Poly Forum Daily Picks Thread MONDAY 7/6/2015

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List your Play(s) with the Line, and a brief reason for your prediction.

If you would like, keep a running record of your units +or- and update each thread with yesterday's results and your season to date total.

ALL posters are welcome and encouraged to participate.
 

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Would like to go to a single thread for continuity. Can you extremist nutjobs behave yourselves?
 

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Would like to go to a single thread for continuity. Can you extremist nutjobs behave yourselves?
Should be fine....the far right extremists that dwell here don't actually gamble and never post a pick.....so I'm thinking it should be good to make the move to one thread.
 
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Couldn't even make it one post before Vit pokes the bear. Definitely a reasonable request, Scott. I'd hope everyone can respect it. Hope this makes it to football/basketball season, as I'm not much of a baseball bettor. Thanks for setting these threads up, Scott.
 

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Couldn't even make it one post before Vit pokes the bear. Definitely a reasonable request, Scott. I'd hope everyone can respect it. Hope this makes it to football/basketball season, as I'm not much of a baseball bettor. Thanks for setting these threads up, Scott.
You are like a sensitive woman. It's a small jab and a joke.

Relax yourself.
 
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You are like a sensitive woman. It's a small jab and a joke.

Relax yourself.

So you're allowed to jab us but I can't jab you back, Alice?

I'm going honor Scott's request. Sorry for derailing this, Scott. Good luck, today.
 

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So you're allowed to jab us but I can't jab you back, Alice?

I'm going honor Scott's request. Sorry for derailing this, Scott. Good luck, today.
Actually, you know it was not a reference to you at all. Hopefully you don't do this in the one big thread. Thanks.
 

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You are like a sensitive woman. It's a small jab and a joke.

Relax yourself.

Yeah but it can escalate and it was a poke.

Now what if I say you took Phils +107 after they had moved to -105 and -110 everywhere?
Now most everyone here including you has been spot on with lines. Just so happens you missed this one. I don't even think you even knew it moved. Just saying many things can start a mess. If we go to one thread which I'd like to, we have to keep it non-confrontational. Goes for everyone. Because once that thread goes to Hell......
 

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I didn't see it move. I put my bet in and then come post my play here at the line I get it at heritage.

I'm not the least bit concerned with it escalating.....my comment was to the 2 or 3 inviduals that are known for not posting picks. Mantis knew this as well.

Since those induviduals do not enter or post in these threads....the chances of it causing a problem are zero.....I will refrain from commenting further though.
 

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I didn't see it move. I put my bet in and then come post my play here at the line I get it at heritage.

I'm not the least bit concerned with it escalating.....my comment was to the 2 or 3 inviduals that are known for not posting picks. Mantis knew this as well.

Since those induviduals do not enter or post in these threads....the chances of it causing a problem are zero.....I will refrain from commenting further though.

Sooner or later they will be here, competitive juices being what they are. If you were 16-33 these daily threads would be so much more popular.
Heritage does lean a bit on a few games; I'll give you that. As for myself I'm only using Bookmaker and 5Dimes. Books like Pinny and Bovada I don't post my Lines from because they have numbers most people can't find. I get my odds from:
http://www.madduxsports.com/baseball-odds.php#odds
 

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Sooner or later they will be here, competitive juices being what they are. If you were 16-33 these daily threads would be so much more popular.
Heritage does lean a bit on a few games; I'll give you that. As for myself I'm only using Bookmaker and 5Dimes. Books like Pinny and Bovada I don't post my Lines from because they have numbers most people can't find. I get my odds from:
http://www.madduxsports.com/baseball-odds.php#odds
I'm pretty sure the phillies were +110 at a point yesterday

true.....these threads would be several pages per day if my record was reversed.

But there is zero chance that any of those guys show up....they arent competitive people.....unless it's to find a picture of akp
 

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Yes on Phillies.

I'm sure everyone would agree the Line a Play is posted at should be available at either BM or 5D at time of post, within a few cents at least.
All these Books copy off those 2 places and move on air anyway. For instance as I type KC just went from -138 to -144 about everywhere. I think no one should be allowed to lay that -138 in here after several minutes have elapsed.
 

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^^^Times are Pacific there, and Lines are from Sports Options feed.
 

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Yes on Phillies.

I'm sure everyone would agree the Line a Play is posted at should be available at either BM or 5D at time of post, within a few cents at least.
All these Books copy off those 2 places and move on air anyway. For instance as I type KC just went from -138 to -144 about everywhere. I think no one should be allowed to lay that -138 in here after several minutes have elapsed.
I'm posting my plays almost immediately after I bet the play. At least within a few minutes. I'm not looking at what other places have it at....I'm simply posting what I got. Obviously we can't control when it moves or who gets what.
 

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WASH last 9 Home = 9-0 by 45-10 combined score.
CIN last 22 Road = 5-17 by combined 62-98 score.
So WAS = -120 here???
 
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yest 2-6 -348
YTD 37-53 -137

(5x) St L / Cub Under 8' -103

Lackey and Lester both pitched for the Red Sox before the Red Sox (like fools) traded Lackey at the trade deadline last year and went on to lose Lester to free agency. I, personally, always thought that Lackey, when right, was the ace of the Red Sox staff. Most assigned that status to Lester. My guess is that these guys will both want to prove who is better tonight. They are both pitching well right now.

Add into the mix that the Cubbies have scored two or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games while allowing 2 or fewer in their last 6 games. Add that Lester has pitched in 5 straight games where the totals have not exceeded 6 runs.

And the Cardinals total scores have been less than tonight's number in 7 straight and 11 of 12. And St L has allowed 4 or fewer runs in 11 of Lackey's last 13 starts.

Going big on this baby. Wish me luck.

///

Scott, I'm betting 5 times my normal amount on this total, a rarity for me. Just wanted to know if that multiple is allowed to be tabulated here, win or lose?
 
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For some reason, Wash is simply not being respected by the linesmaker. In five of those nine games you cited, Scott, they were -120 favs or less (twice dogs). Of course they won them all. Against pretty good competition, too - Pit, Atl, and Frisco.
 

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Jim if normal Play is 1 Unit and you want this to be 5 that's OK with me. You just better come up with the ca$h if it loses ;-)

All my Plays are 1 Unit. Maybe 10-15 out of 1,000 are 1.5 or 2. It's what works for me. I also use it as a selling point to distance myself from the 10,000 Star people that poison my industry.
 

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