Poly Forum Daily Picks Thread SUNDAY 6/14/2015

[ScottL]

List your Play(s) with the Line, and a brief reason for your prediction.

If you would like, keep a running record of your units +or- and update each thread with yesterday's results and your season to date total.

ALL posters are welcome and encouraged to participate.

Please limit the daily pick threads to picks, game analysis and discussion. If you feel overwhelmed by the need to remind another poster that you are a Bulldozer and he is merely a Styrofoam Cup, or to make a bigoted remark please do so in a different thread!

Good Luck To Us!

 

[JDeuce]

What an utter fucking dumb ass.

Scott specifically asks for picks only to be posted in this thread, and the fat ass Alaskan does exactly what he pretended to be outraged about with about 20 posts in the other thread.

In case you hadn't noticed, nobody wants you here. Hopefully the mods wise up and finally get you the fuck off this forum for good.

 

[Coldweather]

YTD 1 - 0

Sunday. I like the baseball over in the Bos game at 8.5 baseball runs caz the ballpark in short

and both teams can whack it hard and when ya whack it hard it feels good and the baseball

goes far too as in yard. So, I am on the baseball over for those reasons. BOL everyone and hope

Ya win baseball money and be very happy. Enjoy the games!

 

[mountain]

1-0 +200 (Chicago Blackhawks -1/2 1st period $100 to win $200)

$75 to win $70 Golden State -Cleveland under 195 1/2 (107) 5 Dimes reduced juice. Cleveland needs a slower pace and GS's defense steps up. The over will be pounded and the line may go up but I will use this number for grading purposes.

 

[Willie99]

What an utter fucking dumb ass.

Scott specifically asks for picks only to be posted in this thread, and the fat ass Alaskan does exactly what he pretended to be outraged about with about 20 posts in the other thread.

In case you hadn't noticed, nobody wants you here. Hopefully the mods wise up and finally get you the fuck off this forum for good.

ignore him, please ignore him

 

[NFLTrends]

Thought we all agreed to keep it civil and not act like children, I guess it was too much to ask for

 

[NFLTrends]

Kansas city royals vs. St louis cardinals

pick: Over 7 (-110)

 

[wabashwonders]

Churchill Downs Race 8 post time 4:18est

#5 Bird Sense(ML 6-1) WPS

makes 3rd lifetime start and gets Lasix for 1st time after 2 month layoff. Ran 3rd twice at Gulfstream in March. Last start was against older horses and top 2 finishers both came back to win next time out. Been training well at Churchill since May 10th with 6 steady works leading up to this race.

 

[The Guesser]

John Cena vs Kevin Owens - Singles match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		103 John Cena (end of broadcast ruling)		-185
8:00PM		104 Kevin Owens (end of broadcast ruling)		+145
Roman Reigns vs all others - Money in the Bank ladder match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		111 Roman Reigns wins MITB ladder match		-230
8:00PM		112 Field wins MITB ladder match		+170
Seth Rollins vs Dean Ambrose - Ladder match - WWE World Heavyweight Championship
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		133 Seth Rollins (end of broadcast ruling)		-750
8:00PM		134 Dean Ambrose (end of broadcast ruling)		+450
The New Day vs Prime Time Players - WWE Tag Team Championship
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		143 The New Day (end of broadcast ruling)		-310
8:00PM		144 Prime Time Players (end of broadcast)		+230
Ryback vs Big Show - WWE Intercontinental Championship
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		153 Ryback (end of broadcast ruling)		-900
8:00PM		154 Big Show (end of broadcast ruling)		+500
Nikki Bella vs Paige - WWE Divas Championship
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		163 Nikki Bella (end of broadcast ruling)		-210
8:00PM		164 Paige (end broadcast ruling)		+160
R-Truth vs King Barrett - Singles match
graded with final decision as preshow ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 6/14		171 R-Truth (end of preshow ruling)		+150
7:30PM		172 King Barrett (end of preshow ruling)		-190

Parlay the bolded.
Cena won't get his win back yet. They want to keep Owens strong.
Reigns odds are too short for the "logical" winner. MITB works better when a heel holds it, and while they could flip Roman in the next year, it's better to give it to a guy who needs the Briefcase more.
New Day and Ryback aren't losing their straps yet.
Barrett needs the win, Truth just a comedy figure and a loss don't change that.

 

[vitterd]

Churchill Downs Race 8 post time 4:18est

#5 Bird Sense(ML 6-1) WPS

makes 3rd lifetime start and gets Lasix for 1st time after 2 month layoff. Ran 3rd twice at Gulfstream in March. Last start was against older horses and top 2 finishers both came back to win next time out. Been training well at Churchill since May 10th with 6 steady works leading up to this race.

Going to Hollywood casino today(former penn national) and will put some money on this horse.....while getting my teeth kicked in at blackjack....I continue to lost at blackjack but keep going back!! God damn you 21 table!!!! I'm gonna be like Pesci in movie casino today and throw the cards at the dealer. Lol.

Be back with some picks later. Good luck all today.

 

[JDeuce]

Going to Hollywood casino today(former penn national) and will put some money on this horse.....while getting my teeth kicked in at blackjack....I continue to lost at blackjack but keep going back!! God damn you 21 table!!!! I'm gonna be like Pesci in movie casino today and throw the cards at the dealer. Lol.

Be back with some picks later. Good luck all today.

