RTD 9-6 +6 units
Broken down by day:
4-1
0-2
0-2
3-1(shut out/not part of record)
5-1
Not much found today. We don't get too excited when having less than a handful of picks-- dim chances at a bonanza.
How we basically select games is based on starter & bullpen vs opposing team, & ALL the following conditions must be met:
Gap advantage in ERA: year overall/last 3 games/this year vs. team(& at that stadium whenever possible) for both starter & bullpen. We project a final score from all that, rounding up & down the fractional numbers AGAINST OUR CHOICE whenever possible, to have a safe cushion. When difference considerable, we give 1½ runs.
The projected score might instead lead to an easier O/U-- there we also round off each score against us AND look for corroborating umpire & stadium wind speed range stats.
We only hook in the same ticket games in same time zone-- different zones will get parlayed too-- though manually, giving us options to:
1. pull back original investment & guaranteed profit whenever possible.
2. as well helping to parlay live in game hedges to subsequent zones-- which usually are not allowed to be parlayed.
3. bet wherever best particular game odds offered.
For the record-- our ticket structuring last night was totally defficient.
OK, one last tidbit:
today we like the among the early games, only one: BOS o9½'(-115 Mansion, 120's at regular books), but it will NOT be a pick because between the lousy price & the way we bet, it's useless to us. It sits alone in its zone: calling for a flat bet, which even if won, does not allow pulling back original bet & some profit & just continue playing.
NOW, if this game ran later, it WOULD BE USABLE, as it could be parlayed to other games & 2nd half hedges.
SO, this leaves us with 3 games:
7:05 ARI -137 ML / +125 RL
8:05 CIN -103 ML / + 159 RL
_____________________________
10:05 TOR -126 ML / +130 RL..up in the air which one used...depending...
We will take our 3 units & split them half & half each flat-bet style on the first two games(so 1½ units on each)
1. IF we win both(2nd game has to look in the bag at that point), we may forego the last bet: save some time(not have to babysit it to hedge it at halftime) & get a start on the next day's action.
2. We likely will also call it an early night IF we split those two games-- booking a guaranteed profit.
3. IF we lose both, call it a night, no bet on nightcap.
Another alternative, IF you're ready for a long, late night:
4. Parlay first two games Money Lines 1½ units..
5. Any in game / halftime hedges would get manually hooked to TOR Money Line & be prepared to hedge that nightcap game 2nd half.
6. IF un-hedged parlay falls, 1½ units go on TOR Run Line
7. Of course, if parlay wins, do whatever you wish with nightcap-- you should have $500++, for a NET of $350+..so say, 1½ units TOR Run Line
We will take the more conservative first approach, as always when we don't have very many picks.
BOL
Broken down by day:
4-1
0-2
0-2
3-1(shut out/not part of record)
5-1
Not much found today. We don't get too excited when having less than a handful of picks-- dim chances at a bonanza.
How we basically select games is based on starter & bullpen vs opposing team, & ALL the following conditions must be met:
Gap advantage in ERA: year overall/last 3 games/this year vs. team(& at that stadium whenever possible) for both starter & bullpen. We project a final score from all that, rounding up & down the fractional numbers AGAINST OUR CHOICE whenever possible, to have a safe cushion. When difference considerable, we give 1½ runs.
The projected score might instead lead to an easier O/U-- there we also round off each score against us AND look for corroborating umpire & stadium wind speed range stats.
We only hook in the same ticket games in same time zone-- different zones will get parlayed too-- though manually, giving us options to:
1. pull back original investment & guaranteed profit whenever possible.
2. as well helping to parlay live in game hedges to subsequent zones-- which usually are not allowed to be parlayed.
3. bet wherever best particular game odds offered.
For the record-- our ticket structuring last night was totally defficient.
OK, one last tidbit:
today we like the among the early games, only one: BOS o9½'(-115 Mansion, 120's at regular books), but it will NOT be a pick because between the lousy price & the way we bet, it's useless to us. It sits alone in its zone: calling for a flat bet, which even if won, does not allow pulling back original bet & some profit & just continue playing.
NOW, if this game ran later, it WOULD BE USABLE, as it could be parlayed to other games & 2nd half hedges.
SO, this leaves us with 3 games:
7:05 ARI -137 ML / +125 RL
8:05 CIN -103 ML / + 159 RL
_____________________________
10:05 TOR -126 ML / +130 RL..up in the air which one used...depending...
We will take our 3 units & split them half & half each flat-bet style on the first two games(so 1½ units on each)
1. IF we win both(2nd game has to look in the bag at that point), we may forego the last bet: save some time(not have to babysit it to hedge it at halftime) & get a start on the next day's action.
2. We likely will also call it an early night IF we split those two games-- booking a guaranteed profit.
3. IF we lose both, call it a night, no bet on nightcap.
Another alternative, IF you're ready for a long, late night:
4. Parlay first two games Money Lines 1½ units..
5. Any in game / halftime hedges would get manually hooked to TOR Money Line & be prepared to hedge that nightcap game 2nd half.
6. IF un-hedged parlay falls, 1½ units go on TOR Run Line
7. Of course, if parlay wins, do whatever you wish with nightcap-- you should have $500++, for a NET of $350+..so say, 1½ units TOR Run Line
We will take the more conservative first approach, as always when we don't have very many picks.
BOL
