Some of you may like this better. A different slant on my normal pulse system to try to see if I can generate successful volume for you that have commented as such. Personally, I'm happy enough with the regular system and it's big win rate because with fewer games and a high R.O.I., one can simply wager a larger amount per game than with tons of volume and reap just as much (if not more) profit on the season.
So, this is a little endeavor for you action whores. Let's see what happens. Be mature adults and use discretion if following. Keep the big picture in mind regarding a "proven" track record before trusting future results. If this doesn't pan out, no harm no foul.
This is the scoop. In my regular pulse thread here
http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=692066&page=2
you will notice my matchup grading that I started doing on July 6. I went back and tracked the results of every matchup using covers' website which uses Pinnacle's closing lines. If a play won on the first day, I stopped there. If it lost, I tracked the next day. I don't go past two games because, hey, if you can't get it done with two chances, the advantage is gone and you don't get a third chance. Here are the results including this evening's games (July 20):
July 6
Day 1: 9-6 +2.81 (favs 7-1 +5.15, dogs 2-5 -2.34)
Day 2: 3-3 +0.81 (favs 1-0 +1.00, dogs 2-3 -0.19)
July 9
Day 1: 10-5 +5.70 (favs 7-2 +4.75, dogs 3-3 +0.95)
Day 2: 4-1 +3.92 (favs 1-1 -0.05, dogs 3-0 +3.97) yeah doggies!
July 20
Day 1: 6-6 -0.34 (favs 5-4 +0.48, dogs 1-2 -0.82)
Not a great night tonight but look closer and see that Baltimore at +191 was tied in Yankee Stadium in the 9th, San Diego at -106 brought a lead into the 7th and Minnesota (ugh!) at -128 led 12-2 in a game for the ages (he was safe at home). So, nothing to be concerned about.
What to do with this early data? Well, the pulse system is designed for favs and all favs are 21-8 +11.33. Very nice. Dogs have also been slightly profitable at 11-13 +1.57. For my money, those early favorite results attract my attention.
So if we pick things up after Monday evening's games, we can either flat bet the losers (favorites and/or dogs) or do a double-up method (game 1 favs only) where we try to recoup the Game 1 loss plus the original one unit, also known as the Martingale method or a mini 2-game chase. With this strategy, and knowing the pulse system specializes in favorites, I would go with straight-betting chases up to -140. Higher than -140, I would use either a -1 or -1.5 run line to soften the risk. Alot of you guys might use the RL at lower prices. I don't because I don't want to cheat wins and -140 is not devastating when all favorites have hit 72% so far. Here's the results from that through Monday:
straight: 21-1 +17.45
-1 RL: 17-1-4 +13.45
-1.5 RL: 18-4 +5.10
For all three doubling methods, the pending losses are Tampa -1.07, St Louis -1.11, Minnesota -1.28 and San Diego -1.06.
So this would be the action for Tuesday:
Favs: 21-8 .724 +11.33
LAA (no line yet for 5pm game), TB -121, LAA (if lose game 1 of DH)
Dogs: 11-13 .458 +1.57
BAL +174, STL +139, MIN +127, SD +115, CIN +176, SEA +147, TOR +108
2-game chases
Straight: 21-1 +17.45
TB -121 (2.50 to win 2.07)
STL +139 (1.52 to win 2.11)
MIN +127 (1.80 to win 2.28)
SD +115 (1.79 to win 2.06)
-1 RL: 17-1-4 +13.45
same as "straight"
-1.5 RL: 18-4 +5.10
same as "straight"
Questions, comments, concerns, tangents....I'm listening.
So, this is a little endeavor for you action whores. Let's see what happens. Be mature adults and use discretion if following. Keep the big picture in mind regarding a "proven" track record before trusting future results. If this doesn't pan out, no harm no foul.
This is the scoop. In my regular pulse thread here
http://therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=692066&page=2
you will notice my matchup grading that I started doing on July 6. I went back and tracked the results of every matchup using covers' website which uses Pinnacle's closing lines. If a play won on the first day, I stopped there. If it lost, I tracked the next day. I don't go past two games because, hey, if you can't get it done with two chances, the advantage is gone and you don't get a third chance. Here are the results including this evening's games (July 20):
July 6
Day 1: 9-6 +2.81 (favs 7-1 +5.15, dogs 2-5 -2.34)
Day 2: 3-3 +0.81 (favs 1-0 +1.00, dogs 2-3 -0.19)
July 9
Day 1: 10-5 +5.70 (favs 7-2 +4.75, dogs 3-3 +0.95)
Day 2: 4-1 +3.92 (favs 1-1 -0.05, dogs 3-0 +3.97) yeah doggies!
July 20
Day 1: 6-6 -0.34 (favs 5-4 +0.48, dogs 1-2 -0.82)
Not a great night tonight but look closer and see that Baltimore at +191 was tied in Yankee Stadium in the 9th, San Diego at -106 brought a lead into the 7th and Minnesota (ugh!) at -128 led 12-2 in a game for the ages (he was safe at home). So, nothing to be concerned about.
What to do with this early data? Well, the pulse system is designed for favs and all favs are 21-8 +11.33. Very nice. Dogs have also been slightly profitable at 11-13 +1.57. For my money, those early favorite results attract my attention.
So if we pick things up after Monday evening's games, we can either flat bet the losers (favorites and/or dogs) or do a double-up method (game 1 favs only) where we try to recoup the Game 1 loss plus the original one unit, also known as the Martingale method or a mini 2-game chase. With this strategy, and knowing the pulse system specializes in favorites, I would go with straight-betting chases up to -140. Higher than -140, I would use either a -1 or -1.5 run line to soften the risk. Alot of you guys might use the RL at lower prices. I don't because I don't want to cheat wins and -140 is not devastating when all favorites have hit 72% so far. Here's the results from that through Monday:
straight: 21-1 +17.45
-1 RL: 17-1-4 +13.45
-1.5 RL: 18-4 +5.10
For all three doubling methods, the pending losses are Tampa -1.07, St Louis -1.11, Minnesota -1.28 and San Diego -1.06.
So this would be the action for Tuesday:
Favs: 21-8 .724 +11.33
LAA (no line yet for 5pm game), TB -121, LAA (if lose game 1 of DH)
Dogs: 11-13 .458 +1.57
BAL +174, STL +139, MIN +127, SD +115, CIN +176, SEA +147, TOR +108
2-game chases
Straight: 21-1 +17.45
TB -121 (2.50 to win 2.07)
STL +139 (1.52 to win 2.11)
MIN +127 (1.80 to win 2.28)
SD +115 (1.79 to win 2.06)
-1 RL: 17-1-4 +13.45
same as "straight"
-1.5 RL: 18-4 +5.10
same as "straight"
Questions, comments, concerns, tangents....I'm listening.