PSU @ Michigan-Talk to me!

Search

New member
Joined
Jan 20, 2009
Messages
1,171
Tokens
I really liked Penn ST. +3 and now it's gone up to +4.5. Can someone give an opinion on why all the $ is on Michigan?

I jumped on PSU -2 at home vs. Michigan a few weeks back and it was a laugher as PSU won 73-58.

Love some thoughts on this please as I see a straight up PSU win.

Thanks, Gooch
 

New member
Joined
Mar 2, 2006
Messages
17,562
Tokens
Maybe because so many teams at home did so well last night. Not a good response but can't think of a legit reason as PSU is playing well and UM is going in the opposite direction.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
22,534
Tokens
penn state is the play here at + 4 1/2 they have every right to continue in top form and play it close..decent matchups against Michigan.
 

The Gr8 1
Joined
Apr 30, 2008
Messages
6,372
Tokens
- This line opened at -3 with 75 % money coming in on Penn St and the Line goes to -4 immediately

- Michigan NEEDS this conference win bad.

- At Michigan

- Penn St. has won 4 straight. Time for letdown

- Revenge factor

- Penn St is 0 - 7 Ats last 7 at Michigan

- Michigan has struggled lately, but it was on the road.

- This is the same Michigan that has beat Duke and UCLA



I love Michigan tonight!
 

No Half Steppin'
Joined
Sep 20, 2001
Messages
2,136
Tokens
If you like PSU the line moving for you may be a good sign. UofM has had lines move in their favor for 3 weeks now and are getting clowned every time but 1 (N'Western). fading the line move in UofM games has been money.

GL
 

RX Senior
Handicapper
Joined
Nov 25, 2008
Messages
2,970
Tokens
Home court matters more in the Big Ten then anyother conference. Penn State is a one man show.

I wouldn't be surprised if either side covers. Lean Mich.
 

New member
Joined
Mar 9, 2008
Messages
745
Tokens
I def lean Mich. here. Good spot IMO. PSU just came off a HUGE HUGE road win against Mich State. They had a lead of 12 in that game and still almost blew it because of there herendous foul shooting. Battle went off in that game and finished with 29. A decent amount of them points came off 3's deeper than an average NBA three. They played very well in that game, but don't be fooled. They hit a lot of crazy shots like Battle before half from way down town and another 3 he banked in, Pringles also had a 3 from way down town. I just do not see them shooting the way they did in that game and when they shoot bad they lose. There half court offense is not efficent and as someone stated if Battle or Cornley do not produce PSU does not produce. The last time these two met may have been Mich. worst performance of the year. I think the travel along with the emotion of coming off that huge win a few days ago may lead up to what we know as a let down game. Also lets remember this is the first time in a long time PSU has had some rumors about making the tourney. Young players+inexperience+huge road win+publicity=LETDOWN. I personally see a let down here from PSU and look for Michigan to win by about 8-10
 

New member
Joined
Nov 28, 2008
Messages
1,654
Tokens
Harris and Novak are back for Michigan, and it's a game that they desperately need to stop the recent bleeding. The last team to win this year at Michigan State (NW) that came to A2 a few days later lost and failed to cover in the same situation.

However, Penn State beat Michigan by about 15 in Happy Valley two weeks ago, so it's a tough call.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 17, 2008
Messages
3,131
Tokens
Michigan is a significantly better home team than road team. Take them and give the points.
 

New member
Joined
Mar 2, 2006
Messages
17,562
Tokens
A decent amount of them points came off 3's deeper than an average NBA three. They played very well in that game, but don't be fooled. They hit a lot of crazy shots like Battle before half from way down town and another 3 he banked in, Pringles also had a 3 from way down town. I just do not see them shooting the way they did in that game and when they shoot bad they lose (who doesn't). There half court offense is not efficent and as someone stated if Battle or Cornley do not produce PSU does not produce. The last time these two met may have been Mich. worst performance of the year. I think the travel along with the emotion of coming off that huge win a few days ago may lead up to what we know as a let down game. Also lets remember this is the first time in a long time PSU has had some rumors about making the tourney. Young players+inexperience+huge road win+publicity=LETDOWN. I personally see a let down here from PSU and look for Michigan to win by about 8-10


Not trying to be an ass, but do you watch the games? You know how many times Pringle, Morrisey, and Battle attempt deep 3s?

