**Randizzle's** NCAAF Week 8 *(42-13-3)(78%)(+66.2 Units)*

[Randizzle14]

Another successful weekend in the books. Although not as profitable as previous weeks, the goal was still achieved. Coming into this week, I am going to dig a little deeper and see where my mistakes were made this past weekend. Lines will come out shortly, and I will begin my thoughts for this week there. If you follow this thread, and enjoy football, feel free to chime in with input. Always interested too see another angle.

I want to make sure my plays are documented accurately, so Here is a recap of this season thus far:

Week 2:
Premium Play- Oklahoma -21 (5 Units) (WINNER)

Regular Play- Georgia -24 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Kansas -20.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Texas Tech -10 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Iowa -26.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play- Oregon St. +16 (2 Units) (loss)

Opinions: None

Weekly Record:
Premium: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 4-1-0 (+8.8 Units)


Week 3:
Premium Play: Georgia Bulldogs -6.5 (5 Units)(WINNER)

Regular Play: Maryland +15.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Missouri -26 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Ohio St. +12 (2 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: Wisconsin -2 (2 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Tar Heels +6.5 (2 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: USF -3 (2 Units)(Push)

Opinions: None

Weekly Record:
Premium Play: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 4-1-1 (+7.8 Units)

Week 4:
Premium Play: Troy +21 vs Ohio St. (5 Units) (WINNER)
Premium Play: Navy +7 (5 Units) (WINNER)

Regular Play: Louisville +4 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Iowa +1 (3 Units) (Push)
Regular Play: Vanderbilt +7 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Georgia -6.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)

Opinions: None

Weekly Record:
Premium Plays: 2-0-0 (+10 Units)
Regular Plays: 3-0-0 (+9 Units)

Week 5:
Regular Play: SMU +18 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: LSU -23.5 (3 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: Ball St. -17 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Louisville -2.5 (3 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: W. Michigan -3 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: UCF -4 (3 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: Nevada +4 (3 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: SJST+3.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)

Opinion: SDST -11 (WINNER)
Opinion: Navy +17 (WINNER)
Opinion: BAMA +7.5 (WINNER)
Opinion: Indiana +8.5 (loss)
Opinion: Miami -7 (loss)
Opinion: Houston +10.5 (WINNER)
Opinion: California -26 (WINNER)
Opinion: Maryland +11 (WINNER)
Opinion: Florida St. -5 (WINNER)
Opinion: OK St. -16.5 (WINNER)

Weekly Record:
Premium Play: None
Regular Plays: 5-3-0 (+5.1 Units)
Opinions: 8-2-0

Week 6:
Premium Play: None

Regular Play: Wisconsin +2 (3 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: Florida Atlantic +3.5 (3 Units) (WINNER)
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Regular Play: Kentucky</st1lace></st1:State> +16 (3 Units)(WINNER)
<st1lace w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Regular Play: Iowa</st1:State></st1lace> +7 (3 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Vanderbilt +4.5 (3 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Stanford+7.5 (3 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Northeen Illinois +17 (3 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Stanford/ND UNDER 48 (2 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: UAB +3.5 (2 Units) (WINNER)
Regular Play: Marshall +3.5 (2 Units) (loss)

Opinion: Boise St. -24 (WINNER)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Opinion: Boise St.</st1:address></st1:Street> UNDER 56 (WINNER)
Opinion: Oregon St. +12.5 (WINNER)

Weekly Record:
Premium Play: None
Regular Play: 7-3-0 (+12.3 Units)
Opinions: 3-0-0

Week 7:
Premium Play: Florida Gators -5 (5 Units)(WINNER)

Regular Play: Oklahoma -6.5 (3 Units) (loss)
Regular Play: No. Illinois -10.5 (3 Units)(loss)
Regular Play: Wake Forest -2 (3 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Kentucky +3.5 (-120) (2 Units)(loss)
Regular Play: Syracuse +24 (-125) (2 Units)(WINNER)
Regular Play: Troy -3 (2 Units)(WINNER)

Weekly Records:
Premium Play: 1-0-0 (+5 Units)
Regular Plays: 3-3-0 (-1.8 Units)

OVERALL YTD:
--------------
Premium Plays: 5-0-0 (100%) (+25 Units)
Regular Plays: 26-11-1 (71%) (+41.2 Units)
Opinions: 11-2-0 (85%)

Grand Total= 42-13-1 (77%) (+66.2 Units) :toast:


GL, Dizz

 

[sportsmonitor]

Way to go studhorse....keep em coming. When I grow up I wanna be just like you.

Oh wait, I forgot that I'm twice your age :think2:

 

[MikeyLo]

Hey, I recently started following your picks. You know your stuff, keep up the good work!

 

[GoSooners]

Very nice work...Keep the hits coming.:toast:

 

[jbragg10]

good job man.

 

[core42]

Thanks for all of the winners...keep up the great work

 

[CLCfball11]

Thanks in part to your help, ive built my bankroll from 50 dollars to 114 dollars. :lol:



I am a true amateur, I know. But hey, what the hell..money is money! I will continue following you and cashing in!

