Winning Points
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
U.A.B.* over South Florida by 13 (Wednesday)
Blazer defense gets its first chance to take out some frustrations since that ridiculous
collapse vs. Tulane, and the struggling Bulls might be just what the doctor
ordered for that unit to regain some confidence. U.A.B. 3
Louisville over Memphis* by 14 (Thursday)
Cardinals have a revenge motive after being crushed 37-7 last year, and can exploit
a weak Tiger pass defense that allows 8.6 per attempt, and sports an awful ratio of
17 touchdown passes allowed vs. only five interceptions. LOUISVILLE 37-23.
****BEST BET
VIRGINIA* over MARYLAND by 31
We have to give a tremendous amount of credit to Ralph Friedgan for choreographing
that Terrapin upset of Florida State last week, using just about every trick
that he had in his playbook to get his limited offensive talent to get enough on the
scoreboard for the win. But having used up those tricks, and an awful lot of emotion,
Maryland comes crashing back to earth here against a team that wants to beat
them in the worst way. Even in Saturday’s win the Terrapins were once again unable
to get anything on the ground, and in their last four A.C.C. games have managed
a combined total of 211 yards overland, which is below what their per-game averages
have been in past seasons. Without a ground game Joel Stratham has been harried
all season, and while he did put up solid numbers vs. Florida State, he did not
have to play from behind in that one. That will not be the case this week. The
Cavaliers will be hungry to get revenge after LY’s 27-17 loss at College Park, and
will bring a lot of physical energy to go with that focus, coming off of a bye that
was only preceded by a walkover vs. Duke. Al Groh’s squad is also the ideal type to
use in this setting because of that tremendous offensive execution that has only
seen them turn the ball over four times all season. By taking care of the ball it
means nothing easy for the Terrapins here, and if they are not being handed points
we are not sure that they are going to get many (any?) at all. In this matchup, the
backdoor is closed shut and locked. VIRGINIA 38-7.
***BEST BET
U.N.L.V.* over WYOMING by 19
John Robinson’s years alongside the Las Vegas strip have largely been a mixed bag –
he was able to bring in some talented transfers as quick fixes to earn a bowl victory,
but was not able to recruit the kind of four year players from southern California
that the administration had hoped for, and the program went stagnant. But that
does not take away from the dignity that Robinson established at the top, and in his
final home game we can expect a very special effort here. No one knew before the
season that this would be his last appearance at Sam Boyd Stadium but thee schedule
maker certainly set it up well for a positive bow, with the Rebels coming off of
a needed bye week to repair some wounded bodies. It has been injuries more than
anything else that has derailed this year’s squad, but now they will be as healthy as
they have been since their opener, and that means a chance to physically dominate
this at the line of scrimmage. They showed some of that potential in their last game
against Utah, when they crunched the Ute defensive interior to the tune of 311
yards rushing, something that we saw but scoreboard-only watchers would have
missed. A healthy Dominique Dorsey will find plenty of room here vs. a soft
Cowboy defensive interior that allowed both B.Y.U. and Colorado State to post
their best rushing totals of the season. Those two games just happened to be the
only conference road games for Wyoming, and the offense does not travel well
either, scoring just 20 points in 12 road quarters this season. U.N.L.V. 31-12.
**PREFERRED
Iowa* over Purdue by 17
The Boilermakers are having a difficult time finding a secondary motivation for
this season, and now that they have lost three straight games by three points or less
it becomes even harder to find enthusiasm. At least they are not going to suffer
another close loss this week; this time it is a likely rout. The Hawkeyes have hammered
Michigan State by 22 and Ohio State by 26 in their first two conference
home games, and while Purdue has seen its big dreams come to a crashing halt,
Kirk Ferentz will have his crew at a fever pitch - if they win the next two weeks
they close the regular season with a game right here in Iowa City vs. Wisconsin that
could be for all of the Big 10 marbles. They are doing all of it while short-handed
at RB, but with Drew Tate consistently getting it done through the air and this
rock-ribbed defense dominating the opposition (allowed two touchdowns in the
last three games), they can keep the roll going here. IOWA 30-13.
Vanderbilt* over Florida by 1
As is so often the case, Ron Zook’s Gators played with some special emotion in the
first game after his firing was announced, although in truth they were likely to
bring their “A” effort anyway. This is where things begin to come apart from an
emotional standpoint. Now in their third straight game away from The Swamp
they find themselves with little left to play for, except perhaps a minor bowl bid
that they might turn down anyway, and even with a good effort this one was not
going to be easy anyway. A defense that lacks muscle and depth has allowed four
of six S.E.C. opponents to top 400 yards (Arkansas just missed that plateau with
386), and they have particularly struggled to make stops in the fourth quarter.
That opens the back door for the hard-trying Commodores to be able to sneak
back inside the number if the need arises, but we expect them to be able to compete
for the outright win from the opening kickoff here. VANDERBILT 29-28.
Central Florida* over Ohio by 8
George O’Leary did not count on being 0-8 at this point in his return to head
coaching, but the focus has been more on laying a foundation for the future than
any stopgap measures to stem the current bleeding. Still his Golden Knights were
good enough to take Northern Illinois and Akron both to the gun here in their
only M.A.C. home games, before coming up a little bit short each time, and now
the setting is just right for that break-through win. Ohio was dealt a rare schedule
of 11 straight games without a bye, and as they step into #10 fatigue has already
become a major factor. The Bobcats played their worst game of the season last
Saturday, and a defense that showed life early in the season has allowed averages of
38 points and 400 yards the last three games. Now the warm Florida sun only
makes those tired bodies wear down even more, and off of four straight losses the
spirit is not there to fight through it. CENTRAL FLORIDA 24-16.
Louisiana Tech over Hawaii* by 6
Our pointspread value for this one will be diminished by that Hawaii collapse at
Boise, but all that does is move the play down from the top of the page, as these
matchups are simply too good to pass up. That depleted Rainbow defensive front
has led to repeated overland gashings, with Boise State and Rice topping 400 rushing
yards and anemic San Jose State going for over 300 on this very field, and that
means a chance for Ryan Moats to perhaps aim for some conference records. He
scampered for 264 yards and four TD”s in a 44-41 home loss to Hawaii LY, and
off of a bye week his ankle will be fresh and ready to go, as will be the entire OL.
Meanwhile that added prep time also helps the defense to put together a better
game plan this time around, and with the solid improvements of that unit overall
they are more than up to the task. After playing road games at Miami, Tennessee
and Auburn, a trip to the islands is a warm breeze. LOUISIANA TECH 37-31
Toledo over Miami O.* by 3 (Tuesday)
Now that the Rocket defense has settled down as some young starters gain the necessary
experience, we will favor the steadier QB direction of Bruce Gradkowski to
pull this one out. TOLEDO 27-24.
Marshall over Akron* by 5 (Friday)
Extra week of prep for the Zips can be an added factor when the visitor comes off
of a short week, and that pedestrian Marshall offense produced only 279 yards at
Ohio and 239 at Kent in two conference road trips so far. MARSHALL 24-19.
North Texas over UL-Lafayette* by 4 (Friday)
Cajuns might not have the defense to end that 22 game Sun Belt win streak by the
visitors, but Jerry Babb can make it interesting against the weakest Mean Green
defense in years. NORTH TEXAS 31-27.
Boston College* over Rutgers by 14
Look for a week off to have the Eagle RB’s healthy again, while the Scarlet Knight
defense is allowing 42 points per game on the road. BOSTON COLLEGE 34-20.
Florida State* over Duke by 26
Ordinarily would fear the Seminoles to play with a lot of anger off of Saturday’s
defeat, but the bottom line is that the offense just does not have the explosiveness
to put up a big time rout. FLORIDA STATE 35-9.
Wisconsin* over Minnesota by 11
Golden Gopher defense is allowing a horrific 36 points per game on the Big 10
road this season and has been absolutely gashed in the trenches. Not exactly what
you want on your resume when heading to Madison. WISCONSIN 33-22.
Michigan State* over Ohio State by 1
We have to at least give the Spartans a lean against a Buckeye defense that allowed
444 yards at Northwestern and 448 at Iowa on the Big 10 road, and now faces a
much more balanced attack. MICHIGAN STATE 21-20.
Illinois* over Indiana by 6
With his job on the line, Ron Turner absolutely has to have this one, and even
winning here will probably not be enough. But the Hoosiers are allowing 6.6 per
rush on the road, so they will do their best to oblige. ILLINOIS 34-28.
CF *CLOSE CALLS
8
Penn State* over Northwestern by 7
Not sure if Michael Robinson or Zack Mills gets the start at QB here, but for once
the Lions can at least win the line of scrimmage and move the chains by keeping
the ball on the ground. PENN STATE 23-16.
Miami-Fla.* over Clemson by 18
A chance to vent some frustrations for the Hurricanes, in only their second home
game in six weeks, but what started the season as a dominating defensive unit is
now a vulnerable group that opponents are attacking aggressively. MIAMI 34-16.
Missouri* over Kansas State by 7
Tiger ground game came to a halt at Nebraska without Damien Nash, so his possible
re-instatement from that suspension becomes the most essential piece of
information for this handicap. This margin has him “in”. MISSOURI 27-20.
West Virginia* over Temple by 24
These Owls have gone 3-0 ATS so far in league play in their final Big East season.
Walter Washington can back-door this against a Mountaineer that has a bigger
home game on deck vs. Boston College. WEST VIRGINIA 38-14.
Georgia over Kentucky* by 21
Bulldogs are caught in a sandwich between Florida and Auburn, but absolutely no
way to make a meaningful call on the Wildcats right now. Too much water already
aboard this sinking ship for Rich Brooks to be able to bail out. GEORGIA 34-13.
Air Force over Army* by 1
After having one or zero turnovers in five of their first six games, naturally the
Cadets became butter fingers when we put them at the top of the page. They were
0-6 in turnovers in LY’s 31-3 loss to the Falcons at Colorado Springs, so Bobby
Ross knows exactly what must be corrected this week. AIR FORCE 27-26.
