Powerz - Super Bowl Thread

[powerz]

Well here we are the Ultimate game - and wow what a match up.....

The Number 2 scoring offense 33.8 pts / game Vs the number 1 scoring defense 15.4 pts / game...Pretty Low # for NE defense but they played some anemic offenses throughout the year & especially after their bye

The Number 4 offense 27.6 pts / game VS the number 27 scoring defense 25.4 pts / game.....They ATL defense got better in the second half which is true...but they only played one PO team down the stretch.....

ATLANTA is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 37.6, OPPONENT 26.5


Atlanta has had 2 games lined over 58.5 and both games soared over.....This game should be lined around 51....the fact that they set it at 58.5 tells me all I need to know.....
Over, Over Over....Already played Over 58.5 +102 for $300....I will be live betting the over through out the first half as we may get a slow start and then some second half fire works......

I will be back through out the week with some additional thoughts and prop bets but wanted to get this out there for now....

Feel free to comment

Powerz

 

[METFAN]

GOOD LUCK..Looking forward to your updates

 

[powerz]

Thanks Met Fan.....

I have added a few more bets today, I am really warming up to ATLANTA

I think they jump out to an early 1st half lead and then bring it home. If that happens it will be because Matt Ryan has a solid game.
The Pats will make a push in the second half and as a result the games goes over.

Falcons FH TT O13.5 -124 Risk $248

Few PROPS
Matt Ryan U38.5 pass attempts -119 Risk 119 ..... only twice this year did he throw more than 39 passes & I think their offense controls the game and runs the ball late
Matt Ryan MVP +170 Risk $100 - If Atl wins it will be b/c of Ryan he has too many weapons on the Offensive side of the ball for anyone of them to get the prize in a high scoring game nobody on defense will win & +170 is better odds than the Current ML on ATL to win SU

 

[powerz]

If this game plays out the way I think The Falcons play action and screen plays will be factor....

Devonta Freeman Props;

Longest Reception O14.5 -103 Risk $51.5 / $50
Receiving yards O33.5 -125 Risk $62.5 / $50
to score a TD - YES - -132 Risk $132 / $100

Falcons players with a Rush O3.5 -113 Risk $56.5 / $50
Falcons players to score points O3.5 -155 Risk $155/ $100

 

[powerz]

GAME DAY UPDATE.....

A) don't be fooled by the line dropping on the TTL on game day....Public backing the under ? Public can't pick an under.

B) 3 hours to go Line is -3 -155 NE - Chart Reads 8-3-5 Home teams 9-1-3 Away teams = 18-8 SU

C) Matt Ryan MVP props up to +210 Bad sign for the falcons....


Back in a bit with a Side play

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

can you break down this further "Chart Reads 8-3-5 Home teams 9-1-3 Away teams = 18-8 SU" as I can't figure out what you mean by that and who counts for home or away....

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

heavy $ coming on ATL

 

[powerz]

HEY SBD - AS there is no H/A advantage....I posted the ML read record for the fav -3 both home and away...

8-3-5 is Fav Covers - Fav wins no cover - Dog wins ....

If you add both records to together 8-3-5 & 9-1-3,,,,you get Fav wins SU 21-8 ...sorry my math was off

The line read is -3 -155 at Key book Will post my side at 3:15 but I think you know where I lean now

 

[seer]

gl

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

appreciate u taking the time to explain. Interesting your lean went over the top

 

[powerz]

Thanks Seer

PATS ML - 139 $695 to win $500 ....


Yes to OT +961 Risk $100
Yes for the game winner to win by 3 +405 Risk $50

 

[powerz]

RECAP:

Over 58.5 +102 for $300

Falcons FH TT O13.5 -124 Risk $248
Matt Ryan U38.5 pass attempts -119 Risk 119
Matt Ryan MVP +170 Risk $100

Devonta Freeman Props;
Longest Reception O14.5 -103 Risk $51.5 / $50
Receiving yards O33.5 -125 Risk $62.5 / $50
to score a TD - YES - -132 Risk $132 / $100

Falcons players with a Rush O3.5 -113 Risk $56.5 / $50
Falcons players to score points O3.5 -155 Risk $155/ $100


Yes to OT +961 Risk $100
Yes for the game winner to win by 3 +405 Risk $50


PATS ML - 139 $695 to win $500 ....

GL guys enjoy the game!

 

[powerz]

Live bet over 52.5 -130 to win $300

 

[powerz]

I still think the game goes over 58.5

 

[powerz]

Pats +14.5 -108 to win $500

 

[powerz]

Pats -4.5 2nd half -108 to win 500


get get your popcorn ready

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Great call you fucking nailed it. Wow

 

[powerz]

Thanks Mob just grabbed a bottom off the top shelf ......:dbanana0-9

 

[United]

Very nice.

 

[powerz]

Haha bottle drinking the best bourbon tonight