wow......you guys take the forum really serious dont you...did it ever occur to you that maybe I am in need of some 101 basics & all am trying to do is stimulate so good discussions? Maybe I just like to chat...anyway...IF that is what the majority think, that I am a waste of space..I will simply step back & read...I seriously think, however some of you are in need of some serious meds? never realized posting alot would offend......
'3' is a different animal altogether. Historically it's about a 9% chance, but this year is easily outpacing that. Figure 10% which means -110 both ways is actually neutral EV. I'd want to beat that for sure and pay no more than 15 cents vig, tops. -110/-105 would pay about 13.5-1 needing just over 7% to BE. This is easily attainable long-term. But remember these are long-term plays of which there are a very limited sample to get. I've nailed several of these this season.
SS - no offense but posting these and people telling you yes or no are doing no good long term, you need to do your homework. You need to find out the % the numbers land and then how and where the math comes in. It's not complicated at all. If you just ask is that a smart middle you will never learn anything. If you are going to ask a question I'd ask how do you figure out whether plays are positive expectation middles or not? And might want to try and ask it in the tech forum. Some sharp guys who know the answers to all this and more still look in down there, try it there. Also recommend reading back in those threads in that section, good information in there for beginners.
Last tip I learned from these forums is post something incorrect if you want to know the real answer. LOL. I have a nephew who knows ZERO about sports, he would ask a question and no one would answer. However if he posted something incorrect they will line up at the door to correct you. The irony is a lot of people won't share with you willingly but plenty will line up to bust your balls if you're wrong. Merry Christmas.
Last tip I learned from these forums is post something incorrect if you want to know the real answer. LOL. I have a nephew who knows ZERO about sports, he would ask a question and no one would answer. However if he posted something incorrect they will line up at the door to correct you. The irony is a lot of people won't share with you willingly but plenty will line up to bust your balls if you're wrong. Merry Christmas.
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by sportsadvisory:
you have become quite the "post-whore" in this forum.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
SS,
You have 237 posts and you have been here for 21 days. That is ~ 11 posts a day. That does not make you a post whore. There are people here who average 50 posts a day.
I agree with D2Bets and Patrick, you need to figure out what odds you are getting on the side or middle. Then decide are you willing to make a bet that NE will win by exactly 7 points considering you are getting 19 to 1 odds. I for one think it is a good bet.
you have become quite the "post-whore" in this forum.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
SS,
You have 237 posts and you have been here for 21 days. That is ~ 11 posts a day. That does not make you a post whore. There are people here who average 50 posts a day.
I agree with D2Bets and Patrick, you need to figure out what odds you are getting on the side or middle. Then decide are you willing to make a bet that NE will win by exactly 7 points considering you are getting 19 to 1 odds. I for one think it is a good bet.