Syracuse* over Pittsburgh by 1
Orange may be 2-0 SU and ATS in the Carrier Dome in Big East play, but in doing
so they allowed 61 points, 63 first downs and 1,056 yards vs. Rutgers and
Connecticut. SYRACUSE 28-27.
Virginia Tech over North Carolina* by 11
John Bunting has done wonders for his job security by pulling off the upsets of
N.C. State and Miami. But back-to-back is asking too much for a squad that lacks
quality depth. VIRGINIA TECH 31-20.
Kent State over Buffalo* by 9
Joshua Cribbs is simply too athletic for the slow Bull defense to keep in check.
KENT STATE 30-21.
Nebraska over Iowa State* by 4
Cornhuskers have been out-scored by 84 points in their first two Big 12 road
games, and the confidence of QB Joe Dailey to lead them is a major issue, off of
an awful 7-30 for 142 yards the last two games. NEBRASKA 20-16.
Kansas* over Colorado by 1
The physical (326-3 rushing) and psychological (31-7 on the scoreboard) beating
these Buffaloes suffered vs. Texas last week may be difficult to recover from. But at
least they can play this even in the trenches vs. a Jayhawk team that can not run
the football. KANSAS 24-23.
Texas Tech* over Baylor by 28
Bears are more than entitled to celebrate that upset of Texas A&M, because there
just are not enough athletes on defense to match up here – they allowed 62 points
and 580 passing yards at home to the Red Raiders LY, with nary an interception in
64 passing attempts. TEXAS TECH 56-28.
Utah* over Colorado State by 24
Only the second road game for the Rams in seven weeks, does not bode well at all
against a Ute squad that smells BCS. UTAH 38-14.
Brigham Young* over San Diego State by 11
Aztecs have only managed 19 points and 509 yards in two conference road trips
this season, and it does not get any better against a fresh Cougar defense that had
last week off, and is hungry for a win to secure a bowl spot. B.Y.U. 27-16.
Fresno State over Rice* by 2
Bulldogs had all sorts of tactical problems vs. the Owl option last year, allowing
384 rushing yards and barely escaping 31-28 at home as -21. No guarantee that it
gets any easier on the road. FRESNO STATE 30-28.
Tulsa over S.M.U.* by 13
Golden Hurricanes showed a lot of heart vs. Rice, in a situation in which a team
off of two excruciating defeats, could have laid down. That speaks volumes as to
how much is left in the tank. S.M.U. began the season on empty. TULSA 30-17.
Southern Miss* over Cincinnati by 9
Golden Eagles get Dustin Almond back at QB off of their bye week, and while he
bears no resemblance to Brett Favre, the passing game struggling mightily without
him. SOUTHERN MISS 26-17.
Oklahoma over Texas A&M* by 11
The very fact that they could not take care of business vs. Baylor last week, means
that these Aggies might not have the emotional stability to handle one of the more
prominent revenge motives of this college season. OKLAHOMA 31-20.
N. C. State* over Georgia Tech by 10
Wolfpack have managed to lose four games in which they led their opponents in
first downs and total offense, which must be near a record. That is why a legitimate
Top 20 team sits at 4-4 and has a sense of desperation. N. C. STATE 27-17.
Tennessee* over Notre Dame by 7
We lost a BEST BET against these Vols despite South Carolina out-gaining them
30-14 in first downs and 567-412 in total offense. Fighting Irish have not played
a true road game since September 18th, and a defense that was making plays early
has only come up with two takeaways in the last four games. TENNESSEE 27-20.
Alabama* over Mississippi State by 15
Bulldogs are playing hard and having fun under Sylvester Croom, and the Crimson
Tide are so depleted at the skill positions that this one stays interesting for a long
time. ALABAMA 27-12.
Washington* over Arizona by 2
Possibly the last real chance for Keith Gilbertson to win a game, although whether
that translates to anything special for his players may be another matter entirely.
WASHINGTON 19-17.
California* over Oregon by 21
Ducks have been able to grind away at the bottom of the Pac 10, but lack the playmakers
to compete with the upper echelon. This echelon is extremely upper. CALIFORNIA
34-13.
U.C.L.A.* over Washington State by 10
The talent gap is not as wide as this line would indicate, but the current energy
level of the two teams mandates it. Not many members of the Cougar roster have
ever been in this position in November. U.C.L.A. 27-17.
Southern Cal over Oregon State* by 18
Beavers have no chance to run against this defense, so once again Derek Anderson
is ripe to be plucked by a defense that got four interceptions against him last year,
returning one for a TD in a 24-point rout. SOUTHERN CAL 31-13.
Bowling Green* over Western Michigan by 29
Falcons have the ability to name the score here, but with a look-ahead to a showdown
with Marshall on deck they could be satisfied with something far short of
the pointspread. BOWLING GREEN 45-16.
Eastern Michigan over Central Michigan by 1 (Detroit)
An interesting battle for local “turf ” between first year coaches Brian Kelly and Jeff
Genyk and two improved teams. EASTERN MICHIGAN 31-30.
Houston* over East Carolina by 13
Now that Anthony Evans is healthy again, note the run/pass ratio for the Cougars
last week, and the way that Art Briles was willing to work the clock with a big lead.
That becomes a factor in this pointspread range. HOUSTON 30-17.
Arizona State* over Stanford by 11
Sun Devils were whipped much worse than the 38-27 final in Palo Alto last year
would indicate, as they trailed 38-13 in the fourth quarter. That means that they
need more than just a win to satisfy their revenge motives, and can get it vs. the
slumping Cardinal offense. ARIZONA STATE 28-17.
South Carolina* over Arkansas by 7
That young Arkansas defense got a break, after allowing over 500 yards to Auburn
and Georgia, but being rested may not be enough against a Gamecock offense that
put up huge numbers in a losing effort last week. SOUTH CAROLINA 30-23.
Navy over Tulane* by 15
Midshipmen have a bye on deck, so no holding back here as they go all out to
impress the bowl scouts. NAVY 35-20.
Texas* over Oklahoma State by 14
It will be very difficult for the Cowboys to get back to the energy level that they
had at home vs. Oklahoma, and considering how bad the line of scrimmage went
in a 55-16 drubbing vs. these Longhorns in Stillwater last year. TEXAS 31-17.
Nevada* over San Jose State by 17
Chris Ault has been around long enough to know how important this one is, since
it clinches at least a .500 season, which is the likely finish with Fresno State and
Boise State remaining on the schedule. NEVADA 34-17.
Troy State* over Florida Atlantic by 8
Trojans managed to get touchdowns on a punt return, interception return and
fumble return against Idaho last week, which should not lead anyone to believe
that the struggling offense has found its way. TROY STATE 24-16.
Idaho* over Arkansas State by 1 (Martin Stadium)
Indians find themselves a long way from home, and with a rare Thursday home
game on television on deck. IDAHO 20-19.
UL-Monroe* over Utah State by 10
Crippled Aggie secondary is suspect to giving up home runs, and the lack of any
semblance of a ground game puts too much pressure on QB Travis Cox. Not an
ideal recipe for road success this late in the season. UL-MONROE 30-20.
New Mexico State* over Middle Tennessee State by 1
Last home game for Tony Samuel? The Aggies are showing some late-season spunk,
perhaps inspired by the aforementioned motivation. NEW MEXICO ST. 31-30.
Northern Illinois* over Toledo by 6 (Tuesday)
The best way to keep Gradkowski off the field is to run the ball and keep the clock
moving. No one does that better than these Huskies. NO. ILLINOIS 34-28.
Louisville* over T.C.U. by 22 (Wednesday)
Horned Frogs will come in as the more rested side, but the defense simply does not
have the personnel to match up to the Cardinals. LOUISVILLE 42-20.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
U.A.B.* over South Florida by 13 (Wednesday)
Blazer defense gets its first chance to take out some frustrations since that ridiculous
collapse vs. Tulane, and the struggling Bulls might be just what the doctor
ordered for that unit to regain some confidence. U.A.B. 3
Louisville over Memphis* by 14 (Thursday)
Cardinals have a revenge motive after being crushed 37-7 last year, and can exploit
a weak Tiger pass defense that allows 8.6 per attempt, and sports an awful ratio of
17 touchdown passes allowed vs. only five interceptions. LOUISVILLE 37-23.
****BEST BET
VIRGINIA* over MARYLAND by 31
We have to give a tremendous amount of credit to Ralph Friedgan for choreographing
that Terrapin upset of Florida State last week, using just about every trick
that he had in his playbook to get his limited offensive talent to get enough on the
scoreboard for the win. But having used up those tricks, and an awful lot of emotion,
Maryland comes crashing back to earth here against a team that wants to beat
them in the worst way. Even in Saturday’s win the Terrapins were once again unable
to get anything on the ground, and in their last four A.C.C. games have managed
a combined total of 211 yards overland, which is below what their per-game averages
have been in past seasons. Without a ground game Joel Stratham has been harried
all season, and while he did put up solid numbers vs. Florida State, he did not
have to play from behind in that one. That will not be the case this week. The
Cavaliers will be hungry to get revenge after LY’s 27-17 loss at College Park, and
will bring a lot of physical energy to go with that focus, coming off of a bye that
was only preceded by a walkover vs. Duke. Al Groh’s squad is also the ideal type to
use in this setting because of that tremendous offensive execution that has only
seen them turn the ball over four times all season. By taking care of the ball it
means nothing easy for the Terrapins here, and if they are not being handed points
we are not sure that they are going to get many (any?) at all. In this matchup, the
backdoor is closed shut and locked. VIRGINIA 38-7.