 

[6figure]

Thanks for sharing!

 

[USC_TheReal]

Looking forward to this weeks' looks. I haven't looked at any lines yet, so I am interested to see where you're at. Cheers brother. Thanks for the valuable insight.

 

[JakeandBA]

Rizzle I am new to wagering and the board

Can you please give some insight on how you handicap games. Since I am new at this I try to judge public perception of the game/line, trends, power rating of the two teams, and also eval players on each team...

Is there anything else I can review to help out in handicapping or is there anything that you look at that is different?

Thanks

 

[Randizzle14]

Can you please give some insight on how you handicap games. Since I am new at this I try to judge public perception of the game/line, trends, power rating of the two teams, and also eval players on each team...

Is there anything else I can review to help out in handicapping or is there anything that you look at that is different?

Thanks

You seem pretty spot on for being a newbie. I also use many of the factors stated above. Along with general football knoweledge, injuries, situations. After I feel I have compiled about 10-12 advantageous plays, I then put them through a filtering system. I use about 8 different systems that have been profitable throughout the years and try and narrow it down from there. As you can see with my opinions going 11-2 so far, the general way of capping has been most successful thus far, the systems just provide me with the cream of the crop for each week and alows me to cut down on juice by playing less games.

Hope this helps.....GL with your endeavours. :toast:

 

[Randizzle14]

Way to go studhorse....keep em coming. When I grow up I wanna be just like you.

Oh wait, I forgot that I'm twice your age :think2:

haha....over the hill eh?? That's okay...you can coast now....GL this wek bud.

 

[Randizzle14]

Thanks in part to your help, ive built my bankroll from 50 dollars to 114 dollars. :lol:



I am a true amateur, I know. But hey, what the hell..money is money! I will continue following you and cashing in!

You have more than doubled your bankroll....regardless of the amount that's a huge accomplishment. Hopefully we can double that up and get you to $228.00. :toast:

 

[JakeandBA]

Thanks for the information...Guessing when you say x amount of systems those are categories where you compare the two teams or is that x separate groups of set of factors used to compare each team...

Again thanks for the help

 

[CLCfball11]

Hey Dizz, by the way, I have some more info for you on my NIU Huskies this week. It is our homecoming game this week, in which we are 9-1 in our last 10 straight up. The Huskies FINALLY were able to close out a tight game this past Saturday against Miami...which is monumental for them. In the 3 years I've been a student here, I've seen countless close games that seem to always go in our opponent's favor. The big close win should really give them some serious momentum heading into this week. Our opponent is the Toledo Rockets, who as we all know are coming off a huge win at the Big House. I had a feeling this win would get to their heads and cause them to think about some things besides the Huskies, and I was correct already. 2 Toledo players were arrested following the Michigan win, including wide receiver Nick Moore, one of their best playmakers. Here is the link to the story:

http://abclocal.go.com/wtvg/story?section=news/local&id=6447453


Toledo has a history of teams who have all sorts of athleticism, but simply aren't all there upstairs. An example would be that running back who was accused of shaving points in 2005.

My sportsbook hasn't released lines yet, but a source on the Huskie message board says we opened up as 7.5 point favorites. I have a feeling that line drops, as many people look at the Toledo victory over Michigan and jump all over them without looking at the facts. As I said last week, I dont bet with my heart because it always comes back to bite me in the ass, but if I had to, I'd take my Huskies this week. I'm not sure if you had looked at this game or not, but hopefully this info helps you out one way or the other. Good luck with your picks this week!

:toast:



Edit: I forgot to also mention that quarterback Chandler Harnish looks to be healthy again (he saw action this past Saturday). Unless week 1 was a fluke, this kid looks like a damn good player, as he almost single handedly led us to a comeback win over, apparently, a darn good Minnesota team at Minnesota in his very first collegiate game.

 

[Randizzle14]

Hey Dizz, by the way, I have some more info for you on my NIU Huskies this week. It is our homecoming game this week, in which we are 9-1 in our last 10 straight up. The Huskies FINALLY were able to close out a tight game this past Saturday against Miami...which is monumental for them. In the 3 years I've been a student here, I've seen countless close games that seem to always go in our opponent's favor. The big close win should really give them some serious momentum heading into this week. Our opponent is the Toledo Rockets, who as we all know are coming off a huge win at the Big House. I had a feeling this win would get to their heads and cause them to think about some things besides the Huskies, and I was correct already. 2 Toledo players were arrested following the Michigan win, including wide receiver Nick Moore, one of their best playmakers. Here is the link to the story:

http://abclocal.go.com/wtvg/story?section=news/local&id=6447453


Toledo has a history of teams who have all sorts of athleticism, but simply aren't all there upstairs. An example would be that running back who was accused of shaving points in 2005.

