Preview: Astros at Yankees.

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The New York Yankees backed into homefield advantage in the American League wild-card game and have to hope that a pitching staff that struggled mightily over the final weeks can put it together for one game. The Houston Astros, who visit New York for the AL wild-card game on Tuesday, squandered a chance to earn homefield advantage in the contest with a loss on Sunday but have things lined up to start their ace against the Yankees.

Cy Young Award front-runner Dallas Keuchel will get the nod for the Astros, who waited until the final day of the season to figure out their place in the postseason and are returning to playoff baseball for the first time since representing the National League in the 2005 World Series. New York returns to the postseason following a two-year absence but comes in having lost three straight and six of their last seven. Wins in any of those games would have made the final weekend anticlimactic, but the Yankees instead surrendered a total of 46 runs in six losses to the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles – two teams with nothing left for which to play by that point. New York will start Masahiro Tanaka, who has made one start since Sept. 18 while dealing with a hamstring strain, on Tuesday but figures to have most of their starters available out of the bullpen.

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPN

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (20-8, 2.48 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (12-7, 3.51)

One reason a loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday was so crushing is that it meant Keuchel, who is 15-0 with a 1.46 ERA at home, would have to make the start on the road. The All-Star is 5-8 with a 3.77 ERA on the road in 2015 but won at Arizona on Friday and will be making Tuesday’s start on three days’ rest for the first time in his career. Keuchel struck out nine and scattered three hits in seven scoreless frames at New York on Aug. 25 and is 2-1 with a 1.13 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees.

Tanaka tuned up on Wednesday against Boston and was reached for four runs on five hits and a walk in five innings without factoring in the decision. The Japan native will be appearing in his first postseason since joining the Yankees and will try to keep the ball in the park after yielding 25 home runs in 154 total innings. Tanaka made his lone career start against Houston on June 27 and was ripped for six runs on seven hits – three homers – in five innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Astros won the season series 4-3, including two of three at the Yankees from Aug. 24-26.

2. New York C Brian McCann is 1-for-22 over his last six games.

3. Houston 2B Jose Altuve led the AL in hits (200) and stolen bases (38) during the regular season but is 10-for-35 with one steal in nine career games at Yankee Stadium.



W/L Trends

Houston

  1. Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  2. Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
  3. Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
  4. Astros are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  5. Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  6. Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. American League East.
  7. Astros are 55-114 in their last 169 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  8. Astros are 18-41 in their last 59 road games.
  9. Astros are 42-96 in their last 138 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  10. Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
  11. Astros are 47-116 in their last 163 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  12. Astros are 3-8 in their last 11 playoff road games.
  13. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games.
  14. Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  15. Astros are 7-1 in Keuchels last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
  16. Astros are 4-1 in Keuchels last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  17. Astros are 7-2 in Keuchels last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  18. Astros are 10-3 in Keuchels last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  19. Astros are 6-2 in Keuchels last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  20. Astros are 28-10 in Keuchels last 38 starts.
  21. Astros are 37-17 in Keuchels last 54 starts on grass.
  22. Astros are 3-8 in Keuchels last 11 road starts.

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NY Yankees

  1. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  2. Yankees are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  3. Yankees are 5-12 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  4. Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff home games.
  5. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
  6. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a loss.
  7. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
  8. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  9. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 overall.
  10. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games on grass.
  11. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games.
  12. Yankees are 7-1 in Tanakas last 8 starts vs. American League West.
  13. Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  14. Yankees are 13-3 in Tanakas last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  15. Yankees are 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
  16. Yankees are 9-4 in Tanakas last 13 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  17. Yankees are 1-4 in Tanakas last 5 home starts.

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OU Trends

Houston

  1. Over is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  2. Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 games following a loss.
  3. Over is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  4. Under is 4-1-2 in Astros last 7 games following an off day.
  5. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  6. Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  7. Over is 6-2-3 in Astros last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
  8. Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 playoff road games.
  9. Under is 11-5 in Astros last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  10. Under is 5-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts vs. American League East.
  11. Under is 4-1 in Keuchels last 5 Tuesday starts.
  12. Over is 4-1 in Keuchels last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  13. Over is 7-2 in Keuchels last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  14. Over is 6-2 in Keuchels last 8 starts on grass.
  15. Over is 6-2 in Keuchels last 8 starts overall.
  16. Over is 5-2 in Keuchels last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
  17. Under is 5-2 in Keuchels last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

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NY Yankees

  1. Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 playoff home games.
  2. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  3. Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
  4. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
  5. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 1 of a series.
  6. Over is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 Tuesday games.
  7. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games.
  8. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  9. Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  10. Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  11. Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 playoff games.
  12. Under is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  13. Over is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 games following an off day.
  14. Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  15. Under is 15-6 in Yankees last 21 vs. American League West.
  16. Under is 4-0 in Tanakas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  17. Under is 7-1 in Tanakas last 8 starts vs. American League West.
  18. Under is 6-1 in Tanakas last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  19. Under is 5-2 in Tanakas last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

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Head to Head


  1. Under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
  2. Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in New York.

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I'm going to piggy back on you thread to point out the two lineups that Keuchel faced were not as good as the lineup that he will be facing tonight and in the 15-1 blowout a lot of NYY players only played half the game.
 

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I'm going to piggy back on you thread to point out the two lineups that Keuchel faced were not as good as the lineup that he will be facing tonight and in the 15-1 blowout a lot of NYY players only played half the game.

Do your thing bro.....Line ups are not out yet though....I been looking.

Good luck!
 

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Yeah, I'm waiting for them too. I think a lot of people are putting a lot of stock into 16ip 0er and I was wanting to point out some research that proposed an alternate opinion.

I've been enjoying all your threads!
 

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This is the Yankee line up when the Astros won 4-0....Keuchel went 9 innings in this game.


New York Yankees
HittersABRHRBIBBSO#PAVGOBPSLG
Young CF40200113.259.302.469
Headley 3B40000312.255.304.375
Rodriguez DH40100316.289.390.533
Teixeira 1B30001114.255.367.550
Beltrán RF40200016.262.305.441
Pirela LF40000110.236.263.345
Murphy C3010007.258.301.348
Drew SS3000018.187.255.384
Petit 2B30000220.184.238.263
Totals32060112116

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This is the game when he pitched in Yankee stadium and 15-1.....He went 7 innings in this game.



HittersABRHRBIBBSO#PAVGOBPSLG
Ellsbury CF41200016.278.339.375
Young LF-RF30000121.247.308.461
Rodriguez DH30000112.257.364.493
Gardner LF
1000003.275.363.424
Teixeira 1B2000019.256.358.550
Bird 1B
2001016.237.275.421
Beltrán RF2010005.273.332.477
Drew 2B
2000029.198.268.380
Headley 3B30000210.271.329.386
Murphy C30100212.273.305.372
Gregorius SS3000019.251.299.333
Ryan 2B-RF-P3000019.226.273.355
Totals31141012121

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This is his pitching line in that game above.

Keuchel
(W, 15-6)
7.030009088-632.28

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