***BEST BET
U.N.L.V.* over WYOMING by 19
John Robinson’s years alongside the Las Vegas strip have largely been a mixed bag –
he was able to bring in some talented transfers as quick fixes to earn a bowl victory,
but was not able to recruit the kind of four year players from southern California
that the administration had hoped for, and the program went stagnant. But that
does not take away from the dignity that Robinson established at the top, and in his
final home game we can expect a very special effort here. No one knew before the
season that this would be his last appearance at Sam Boyd Stadium but thee schedule
maker certainly set it up well for a positive bow, with the Rebels coming off of
a needed bye week to repair some wounded bodies. It has been injuries more than
anything else that has derailed this year’s squad, but now they will be as healthy as
they have been since their opener, and that means a chance to physically dominate
this at the line of scrimmage. They showed some of that potential in their last game
against Utah, when they crunched the Ute defensive interior to the tune of 311
yards rushing, something that we saw but scoreboard-only watchers would have
missed. A healthy Dominique Dorsey will find plenty of room here vs. a soft
Cowboy defensive interior that allowed both B.Y.U. and Colorado State to post
their best rushing totals of the season. Those two games just happened to be the
only conference road games for Wyoming, and the offense does not travel well
either, scoring just 20 points in 12 road quarters this season. U.N.L.V. 31-12.
**PREFERRED
Iowa* over Purdue by 17
The Boilermakers are having a difficult time finding a secondary motivation for
this season, and now that they have lost three straight games by three points or less
it becomes even harder to find enthusiasm. At least they are not going to suffer
another close loss this week; this time it is a likely rout. The Hawkeyes have hammered
Michigan State by 22 and Ohio State by 26 in their first two conference
home games, and while Purdue has seen its big dreams come to a crashing halt,
Kirk Ferentz will have his crew at a fever pitch - if they win the next two weeks
they close the regular season with a game right here in Iowa City vs. Wisconsin that
could be for all of the Big 10 marbles. They are doing all of it while short-handed
at RB, but with Drew Tate consistently getting it done through the air and this
rock-ribbed defense dominating the opposition (allowed two touchdowns in the
last three games), they can keep the roll going here. IOWA 30-13.
Vanderbilt* over Florida by 1
As is so often the case, Ron Zook’s Gators played with some special emotion in the
first game after his firing was announced, although in truth they were likely to
bring their “A” effort anyway. This is where things begin to come apart from an
emotional standpoint. Now in their third straight game away from The Swamp
they find themselves with little left to play for, except perhaps a minor bowl bid
that they might turn down anyway, and even with a good effort this one was not
going to be easy anyway. A defense that lacks muscle and depth has allowed four
of six S.E.C. opponents to top 400 yards (Arkansas just missed that plateau with
386), and they have particularly struggled to make stops in the fourth quarter.
That opens the back door for the hard-trying Commodores to be able to sneak
back inside the number if the need arises, but we expect them to be able to compete
for the outright win from the opening kickoff here. VANDERBILT 29-28.
Central Florida* over Ohio by 8
George O’Leary did not count on being 0-8 at this point in his return to head
coaching, but the focus has been more on laying a foundation for the future than
any stopgap measures to stem the current bleeding. Still his Golden Knights were
good enough to take Northern Illinois and Akron both to the gun here in their
only M.A.C. home games, before coming up a little bit short each time, and now
the setting is just right for that break-through win. Ohio was dealt a rare schedule
of 11 straight games without a bye, and as they step into #10 fatigue has already
become a major factor. The Bobcats played their worst game of the season last
Saturday, and a defense that showed life early in the season has allowed averages of
38 points and 400 yards the last three games. Now the warm Florida sun only
makes those tired bodies wear down even more, and off of four straight losses the
spirit is not there to fight through it. CENTRAL FLORIDA 24-16.
Louisiana Tech over Hawaii* by 6
Our pointspread value for this one will be diminished by that Hawaii collapse at
Boise, but all that does is move the play down from the top of the page, as these
matchups are simply too good to pass up. That depleted Rainbow defensive front
has led to repeated overland gashings, with Boise State and Rice topping 400 rushing
yards and anemic San Jose State going for over 300 on this very field, and that
means a chance for Ryan Moats to perhaps aim for some conference records. He
scampered for 264 yards and four TD”s in a 44-41 home loss to Hawaii LY, and
off of a bye week his ankle will be fresh and ready to go, as will be the entire OL.
Meanwhile that added prep time also helps the defense to put together a better
game plan this time around, and with the solid improvements of that unit overall
they are more than up to the task. After playing road games at Miami, Tennessee
and Auburn, a trip to the islands is a warm breeze. LOUISIANA TECH 37-31
Toledo over Miami O.* by 3 (Tuesday)
Now that the Rocket defense has settled down as some young starters gain the necessary
experience, we will favor the steadier QB direction of Bruce Gradkowski to
pull this one out. TOLEDO 27-24.
Marshall over Akron* by 5 (Friday)
Extra week of prep for the Zips can be an added factor when the visitor comes off
of a short week, and that pedestrian Marshall offense produced only 279 yards at
Ohio and 239 at Kent in two conference road trips so far. MARSHALL 24-19.
North Texas over UL-Lafayette* by 4 (Friday)
Cajuns might not have the defense to end that 22 game Sun Belt win streak by the
visitors, but Jerry Babb can make it interesting against the weakest Mean Green
defense in years. NORTH TEXAS 31-27.
Boston College* over Rutgers by 14
Look for a week off to have the Eagle RB’s healthy again, while the Scarlet Knight
defense is allowing 42 points per game on the road. BOSTON COLLEGE 34-20.
Florida State* over Duke by 26
Ordinarily would fear the Seminoles to play with a lot of anger off of Saturday’s
defeat, but the bottom line is that the offense just does not have the explosiveness
to put up a big time rout. FLORIDA STATE 35-9.
Wisconsin* over Minnesota by 11
Golden Gopher defense is allowing a horrific 36 points per game on the Big 10
road this season and has been absolutely gashed in the trenches. Not exactly what
you want on your resume when heading to Madison. WISCONSIN 33-22.
Michigan State* over Ohio State by 1
We have to at least give the Spartans a lean against a Buckeye defense that allowed
444 yards at Northwestern and 448 at Iowa on the Big 10 road, and now faces a
much more balanced attack. MICHIGAN STATE 21-20.
Illinois* over Indiana by 6
With his job on the line, Ron Turner absolutely has to have this one, and even
winning here will probably not be enough. But the Hoosiers are allowing 6.6 per
rush on the road, so they will do their best to oblige. ILLINOIS 34-28.
CF *CLOSE CALLS
8
Penn State* over Northwestern by 7
Not sure if Michael Robinson or Zack Mills gets the start at QB here, but for once
the Lions can at least win the line of scrimmage and move the chains by keeping
the ball on the ground. PENN STATE 23-16.
Miami-Fla.* over Clemson by 18
A chance to vent some frustrations for the Hurricanes, in only their second home
game in six weeks, but what started the season as a dominating defensive unit is
now a vulnerable group that opponents are attacking aggressively. MIAMI 34-16.
Missouri* over Kansas State by 7
Tiger ground game came to a halt at Nebraska without Damien Nash, so his possible
re-instatement from that suspension becomes the most essential piece of
information for this handicap. This margin has him “in”. MISSOURI 27-20.
West Virginia* over Temple by 24
These Owls have gone 3-0 ATS so far in league play in their final Big East season.
Walter Washington can back-door this against a Mountaineer that has a bigger
home game on deck vs. Boston College. WEST VIRGINIA 38-14.
Georgia over Kentucky* by 21
Bulldogs are caught in a sandwich between Florida and Auburn, but absolutely no
way to make a meaningful call on the Wildcats right now. Too much water already
aboard this sinking ship for Rich Brooks to be able to bail out. GEORGIA 34-13.
Air Force over Army* by 1
After having one or zero turnovers in five of their first six games, naturally the
Cadets became butter fingers when we put them at the top of the page. They were
0-6 in turnovers in LY’s 31-3 loss to the Falcons at Colorado Springs, so Bobby
Ross knows exactly what must be corrected this week. AIR FORCE 27-26.
Syracuse* over Pittsburgh by 1
Orange may be 2-0 SU and ATS in the Carrier Dome in Big East play, but in doing
so they allowed 61 points, 63 first downs and 1,056 yards vs. Rutgers and
Connecticut. SYRACUSE 28-27.
Virginia Tech over North Carolina* by 11
John Bunting has done wonders for his job security by pulling off the upsets of
N.C. State and Miami. But back-to-back is asking too much for a squad that lacks
quality depth. VIRGINIA TECH 31-20.
Kent State over Buffalo* by 9
Joshua Cribbs is simply too athletic for the slow Bull defense to keep in check.
KENT STATE 30-21.
Nebraska over Iowa State* by 4
Cornhuskers have been out-scored by 84 points in their first two Big 12 road
games, and the confidence of QB Joe Dailey to lead them is a major issue, off of
an awful 7-30 for 142 yards the last two games. NEBRASKA 20-16.
Kansas* over Colorado by 1
The physical (326-3 rushing) and psychological (31-7 on the scoreboard) beating
these Buffaloes suffered vs. Texas last week may be difficult to recover from. But at
least they can play this even in the trenches vs. a Jayhawk team that can not run
the football. KANSAS 24-23.
Texas Tech* over Baylor by 28
Bears are more than entitled to celebrate that upset of Texas A&M, because there
just are not enough athletes on defense to match up here – they allowed 62 points
and 580 passing yards at home to the Red Raiders LY, with nary an interception in
64 passing attempts. TEXAS TECH 56-28.
Utah* over Colorado State by 24
Only the second road game for the Rams in seven weeks, does not bode well at all
against a Ute squad that smells BCS. UTAH 38-14.
Brigham Young* over San Diego State by 11
Aztecs have only managed 19 points and 509 yards in two conference road trips
this season, and it does not get any better against a fresh Cougar defense that had
last week off, and is hungry for a win to secure a bowl spot. B.Y.U. 27-16.
Fresno State over Rice* by 2
Bulldogs had all sorts of tactical problems vs. the Owl option last year, allowing
384 rushing yards and barely escaping 31-28 at home as -21. No guarantee that it
gets any easier on the road. FRESNO STATE 30-28.
