pre-season dogs

gak555 · Mar 4, 2004

Been thinking of blindly wagering a small amount on every pre-season dog of +110 or higher.

The rationale is with all the lineup experiments, new player evaluations, not letting top pitchers go too long and the fact that many experienced players(e.g. Bonds) just go through the motions until the regular season starts.

Thinking there might be a value edge taking the dogs.

Any feedback ?

postaldoug · Mar 5, 2004

I did the same thing, taking 4 dogs between +111 - +129, for chump change, like .16 units per.

I start slow, it's a long season.

I caught the Marlins for a huge payday last season on a future (my only future ), but did hedge a lot of it away, still a respectable mid 5 figure net result.

Doug

Fishhead · Mar 5, 2004

I tracked this last year, and through the March 20th games one would have been down 13 or so NET units betting one unit per game on dogs of +105 or higher.

Proceed with caution!

SportSavant · Mar 5, 2004

ha, ha, fish & I spoke about it the other day,

fwiw, The Dogs were

7 Wins

3 Losses on Day 1.....

Lets keep Tracking them here.

YTD 7-3

Fishhead · Mar 5, 2004

Thats a good start!!!

Maybe they will make up for last year!!

I definetly like the theory........especially in the first 15 days of camp when there are 55 guys on each team and the starting pitchers go no more than 2 innings and the regulars get only one at-bat.

But like I mentioned......a BIG LOSER last year with this theory.

Sodium Pentethol V · Mar 5, 2004

I am guessing this angle is pretty much done. For years you could take anything
+150 or higher. Now there are never any +150's or higher, pretty much sums up this angle these days.