Preview: Miami at Florida Atlantic.

[Greenbacks]

Short article on this game.


Miami (Fla.) coach Al Golden told reporters this is the deepest, most experienced defense he has had in five seasons and it gets its first real test when the Hurricanes visit Florida Atlantic for the first time on Friday. Miami limited FCS opponent Bethune Cookman to 79 yards in a 45-0 triumph while the Owls gained 563 before losing 47-44 in overtime at Tulsa last Saturday in the opener for both.

The Hurricanes registered five sacks in their first shutout in more than five seasons and must stay alert with a rough non-league stretch looming against Nebraska, Cincinnati and Florida State. Miami quarterback Brad Kaaya, who threw for 173 yards and a pair of scores last week, is not expected to have two of his top wide receivers Friday -- Stacy Coley (hamstring) and Braxton Berrios (knee). Florida Atlantic must shore up its pass defense against Kaaya, who has thrown for a touchdown in all 14 of his career games, after giving up 424 yards through the air at Tulsa. The Owls are led by multi-threat senior quarterback Jaquez Johnson.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1. LINE: Miami –17.5

ABOUT MIAMI (1-0): Senior Rashawn Scott, who missed 2014 with an injury, stepped up in the absence of Berrios and Coley to match a career high with six catches for 100 yards last week. The Hurricanes averaged 7.5 yards per carry as freshman Mark Walton emerged as the top ball career with 85 yards on 10 attempts. Cornerback Corn Elder is a player to watch after posting three tackles, one sack and returning a punt for a touchdown, while linebacker Marques Gayot had four tackles – 2.5 for a loss – and a team-best 1.5 sacks.

ABOUT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (0-1): Johnson threw for 263 yards and ran for another 97 in the opener while sophomore Greg Howell totaled a team-high 138 rushing yards with two scores as the Owls ran for 300 total. “There were times when we were moving the ball well,” FAU coach Charlie Partridge told reporters. “If we can build off of those things and eliminate some of the penalties, then we’re going to be in good shape.” Senior Jenson Stoshak is Johnson’s top target after grabbing seven passes for 114 yards at Tulsa.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Kaaya, a sophomore, has totaled 15 touchdown passes and only three interceptions in his last eight contests.

2. Florida Atlantic, which was a minus-3 in turnover margin last season, recovered two fumbles and had two interceptions last week without coughing up the ball once.

3. Miami won the only previous meeting 34-6 at home in 2013 and is 111-70-6 all time against Florida schools.

 

[Addicted2quack]

I like this to be high scoring.... Not sure Miami covers tho, just because the line is rising and now at 19... If it gets to 20 I may make a small play on FAU just because I think they'll be hungry at home and may have the ability to keep this game within 3 scores... Definitely like the over tho

 

[Greenbacks]

[h=3]ATS Trends[/h]

Miami

Hurricanes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Hurricanes are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Hurricanes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. CUSA. Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Florida Atlantic Owls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games in September. Owls are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games following a S.U. loss. Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Owls are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games overall. Owls are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win. Owls are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Owls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Owls are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games on grass. [h=3]OU Trends[/h] Miami Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 road games. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a S.U. win. Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 vs. CUSA. Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 games overall. Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 games on grass. Under is 38-15 in Hurricanes last 53 non-conference games. Under is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Florida Atlantic Over is 13-3 in Owls last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Owls last 5 home games. Over is 4-1 in Owls last 5 games on grass. Under is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Owls last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Under is 23-9 in Owls last 32 games in September. Over is 5-2 in Owls last 7 non-conference games. Under is 16-7 in Owls last 23 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

 

[Source]

From what I've learned and continue to learn, a 17.5 pt. line will always make you believe that the dog may just only lose by 17. a 16.5 point line will always make you think the favorite will win by 17. This article and the public is glued to the fact that Miami is missing their 2 WR's. What it doesn't say, is that Miami is absolutely loaded on their front 7 to stop the run (which is exactly what FAU does). Miami is going to absolutely blast the line of scrimmage in this game. It's going to be tough sledding the entire night. Although Miami may not put up 50 points, I don't see FAU putting up more than 14. Take the -18 and run with it. Miami wins by 24-30. BOL

 

[Greenbacks]

No head to head trends available.

 

[Greenbacks]

Like I said in the other thread...I`m not a trend guy.

This trend sticks out though............Owls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games in September.

 

[Greenbacks]

Good luck!

 

[Addicted2quack]

From what I've learned and continue to learn, a 17.5 pt. line will always make you believe that the dog may just only lose by 17. a 16.5 point line will always make you think the favorite will win by 17. This article and the public is glued to the fact that Miami is missing their 2 WR's. What it doesn't say, is that Miami is absolutely loaded on their front 7 to stop the run (which is exactly what FAU does). Miami is going to absolutely blast the line of scrimmage in this game. It's going to be tough sledding the entire night. Although Miami may not put up 50 points, I don't see FAU putting up more than 14. Take the -18 and run with it. Miami wins by 24-30. BOL

Youre re right on all accounts, I'm banking on Miami getting to 45+ easily and and FAU scoring two 14-17 points, you always have to factor in one garbage time td.... Seems to happen quite often lol

 

[Source]

Look back the past 3 years to their games in September, with inflated lines of 30+ point cushions. They laid 31 to Miami two years ago and lost by 29. laying 42 to Alabama and losing by 41? I mean all these lines they've been given don't say much for their actual play in September. They are a bad team who is way outmatched. The line is moving up for a reason. This Miami team is better than the one that beat them by 29 two years ago. I'm not trying to be rude, but you have to research the trends before you post them. 11-1 the past 3 years in September is a misleading trend. Their level of play has not been good what so ever, they've just had unbelievably inflated lines of 30-40 plus points.

BOL

 

[Incubus]

Florida Atlantic starts the game fast and finds some success against the UM D.
They'll empty the play book to try and get their sell out home crowd excited and maybe put some doubt in the mighty 'Canes.
But their D is just not stout enough to keep Miami from answering repeatedly behind Kaaya and Walton.
Eventually Al Golden's defense produces a few timely stops, and the Hurricanes pull away to a 45-24 win.

 

[Greenbacks]

Let me also add that 65% of the public are in the Canes.

8:00 PM

Miami

-18.5

64.90%

Florida Atlantic

+18.5

35.10%

 

[Knightrofins]

Keep in mind that there will be no home field advantage this game. There will be more canes fans than fau fans. In fact, they changed the time of this game to 8pm from 7pm to give people more time to drive up from miami.

 

[Incubus]

Florida Atlantic starts the game fast and finds some success against the UM D.
They'll empty the play book to try and get their sell out home crowd excited and maybe put some doubt in the mighty 'Canes.
But their D is just not stout enough to keep Miami from answering repeatedly behind Kaaya and Walton.
Eventually Al Golden's defense produces a few timely stops, and the Hurricanes pull away to a 45-24 win.

I'm starting to warm up with my handicapping. This game played out EXACTLY as how I envisioned it. The final score of the game was 44-20. Almost nailed the final score with my forecast! !/