Tulsa over S.M.U.* by 13
Golden Hurricanes showed a lot of heart vs. Rice, in a situation in which a team
off of two excruciating defeats, could have laid down. That speaks volumes as to
how much is left in the tank. S.M.U. began the season on empty. TULSA 30-17.
Southern Miss* over Cincinnati by 9
Golden Eagles get Dustin Almond back at QB off of their bye week, and while he
bears no resemblance to Brett Favre, the passing game struggling mightily without
him. SOUTHERN MISS 26-17.
Oklahoma over Texas A&M* by 11
The very fact that they could not take care of business vs. Baylor last week, means
that these Aggies might not have the emotional stability to handle one of the more
prominent revenge motives of this college season. OKLAHOMA 31-20.
N. C. State* over Georgia Tech by 10
Wolfpack have managed to lose four games in which they led their opponents in
first downs and total offense, which must be near a record. That is why a legitimate
Top 20 team sits at 4-4 and has a sense of desperation. N. C. STATE 27-17.
Tennessee* over Notre Dame by 7
We lost a BEST BET against these Vols despite South Carolina out-gaining them
30-14 in first downs and 567-412 in total offense. Fighting Irish have not played
a true road game since September 18th, and a defense that was making plays early
has only come up with two takeaways in the last four games. TENNESSEE 27-20.
Alabama* over Mississippi State by 15
Bulldogs are playing hard and having fun under Sylvester Croom, and the Crimson
Tide are so depleted at the skill positions that this one stays interesting for a long
time. ALABAMA 27-12.
Washington* over Arizona by 2
Possibly the last real chance for Keith Gilbertson to win a game, although whether
that translates to anything special for his players may be another matter entirely.
WASHINGTON 19-17.
California* over Oregon by 21
Ducks have been able to grind away at the bottom of the Pac 10, but lack the playmakers
to compete with the upper echelon. This echelon is extremely upper. CALIFORNIA
34-13.
U.C.L.A.* over Washington State by 10
The talent gap is not as wide as this line would indicate, but the current energy
level of the two teams mandates it. Not many members of the Cougar roster have
ever been in this position in November. U.C.L.A. 27-17.
Southern Cal over Oregon State* by 18
Beavers have no chance to run against this defense, so once again Derek Anderson
is ripe to be plucked by a defense that got four interceptions against him last year,
returning one for a TD in a 24-point rout. SOUTHERN CAL 31-13.
Bowling Green* over Western Michigan by 29
Falcons have the ability to name the score here, but with a look-ahead to a showdown
with Marshall on deck they could be satisfied with something far short of
the pointspread. BOWLING GREEN 45-16.
Eastern Michigan over Central Michigan by 1 (Detroit)
An interesting battle for local “turf ” between first year coaches Brian Kelly and Jeff
Genyk and two improved teams. EASTERN MICHIGAN 31-30.
Houston* over East Carolina by 13
Now that Anthony Evans is healthy again, note the run/pass ratio for the Cougars
last week, and the way that Art Briles was willing to work the clock with a big lead.
That becomes a factor in this pointspread range. HOUSTON 30-17.
Arizona State* over Stanford by 11
Sun Devils were whipped much worse than the 38-27 final in Palo Alto last year
would indicate, as they trailed 38-13 in the fourth quarter. That means that they
need more than just a win to satisfy their revenge motives, and can get it vs. the
slumping Cardinal offense. ARIZONA STATE 28-17.
South Carolina* over Arkansas by 7
That young Arkansas defense got a break, after allowing over 500 yards to Auburn
and Georgia, but being rested may not be enough against a Gamecock offense that
put up huge numbers in a losing effort last week. SOUTH CAROLINA 30-23.
Navy over Tulane* by 15
Midshipmen have a bye on deck, so no holding back here as they go all out to
impress the bowl scouts. NAVY 35-20.
Texas* over Oklahoma State by 14
It will be very difficult for the Cowboys to get back to the energy level that they
had at home vs. Oklahoma, and considering how bad the line of scrimmage went
in a 55-16 drubbing vs. these Longhorns in Stillwater last year. TEXAS 31-17.
Nevada* over San Jose State by 17
Chris Ault has been around long enough to know how important this one is, since
it clinches at least a .500 season, which is the likely finish with Fresno State and
Boise State remaining on the schedule. NEVADA 34-17.
Troy State* over Florida Atlantic by 8
Trojans managed to get touchdowns on a punt return, interception return and
fumble return against Idaho last week, which should not lead anyone to believe
that the struggling offense has found its way. TROY STATE 24-16.
Idaho* over Arkansas State by 1 (Martin Stadium)
Indians find themselves a long way from home, and with a rare Thursday home
game on television on deck. IDAHO 20-19.
UL-Monroe* over Utah State by 10
Crippled Aggie secondary is suspect to giving up home runs, and the lack of any
semblance of a ground game puts too much pressure on QB Travis Cox. Not an
ideal recipe for road success this late in the season. UL-MONROE 30-20.
New Mexico State* over Middle Tennessee State by 1
Last home game for Tony Samuel? The Aggies are showing some late-season spunk,
perhaps inspired by the aforementioned motivation. NEW MEXICO ST. 31-30.
Northern Illinois* over Toledo by 6 (Tuesday)
The best way to keep Gradkowski off the field is to run the ball and keep the clock
moving. No one does that better than these Huskies. NO. ILLINOIS 34-28.
Louisville* over T.C.U. by 22 (Wednesday)
Horned Frogs will come in as the more rested side, but the defense simply does not
have the personnel to match up to the Cardinals. LOUISVILLE 42-20.
POINTWISE PLAYS
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES 11-06 & 07
TULSA over Southern Methodist RATING: 1
CALIFORNIA over Oregon RATING: 1
HOUSTON over East Carolina RATING: 2
MICHIGAN STATE over Ohio State RATING: 3
NOTRE DAME over Tennessee RATING: 4
TEXAS TECH over Baylor RATING: 4
UCLA over Washington State RATING: 5
ALABAMA over Mississippi State RATING: 5
POINTWISE COLLEGIATE
FOOTBALL PROPHECY
The lower the number, the higher the play. Top rating of 1. Normally two
teams a week rated 1. All choices are listed in order of preference. Key
Releases are teams rated 4 or higher. Teams rated 5 are considered
"Best of the Rest". Teams in capital letters in individual writeups are
home
THURSDAY NIGHT
Louisville 38 - MEMPHIS 20 - (7:30 - ESPN) -- Fully realize that the dog is king
in this series, that the Tigers are averaging 47 pts at home, & that Williams has
topped 100 RYs in 15 of his last 17 games. But there is no bucking this smoking
Card outfit, which is 6-0 ATS, by 13.25 ppg ATS. LeFors is 38-of-48 last 2 gms.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Marshall 22 - AKRON 20 - (7:30 - ESPN2) -- Just 20 pts for the Herd vs CFla's
38 ppg D", with Hill a human 15-of-41. Marshall is 5-0 in MAC play, but has worst
"O" in nation. Zips have gotten 510 RYs from Biggs last 3, & Frye is steady hand.
SATURDAY
BOSTON COLLEGE 27 - Rutgers 20 - (12:00) -- Only Syracuse & WVa ran on
Knights, who are only 18 pts from an 18-1 ATS run. Eagles rested, but WVa is
up next. QB Peterson & BC's rush "D" are solid, but still a question overland.
FLORIDA STATE (HC) 49 - Duke 7 - (12:00) -- 'Noles have dropped to 13th in
both polls, & deservedly so. Only 94 RYpg last 2, with Washington's shoulder
injury key. But covered their last HG by 30, & altho the Imps are in off 423-400
yd edge at Wake, not the opportune time to be catching the Sems. In a romp.
WISCONSIN 37 - Minnesota 17 - (12:00) -- Bye week was perfect timing for the
Badgers, with "D" line hurting. Were mauled overland at Minny LY, but Gophs
are epitome of home/road dichotomy, losing their last 2 travelers by 42½ & 26½
pts ATS, & in off 238-169 RY deficit vs impotent Indiana rush game. Revenge!
MICHIGAN STATE 34 - Ohio State 17 - (12:00) -- Spartan psyche is of utmost
concern, after blowing 27-10 lead over hated Mich in final 6½ minutes. Stanton
expected to miss this, but note MSt averaging 287 RYs & 346 PYs last 4 tilts.
No TDs for 98th rated Bucks offense LW, which lost its last RG by 26 pts ATS.
ILLINOIS 27 - Indiana 17 - (12:00) -- Fourteen straight Big10 losses for the Illini,
who are averaging just 68 RYs in 4 of last 5 outings. But note holding Iowa to
2.1 ypr. Should move it vs Indy's 110th ranked defense. This a home series.
PENN STATE 13 - Northwestern 10 - (12:00) -- Lions averaging only 7 pts & 67
RYs in current 5-game slide. Only 1 TD over the past 2 wks. 'Cats pulled the
upset of Purdue, winning in final 0:38, but caught in revenge sandwich. Pass.
IOWA 24 - Purdue 17 - (12:00) -- It has all come crashing down for Boilers, who
have fallen out of Top 25, after ranking 5th just 3 wks back. Seven TOs in three
late losses to Wisc, Mich, & NW, after only 2 in first 5 games. And Orton was
benched at NW. Hawks outscored MichSt & OhioSt by 71-23 as Big10 hosts.
MIAMI-FLORIDA (HC) 38 - Clemson 10 - (12:00) -- Ultimate embarrassment for
'Canes, losing as 3-TD chalks. Have allowed 100 pts & 1,492 yds past 3 gms,
& their running game is now a question. Tigers did it to NCSt, but 6 takeaways
were key, & check only 62 RYpg in their last 4 ACC games. 'Cane bounceback.
MISSOURI 31 - Kansas State 17 - (12:30) -- Tigers have been outscored 44-3,
since taking 17-0 lead over OkieSt. Allowed only 8 FDs LW, but were killed by
the TO & big play in loss to Neb. Overland game suddenly iffy, but Smith will do
his thing vs 'Cat "D" which has allowed >30 pts in 5 of last 7 outings. Tiger call.
