Rare Game of the Year Play

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I dont post plays much, but I follow the Warriors pretty closely. I believe this is a great spot for them. I listen to a lot of local sports talk and player interviews. I have 3 points to make why I think Warriors will cover and win outright.

1. There is a lot of expecations this year for the warriors to Win and go far. If they do anything short of Western Conference finals, they are considered a disapoitment. (Granted this is from local media and ownership). ALready theres a bunch of grumbling about whether Mark Jackson is the right coach. Yet, facts show he has turned around this franchise. With that said, they NEED to make a statement and have "arguably" the best Eastern team tonite. More importantly, heard an interview with Bogut and David Lee where they basically said they were looking ahead on this roadtrip looking at Indy. This could be why they fumbled the game away couple days ago to Toronto.

2. Public perception is Warriors are fatigued from this 6 game road trip. Look more deeply on this road trip and they schedulers actually spread the games out nicely. There only back to back comes tomorrow so they have not had one yet on this trip. Also, Warriors play quite well on the road. Last year (same squad) on a similar 6 game road trip they beat Heat straight up. This year, they are 18-14 on the road with some close beats. Ergo, they win on the road.

3. Indiana has not been playing well since the Allstar break. You would think on the contrary because they are 6-1 since the break. BUT, if you look closely they are 1-6 ATS in those games. Who did they play?? Good teams?? NOPE! Those teams were Atlanta, Minni, Milwaukee, Lakers, Milwaukee again, Boston and Utah. Against those teams they went 1-6 ATS. Since they got Turner, they have been messing around alot with their lineup and rotations. They ahve not found rythem and their defense has been poor.

Id like to hear what others think. My average game is $100 a game. Im playing Warriors +5 for $500 and sprinkling $50 on moneyline. What do you all think?
 

Biz

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Already on our Dubs, Good Luck
 

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Thanks to both of you as well.

Id really like to hear from anyone playing the Pacers to see what their reasons are.
 

Biz

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Teams with a 55% win rate, coming off a 1 Gm losing streak, are 21-6 as a road dog this year.

Also, road dogs in a non-div game, coming off a loss as a fav, and the opponent has won at least 2 consecutive games, are 14-7 this year.

Both of these angles are 61% over the last 6 years.
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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WP > 50 and p:AFL and AD and season = 2013
SU:6-3 (2.11, 66.7%)
ATS:9-0-0 (8.39, 100.0%) avg line: 6.3
O/U:4-5-0 (-4.17, 44.4%) avg total: 207.4

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</tbody>

FGPctFTPct3sPctBLKSO-RBNDRBNDFoulsASTTOversQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team37.8944.818.2278.88.6737.13.4410.4444.2221.7821.6712.8927.728.320.925.8102.7
Opp36.5643.518.8978.78.5637.24.3310.0043.1120.2222.4414.0026.225.925.722.8100.6

<tbody>
</tbody>

DateLinkDaySeasonTeamOppSiteFinalRestLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Mar 04, 2014 recap Tue 2013 Warriors Pacers away 1&1 5.0 196.5

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</tbody>


<tbody>
</tbody>
 

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Looking good so far. Im probably going to sprinkle a bit more on Golden State second half. Warriors have a nice lead and theyre bench has been playing majority.
 

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THanks guys. Ive been having a good feel for the warriors this year. Another trend to watch for that has been money... On Warrior home games, play their opponents team total under first half. If it loses, double under team total second half.

Reasoning, Mark Jackson stresses defense, defense, defense. The warriors are capable of lighting up the score board especially at home, so lines are usually inflated and public perception is over. Ill post on their next home game.
 

"Calling All The Shots"
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Very Nice!!


keep Posting Your Thoughts On G STATE!


-ShotDoc-
 

Biz

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WP > 50 and p:AFL and AD and season = 2013
SU:6-3 (2.11, 66.7%)
ATS:9-0-0 (8.39, 100.0%) avg line: 6.3
O/U:4-5-0 (-4.17, 44.4%) avg total: 207.4

<tbody>
</tbody>
FGPctFTPct3sPctBLKSO-RBNDRBNDFoulsASTTOversQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team37.8944.818.2278.88.6737.13.4410.4444.2221.7821.6712.8927.728.320.925.8102.7
Opp36.5643.518.8978.78.5637.24.3310.0043.1120.2222.4414.0026.225.925.722.8100.6

<tbody>
</tbody>
DateLinkDaySeasonTeamOppSiteFinalRestLineTotalSUmATSmOUmDPSDPASUrATSrOUrot
Mar 04, 2014 recap Tue 2013 Warriors Pacers away 1&1 5.0 196.5

<tbody>
</tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

Could you please explain the system?? Thanks...
 

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Saw this game in person. I really never had the feeling that your play was in doubt.

Great job!
 

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