Rare Large Play for me

[Inittowinit]

Im a firm believer on betting good pitchers to have bounce back starts. Kyle Gibson got roughed up in his season debut against the tigers. Today he faces a hot Royal team. Royals had a day off yesterday which should cool them off a bit. Last year Gibson had 12 bad starts where he gave up 5 runs or more. Following each of those starts, 10 out of those 12 he followed it up with a quality start (3 runs or less). In addition, Gibsons career numbers against the royals are great. Royals who have about the same hitters as last year. Hes numbers against the Royals are 3-0 1.08 whip and 1.40 era.

Volquez for the Royals pitched a great opening day start. Threw 8 innings and gave up 1 run. The twins offense has been anemic this far so I dont see Volquez getting rocked.

My units I play:
1 unit = average bet $100
2units = above avergae $200
3units = roughly 3 plays a year $300

Im playing Royals Team Total under 4 to win 3 units
Royals/ Twins Under 8.5 to win 2 units
Royals/Twins Under 1st/5 4.5 to win 1 unit


Good Luck

 

[Inittowinit]

Adding 1st 5 Under 4 -130 Giants Rockies to win 1 unit

 

[Inittowinit]

Gs Warriors 1st Half -7 to win 2 units

 

[FOLLOWMYPICKS]

With those thoughts, any reason why you didn't bet the Twins at plus money tonight?

 

[PeePee]

Thx for the play...$$$

 

[Firehorn]

Im a firm believer on betting good pitchers to have bounce back starts. Kyle Gibson got roughed up in his season debut against the tigers. Today he faces a hot Royal team. Royals had a day off yesterday which should cool them off a bit. Last year Gibson had 12 bad starts where he gave up 5 runs or more. Following each of those starts, 10 out of those 12 he followed it up with a quality start (3 runs or less). In addition, Gibsons career numbers against the royals are great. Royals who have about the same hitters as last year. Hes numbers against the Royals are 3-0 1.08 whip and 1.40 era.

Volquez for the Royals pitched a great opening day start. Threw 8 innings and gave up 1 run. The twins offense has been anemic this far so I dont see Volquez getting rocked.

My units I play:
1 unit = average bet $100
2units = above avergae $200
3units = roughly 3 plays a year $300

Im playing Royals Team Total under 4 to win 3 units
Royals/ Twins Under 8.5 to win 2 units
Royals/Twins Under 1st/5 4.5 to win 1 unit


Good Luck

Excellent Analyses on Gibson and KC/Minn. I agreed but I been wrong wrong wrong this 1st 10 days. Nice call and good luck the rest of the way. Glad to read you hit a large play and go 3-0 that game!

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

Gs Warriors 1st Half -7 to win 2 units

denver 44 pt 2nd Q wtf

 

[Biz]

Good pitchers bouncing back from a loss has been a great angle for years. I first saw it in the book Betting The Bases. Nice call on those unders

 

[daboyzinblue]

Excellent call on the kc game!

 

[mrpickem]

Great writeup and it cashed!

 

[Inittowinit]

Thanks everyone. Won the big ones and the rare 3 unit, lost on giants and Warrior. Ill take it. I thought I had a good read on both Giants and Warriors play. Lincencums 1st inning 3run homer killed me.

 

[Scott602]

I will be looking out for your plays from now on. Looks like you do your homework.

 

[varkeyboy]

Great job man!