4 star selections 0-0

3 star selections 1-0

2 star selections 2-1

1 star selections 2-1

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Hit: 2 Dallas -13

Miss: 1 Toronto -2

2 Cavs -5.5

This pick is for similar reasons why I picked OKC +6 and OKC/Boston over 196 a couple days ago... Boston has no interest in playing tough defense. The Cavs are getting better and better on offense, they are starting to mesh. The Pelicans play much better defense than Boston and the Cavs scored big on them a couple nights ago. I don't put too much stock in the Cavs first few games of the season when everything was brand new...Both teams love to shoot 3 pointers...based on what I've seen I think Boston is worse than their 3-4 record indicates. An undermanned OKC team that had just welcomed Anthony Marrow into the fold for the first time this year found ways to score easily on the Celtics. The faster the pace and the more scoring makes Cav's -5.5 road line look less intimidating...one or two more bets involving this game coming...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3 Cavs/Celtics over 210.5

This opened at 214 was waiting for it to drop.

1 Cavs over 108

2 Atlanta -2

1 Phoenix -5(-118)

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Hits: 3 Cavs/Celtics over 210.5, 2 Atlanta -2, 1 Cavs 108

Misses: 2 Cavs -5.5

Still in play: Phoenix -5

This is adding the 2 Dallas win and 1 Toronto loss from yesterday.

4 star selections: 2-0

3 star selections: 4-1

2 star selections: 4-6

1 star selections: 11-12

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

Miss: Phoenix -5
1 star selections: 11-13

3 Atlanta +7

The Cavs were really unimpressive last night. Lebron was yelling at his teammates and looked frustrated virtually the entire game. It kind of makes sense considering the defense was bad enough to give up 121 points. Offensively it wasn't pretty either. The Cavs were down 19 at the end of the 3rd quarter and it took Kyrie playing one on one basketball(hero ball) to keep them in it. Love was off the entire night, he will probably be back on track tomorrow night. The Cavs should bounce back returning home but I'm not sure they should be favored by 7 over a quality team like Atlanta. The Cavs have only had one semi-impressive win since 10/30 Bulls OT win, vs Pelicans 118-111. Atlanta's losses have come against quality opponents, @Toronto 109-102, @ San Antonio 94-92, @ Charlotte OT 122-119. The Cavs don't know what their rotation is right now, a lot of different line-ups being tried out. Dion Waiters returned last night scoring 10 points on 4/8 shooting....

1 Toronto -10

more coming...

 

[Friend_of_the_People]

3 Pistons +10

Memphis' last 4 games have been W @OKC 91-89, L @Bucks 93-91, W Lakers 107-102, W Kings 111-110, the first three games are against struggling teams and the Kings game was one that they were very fortunate to win. I'm not worried about this being a back to back for Detroit, Van Gundy has been using 10 players on a regular basis. Detroit has been improving. Van Gundy is really starting to mold this team into what he envisions, Jennings is shooting 43% on 3.8 three point attempts per game, Caron Butler 41% with 3.4 attempts per game, and Caldwell-Pope 37% 5.8 attempts per game. The Pistons can stretch the floor all of a sudden. Memphis has tended to play down to opponents of late, even in home games. The Pistons have quality bigs like Drummond and Monroe that will make Gasol and Randolph work on the defensive end. I'm conflicted on whether to make this 3 or 4 stars...