WEST VIRGINIA (HC) 44 - Temple 20 - (1:00) -- Mounties dominant overland of
late, with RYs edges of 309-97, 279-66, & 267-87 last 3, but they have little or
no breathing room, ATS. Owls, who have allowed 45, 45, & 45 pts in 3 of last
4 RGs, are rested, off 475 yd effort at UConn. Slightest puppy shade in this.
Georgia 45 - KENTUCKY 10 - (1:00) -- Greene has now tied Payton Manning as
the winningest starting QB ever: 39 victories. 'Dawgs are caught in a Fla/Aub
sandwich here, but they need some competition in order for that to work, & the
'Cats hardly provide any. Check UK's 267-70 RYpg deficit last 4 outings. Ugly.
ARMY 38 - Air Force 34 - (1:00) -- Cadets couldn't handle chalk role, after 3 easy
******. Averaging 240 RYs & 234 PYs past 3, but have nation's worst "D".
Falcs welcome that stat, but allowing 42 ppg last 3, themselves. Entertaining.
SYRACUSE 31 - Pittsburgh 20 - (1:30) -- 'Cuse came from 279-66 RY deficit to
281-121 in a week. Only 17 FDs, along with a 12½ minute disadvantage LW,
but registered 5 sacks vs UConn. Pitt is rested, has ND & WV up next, & was
outstatted in its only 2 easy wins this year (Rutgers & OhioU). A dog series.
Virginia Tech 31 - NORTH CAROLINA 16 - (1:30) -- How about that! Tars rolled
up 30 FDs, along with 545 yds in epic upset of Miami, winning on 42-yd FG as
time ran out. Nothing fluky about it. Hokies trailed GT 20-12 with 5½ left. Won
34-20. Tech's 8th rated "D" should put clamps on elated Heels. Not involved.
Kent State 28 - BUFFALO 21 - (1:30) -- Bulls rested off running for 202 yds vs
Marshall's 14th rated rush "D". Host is on 6-0 ATS run in UB games, but note
that Kent is only 11 pts from an 11-1 ATS run, & QB Cribbs is simply on fire.
ADDED GAMES
North Texas 41 - LAFAYETTE 37 TROY STATE 35 - Fla-Atlantic 30
Arkansas State 27 - IDAHO 21 MONROE 17 - Utah State 13
Middle Tennessee State 33 - NEW MEXICO STATE 30
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES 11-06 & 07
TULSA over Southern Methodist RATING: 1
CALIFORNIA over Oregon RATING: 1
HOUSTON over East Carolina RATING: 2
MICHIGAN STATE over Ohio State RATING: 3
NOTRE DAME over Tennessee RATING: 4
TEXAS TECH over Baylor RATING: 4
UCLA over Washington State RATING: 5
ALABAMA over Mississippi State RATING: 5
POINTWISE COLLEGIATE
FOOTBALL PROPHECY
The lower the number, the higher the play. Top rating of 1. Normally two
teams a week rated 1. All choices are listed in order of preference. Key
Releases are teams rated 4 or higher. Teams rated 5 are considered
"Best of the Rest". Teams in capital letters in individual writeups are
home
THURSDAY NIGHT
Louisville 38 - MEMPHIS 20 - (7:30 - ESPN) -- Fully realize that the dog is king
in this series, that the Tigers are averaging 47 pts at home, & that Williams has
topped 100 RYs in 15 of his last 17 games. But there is no bucking this smoking
Card outfit, which is 6-0 ATS, by 13.25 ppg ATS. LeFors is 38-of-48 last 2 gms.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Marshall 22 - AKRON 20 - (7:30 - ESPN2) -- Just 20 pts for the Herd vs CFla's
38 ppg D", with Hill a human 15-of-41. Marshall is 5-0 in MAC play, but has worst
"O" in nation. Zips have gotten 510 RYs from Biggs last 3, & Frye is steady hand.
SATURDAY
BOSTON COLLEGE 27 - Rutgers 20 - (12:00) -- Only Syracuse & WVa ran on
Knights, who are only 18 pts from an 18-1 ATS run. Eagles rested, but WVa is
up next. QB Peterson & BC's rush "D" are solid, but still a question overland.
FLORIDA STATE (HC) 49 - Duke 7 - (12:00) -- 'Noles have dropped to 13th in
both polls, & deservedly so. Only 94 RYpg last 2, with Washington's shoulder
injury key. But covered their last HG by 30, & altho the Imps are in off 423-400
yd edge at Wake, not the opportune time to be catching the Sems. In a romp.
WISCONSIN 37 - Minnesota 17 - (12:00) -- Bye week was perfect timing for the
Badgers, with "D" line hurting. Were mauled overland at Minny LY, but Gophs
are epitome of home/road dichotomy, losing their last 2 travelers by 42½ & 26½
pts ATS, & in off 238-169 RY deficit vs impotent Indiana rush game. Revenge!
MICHIGAN STATE 34 - Ohio State 17 - (12:00) -- Spartan psyche is of utmost
concern, after blowing 27-10 lead over hated Mich in final 6½ minutes. Stanton
expected to miss this, but note MSt averaging 287 RYs & 346 PYs last 4 tilts.
No TDs for 98th rated Bucks offense LW, which lost its last RG by 26 pts ATS.
ILLINOIS 27 - Indiana 17 - (12:00) -- Fourteen straight Big10 losses for the Illini,
who are averaging just 68 RYs in 4 of last 5 outings. But note holding Iowa to
2.1 ypr. Should move it vs Indy's 110th ranked defense. This a home series.
PENN STATE 13 - Northwestern 10 - (12:00) -- Lions averaging only 7 pts & 67
RYs in current 5-game slide. Only 1 TD over the past 2 wks. 'Cats pulled the
upset of Purdue, winning in final 0:38, but caught in revenge sandwich. Pass.
IOWA 24 - Purdue 17 - (12:00) -- It has all come crashing down for Boilers, who
have fallen out of Top 25, after ranking 5th just 3 wks back. Seven TOs in three
late losses to Wisc, Mich, & NW, after only 2 in first 5 games. And Orton was
benched at NW. Hawks outscored MichSt & OhioSt by 71-23 as Big10 hosts.
MIAMI-FLORIDA (HC) 38 - Clemson 10 - (12:00) -- Ultimate embarrassment for
'Canes, losing as 3-TD chalks. Have allowed 100 pts & 1,492 yds past 3 gms,
& their running game is now a question. Tigers did it to NCSt, but 6 takeaways
were key, & check only 62 RYpg in their last 4 ACC games. 'Cane bounceback.
MISSOURI 31 - Kansas State 17 - (12:30) -- Tigers have been outscored 44-3,
since taking 17-0 lead over OkieSt. Allowed only 8 FDs LW, but were killed by
the TO & big play in loss to Neb. Overland game suddenly iffy, but Smith will do
his thing vs 'Cat "D" which has allowed >30 pts in 5 of last 7 outings. Tiger call.
WEST VIRGINIA (HC) 44 - Temple 20 - (1:00) -- Mounties dominant overland of
late, with RYs edges of 309-97, 279-66, & 267-87 last 3, but they have little or
no breathing room, ATS. Owls, who have allowed 45, 45, & 45 pts in 3 of last
4 RGs, are rested, off 475 yd effort at UConn. Slightest puppy shade in this.
Georgia 45 - KENTUCKY 10 - (1:00) -- Greene has now tied Payton Manning as
the winningest starting QB ever: 39 victories. 'Dawgs are caught in a Fla/Aub
sandwich here, but they need some competition in order for that to work, & the
'Cats hardly provide any. Check UK's 267-70 RYpg deficit last 4 outings. Ugly.
ARMY 38 - Air Force 34 - (1:00) -- Cadets couldn't handle chalk role, after 3 easy
******. Averaging 240 RYs & 234 PYs past 3, but have nation's worst "D".
Falcs welcome that stat, but allowing 42 ppg last 3, themselves. Entertaining.
SYRACUSE 31 - Pittsburgh 20 - (1:30) -- 'Cuse came from 279-66 RY deficit to
281-121 in a week. Only 17 FDs, along with a 12½ minute disadvantage LW,
but registered 5 sacks vs UConn. Pitt is rested, has ND & WV up next, & was
outstatted in its only 2 easy wins this year (Rutgers & OhioU). A dog series.
Virginia Tech 31 - NORTH CAROLINA 16 - (1:30) -- How about that! Tars rolled
up 30 FDs, along with 545 yds in epic upset of Miami, winning on 42-yd FG as
time ran out. Nothing fluky about it. Hokies trailed GT 20-12 with 5½ left. Won
34-20. Tech's 8th rated "D" should put clamps on elated Heels. Not involved.
Kent State 28 - BUFFALO 21 - (1:30) -- Bulls rested off running for 202 yds vs
Marshall's 14th rated rush "D". Host is on 6-0 ATS run in UB games, but note
that Kent is only 11 pts from an 11-1 ATS run, & QB Cribbs is simply on fire.
