Real Clear Politics

[TomKing]

Race tightens as McCain makes serious advances in the Midwest. Is the Savior losing touch with Main Street?

<TABLE class=rcp-widget><TBODY><TR><TD class="header column1">Election 2008</TD><TD class="header column2">Obama</TD><TD class="header column3">McCain</TD><TD class="header column4">Spread</TD></TR><TR><TD>RCP National Average</TD><TD>46.0</TD><TD>42.0</TD><TD>Obama +4.0</TD></TR><TR><TD>Favorable Ratings</TD><TD>+22.7</TD><TD>+18.6</TD><TD>Obama +4.1</TD></TR><TR><TD>Intrade Market Odds</TD><TD>64.9</TD><TD>32.0</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR><TD class=header>Electoral College</TD><TD class=header>Obama</TD><TD class=header>McCain</TD><TD class=header>Toss Ups</TD></TR><TR><TD>RCP Electoral Count</TD><TD>238</TD><TD>163</TD><TD>137</TD></TR><TR><TD>No Toss Up States</TD><TD>322</TD><TD>216</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR><TD class=header>Battleground States</TD><TD class=header>Obama</TD><TD class=header>McCain</TD><TD class=header>Spread</TD></TR><TR><TD>Colorado</TD><TD>47.0</TD><TD>45.3</TD><TD>Obama +1.7</TD></TR><TR><TD>Virginia</TD><TD>47.3</TD><TD>46.3</TD><TD>Obama +1.0</TD></TR><TR><TD>Missouri</TD><TD>45.0</TD><TD>47.5</TD><TD>McCain +2.5</TD></TR><TR><TD>Michigan</TD><TD>46.3</TD><TD>41.7</TD><TD>Obama +4.6</TD></TR><TR><TD>Ohio</TD><TD>46.5</TD><TD>45.0</TD><TD>Obama +1.5</TD></TR><TR><TD>New Jersey</TD><TD>47.0</TD><TD>38.5</TD><TD>Obama +8.5</TD></TR><TR><TD class=footer colSpan=4>Charts | Maps | News | Senate Polls | Latest Polls</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[gtc08]

where were you three days ago when obama was at 4.6

 

[TomKing]

Check the threads, I had BO at over 5 a few weeks ago..I have a job and I am finishing a Masters in Acctg. I don't have time to post everyday.

My point is despite all the MSM riding BO's jock--back on the farm McCain is making in-roads. I am VERY VERY surprised BO does not have a double digit lead.

 

[gtc08]

why do you only post it when the ratings drop though, disapear when the numbers go back up, and come back when they are low.

 

[TomKing]

Because I like good news.

 

[Willie99]

Every battleground state poll has been trending towards McCain the last few days, but that can and will change again.

Election season not even started yet.

 

[gtc08]

you arnt being accurate though when all you focus on is one side.

 

[VaultedTreehouse]

As I've said many times, I want to see all these swing states with redneck whites actually vote for Obama, as in push the button and pull the lever...Not simply say yes to him on the phone or yes to a democrat and no to a Republican....Dems, the worse the economy gets by November the better for you. And it still may not get Obama in.

 

[roadreeler57]

http://baldwin08.com

 

[TomKing]

you arnt being accurate though when all you focus on is one side.

I arnt?

 

[gtc08]

I arnt?

yea king. your gonna be a postin all them obama polls showin hes in the lead now. get r done

 

[TomKing]

Here you go GTC:

<TABLE class=rcp-widget><TBODY><TR><TD class="header column1">Election 2008</TD><TD class="header column2">Obama</TD><TD class="header column3">McCain</TD><TD class="header column4">Spread</TD></TR><TR><TD>RCP National Average</TD><TD>46.5</TD><TD>41.7</TD><TD>Obama +4.8</TD></TR><TR><TD>Favorable Ratings</TD><TD>+23.0</TD><TD>+17.7</TD><TD>Obama +5.3</TD></TR><TR><TD>Intrade Market Odds</TD><TD>63.2</TD><TD>32.2</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR><TD class=header>Electoral College</TD><TD class=header>Obama</TD><TD class=header>McCain</TD><TD class=header>Toss Ups</TD></TR><TR><TD>RCP Electoral Count</TD><TD>238</TD><TD>163</TD><TD>137</TD></TR><TR><TD>No Toss Up States</TD><TD>322</TD><TD>216</TD><TD>-</TD></TR><TR><TD class=header>Battleground States</TD><TD class=header>Obama</TD><TD class=header>McCain</TD><TD class=header>Spread</TD></TR><TR><TD>Colorado</TD><TD>47.0</TD><TD>45.3</TD><TD>Obama +1.7</TD></TR><TR><TD>Virginia</TD><TD>47.3</TD><TD>46.3</TD><TD>Obama +1.0</TD></TR><TR><TD>Missouri</TD><TD>45.0</TD><TD>47.5</TD><TD>McCain +2.5</TD></TR><TR><TD>Michigan</TD><TD>46.3</TD><TD>41.7</TD><TD>Obama +4.6</TD></TR><TR><TD>Ohio</TD><TD>46.5</TD><TD>45.0</TD><TD>Obama +1.5</TD></TR><TR><TD>New Jersey</TD><TD>47.0</TD><TD>38.5</TD><TD>Obama +8.5</TD></TR><TR><TD class=footer colSpan=4>Charts | Maps | News | Senate Polls | Latest Polls</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[gtc08]

king, you think mccain got a real shot or no

 

[TomKing]

If the election was held tomorrow BO would win.

 

[JoeContrarian]

If the election was held tomorrow BO would win.

The campaign doesn't kick off till the fall. This is preseason football.

Once BO is exposed in the debates, his stock will plummet -- just as it did during the primaries.

Right now, among hard-core politco junkies on both sides, Obama isn't wearing well. That perception takes a while to filter into the mainstream conventional wisdom.

Given all the fawning of the left wing media, I am shocked he isn't up by 15 points.

That should tell you something.

 

[gtc08]

The campaign doesn't kick off till the fall. This is preseason football.

Once BO is exposed in the debates, his stock will plummet -- just as it did during the primaries.

Right now, among hard-core politco junkies on both sides, Obama isn't wearing well. That perception takes a while to filter into the mainstream conventional wisdom.

Given all the fawning of the left wing media, I am shocked he isn't up by 15 points.

That should tell you something.

double digit lead is not realistic for any candidate. 5-10 percent is solid.

 

[guitarjosh]

double digit lead is not realistic for any candidate. 5-10 percent is solid.

W's lead was about 20 points 8 years ago.

 

[bigplay]

VOTE OBAMA,

I GOT BILLS TO PAY.


THANK YOU................:toast:

 

[gtc08]

that was 8 years ago. anyone expecting a double digit lead is raising the bar too high. like i said, anything between 5 and 10 is solid. last i saw it was 4.8

 

[JoeContrarian]

VOTE OBAMA,

I GOT BILLS TO PAY.


THANK YOU................:toast:

You already lost your shirt on Hillary, now you want to lose your underwear on Obama?

Did you miss the last Bilderburg meeting?

:nohead: