All three games went to OT last night. That is amazing considering the odds avg +275 on just about every game every night that will happen.
I think there is much easier $$ to be made capping the NHL than the NFL but my love will always be football. If I could swap out my brain with my heart, I could probably do some serious damage.
Go Bengals
I think there is much easier $$ to be made capping the NHL than the NFL but my love will always be football. If I could swap out my brain with my heart, I could probably do some serious damage.
Go Bengals
for the doggie lovers ....
Las Vegas Sun
Saint Louis Rams plus-7.5 at Arizona Cardinals Arizona is primed for a fall by every statistical measure. The Cardinals’ plus-36 point differential is more indicative of a 4-4 team than where they currently stand at 7-1, which is an even more remarkable record considering their minus-288 yardage differential.
Buffalo Bills plus-2.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs As a result of being tied for the second best against the spread record in the NFL at 6-2, Kansas City is suddenly overvalued. The Chiefs covered plus-10 in last week’s 24-10 victory over the Jets but were outgained and lethargic, a combination that won’t work against a Bills team coming off of a bye at home.
Leans (29-20-1)
San Francisco 49ers plus-5 at New Orleans Saints It’s the trusty overreaction line of the week. The early point spread was only 3 points before San Francisco narrowly lost but outplayed Saint Louis at home last week while New Orleans beat up Carolina on the road.
Miami Dolphins plus-3 at Detroit Lions It’s a battle between the two best defenses in the league according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA, with Detroit narrowly ahead of Miami. The difference comes on offense, where the Dolphins rank No. 13 to the Lions’ No. 25.
Atlanta Falcons minus-1 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Falcons were desperate for their bye week and are traditionally money coming out of a break, going 5-1 straight-up and 4-2 against the spread under coach Mike Smith, so inclined to grab the diminished price while available. This line could creep all the way up to a field goal.
Tennessee Titans plus-10 at Baltimore Ravens Teams heading into a bye playing an opponent that is not have gone 6-12 against the spread this season. Pick apart that trend all you want, but it’s not a situation where I’m comfortable giving double digits.
Philadelphia Eagles minus-6 vs. Carolina Panthers Nick Foles had thrown 10 interceptions to 13 touchdowns and ranked 26th in the NFL in passer rating before getting injured, so it’s not as if Mark Sanchez is a major downgrade at quarterback. Eagles have been more imposing on defense this season anyway, rating eighth in DVOA.
Guesses (25-26-1)
Cleveland Browns plus-6.5 at Cincinnati Bengals Taking a purely contrarian position with Cincinnati drawing more than 80 percent of the action despite the line looking precise. Cleveland’s offensive regression is balanced by its defensive improvements in recent weeks.
New York Jets plus-5.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Ben Roethlisberger isn’t going to throw for six touchdowns every week for the rest of the year. The Jets should put an end to the unprecedented two week run with a deceptively game defense that ranks seventh in the NFL at giving up 5.3 yards per play.
Seattle Seahawks minus-9 vs. New York Giants These two teams are a combined 1-7 against the spread over the last month, so neither side looks particularly desirable. But I can’t get their meeting last year out of my head when the Seahawks thrashed the Giants 23-0 with the same minus-9 point spread — in New York.
Chicago Bears plus-7.5 at Green Bay Packers In an absolutely desperate situation, expecting the Bears to unleash everything they have against the archrival Packers. The offense is too explosive to go down without a fight, as evidenced by the 496 yards they gained in the first matchup against the Packers this season.
Denver Broncos minus-11.5 at Oakland Raiders The Raiders might not go winless this season, but they’re not finding a victory this week. Denver has won and covered in all three trips to Oakland under coach John Fox.
Dallas Cowboys minus-6 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars in London A complete roll of the dice either way with Tony Romo’s status unknown at filing time. Would rather gamble on a short line, available only at CG Technologies sports books, against the team that’s been the worst in the NFL and a complete disaster against the spread over the last few years if forced.
Las Vegas Sun
Saint Louis Rams plus-7.5 at Arizona Cardinals Arizona is primed for a fall by every statistical measure. The Cardinals’ plus-36 point differential is more indicative of a 4-4 team than where they currently stand at 7-1, which is an even more remarkable record considering their minus-288 yardage differential.