ADDED GAMES
North Texas 41 - LAFAYETTE 37 TROY STATE 35 - Fla-Atlantic 30
Arkansas State 27 - IDAHO 21 MONROE 17 - Utah State 13
Middle Tennessee State 33 - NEW MEXICO STATE 30
POWER SWEEP
COLLEGE SELECTIONS [35-27-1]:
4* Top Play [5-4] UNLV
3* Plays [10-8] UTAH, OREGON
2* Plays [15-11-1] ARIZONA STATE, NOTRE DAME, PENN STATE
Underdog GOW [5-4] IOWA STATE (also, rated a 4*)
Gold Sheet:
College Key Releases:
AKRON (Friday Night)
RICE
UCLA
NEVADA (Tech Play of the Week)
Gold Sheet Extra:
College Tech Plays:
ARMY
TEXAS TECH
SOUTHERN CAL
NEVADA
CKO:
11 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
10 MISSISSIPPI ST.
10 BYU
10 SOUTHERN MISS
10 UTAH
<!-- THE POST -->
COLLEGE SELECTIONS [35-27-1]:
4* Top Play [5-4] UNLV
3* Plays [10-8] UTAH, OREGON
2* Plays [15-11-1] ARIZONA STATE, NOTRE DAME, PENN STATE
Underdog GOW [5-4] IOWA STATE (also, rated a 4*)
Gold Sheet:
College Key Releases:
AKRON (Friday Night)
RICE
UCLA
NEVADA (Tech Play of the Week)
Gold Sheet Extra:
College Tech Plays:
ARMY
TEXAS TECH
SOUTHERN CAL
NEVADA
CKO:
11 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
10 MISSISSIPPI ST.
10 BYU
10 SOUTHERN MISS
10 UTAH
<!-- THE POST -->
from doc sports FREE pick
dunno how much this is worth but here
Free Pick - Take <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1
lace>Memphis</st1lace></st1:City> +13 over <st1:City><st1lace>Louisville</st1lace></st1:City>. (no unit value – opinion only)
The home team gets the call on this Thursday night special. The Tigers are undefeated at home and have some weapons to threaten this high powered Cardinal team. RB DeAngelo Williams is closing in on 1000 yards rushing and thus far has had an outstanding season. <st1:City><st1lace>Memphis</st1lace></st1:City> went into <st1:City><st1lace>Louisville</st1lace></st1:City> last season and came away victorious by a score of 37-7. The oddsmakers have inflated this line based upon the Cardinals performance at <st1:City><st1lace>Miami</st1lace></st1:City>. <st1:City><st1lace>Miami</st1lace></st1:City> is overrated and this game will stay close throughout with a possible upset. Play this homer to the bank.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
dunno how much this is worth but here
Free Pick - Take <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1lace>Memphis</st1lace></st1:City> +13 over <st1:City><st1lace>Louisville</st1lace></st1:City>. (no unit value – opinion only) The home team gets the call on this Thursday night special. The Tigers are undefeated at home and have some weapons to threaten this high powered Cardinal team. RB DeAngelo Williams is closing in on 1000 yards rushing and thus far has had an outstanding season. <st1:City><st1
lace>Memphis</st1lace></st1:City> went into <st1:City><st1lace>Louisville</st1lace></st1:City> last season and came away victorious by a score of 37-7. The oddsmakers have inflated this line based upon the Cardinals performance at <st1:City><st1lace>Miami</st1lace></st1:City>. <st1:City><st1lace>Miami</st1lace></st1:City> is overrated and this game will stay close throughout with a possible upset. Play this homer to the bank.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
Rockys Winner Circle
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]PUBLISHERS PREFERRED PLAY (7-2)
ALABAMA -17 ov Mississippi State
MSU came in nicely for us last week as our SEC GAME OF YEAR, but now the charts and the tables have turned, as this is a big negative spot for the Bulldogs here. While the road team has covered the spot the last 3 meetings, can't help but notice that MSU now a superb (depends on how you look at it) 0-9 ATS on the road lately, and that takes precedence here. MSU also 3-16 ATS as SEC dog, and just can't get it done; in games they lose - MSU 2-30 ATS when they lose outright, against a team off an outright loss. Tide 2-7 ATS last 9 in series, but bounce back off UT going 7-2-1 last 10. MOST IMPORTANT data is that Tide top ranking defense will have no trouble stopping the MSU offense, and thats the ball game. Last season a decimated Alabama team went on the road and beat the stuffings out of MSU 38-0, and this one looks like more of the same. Alabama looking to become bowl eligible (have 5 wins now) just off a bye, and know they have to go and get this one aggressively with games against LSU and Auburn up on deck. Its the battle of the trenches, and the matchups all favor HEAVILY the Crimson Tide. ALABAMA ROLLS 45-10
10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK (5-4)
RICE +7.5 ov Fresno State
while FSU finally got back on track with its blowout win last week over SMU, not that excited about backing them on the road again this week, against perennially tough home dog in Rice. Owls 6-1-1 ATS in November, and goes hand in hand with series home team that is now at 4-1 ATS. Rice also 3-0 ATS this season at home, and that figures to continue here today against a FSU defense that has gone "soft" and no longer intimidates opponents as it did earlier in the season, even though that early stomping of Washington proves nothing, as the Huskies have been a disaster all season long and KSU is going through a down season. FRESNO on 4-12 road favorite streak, and just can't ignore Rice at home now 15-2 as home dogs, and on 10-2 spread run. Season ago Bulldogs won on field goal on last play of the game. Just may end that way again, but believe Rice ground game will dominate. RICE 31-23
10* NEWSLETTER GAME OF THE WEEK (7-2)
ARIZONA STATE -10 ov Stanford
was shocked last week, losing Gophers here against INDIANA of all teams, outright no less....so we go back with a home team this week, with a hungry and effective ASU club that will dominate a young, and still inexperienced and overworked offensive and defensive lines. Stanford 3-8-1 ATS on Pac Ten road and won't find the going easy after ASU blew many opportunities last week against Cal, and will make amends here. Couple bad calls blew probable ASU cover last week in front of a rabid home crowd at Cal - but what has happened to Stanford attack lately? Punchless and thats death in the desert this weekend. ASU 8-2 ATS in first of back to back home games and series host a golden 4-0 ATS lately in this matchup. Sun Devils coach Koetter now 18-3 ATS in outright wins at home, and should get this one easy, as I already mentioned how ASU will completely dominate line of scrimmage here today. Hard to see fortunes turn here as ASU averaging 40 points per game at home, win an average win margin of 22. Cardinals barely over 9 points in 3 of last 4 games, and don't have firepower to swap points here. Last 8 matchups in series have seen double digit victories, and this will be no different. Our UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR comes into this weekend action 22-0 ATS lifetime, our MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF YEAR is 3-0 ATS LIFETIME, and our STEAM GAME OF THE YEAR is on 4 game win streak and now is at 17-1 ATS LIFETIME, and the greater news is that its all part of this weeks late phone service package for just $99. If thats not enough to wet your appetite for winners, then don't forget about our NFL DIVISIONAL game of year on Sunday, plus college POWER PLAYS that have only gone 29-1 ATS in their last 30 appearances on our late phones. A great NOVEMBER TO REMEMBER ($349) is waiting for you in the WINNERS CIRCLE. Get on the phone now and make that call - its never out of style to have a great weekend - start here and now 1-866-299-4270. ARIZONA STATE 44-14
DOG POUND
IOWA STATE +6 ov Nebraska
NEW MEXICO STATE +3 ov Mid Tennessee
KENTUCKY +24 ov Georgia
FLORIDA ATLANTIC +13 ov Troy State
TEXAS A&M +12 ov Oklahoma
NOTRE DAME +7 ov Tennessee
OREGON +22 ov California
[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]PUBLISHERS PREFERRED PLAY (7-2)
ALABAMA -17 ov Mississippi State
MSU came in nicely for us last week as our SEC GAME OF YEAR, but now the charts and the tables have turned, as this is a big negative spot for the Bulldogs here. While the road team has covered the spot the last 3 meetings, can't help but notice that MSU now a superb (depends on how you look at it) 0-9 ATS on the road lately, and that takes precedence here. MSU also 3-16 ATS as SEC dog, and just can't get it done; in games they lose - MSU 2-30 ATS when they lose outright, against a team off an outright loss. Tide 2-7 ATS last 9 in series, but bounce back off UT going 7-2-1 last 10. MOST IMPORTANT data is that Tide top ranking defense will have no trouble stopping the MSU offense, and thats the ball game. Last season a decimated Alabama team went on the road and beat the stuffings out of MSU 38-0, and this one looks like more of the same. Alabama looking to become bowl eligible (have 5 wins now) just off a bye, and know they have to go and get this one aggressively with games against LSU and Auburn up on deck. Its the battle of the trenches, and the matchups all favor HEAVILY the Crimson Tide. ALABAMA ROLLS 45-10
10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK (5-4)
RICE +7.5 ov Fresno State
while FSU finally got back on track with its blowout win last week over SMU, not that excited about backing them on the road again this week, against perennially tough home dog in Rice. Owls 6-1-1 ATS in November, and goes hand in hand with series home team that is now at 4-1 ATS. Rice also 3-0 ATS this season at home, and that figures to continue here today against a FSU defense that has gone "soft" and no longer intimidates opponents as it did earlier in the season, even though that early stomping of Washington proves nothing, as the Huskies have been a disaster all season long and KSU is going through a down season. FRESNO on 4-12 road favorite streak, and just can't ignore Rice at home now 15-2 as home dogs, and on 10-2 spread run. Season ago Bulldogs won on field goal on last play of the game. Just may end that way again, but believe Rice ground game will dominate. RICE 31-23
10* NEWSLETTER GAME OF THE WEEK (7-2)
ARIZONA STATE -10 ov Stanford
was shocked last week, losing Gophers here against INDIANA of all teams, outright no less....so we go back with a home team this week, with a hungry and effective ASU club that will dominate a young, and still inexperienced and overworked offensive and defensive lines. Stanford 3-8-1 ATS on Pac Ten road and won't find the going easy after ASU blew many opportunities last week against Cal, and will make amends here. Couple bad calls blew probable ASU cover last week in front of a rabid home crowd at Cal - but what has happened to Stanford attack lately? Punchless and thats death in the desert this weekend. ASU 8-2 ATS in first of back to back home games and series host a golden 4-0 ATS lately in this matchup. Sun Devils coach Koetter now 18-3 ATS in outright wins at home, and should get this one easy, as I already mentioned how ASU will completely dominate line of scrimmage here today. Hard to see fortunes turn here as ASU averaging 40 points per game at home, win an average win margin of 22. Cardinals barely over 9 points in 3 of last 4 games, and don't have firepower to swap points here. Last 8 matchups in series have seen double digit victories, and this will be no different. Our UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR comes into this weekend action 22-0 ATS lifetime, our MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF YEAR is 3-0 ATS LIFETIME, and our STEAM GAME OF THE YEAR is on 4 game win streak and now is at 17-1 ATS LIFETIME, and the greater news is that its all part of this weeks late phone service package for just $99. If thats not enough to wet your appetite for winners, then don't forget about our NFL DIVISIONAL game of year on Sunday, plus college POWER PLAYS that have only gone 29-1 ATS in their last 30 appearances on our late phones. A great NOVEMBER TO REMEMBER ($349) is waiting for you in the WINNERS CIRCLE. Get on the phone now and make that call - its never out of style to have a great weekend - start here and now 1-866-299-4270. ARIZONA STATE 44-14
DOG POUND
IOWA STATE +6 ov Nebraska
NEW MEXICO STATE +3 ov Mid Tennessee
KENTUCKY +24 ov Georgia
FLORIDA ATLANTIC +13 ov Troy State
TEXAS A&M +12 ov Oklahoma
NOTRE DAME +7 ov Tennessee
OREGON +22 ov California
[/font]
Sports Reporter
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]RECOMMENDED
OHIO STATE over *MICHIGAN STATE by 8
ItÕs not so much the emotional pain of blowing a 17-point lead in the final seven minutes and then losing in triple OT that has us going against Michigan State here. ItÕs more the physical pain of losing QB Drew Stanton to a separated shoulder in the second quarter. That injury will sideline him for this game. After he left the Michigan game, the Spartans produced only one TD and itÕs fair to say that he had been in there to at least manage the game in the fourth quarter, the outcome might have been different. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in games that Stanton has started. So now coach John L. Smith must now turn to either scatter-armed Damon Dowdell, who is more of a runner, or freshman Stephen Reaves, who was a turnover machine in his appearances early this season. Conversely, Ohio State seems to have found something of an answer at QB as Troy Smith has at least done a better job at avoiding game-changing mistakes than the injured and benched Justin Zwick. Ohio State, 27-19.
