Prof. Hinsley Playoffs

[Prof.Hinsley]

If its takin ya this long then you are overthinkin

GL tonight :toast:

No kidding, going with what I was thinking right after the last Philly/Dodger game: Its finished...

1.5* Philadelphia -145

Philly can't let this get back to LA, they have Hamels on the bump and momentum on their side. Padilla may be tough considering his last start against the Cards, but I'll take this all day. Phillies make it to the World Series tonight and celebrate at home.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

you know Padilla shut down the Phils too right?

Yeah, I said against the Cards, he started game 2 this series as well. I really think Philly still wins tonight though.

 

[JimmyVegas]

Dodgers are lifeless.........phillies will win and they are off to the W/s

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

15-6-1 +10.53

1.5* Over 8.5 (-110)
1* New York Yankees (+100)

I really wanted to take the Angels here thinking there is no way they are going to allow NY to seal it at their house, however, that is not the case tonight. Burnett should be good enough to get the win but this game goes well over 8 runs. With the Yankees swinging the bat so well, they could get 6-7 by themselves. This should be an exciting game.

 

[Tazman4808]

15-6-1 +10.53

1.5* Over 8.5 (-110)
1* New York Yankees (+100)

I really wanted to take the Angels here thinking there is no way they are going to allow NY to seal it at their house, however, that is not the case tonight. Burnett should be good enough to get the win but this game goes well over 8 runs. With the Yankees swinging the bat so well, they could get 6-7 by themselves. This should be an exciting game.

Why just 1 unit on the Yankees? if your confident that they will win why not make it a 3-:think2:5 unit play?

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

It could turn into a slug fest and I'm more confident in the over than the side. Plus, Yankees must be getting pounded by the public so that also factored in for playing them a little lighter than the over. I may upgrade, but I'm more comfortable with these amounts right now.

 

[PokertoSportsbettor]

ya i agree the only thing preventing me fron unloading more units is that it seems so square. but public hits sometimes like last night so BOL. on the same side of both:toast:

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

16-7-1 +11.03

Good morning, should be a fun day with the college games then a ball game night cap. Just thinking about this game, I thought it would be too easy to just chase the side, lay the juice and say fuck it and take the Yankees. There is way too much value in the Angels at +165. This is still a very good team fighting to send it to game 7. Overs are looking pretty good, but I'll have an official play later. Want to see what the line is going to do, if it starts dropping, I'll put in a play, if it goes up, which I don't think it will do, I'll wait.

 

[HacheMan]

Keep up the good work Hins.......

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

Thanks Hache, going to try.

1.5* Los Angeles Angels +165

Going to get this in now, I don't see too much movement so I'll take this. Saunders is a guy I can trust to keep LA in the game and at these odds, thats what I need. Had a lean on the over, probably won't play it, I'm content with this and the action I have on Boxslayer's college games today. Damn, that guy is money!

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

Alright, so I decided to do something a little different today. According to my book's lines, it looks as though they think the day off helped the Yankees (I'm looking at team totals here), but the money line stayed the same. Here's what I'm doing, again, this is based on value, and I've won a little money so this seems like a good investment to me.

2* New York/Los Angeles Under 9.5 -120
1.5* Los Angeles Angels +1.5 -130
1* Los Angeles Angels ML +165

Like em all, opinions welcome.

Good Luck.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

I was going to put in Phillies Game 1 @ +150 but I think it may go up to +160 or so. Maybe I should have hopped on it earlier. Don't know if it'll move too much from where its at. Cliff Lee @ +150 though. That's still a play to me. Will put it in tomorrow.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

17-9-1 +10.58

1.5* Philadelphia Phillies +160

Well, my book had it go back up, which I wasn't expecting. This is pretty much a coin flip game so this is another value I can't pass up. Phillies have been hitting the ball, I think there is a valid argument that the Phillies have a better offense than the Yankees. The only problem here is the Yanks have seen Lee more than the Phils have seen CC. With that being said, I'm still going with the big plus money in a game that I can see either team winning.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

Hell, I upgraded .5*

2* Philadelphia Phillies (2* TOTAL, NOT in addition to 1.5*)

I'm feeling very good about this game, can't wait!

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

18-9-1 +13.78

1.5* Philadelphia Phillies +180

I was thinking there was no way Yanks would let Philly take a 2-0 lead, but Burnett is not the answer they need right now. Phillies have a motivated and proven Pedro on the bump. I say proven because he is huge in big games over his career. Again, this line is way outta wack and I want to take advantage of people saying there is no way the Yankees can lose tonight. Well, there is a possibility of the Yanks losing and it is absolutely worth the +180 I'm getting for it. Here's to another night of World Series Baseball.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

18-10-1 +12.28

Thought the Phils were going to get after Burnett last night, but that didn't happen. Just posting my updated record, will have a play tomorrow.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

Alright, game 3 tonight.

2* Philadelphia/New York over 9 -120

Thats it, hitters hit, bullpen gives up a few, game goes over.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

19-10-1 +14.28

1.5* New York Yankees -1.5 (-110)

As a baseball fan, I'm rooting for the Phillies, as a bettor, I'm on the Yanks. Tough to go against CC here.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

20-10-1 +15.78

2* Philadelphia/New York Under 8.5 -120

I really wouldn't be suprised to see Lee go another complete game and Burnett should pitch well enough to give his team a chance to win. I'm feeling pretty confident in this and may upgrade later, but for now I'll leave it as a 2*. May have a play on the side later.

 

[Prof.Hinsley]

Adding one more:

1* Philadelphia Phillies -.5, 1st 5 (-110)

I look for this to be at 1-0 or 2-0 Philly, keeping it a small play, but worth it to me.