Public backing road underdog

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interesting find, i use sportsinsights for a while to fade the public...cept the public was winning too often!!!! Would love to follow this, I would really appreciate you posting whenever you can, I infrequently look up %'s so if I see something I will be sure to post, thanks for the heads up SLICK!
 

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i don't think colorado is a play tonight is it? sites i've seen has public on Colorado. a wagerline and caribsports it shows more public on the rockies

I've seen a couple sites with about 20,000 bets with 60% CLE, I'm on COL but you may be correct so others bet with caution.
 
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i don't think colorado is a play tonight is it? sites i've seen has public on Colorado. a wagerline and caribsports it shows more public on the rockies

The various sites can differ. Slick's sample was done with stats from Insights, so maybe refer to that as a constant, but I laid off Colorado tonight because Thursdays weren't sampled.
 

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The various sites can differ. Slick's sample was done with stats from Insights, so maybe refer to that as a constant, but I laid off Colorado tonight because Thursdays weren't sampled.

Good point, though it would seem odd that the day of the week should matter. COL cashed though, maybe the ROX just know how to get it done.:money8:
 

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Based upon the numbers at Sports Insight this system went 4-0 yesterday.

ATL/TEX PUBLIC ON ATL PICK TEX..WINNER TEX

HOU/BALT PUBLIC ON HOU PICK BALT..WINNER BAL

CUB/TAM PUBLIC ON CUB PICK TAM...WINNER TAM (I LOST MY ASS ON THE FREAKIN CUBS LAST NIGHT!! WHAT WAS I THINKING?? SHOULD HAVE BET THIS SYSTEM PICK AND CASHED WITH TAMPA. BRUTLE 7TH INNING

CLE/COL PUBLIC ON CLE PICK COL...WINNER COL

It is very early but the picks so far today look like....

DET/SD PUBLIC ON DET (BIG 76%) PICK SD......

CLE/LOS PUBLIC ON CLE PICK LOS....

IT LOOKS LIKE CWS/CUBS COULD BE A PLAY IF PUBLIC KEEPS MOVING ON CWS....THAT WILL SUCK BECAUSE I WANTED TO HAMMER THE WHITE SOX TODAY. I WILL HAVE TO SECOND GUESS IF THE PLAY ON THIS SYSTEM GOES WITH THE CUBS...HOW CAN THEY WIN AFTER A LOSS, LATE NIGHT, AND HOT BATS OF CWS???
 

"Straight Cash Homie"
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Randy I think slick has been tracking the picks with 60% or more public backing on the road dog. The plays last night were in the %51-57% range. They all won, but if you use these picks then the record of the previous picks would be different. I believe 51% or more is probably high enough, but I like to see 60% or more.

I also like the White Sox today and won't change my mind, but will probably play it for a little less.
 

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sorry guys wasnt in yesterday..

dodgers and sd most likely would qualify as plays for tonight.

philly is close but not yet.

as for yesterday there were no plays that qualified. colorado and baltimor were the closest. they both won. it seems like even the close ones are winning lately. i might just attribute that to home team dominance this year.
 

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as for games that dont qualify. i grouped them as "home fave split."

basically 50/50 action. the record for those game is 41-29. so even those could be solid bets. its prolly up around 8 units or so.
 

"Straight Cash Homie"
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Home teams have been pretty dominant for sure. So what percentage do you use? This did do pretty good in baskets this year also with the over 60%. Don't know exact records cause I only use it to add or subtract to my own opinions. Football is always great to go against the public.
 

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Home teams have been pretty dominant for sure. So what percentage do you use? This did do pretty good in baskets this year also with the over 60%. Don't know exact records cause I only use it to add or subtract to my own opinions. Football is always great to go against the public.

60%.

i LOVE situations whenever the pub is on a road underdog in any sport.

u got the fact that ur betting a favorite (who is theoretically supposed to win), going against the public and backing a home team.
 

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