RECOMMENDED
*WEST VIRGINIA over TEMPLE by 21
The Mountaineers have nothing to gain by going full bore in this game. A loss to Virginia Tech has taken them out of the BCS picture and, with the Owls playing the lame duck in the Big East, Rich Rodriguez will be hard pressed to use this game as a motivational tool. Most likely, the Mountaineers will be thinking about next weekÕs conference showdown with Boston College. The Owls are 13-4 ATS taking double digits the last two plus years because superior teams pay little or no attention to them. That stat complements West VirginiaÕs 3-6 ATS mark at home over the past year plus quite nicely. West Virginia, 34-13.
BEST BET
*ARMY over AIR FORCE by 8
Army hasnÕt beaten Air Force SU since its Independence Bowl season of 1996, but the timing is right for a breakthrough. Air Force has failed to cover three of its last four games this season and coach Fisher DeBerry seems to have lost confidence in freshman QB Shaun Carney, who was pulled last week after producing only six points through three quarters. While FlyboysÕ confidence is at a low point after allowing 559 yards of total offense to wyoming, Army finally has something to feel good about with two straight SU victories before losing last week at East Carolina. Army still rushed for 195 yards at over 6 yards per carry against the Pirates, and certainly wonÕt be physically overmatched here against a fellow academy team. And DeBerry against Bobby Ross isnÕt the coaching mismatch that it was when Todd Berry was patrolling the West Point sidelines. Army, 31-23.
RECOMMENDED
VIRGINIA TECH over *NORTH CAROLINA by 18
Ordinary teams coming off monstrous emotional wins are easy go-against sides. Throw into the mix the fact that the North Carolina Tar Heels likely saved head coach John BuntingÕs job (at least for now) and youÕve got a double whammy when handicapping this ACC game. Hold on: Make it triple whammy based on Virginia TechÕs extra prep time following come-from-behind 34-20 win against Georgia Tech last Thursday night. The Hokies scored a couple of TDs when receivers were ignored on their downfield patterns and QB Bryan Randall (304 yards passing and three scoring strikes) laid it out there for all to see. The Techsters were not sharp in that tilt and still won going away thanks to 25-point fourth quarter and see positive flow of momentum here. Virginia Tech, 34-16.
BEST BET
*UTAH over COLORADO STATE by 37
Which bullet kills Sonny? Will it be the 65% completion rate of Utah QB Alex Smith? His fifth-best national numbers of 9.45 yards per pass attempt and a QB Rating of 170.2? Will it be the Utah running gameÕs penchant for blowing opponents off the ball, at 5.3 yards per pop? Will it be the big-play capabilities of WRs Steve Savoy and Paris Warren, who have caught 13 TD passes combined vs. Colorado StateÕs team total of only nine? CSUÕs 11-year boss Mr. Lubick is no longer the Mountain WestÕs Cappo de tutti capo and UtahÕs second-season cugine, the Urban Legend, is not about to kiss SonnyÕs six conference championship rings before, during or after SonnyÕs first visit to his compound. With a BCS slot still possible, Mr. Meyer may want to put a contract out on LubickÕs Ram family to make a statement to all watching that his team is exponentially better than last seasonÕs last-minute, seven-point winning job in SonnyÕs territory, when LubickÕs triggerman was senior leader Bradlee Van Pelt, not the raw Caleb Hanie. The CSU freshman faces a defensive front twice as tough as the babbos on Wyoming and New Mexico who were being pushed and held around his home field the last two weeks, when CSU was flagged for only three penalties in each of those games (joke!). Utah, 47-10.
BEST BET
*ALABAMA over MISSISSIPPI STATE by 28
ItÕs normally ÒfunÓ handicapping strategy to go with an alumnus against his former team but this is the wrong place and wrong time for Sylvester CroomÕs long-anticipated return to Tuscaloosa. The fact is the boys from ÔBama are fresh off their bye week and in desperate need of a win here (5-3 and looking for some bowl action, with future games against LSU and archrival Auburn). The Alabama ground game has multiple stars at running back these days, and the visiting Bulldogs have neither the size nor strength to deal with bullish Tide O-line. Alabama defense also is a major player, as this stop unit has held last three foes to grand total of 37 points, including a game against high-octane Tennessee Vols. No time to get sentimental here with Croom back in town while going against a guy in Mike Shula who beat him out for this job. ItÕs roll, Tide, roll. Alabama, 45-17.
RECOMMENDED
*CALIFORNIA over OREGON by 12
The Oregon Ducks are among the countryÕs born-again teams and well worth grabbing here plus the points, especially considering the bloated price and the fact that OUÕs covered four games in a row. The Ducks have yet another quarterback who does not get great national ÒpubÓ in Kellen Clemens, and heÕll figure out some ways to zing this Cal defense that did allow 51 points in two prior games before last weekendÕs 38-0 win at Arizona. California may have revenge in mind following 21-17 Duck win in Eugene a year ago but the Golden Bears wonÕt get it without a fight. Nothing that Cal coach Jeff Tedford does is a mystery to Oregon, because he was on Mike BellottiÕs staff there prior to getting the Cal job. The DucksÕ offense was booed on their home field last Saturday night, but the straight-up fans didnÕt understand that they were saving some stuff for this while they were Òshowing upÓ to win Ð and cover Ð against Washington. Take the road underdog. California, 32-20.
RECOMMENDED
*HOUSTON over EAST CAROLINA by 22
The Cougars finally found a team that they could beat last week breaking a four-game losing streak with an easy-as-you-please 24-3 victory over hapless Tulane (1-6 SU, 2-4 ATS) and now they get to see if they can make it two straight against equally inept East Carolina whose lone two victories were vs. Army last week, and whipping boy Tulane. The aerial-minded Coogs (243 YPG, 34th in the country) donÕt figure to close the year with wins at UAB or vs. Louisville, so Art Briles will be taking a season-ending approach against an opponent that ranks 69th (221 YPG) in passing defense. Houston passes early and often. Houston, 43-21.
RECOMMENDED
*ARIZONA STATE over STANFORD by 18
The Sun DevilsÕ defense, which started the year allowing 12.8 PPG in the first five games, has been tattooed for 45, 42 and 27 points against #1 USC, 5-3 UCLA and Top 10 California. They now go up against a Cardinal offense that was productive in September, but has averaged just 12.8 PPG in a downturn that has produced a 1-3 SU and ATS run. ItÕs time for State to get back on track. TheÕ Cats have been dynamite at home (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) averaging 40 PPG, beating the opposition by an average of 22 PPG. State kicks the Cardinal while itÕs down. Arizona State, 31-13.
RECOMMENDED
*LOUISIANA-MONROE over UTAH STATE by 14
Soon-to-be Sun Belt defector Utah State hasnÕt played home since October 9, hasnÕt really found a running game this season, and a car accident involving three players leaving Las Vegas two weeks ago Ñ no, they hadnÕt played in Vegas Ð sidelined one DB starter and became an added distraction to the current mess that is their 0-5 SU stagger towards the finish. The Monrovians went into USUÕs house early last season and were not embarrassed in a 27-13 loss despite a Ð2 TO Ratio and QB Steven Jyles playing with a bad hand. The team was 0-4 SU at the time, en route to 1-9 SU, playing on a much slower track than the zippy one that second-year head coach Choo-Choo Charlie has slotted his Flying Weatherbies into since a mid-season run of 3-1 SU and ATS began. Utah State has nobody to shred the MonroviansÕ run defense like Jamario Thomas of North Texas did last Saturday. UL-Monroe, 28-14.[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]RECOMMENDED
OHIO STATE over *MICHIGAN STATE by 8
ItÕs not so much the emotional pain of blowing a 17-point lead in the final seven minutes and then losing in triple OT that has us going against Michigan State here. ItÕs more the physical pain of losing QB Drew Stanton to a separated shoulder in the second quarter. That injury will sideline him for this game. After he left the Michigan game, the Spartans produced only one TD and itÕs fair to say that he had been in there to at least manage the game in the fourth quarter, the outcome might have been different. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in games that Stanton has started. So now coach John L. Smith must now turn to either scatter-armed Damon Dowdell, who is more of a runner, or freshman Stephen Reaves, who was a turnover machine in his appearances early this season. Conversely, Ohio State seems to have found something of an answer at QB as Troy Smith has at least done a better job at avoiding game-changing mistakes than the injured and benched Justin Zwick. Ohio State, 27-19.