It's been like that the last few times I went to Vegas...where the hands the dealers are pulling become so fucking ridiculous that I genuinely wonder if they are cheating somehow. It's pretty bad when they continuously apologize as if they just rear ended your car "Oh, gosh...I'm sorry. I'm sorry. I'm so sorry." I've basically stopped playing altogether when I go and let me wife do her thing...she's just inherently luckier than I am at cards, I guess.

Anyway, as far as picks...here is the ultra scientific method for the NBA Finals game tonight!

When these two play on the same day of the NBA Finals:

Cavs: LWWL
Indians: WLLW

So clearly, today's Tigers-Indians game will tell us everything we need to know!

In all seriousness, the points have not made a difference in any game so far in this series. Tonight may be the first time they do. The extra day of rest probably benefits the Cavs more than it does the Warriors, but I don't know. I'm likely waiting until halftime to make a play.

 

[vitterd]

It's been like that the last few times I went to Vegas...where the hands the dealers are pulling become so fucking ridiculous that I genuinely wonder if they are cheating somehow. It's pretty bad when they continuously apologize as if they just rear ended your car "Oh, gosh...I'm sorry. I'm sorry. I'm so sorry." I've basically stopped playing altogether when I go and let me wife do her thing...she's just inherently luckier than I am at cards, I guess.

Anyway, as far as picks...here is the ultra scientific method for the NBA Finals game tonight!

When these two play on the same day of the NBA Finals:

Cavs: LWWL
Indians: WLLW

So clearly, today's Tigers-Indians game will tell us everything we need to know!

In all seriousness, the points have not made a difference in any game so far in this series. Tonight may be the first time they do. The extra day of rest probably benefits the Cavs more than it does the Warriors, but I don't know. I'm likely waiting until halftime to make a play.

I do the exact same thing. Going with the wife today....she will play slots and I will play some blackjack but only till a certain limit. I'm on one of those runs where 20 isn't getting the job done. Seems like I need 21 to win or push these days. If things go bad quickly, I will go play some horses and watch baseball....too aggravating to sit there and get pummeled.

As for the game, doesn't look like any value for either side....I may pass completely or look at the total.

 

[Michelangelo]

2-1 +188

Cle -1' +129 (@ Det)
Balty -1' +175 (vs NYY)

Couple of fun facts re today's MLB action.

Two DeLa Rosa's pitching today. Jorge for Col at Miami, and Rubby for Azo at Frisco. I'd love to bet against Rubby (what a thing to name your kid). He has been awful in his last four starts. 24 runs allowed in 21 innings. And the manager leaves him in for at least five innings each start while he's getting pounded. Just the kind of situation I'd love to bet against. But today he faces a rook named Heston for San Fran who threw the leagues only no no thusfar this season. An unusual thing about that no hitter is that it could have been a perfect game had Heston not hit three different batters. So we don't see many No hitters and we don't see many games where the pitcher hits three batters. But back to betting the game. Looks like a no brainer for San Fran, right? Maybe. But one of the things I love to do is bet against any not established pitcher coming off a superior game. But not today. Not with Rubby rubbin' the ball for the other side.

Good luck, guys.

 

[ScottL]

All my Plays are risking 1 Unit if the Dog and to Win 1 Unit if the Fave.
I'm ahead a postage stamp, 43/100ths of a Unit in these here daily threads by splitting 4 Dogs in MLB since we started this habit.

Sunday:

CWS -130 -- Sale is working on a 19 Inning streak without surrendering an Earned Run Away. TB is 1-5 last 6 at Home when leading a Series 2-0.

TOR +107 -- Playing the 10 Game Winning Streak with a combined 75-35 tally for the Jays.

KC +120 and KC -1.5 +180 are 1/2 Unit Plays.

 

[vitterd]

Buy in blackjack for 1k....twelve hands later....1k gone.

2 dollar exactas the rest of the day. Fuck this nonsense.

 

[Willie99]

3-3 -0.23

Brewers +129, because they're not good enough to beat Scherzer (and I think they're trending up)
Tonto +105, a body in motion tends to stay in motion (I had them yesterday too, just posted after the early game had started)
KC +110, John Lackey
AZ +134, they sweep the Giants only because they can't sweep the Giants, shit happens two (or too)

College, CSF +210, experienced program with big line

Cavs +9

 

[ScottL]

Buy in blackjack for 1k....twelve hands later....1k gone.

2 dollar exactas the rest of the day. Fuck this nonsense.

Last time I played BJ Krackman handed me a Dime of his and I handed him 2 Dimes back 10 minutes later. Gotta be 15 years already. I kicked the habit up 15K lifetime and Bally Grand offering helicopter rides. Hope it turns around for you Vit.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Moz God over 8.5 boards -105 at 5D

GS is likely gonna keep playing small and sacrifice offensive boards. The dude is a beast that can't be tamed.

Also if I were the Big Show I'd just bet myself at +500 and then once you get in the ring just don't let the guy beat you. The dude is 7ft 500 pounds who is gonna really pin him if he won't let them?

 

[Willie99]

Buy in blackjack for 1k....twelve hands later....1k gone.

2 dollar exactas the rest of the day. Fuck this nonsense.

I'm heading to the Sun at 4:00, dinner and craps

 

[JDeuce]

Buy in blackjack for 1k....twelve hands later....1k gone.

2 dollar exactas the rest of the day. Fuck this nonsense.

Only thing that cures this is not playing. Go play craps, Pai Gow, whatever. Ultimate Hold Em is fun if you haven't tried it. But fuck blackjack. It's been a long time since I've had a good run at a BJ table...partly because I've hardly played it lately. But I feel like there's about a 99% chance I'm saving money every time I walk past a BJ table.