My sportsbook hasn't released lines yet, but a source on the Huskie message board says we opened up as 7.5 point favorites. I have a feeling that line drops, as many people look at the Toledo victory over Michigan and jump all over them without looking at the facts. As I said last week, I dont bet with my heart because it always comes back to bite me in the ass, but if I had to, I'd take my Huskies this week. I'm not sure if you had looked at this game or not, but hopefully this info helps you out one way or the other. Good luck with your picks this week!

:toast:



Edit: I forgot to also mention that quarterback Chandler Harnish looks to be healthy again (he saw action this past Saturday). Unless week 1 was a fluke, this kid looks like a damn good player, as he almost single handedly led us to a comeback win over, apparently, a darn good Minnesota team at Minnesota in his very first collegiate game.

Thanks for the valueable info once again. Great work. I have not looked over this game yet, but definitily have an interest in it now. I will review it and see what comes of it. Play or no play, you have provided me with a great service. I appreciate it bud.

 

[CLCfball11]

Another quick note on NIU-Toledo:

I have a feeling, Dizz, that your number crunching will come up with a ton of things in Toledo's favor. They have simply owned us in the past decade or so. Something to consider, however, is that we have a new head coach this season, and I'm sure one of his biggest goals this year is to take it to Toledo, and really get on the fans' good side as previous coach Joe Novak simply couldn't get past the evil empire known as Toledo. Toledo is absolutely hated here at NIU, and this team should really have intangibles on their side. Best of luck in your picks!

 

[jimmyshivers]

Wow Dizzle, you've been killing it man. Keep it up, it looks like you know your shit:toast:

 

[Randizzle14]

Games I'm reviewing

(387)<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">HOUSTON</st1lace></st1:City> at (388)SMU +13 8:00 PM
(331)<st1:State w:st="on">NEBRASKA -6.5</st1:State> at (332)IOWA ST 12:30 PM
(349)<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">PITTSBURGH</st1lace></st1:City> at (350)NAVY +3 3:30 PM
(355)N CAROLINA at (356)<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">VIRGINIA +6</st1lace></st1:State> 3:30 PM
(403)<st1:State w:st="on">FLA</st1:State> INTERNATIONAL at (404)<st1:City w:st="on">TROY</st1:City> -7 7:00 PM
(385)<st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">SAN JOSE ST</st1:address></st1:Street> at (386)NEW MEXICO ST +3 8:00 PM
(377)BAYLOR at (378)OKLAHOMA ST -16.5 3:00 PM
(369)<st1:State w:st="on">ARKANSAS +10</st1:State> at (370)<st1:State w:st="on">KENTUCKY</st1:State> 7:00 PM
(371)<st1:State w:st="on">CALIFORNIA</st1:State> at (372)<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">ARIZONA Pk</st1lace></st1:State> 10:00 PM
(381)LSU at (382)<st1lace w:st="on">S CAROLINA +3.5</st1lace> 8:00 PM
(357)<st1:City w:st="on">TOLEDO</st1:City> at (358)<st1lace w:st="on">N ILLINOIS</st1lace> -7 4:00 PM
(339)<st1:City w:st="on">AKRON -3</st1:City> at (340)<st1lace w:st="on">E MICHIGAN</st1lace> 1:00 PM

These are games I'm currently reviewing. None are plays as of yet. Will keep you updated. I'm currently favoring the teams in Green. d1g1t

 

[Railbird]

(387)<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">HOUSTON</st1lace></st1:City> at (388)SMU +13 8:00 PM
(331)<st1:State w:st="on">NEBRASKA -6.5</st1:State> at (332)IOWA ST 12:30 PM
(349)<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">PITTSBURGH</st1lace></st1:City> at (350)NAVY +3 3:30 PM
(355)N CAROLINA at (356)<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">VIRGINIA +6</st1lace></st1:State> 3:30 PM
(403)<st1:State w:st="on">FLA</st1:State> INTERNATIONAL at (404)<st1:City w:st="on">TROY</st1:City> -7 7:00 PM
(385)<st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">SAN JOSE ST</st1:address></st1:Street> at (386)NEW MEXICO ST +3 8:00 PM
(377)BAYLOR at (378)OKLAHOMA ST -16.5 3:00 PM
(369)<st1:State w:st="on">ARKANSAS +10</st1:State> at (370)<st1:State w:st="on">KENTUCKY</st1:State> 7:00 PM
(371)<st1:State w:st="on">CALIFORNIA</st1:State> at (372)<st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">ARIZONA Pk</st1lace></st1:State> 10:00 PM
(381)LSU at (382)<st1lace w:st="on">S CAROLINA +3.5</st1lace> 8:00 PM
(357)<st1:City w:st="on">TOLEDO</st1:City> at (358)<st1lace w:st="on">N ILLINOIS</st1lace> -7 4:00 PM
(339)<st1:City w:st="on">AKRON -3</st1:City> at (340)<st1lace w:st="on">E MICHIGAN</st1lace> 1:00 PM

These are games I'm currently reviewing. None are plays as of yet. Will keep you updated. I'm currently favoring the teams in Green. d1g1t

Unfortunatley I can find any of those lines available, good luck this week.