RECOMMENDED
*WEST VIRGINIA over TEMPLE by 21
The Mountaineers have nothing to gain by going full bore in this game. A loss to Virginia Tech has taken them out of the BCS picture and, with the Owls playing the lame duck in the Big East, Rich Rodriguez will be hard pressed to use this game as a motivational tool. Most likely, the Mountaineers will be thinking about next weekÕs conference showdown with Boston College. The Owls are 13-4 ATS taking double digits the last two plus years because superior teams pay little or no attention to them. That stat complements West VirginiaÕs 3-6 ATS mark at home over the past year plus quite nicely. West Virginia, 34-13.
BEST BET
*ARMY over AIR FORCE by 8
Army hasnÕt beaten Air Force SU since its Independence Bowl season of 1996, but the timing is right for a breakthrough. Air Force has failed to cover three of its last four games this season and coach Fisher DeBerry seems to have lost confidence in freshman QB Shaun Carney, who was pulled last week after producing only six points through three quarters. While FlyboysÕ confidence is at a low point after allowing 559 yards of total offense to wyoming, Army finally has something to feel good about with two straight SU victories before losing last week at East Carolina. Army still rushed for 195 yards at over 6 yards per carry against the Pirates, and certainly wonÕt be physically overmatched here against a fellow academy team. And DeBerry against Bobby Ross isnÕt the coaching mismatch that it was when Todd Berry was patrolling the West Point sidelines. Army, 31-23.
RECOMMENDED
VIRGINIA TECH over *NORTH CAROLINA by 18
Ordinary teams coming off monstrous emotional wins are easy go-against sides. Throw into the mix the fact that the North Carolina Tar Heels likely saved head coach John BuntingÕs job (at least for now) and youÕve got a double whammy when handicapping this ACC game. Hold on: Make it triple whammy based on Virginia TechÕs extra prep time following come-from-behind 34-20 win against Georgia Tech last Thursday night. The Hokies scored a couple of TDs when receivers were ignored on their downfield patterns and QB Bryan Randall (304 yards passing and three scoring strikes) laid it out there for all to see. The Techsters were not sharp in that tilt and still won going away thanks to 25-point fourth quarter and see positive flow of momentum here. Virginia Tech, 34-16.
BEST BET
*UTAH over COLORADO STATE by 37
Which bullet kills Sonny? Will it be the 65% completion rate of Utah QB Alex Smith? His fifth-best national numbers of 9.45 yards per pass attempt and a QB Rating of 170.2? Will it be the Utah running gameÕs penchant for blowing opponents off the ball, at 5.3 yards per pop? Will it be the big-play capabilities of WRs Steve Savoy and Paris Warren, who have caught 13 TD passes combined vs. Colorado StateÕs team total of only nine? CSUÕs 11-year boss Mr. Lubick is no longer the Mountain WestÕs Cappo de tutti capo and UtahÕs second-season cugine, the Urban Legend, is not about to kiss SonnyÕs six conference championship rings before, during or after SonnyÕs first visit to his compound. With a BCS slot still possible, Mr. Meyer may want to put a contract out on LubickÕs Ram family to make a statement to all watching that his team is exponentially better than last seasonÕs last-minute, seven-point winning job in SonnyÕs territory, when LubickÕs triggerman was senior leader Bradlee Van Pelt, not the raw Caleb Hanie. The CSU freshman faces a defensive front twice as tough as the babbos on Wyoming and New Mexico who were being pushed and held around his home field the last two weeks, when CSU was flagged for only three penalties in each of those games (joke!). Utah, 47-10.
BEST BET
*ALABAMA over MISSISSIPPI STATE by 28
ItÕs normally ÒfunÓ handicapping strategy to go with an alumnus against his former team but this is the wrong place and wrong time for Sylvester CroomÕs long-anticipated return to Tuscaloosa. The fact is the boys from ÔBama are fresh off their bye week and in desperate need of a win here (5-3 and looking for some bowl action, with future games against LSU and archrival Auburn). The Alabama ground game has multiple stars at running back these days, and the visiting Bulldogs have neither the size nor strength to deal with bullish Tide O-line. Alabama defense also is a major player, as this stop unit has held last three foes to grand total of 37 points, including a game against high-octane Tennessee Vols. No time to get sentimental here with Croom back in town while going against a guy in Mike Shula who beat him out for this job. ItÕs roll, Tide, roll. Alabama, 45-17.
RECOMMENDED
*CALIFORNIA over OREGON by 12
The Oregon Ducks are among the countryÕs born-again teams and well worth grabbing here plus the points, especially considering the bloated price and the fact that OUÕs covered four games in a row. The Ducks have yet another quarterback who does not get great national ÒpubÓ in Kellen Clemens, and heÕll figure out some ways to zing this Cal defense that did allow 51 points in two prior games before last weekendÕs 38-0 win at Arizona. California may have revenge in mind following 21-17 Duck win in Eugene a year ago but the Golden Bears wonÕt get it without a fight. Nothing that Cal coach Jeff Tedford does is a mystery to Oregon, because he was on Mike BellottiÕs staff there prior to getting the Cal job. The DucksÕ offense was booed on their home field last Saturday night, but the straight-up fans didnÕt understand that they were saving some stuff for this while they were Òshowing upÓ to win Ð and cover Ð against Washington. Take the road underdog. California, 32-20.
RECOMMENDED
*HOUSTON over EAST CAROLINA by 22
The Cougars finally found a team that they could beat last week breaking a four-game losing streak with an easy-as-you-please 24-3 victory over hapless Tulane (1-6 SU, 2-4 ATS) and now they get to see if they can make it two straight against equally inept East Carolina whose lone two victories were vs. Army last week, and whipping boy Tulane. The aerial-minded Coogs (243 YPG, 34th in the country) donÕt figure to close the year with wins at UAB or vs. Louisville, so Art Briles will be taking a season-ending approach against an opponent that ranks 69th (221 YPG) in passing defense. Houston passes early and often. Houston, 43-21.
RECOMMENDED
*ARIZONA STATE over STANFORD by 18
The Sun DevilsÕ defense, which started the year allowing 12.8 PPG in the first five games, has been tattooed for 45, 42 and 27 points against #1 USC, 5-3 UCLA and Top 10 California. They now go up against a Cardinal offense that was productive in September, but has averaged just 12.8 PPG in a downturn that has produced a 1-3 SU and ATS run. ItÕs time for State to get back on track. TheÕ Cats have been dynamite at home (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) averaging 40 PPG, beating the opposition by an average of 22 PPG. State kicks the Cardinal while itÕs down. Arizona State, 31-13.
RECOMMENDED
*LOUISIANA-MONROE over UTAH STATE by 14
Soon-to-be Sun Belt defector Utah State hasnÕt played home since October 9, hasnÕt really found a running game this season, and a car accident involving three players leaving Las Vegas two weeks ago Ñ no, they hadnÕt played in Vegas Ð sidelined one DB starter and became an added distraction to the current mess that is their 0-5 SU stagger towards the finish. The Monrovians went into USUÕs house early last season and were not embarrassed in a 27-13 loss despite a Ð2 TO Ratio and QB Steven Jyles playing with a bad hand. The team was 0-4 SU at the time, en route to 1-9 SU, playing on a much slower track than the zippy one that second-year head coach Choo-Choo Charlie has slotted his Flying Weatherbies into since a mid-season run of 3-1 SU and ATS began. Utah State has nobody to shred the MonroviansÕ run defense like Jamario Thomas of North Texas did last Saturday. UL-Monroe, 28-14.[/font]
ALEX SMART--GOY--TEXAS A&M
ATS GOY
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]20* GOY: Oregon
8* Mississippi State, BYU, Temple, UNC[/font]
Jim Fiest
Big 10 GOY Wisconsin
INNER CIRCLE Tilsa, Oklahoma State
ELITE Idaho over
APlay
Big 10 GOY Purdue
Special K
20* Notre Dame
10* Wisconsin
chuck luck
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]cincinnati
ohio
[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Sebastian
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]20* Vandy, Oregon State, Indiana
10*Texas A&M
Regularr: Kentucky, S Miss, UVA,Clemson, SMU[/font]
lenny stevens big 12 goy
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Nebraska[/font]
HSW Early Phoones
6* BYU
GD West
GOW Iowa State
La Tech
New York Steam
GOY Houston
L&M Group
6* Conference GOU Ohio State
Cokin GOY"s, Spreitzer Hoops
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Sun Belt GOY:New Mexico State
Big East GOY: Syracuse
Big 10 GOY: Indiana[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]McGrew's GOY's
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Mountain West: BYU
Big 10: Wisconsin[/font]
[/font]
[/font]
ATS GOY
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]20* GOY: Oregon
8* Mississippi State, BYU, Temple, UNC[/font]
Jim Fiest
Big 10 GOY Wisconsin
INNER CIRCLE Tilsa, Oklahoma State
ELITE Idaho over
APlay
Big 10 GOY Purdue
Special K
20* Notre Dame
10* Wisconsin
chuck luck
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]cincinnati
ohio
[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Sebastian
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]20* Vandy, Oregon State, Indiana
10*Texas A&M
Regularr: Kentucky, S Miss, UVA,Clemson, SMU[/font]
lenny stevens big 12 goy
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Nebraska[/font]
HSW Early Phoones
6* BYU
GD West
GOW Iowa State
La Tech
New York Steam
GOY Houston
L&M Group
6* Conference GOU Ohio State
Cokin GOY"s, Spreitzer Hoops
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Sun Belt GOY:New Mexico State
Big East GOY: Syracuse
Big 10 GOY: Indiana[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]McGrew's GOY's
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Mountain West: BYU
Big 10: Wisconsin[/font]
[/font]
[/font]