Pringle is shooting 50% from deep and Battle around 41%. Battle is probably the best overall 3 pointer shooter in the conference this year aside from Craig Moore.

You can sit here and say that PSU played lights out at MSU, but don't forget they dominated Sparty in the 2nd Half at State College. You talk about stopping Cornley and Battle and you stop Penn State. So, does that mean if you Stop Harris and Sims, is UM then done? Isn't stopping a teams top 2 players generally the idea with every team defensively.

Yes, Battle hit some tough shots at Breslin, but he has been doing it all year.

I am not trying to knock you if you think UM is the play, but don't tell others you think UM is the play because Battle hit a few fluke shots. Using your argument on 3 3 pointers, how did they score the other 63 points?

Penn State is a better team than most are giving them credit for and they shoot the ball very well.
 

New member
Joined
Mar 9, 2008
Messages
745
Tokens
Not trying to be an ass, but do you watch the games? You know how many times Pringle, Morrisey, and Battle attempt deep 3s?

Pringle is shooting 50% from deep and Battle around 41%. Battle is probably the best overall 3 pointer shooter in the conference this year aside from Craig Moore.

You can sit here and say that PSU played lights out at MSU, but don't forget they dominated Sparty in the 2nd Half at State College. You talk about stopping Cornley and Battle and you stop Penn State. So, does that mean if you Stop Harris and Sims, is UM then done? Isn't stopping a teams top 2 players generally the idea with every team defensively.

Yes, Battle hit some tough shots at Breslin, but he has been doing it all year.

I am not trying to knock you if you think UM is the play, but don't tell others you think UM is the play because Battle hit a few fluke shots. Using your argument on 3 3 pointers, how did they score the other 63 points?

Penn State is a better team than most are giving them credit for and they shoot the ball very well.

I don't believe I stated that because of Battle hitting a few fluke shots im playing Mich. Alls I said is that he did hit some fluke shots and thats undeniable. As for Morrisey, thats why he is in the game. The only thing he can do is shoot the 3, other than that he is useless. You can not tell me those ridiculously deep 3's are made on a regular basis. Also there are plenty of teams who shoot bad and still find themsleves in the game. These teams play fierce D and get to line when not shooting good. Penn State is not known for this kind of defense are they? Penn State does not shoot from the line well do they? I'm not trying to tell anyone to pick Mich. or PSU, I am simply trying to give a few things about PSU that might help one pick PSU or Mich. I also said that going back to back road games for a fairly young team who is dealing with some first time success usually spells for letdown. Esp. playing a team who PSU emabrrassed a few weeks ago.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 19, 2007
Messages
5,066
Tokens
I am staying away from this one.. reverse line movement points to Michigan, but I would never lay close to 5 points on a team that is in an absolute tailspin to a team who is playing lights out and for some respect
 

New member
Joined
May 28, 2008
Messages
785
Tokens
line movement points you toward mich here, but i think penn state wins.

penn st overall a better team and playing with much more confidence right now. maybe if this game was a pk i would take mich, but when they gotta win by 5 they do not warrant a play.
 

Banned
Joined
Dec 23, 2008
Messages
108
Tokens
both these teams (for me at least) are the ones that you bet on they lose (badly) and when you bet against them (they play like fuckin champions) i know this doesnt help with choosing a side i just wanted to comment that i can't touch this one b/c of that but 4-5pts is a lot for mich to lay..good luck to everyone tonight with whatever they choose
 

Member
Joined
Apr 8, 2008
Messages
5,709
Tokens
Same could be said last night with Notre Dame. Tough laying pts on the road period. GL on whatever you play! :103631605
 

New member
Joined
Jan 20, 2009
Messages
1,171
Tokens
I guess home in the B10 is huge. Wow!

0-1 so far tonight
 

The Gr8 1
Joined
Apr 30, 2008
Messages
6,372
Tokens
I tried to warn you. lol ... just messing with ya. Good luck with the rest!
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,949
Messages
13,575,546
Members
100,888
Latest member
bj88gameslife
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com