Buffalo Bills plus-2.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs As a result of being tied for the second best against the spread record in the NFL at 6-2, Kansas City is suddenly overvalued. The Chiefs covered plus-10 in last week’s 24-10 victory over the Jets but were outgained and lethargic, a combination that won’t work against a Bills team coming off of a bye at home.
Leans (29-20-1)
San Francisco 49ers plus-5 at New Orleans Saints It’s the trusty overreaction line of the week. The early point spread was only 3 points before San Francisco narrowly lost but outplayed Saint Louis at home last week while New Orleans beat up Carolina on the road.
Miami Dolphins plus-3 at Detroit Lions It’s a battle between the two best defenses in the league according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA, with Detroit narrowly ahead of Miami. The difference comes on offense, where the Dolphins rank No. 13 to the Lions’ No. 25.
Atlanta Falcons minus-1 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Falcons were desperate for their bye week and are traditionally money coming out of a break, going 5-1 straight-up and 4-2 against the spread under coach Mike Smith, so inclined to grab the diminished price while available. This line could creep all the way up to a field goal.
Tennessee Titans plus-10 at Baltimore Ravens Teams heading into a bye playing an opponent that is not have gone 6-12 against the spread this season. Pick apart that trend all you want, but it’s not a situation where I’m comfortable giving double digits.
Philadelphia Eagles minus-6 vs. Carolina Panthers Nick Foles had thrown 10 interceptions to 13 touchdowns and ranked 26th in the NFL in passer rating before getting injured, so it’s not as if Mark Sanchez is a major downgrade at quarterback. Eagles have been more imposing on defense this season anyway, rating eighth in DVOA.
Guesses (25-26-1)
Cleveland Browns plus-6.5 at Cincinnati Bengals Taking a purely contrarian position with Cincinnati drawing more than 80 percent of the action despite the line looking precise. Cleveland’s offensive regression is balanced by its defensive improvements in recent weeks.
New York Jets plus-5.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Ben Roethlisberger isn’t going to throw for six touchdowns every week for the rest of the year. The Jets should put an end to the unprecedented two week run with a deceptively game defense that ranks seventh in the NFL at giving up 5.3 yards per play.
Seattle Seahawks minus-9 vs. New York Giants These two teams are a combined 1-7 against the spread over the last month, so neither side looks particularly desirable. But I can’t get their meeting last year out of my head when the Seahawks thrashed the Giants 23-0 with the same minus-9 point spread — in New York.
Chicago Bears plus-7.5 at Green Bay Packers In an absolutely desperate situation, expecting the Bears to unleash everything they have against the archrival Packers. The offense is too explosive to go down without a fight, as evidenced by the 496 yards they gained in the first matchup against the Packers this season.
Denver Broncos minus-11.5 at Oakland Raiders The Raiders might not go winless this season, but they’re not finding a victory this week. Denver has won and covered in all three trips to Oakland under coach John Fox.
Dallas Cowboys minus-6 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars in London A complete roll of the dice either way with Tony Romo’s status unknown at filing time. Would rather gamble on a short line, available only at CG Technologies sports books, against the team that’s been the worst in the NFL and a complete disaster against the spread over the last few years if forced.
QOH, I remember on the other thread that you can place a parlay and/or teaser with open legs... What book allow you to do that? I used only 2 online books were Bookmaker and Sportsbook but don't know how to make a play like that and I believe they don't let you do.
Thanks! Good luck to you this week!
Thanks! Good luck to you this week!
5 Dimes
You really need a 5 dimes account for more than just open parlays a teasers though.
An open leg can last as long as you want. You can choose 1,2,3, all the way up to 10 or even more I think.
If you use 5 dimes, do this:
1) order a Am Ex Serve card online with your name on it
2) deposit directly to 5 Dimes via Money Gram.
3) after you deposit, go to live chat and ask for directions on how to link your AmEx card for cash outs.
Good luck
I started this thread 5 years ago and have ran it 78 weeks. Tgere was a time that I did exploit the NFL.
I said in my very first EXP NFL threads, " just give me 5 seasons". This is the the 5th season and then Im done posting NFL. Im going to keep my word though. There are 12 weeks left including post season. Lots can happen between now and then.
